 What's going on and welcome to the NBA DFS Q&A show. My name is Tom Vecchio I'll be here for the next 30 minutes taking your questions about tonight's NBA DFS slave. We have 11 games There's a lot to get to as always this show is every Wednesday You can find it on the fangirl YouTube twitch Twitter Facebook pages. You can follow me on Twitter at DFS underscore Tom There's a lot of news injury news to get to we already asked some questions in there Let's hop right in starting off with born to laugh start Juan Hernan Gomez over way in Gabriel So the news at least let's just preps this by the news that LeBron James was recently ruled out for the Lakers This means that the their offensive lineup is going to be changed, which means There's obviously gonna be extra offensive uses to go around, you know, realistically this lineup Isn't that good? You know, Westbrook is a fine option I guess because LeBron's not gonna be there We're talking about players that are essentially the same if we're choosing between These two and it comes down to herning Gomez or Gabriel I would side with Gabriel simply do the fact that this game has a higher over under It's not by much, you know 11 points is a good enough margin, but I just don't like this defensive matchup against the Celtics We do know that they're very solid. So I would side with Wayne and Gabriel for the Lakers You know as I said on the podcast today the daily ice So there's basically three games on tonight's slate that I have almost no interest in which would be Golden State, Miami Utah Boston and Orlando Okay, see and I say that in the grand scheme of things Comparing it to some of the other games on the slate when we're dealing with over unders that are 238 super high 237 for the Brooklyn Nets and Memphis Grizzlies. Well, this game is down at 209 this over unders almost 30 points higher So I certainly want to be you know staying away from too many options in those three games Specifically, so I would side with Wayne Gabriel for that one Born to Laugh is also asking any three by twos I like this is of course one of the bets on the final sports book Will there be two plus me three's in the first three minutes one of them would be the Rockets and the Mavs It has a little bit of juice on it minus 138 But we do see Houston in the bottom 10 the league for the most three-point is allowed per game We do see the Mavs as the best team league for the fewest three-point is allowed per game But if we actually look on the other side Dallas and Houston are both in the top 12 for the most three-pointers made so Dallas is still gonna give up some three pointers At least we have two teams that can competently hit them So I would look towards Rockets and Mavericks again that has a little bit of juice Sun's T Wolves I think is a good spot to look to as well We see Minnesota in the bottom 10 for the most allowed per game They're also making a ton of per game always good to see a little bit of plus money there And then I would look to probably the Nets and the Grizzlies Minus 106 for that obviously plenty of shooters in that game. So those would probably be my top three I'd maybe put Spurs Blazers as the fourth option I do like the Rockets and Mavericks number one overall But the minus 138 juice might be a little bit much for some people next up is the six-man question the classic Wednesday question Which is who's that player that comes off the bench for a given team that has that scoring upside that may not be immensely popular Bogdan which had a huge game last night Realistically, he's probably in a similar spot tonight just because we also see the Hawks lineup thin down a little bit They're missing some players. So he's always an option Kelly Ubrey always has three point upside in a great game environment going up against the Nicks The injury situation for the Pacers I want to say we're waiting on a little bit because Tyrese Halliburton is listed as questionable So we could be looking at some of the bench players for the Pacers now, but ultimately they could become starters I would certainly side with Dante DiVincenzo as a sixth-man option for the Kings You could always look to D. Anthony melting for the Grizzlies Again, not super interesting going to Jordan Clarkson or Tyler hero who are normally very very strong candidates for that Just do their game environments and then probably Malik Beasley. This game is a super high over under with a close spread Absolutely liking that option Grim on YouTube is asking Mati Staibull Royce O'Neill or Reggie Bullock. So Royce O'Neill certainly falls last on that order Between Mati Staibull and Reggie Bullock It's kind of a toss-up if if LeBron was playing I would almost like Thaibull a little bit more just because at least there's a hope the Lakers can kind of keep that game close this reopened with what is that a nine and a half point spread now or ten and a half points It's nine and a half point spread. It was seven seven and a half a little bit earlier So I might take Reggie Bullock in that matchup just because that it's so easy for him going up against the Rockets again He Reggie Bullock sits out in the corner and just takes threes constantly for the Mavericks Look at this 11 three-pointers all 11 of his field attempts were three pointers And he's seeing a very very high percentage of his overall shots come from three-point range So because the Rockets allow so many three-pointers Reggie Bullock is a player that could really reach value tonight. So I like Bullock. I also like Monty's Thaibull again This is also a player that picks up the steals and the blocks, you know A men's fantasy upside on a point per dollar basis from Monty's Thaibull So I would go Bullock Thaibull O'Neill in that order Grim is also asking take Sacramento on the spread Their spread is four and a half the Pacers do have They're without Malcolm Brogdon. He's already been ruled out. Halliburton is listed as questionable Right. Yeah, he's listed as questionable You know Sacramento, we know they're missing Deer and Fox. We know they're missing some bonus It's not the worst bet in the world in the grand scheme of things. These are Two teams that are essentially the same. They're just kind of like too bad You know defensive teams so almost either one can win it and if Halliburton gets ruled out I assume the line would shift a little bit. So at four and a half. I wouldn't mind the Kings I have a little bit interest in the pistons at four and a half They've covered 14 out of their past 15 games and they're at home against the Hawks the Hawks on the second I've a back-to-back and the Hawks are missing a few players out of their lineup and their rotation Grim is also asking Cole Anthony over Pat Beverly The matchup for Cole Anthony is obviously very easy going up against the OKC This game environment again, not my favorite It is the best out of these bottom three that I would say Utah Boston to 16 This is 221. So it's still certainly usable to a two-point spread Golden State Miami. I know Golden State super short-handed. So I'm not really going there So I guess this game is viable with Cole Anthony This game environment is no doubt better for Minnesota and Pat Beverly the issue with Pat Beverly He is he's not a massively high usage player and he's also not a big pure score So I would choose Cole Anthony hoping to be a little bit different in tournaments Chris is saying on Facebook saying the Sun's gonna do it this year Certainly looking good right now and they don't have Chris Paul That's always a strong indication for them. Sabana on YouTube is asking at best games to target There's a number of them Like I said, there's basically three that I don't have a whole lot of interest in I know Houston and Dallas has a lower Overunder, but we're gonna be seeing Spencer didn't witty and Jalen Brunson be very popular for Dallas a it's an easy match Up and be there's no look at dodge. So we're still targeting players from Dallas Just due to different circumstances. So outside of that Phoenix and Minnesota with a huge overunder and a one-point spread is fantastic same thing for Brooklyn and Memphis You absolutely can be looking there. I love that game Also very high over under close spread and no defense being played between either of those two teams You could certainly look to the Knicks who are in a massive pace-up spot. They're 27th in the league You see Charlotte playing up at three. So Nick charlotte's Sacramento, Indiana Brooklyn Memphis Phoenix Minnesota go into some of the Dallas options And then San Antonio and Portland. Don't forget about this game. These two teams are very close in the standings They don't play defense Etc. Etc. DJ is asking take the jazz on the spread. I don't know if that's for me Boston looks really good right now They are looking super strong, you know, they're coming back home after a long road trip where they won all four or five Other games on their road trip whatever it was. They are Boston's a tough team to bet against so I just I that's not a spot. I would be going for them I'll roll that right into Savannah's asking favorite fainting with bets of the day So the bets I made I got the nets a little bit earlier was one and a half earlier. It's one now So I'm on the nets one and a half among Kyrie over 25 and a half or 26 points, whatever it is over 26 and a half Obviously, this is a winnable game for the Nets. They're going up against Memphis who have no John Morant Memphis is still a very good team in even without Morant. They, you know, won a number of games earlier in the year when he was out I just think that Kyrie like has to make it known that He's still a member of like a valuable member of the team because this is an away game He's obviously gonna be playing it only these not home game So like this is his time to shine in a winnable matchup and the Nets are looking good They've won six out of their past seven. So I like the Nets. I like Kyrie over 26 and a half I also took Took who was it? I took Jalen Brunson over 30 and a half PRA Didn't really was a little bit higher. So I took the I took Brunson who's a little bit lower, right? Brunson, yeah over 30 and a half didn't we was a little bit higher. So I took the over on Jalen Brunson PRA over on Kyrie points in the Nets minus one and a half Who would you take core Joseph or Chris Duarte DJ and Facebook is asking I would certainly lean towards Duarte Right now especially if we do see Tyrese Halber and ruled out we already Malcolm Brogdon ruled out So that's certainly a plus for Chris Duarte easy match against the Kings pay-sub-spot high over under Not saying that it isn't a good matchup for Corey Joseph I just like the potential of extra offensive usage for Duarte ahead of Corey Joseph who really isn't the highest usage player When it comes to the Pistons offense 10% usage rate half a fan who point per minute. He is dead last in usage among their starting five I'll take Chris Duarte with definitely no Malcolm Brogdon. He's already ruled that and then potentially no Tyrese Halber Who's listed as questionable? So yeah, that's where I would look for that you didn't see the spread for the Nets game whatever might be get some clear the jazz game. It's five points The Celtics are looking too good to go against them right now. That's not my not my favorite spot to go Savannah is asking the best value. There are a number of value plays on tonight's slates I'll certainly be looking to some of the options from Dallas They're not super deep values whether be Din Whitty whether be Jalen Brunson fifty three hundred dollars I know a lot of people are probably gonna be going to Ty's Jones at forty three hundred John Miranda's out Him sliding into starting lineup as he did the other day in their most recent start is very very clear You can be going there. I like Davion Mitchell tonight as well forty six hundred dollars for the Sacramento Kings Dear and Fox is listed as doubtful. He's gonna be stepping into the starting lineup great matchup against the Pacers the issue here ultimately is that they're both only listed as point guards And I certainly want to get up to Kyrie Irving and the John de Murray I luckily we do have dual position eligibility for both of them so when you're setting your lineups making make sure that you do have Irving and Murray set to Shooting guard and if you're using an optimizer have them set to shooting guard Eligibility so you can roster Jones and Mitchell because if you roster Irving and Murray a point guard Then you can't roster Jones and Mitch Mitchell at shooting guard So that is there Boston barely in the playoffs. Boston is looking great right now Not a spot that I'm gonna be going against it is Kyrie's birthday Dre on Facebook is saying So, yes, we have the birthday narrative in play if you want to be going to Kyrie because the birthday narrative It's always fun birthday narrative baby narrative hometown revenge narrative Whatever you want to add into play combined with the fact that again as I said like Kyrie's gotta kind of put up the points now because this Is in a way game for them in Memphis Again winnable matchup with no job or rants So I do like Kyrie tonight not because it's his birthday. It's always fun to add that in But I will be going to Kyrie like I said the over 26 and a half there are two NBA boost Would you take remember that yeah, yeah booster over here? So Kevin Durant and Kyrie to score 60 plus points combined and Tatum a score 30 plus points and Marcus smart to make two plus threes Okay, I would have more faith in the Irving Durant one And obviously doesn't have as much as much value as that one It comes to I would say it comes down to Marcus smart. How many threes is he taking per game? Five five seven four three The threes are what would what would bother me for the the map that for that boost I would have much more Faith in Durant and Kyrie combining for the 60 plus points against Memphis I mean this game is a massive over under so that's where I'd be going the threes with Marcus smart is a little bit More concerning I would have plenty of faith in The 30 plus points from Tatum. He's been on fire as of late. So that's where I would certainly be going Could you be strong grim is asking start Clint Capella for the Atlanta Hawks? Obviously a good match of them going up against the Pistons this matchup You know Center I think is an okay spot to be going if you want to differentiate Jewel and beat at $11,000 is certainly always a good play but with no LeBron I think it lowers and beads ceiling overall right if we're looking at the blowout factor Which is certainly very real for Philly tonight with no LeBron Listen, even when LeBron is in there. They're losing by 15 20 points in time So Joellen beat I don't think is as much of a priority tonight So dropping into the mid tier is certainly an option and Clint Capella would be a spot that I'd be going I like the under 18 tonight at $7,200. Clint Capella would probably be next I also have I would say slightly more interesting Yaka Pertle over Clint Capella because the matchup for Yaka Pertle Portland is very very strong So in that mid-tier at center, I would go to Yaka Pertle or eight in ahead of Capella not saying Capella is a bad choice But Liking a few options ahead of him. Who's gonna be MVP Joker Titi Yanis or LeBron? Well, it's not gonna be LeBron. It's probably to come down to Yoke itch and bead Or Yanis, I don't have a future on anyone. I don't have any NBA futures As of now, so that's you know future bets MBA is especially for MVP it can be very very close for some of these players Let's get an update on these injuries There's none. So the situation for the warrior study is another one. I think that's worth mentioning Super low over under in this game, right? That's the main thing against Miami super low over under Miami's a good defensive team It's just that we should be seeing so many minutes for some of these players because they know number of players ruled out They're on a second. I'd go back to back. So the usage should be there for Jordan pool The usage should be there for Andrew Wiggins. Is this a spot that you have to go? Do you want to be going here? You know the 209 over under frankly, I don't Think it's a priority to get to these players from the warriors who are in this lower over under game Despite what could be a strong minutes projection from some of them. So Jordan pool. I think is fine In the grand scheme of things I don't think he's gonna be super popular at point guard tonight or shooting guard just because there's so many other strong options around him So I'm fine with a few warriors players or one or two But that's not a spot that I would be going super super heavy Saban on YouTube is asking Who would you stack from the Kings and Pacers game? So this game is obviously expected to have a ton of points to 34 and a half over under four and a half point spread Two teams that don't play a whole lot of defense David on Mitchell as you see here is one of my favorite value plays on the slate stepping into the starting lineup Because the Aaron Fox is out for the Pacers if Halliburton is ruled out who's listed as questionable right now I think Christo Wartt is a great option. This is a Revenge game, you know for buddy he'll going up against this former team The extra usage could be there for him if Halliburton is out But we also could be seeing I mean theoretically we could be seeing Dwayne Washington into the starting lineup if Halliburton is ruled out That's a very very big if Washington is not a player. I would look to otherwise. So I would certainly look to Halliburton if he plays buddy he'll Chris Duarte Mitchell Probably then Damian Jones for the Kings Yeah, yeah LeBron that air is over. But yeah and beat and beat is looking great this year So that is always a spot that you have to be concerned like you know realistically if indeed were to win it I'm not gonna be shocked if Yoko twins it I'm also not gonna be shocked if Yanis, you know puts up a strong last month or so to close at the season Like he's gonna be in the conversation. Like I don't think there's a clear-cut winner It's kind of like a coin flip scenario. Do you like anyone from the New York? Charlotte game? Absolutely We always have fancy upside from teams going up against Charlotte because a they don't play defense and B They are the third fastest team in the league the Knicks are sitting at 27 So I've spoken about R. J. Barrett a number of times When he has this type of shot volume 20 plus essentially on a nightly basis His scoring ceiling is going to be immense last night He posted 51 Fandall points and he shot 9 of 25 from the field now as I've said On the podcast this morning 9 of 25 from the field is is kind of average too bad, right? Like that's a pretty Mediocre shooting performance and he still had 51 Fandall points now He did have 13 assists which is a lot for him But that shooting volume if that's gonna stay there which it is at 20 plus That's always gonna grant him a high high ceiling not to mention the fact that he shoots a ton of threes now He's been a bit variable when it comes to these three pointers, which is very clear one of seven He's four eight. He's five eleven. He's one of six, etc, etc But the scoring upside is always gonna be there for R. J. Barrett So I love him in this matchup tonight against the Hornets who also allowed the second most three pointers per game So a big pace of spot high over under no defense plenty of shot volume for R. J. Barrett You can be looking there. Alec works is also a solid, you know mid-tier play He's not super expensive. Oh be topping at the start last night because Randall was ruled out Randall is listed as doubtful for this game So we should expect OB top in the starting line up again And then Lamella ball always has like double double triple double potential to fill up a stat sheet So he's always a viable option So there's plenty of players from the Knicks and the Hornets game should have a nice back-and-forth game environment Can the Knicks upset Charlotte's night and hit the spread or no the spread is yeah, I mean Charlotte they've won Haven't Charlotte they've won what five in a row right four in a row five round for Charlotte. Let's see One two three four they won five in a row So they've won five in a row They've covered in for their past five like at a certain point like in the grand scheme of things Charlotte is like a pretty average team I mean, they're barely above 500 so like they're bound to lose a game at a certain point and You know coming off a couple couple wins. I think the Knicks could cover tonight They're well coached. They are in a bounce back spot big pace up. It's not like Charlotte's a defensive team you're worried about Right, it's not like we're we're worried about Charlotte's defense and like shutting down the Knicks Like this is a spot that the Knicks could easily win against our Charlotte So I would look to them on the spread at plus eight Like I said, I also like the Pistons at home plus four and a half They've covered 14 out of their last 15 games Detroit has A lot are 14 out of 15 or 14 out of 16, whatever it is But they are covering all of these games, which is great to see they've kind of you know, step things up the second half of the season So I would certainly like the Knicks tonight Savannah's asking how would you prioritize the power forward and center spots night with Kyrie and Murray being together in the lineup? so it comes down to where you are getting Kyrie and Murray in a lineup like I said, I like them at shooting guard tonight This is simply just due to the ease of roster construction when you're trying to get in some clear value plays at point guard with Jones because Miranda's out and Mitchell because Fox is out So getting to Irving and Murray is certainly viable 6,000 left you could look for some value if you want to be getting some value options in there obviously Wayne Gabriel has jumped up to the top of the value chart since the News that LeBron has been ruled out. I like Dorian Finney Smith I like some of the options on Dallas. Like I said, I spoke about Reggie Bowe before he's certainly an option can be going to Dwight Powell isn't the biggest scorer in the world But he does have a very very soft matchup going up against Houston who are dead last in the league against centers So you can be going there For value at the power forward position also looking to some of the options for either Sacramento or Indiana at the power forward slash center position both of those are in play I think realistically falling into the mid tier at centers where I want to go like I said I mentioned eight in I like y'all cup hurdle tonight easy matchup going up against the Going up against the Portland trailblazer. So we're not working with like stretching the line at bed Oh, you could still spend down at power forward if you want to get Trey Lyles in there. That's fine You'll take a bit of value in a good match against Indiana 6400 for a few players left is certainly an easy spot to go Favorite pay-up options that are under the radar is to rank and be under the radar Yeah Tatum would be like the ideal under the radar call because he's in this lower scoring environment And he's a still a player that can go for 50 plus points. So it might be Tatum Again because you're playing the game that no one's super interested in this game environment of 216 When you can go to games that have overrunters that are legitimately 20 points higher So Tatum is gonna be the player to go a bit overlooked He would probably be the best because he obviously has a massive ceiling So that would probably be the player. I would go to a 94 hundred like you were going out of your way to be different in Tournaments Because you're expecting Tatum to still put up 50, but he's also not gonna be popular Just due to that game environment 216 compared to some of these games that are up in the high 230s DJ is asking take Bruce Brown or save with buddy healed and get more expensive guard like Kate Cunningham Take Bruce Brown save a buddy So I love Bruce Brown. I spoke about him on the podcast not just him specifically But a player that's around his salary that's in a game environment such as this one So we're dealing with a super high over under close spread which you can say about a number of games tonight, right? Like that's what we're ultimately looking at Brown is 6700 and he's filling up the statue in a variety of ways. He's doing a some scoring He's you know grabbing some rebounds and assist He's always been good at stealing the ball and because this game environment is so strong back and forth with so many possessions There's a multitude of ways that he can reach value So I love the idea of getting to players like Bruce Brown tonight like Kelvin Johnson for Saint Antonio Kind of the same situation where it's not like anyone's starting their line-ups with Kelvin Johnson But he provides tremendous fantasy production, especially against the weak defense So I would side with Bruce Brown right now if I will say if Halliburton is ruled out Buddy healed could see plenty of shot attempts against Sacramento So it's Bruce Brown right now if Halliburton is ruled out I would have interest in going to Buddy healed and then getting up to a more expensive guard That's certainly fine. Grim is asking how do I feel about Tyus Jones? Love Tyus Jonestad He was one of the value plays that I wrote up on numberfire.com as one of my top value plays He is projected as one of the top value plays overall Just due to John ramping out great game environment high over under both teams in the top 11 of the league in offensive pace You know, it's not like Brooklyn's been winning games, but it's not like they're super strong on defense So Tyus Jones and Davion Mitchell are my two favorite value plays at guard tonight I also have a little bit of interest in going to Joshua primo for San Antonio. He's $3,500 the minimum salary He's seen 30 plus minutes in each of the past two games. He's been in the starting lineup each of the past two games He's not putting up a ton of fantasy points. I get that but Him reaching value at $3,500 is really really easy to do. I Don't expect him to go for 40 plus points. I don't expect him to be like the best value play on the slate But he can reach value at $3,500. It makes a lot of construction easier. It's a great game environment going up against Portland He's not gonna be jumping off the charts in terms of the best value plays tonight But I still have interest in going to a player like Josh primo get some of that min salary 30 plus minutes for San Antonio is always nice That's so that's so always an option you can be going to you know seeing lineups that have these two players plus Brunson in there, you know, maybe you swap one of them out to get into Spencer Dinwiddie That's certainly fine. You want to get Doreen Finney Smith. That's always an option We're dealing with tremendous amount of money per player remaining. Even if you wanted to spend up for Kyrie here you wanted to get to Durant or you wanted to spend up at center and you wanted to get to him bead You still have plenty of salary remaining You're locking in players that are stepping into the starting lineup like Jones and Mitchell Brunson's gonna see an increased workload because Lucas at same thing with you know Doreen Finney Smith He'll see a couple extra touches on the ball easy match against Houston Etc. Etc. So some of these value plays are really really clear tonight and it gets even easier You know, I think primo was a good value play. I certainly don't think he's a great value play I'm certainly willing to embrace a little bit more risk considering. He's $3,500 and if he does go for 25 fable points that's certainly a win right there and he's 3,500 so you can spend up wherever you want So the guard positions tonight or just both guard positions tonight offer a tremendous amount of value, which is always great to see DJ is asking Trey man or RJ Hampton Trey man or RJ Hampton. I would certainly start with Trey man And just the coin flip to kind of decision Trey man There are obviously a different salary tiers, which is the question you have to ask like if you are Trey man he's point guard. So if he's 6,500 if you're getting the Trey man over RJ Hampton Who's 3,800 like where does your lineup change? If you are taking the savings on RJ Hampton, where are you spending that? What is it? $3,500 just under or just under $3,000 $38 to 6,500 like where are you spending that? $2,700 difference to upgrade what part of your lineup? I would take man for the higher upside RJ Hampton's been okay in the grand scheme of things So I would side with man in that matchup. It's looking like a great slate I think we're gonna see a ton of scoring tonight. I think we're gonna see a ton of high scoring lineups some of the injury news We do need a few updates on Larry Nance, okay, that's for tomorrow slates ruled out So the news for tonight SGA Kat Halliburton, I would say are the are the main three you want to be looking at We know Fox is doubtful Randall didn't play last night Wendell Carter does have a good matchup if he's gonna be out there I would have interest in Wendell Carter, but SGA Kat and Halliburton are the main three Injury notes you want to be looking to because if SGA is out it makes Trey man that much of a better play in the the Trey man to RJ Hampton matchup if Halliburton is out we could be getting some value with Chris Duarte We could be seeing Dwayne Washington Maybe in the starting lineup if Halliburton is out but also should offer extra shot attempts for someone like Buddy Heald and Duarte over on Harden or Curry well Seth Curry For the Nets he's he's a game-time decision tonight So I wouldn't be going there Steph Curry. We know is out So Harden because he's the healthiest among them Seth Curry you would want to get that injury update from the Nets because he's been dealing with this ankle issue Alright, so that yes Steph is out Steph's been out for a couple of games And he's gonna be out for the foreseeable future. So I would say do not roster Steph Curry tonight Yeah, so that that's that's a pretty clear and go with Harden over Steph Curry tonight All right, so that does it for today's show we'll back next Wednesday at 4 p.m Right here in the family YouTube twitch Twitter pages you can follow me on Twitter at DFS underscore Tom until next time Good luck in your contest