Typhoon TEMBIN&BOLAVEN 19-23Aug2012





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Published on Aug 22, 2012

Update 22/08 0900UTC
JTWC -Category 1 Typhoon "16W/BOLAVEN" exhibits a large CDO 120 nm (222 km) wide and extensive feeder bands trailing to the South, set to intensify further within the next 12-24 hrs. Last position was 19.5N-137.1E, 685 nm (1,269 km) Southeast of Kadena AB, Okinawa, Southern Japan, or 881 nm (1,632 km) East-northeast of Aparri, Cagayan, Philippines, 80 kt (148 km/hr) min, 100 kt (185 km/hr) max, 963 hPa and falling, heading slowly West-northwest@09 kt (17m km/hr), (quasi-stationary) over the past 6 hrs. Maximum sea wave height is at 28 ft. #weatherguyadonis @weartherguyadonz

Update 22/08 0830UTC
Westernpacificweather - The US and the UKMO models are in agreement of a 0000Z 25 August 2012 approach over Okinawa-Ryukus Islands in Southern Japan where Very Strong Typhoon "16W/BOLAVEN" could strike the Okinawan coast for more than four (4) hours, before heading further North-northwest towards Western coast of the Korean Peninsula until 28 August 2012. Having said that, the farther we go in the forecast time since day one, there will be significant changes in the position of the system, however there will be exact range of winds and acceleration depending on the steering ridge that would influence it.

The imminent interaction between Strong Typhoons "15W/TEMBIN" and "16W/BOLAVEN" in the coming days would be closely monitored as the weaker one should be dragged back in-the-loop just Southwest of Taiwan and heading South-southeastwards clipping the Extreme Northern Luzon coast before weakening further as it re-emerges along the East coast of Taiwan.

Update 22/08 0710UTC
JMA -Strong Typhoon "16W/BOLAVEN" picked up steam for the last 6 hrs churning off the warm waters of the WestPac, and was spotted near 19.3N-138.0E, 706 nm (1,307 km) East-southeast of Naha, Okinawa, Southern Japan or 927 nm (1,717 km) ENE of Aparri, Cagayan, Philippines, and projected to move West to West-northwest towards Okinawa-Korean Peninsula within the next 2-3 days. The system is expected to strengthen within the next 12-24 hrs while at the moment maintaining a slow West track@15 km/hr (quasi-stationary), winds topped 139 km/hr (min), gusts up to 194 km/hr (max), 955 hPa and falling. #weatherguyadonis @weatherguyadonz

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