 What is going on ladies and gentlemen? Let me put down the volume on the music. Let me know Let me know how this sounds guys As far as the music and my voice What is going on guys? I am so excited to finally be back for another. Let's talk crypto This is I think officially episode 42. I believe it's been a couple of weeks since I have done one of these and Yeah, I've been going through a lot of things guys, but I am officially back and A lot of things have happened since we last got together. So Let's go ahead and and kind of Talk about what we're gonna be covering in today's live stream We're gonna be covering a lot of things. So get ready. This is going to be a lot of information a lot of Things packed into this and I'm gonna cover as much as possible as simple as possible And and so so that it's you guys can understand it as easy as possible So we're gonna be taking a look of course at the overall market. What is going on? We're gonna take a look at the top gainers top losers over the last week We're gonna look at the economic calendar Then we're gonna look we're gonna look into what's been going on with Bitcoin lately, right? So we have some historical things that is a first-time record-breaking for Bitcoin that have happened recently starting off with of course we set in an all-time high before for the first time ever before the halving, right? We have the recently Two days ago in March. We set the biggest the highest closing ever in Bitcoin's price history We have set a new record as well in March Seven green months in a row that has never happened in Bitcoin's history Then we're going to do an overall analysis on Bitcoin We're going to look at the halving Cycle so we're gonna take a look at the at the entire halving cycle and where we are So if you guys aren't familiar with it I did a post on the halving cycle where I broke it down into five different phases and We're gonna talk about where we currently are right now and what phase is next We're gonna talk about The funding rates Liquidations that we just recently have over the last 24 hours The opportunities right now which will lead us to also some trade setups and of course we're gonna look at It is a new month. So we're gonna look at April We're gonna look at historical data for April and it's also a new quarter. So we're gonna be looking at some historical data for quarter two and What we could potentially be expecting quarter two and then of course, we're gonna end it off with some Q&A So if you guys have any questions That you guys want me to answer you can drop it in the comments in the chat the live chat And I'll be happy to get those for you. So Like I said, we're covering a lot of stuff. We're gonna try to get all of this Covered in the next 60 minutes to keep this nice and short short and sweet, right? So let's go ahead and dive in and the first thing is if you guys are not aware we are Officially about 17 days away from the halving event Bitcoin's biggest event, right guys, so Yeah, we're almost there because of that we're expecting a lot of volatility this month All right, so I wanted to to start it off with that. That's why it is the first thing that you guys saw Looking on to the overall market Let's just refresh it here really quickly and you guys can see that pretty much the majority of things are down Overall over the last seven days and over the last 24 hours you can see bitcoins down about six point twenty five percent you theorem down about six and a half percent and You know, some other things are not down that much. We have doge, which is actually up We have a few like Cardano and Avalanche, which are down over 10 percent and 15 percent Then we have Bitcoin cash. That's actually up 33 percent at six hundred and twenty eight dollars Guys Bitcoin cash was at like a hundred dollars Just about a year ago. So that's already a basically a 5x if you guys got in there during the bottom And we have light coin also up over a hundred dollars finally It was recently down as low as $60. I believe a few months back. So Yeah, a lot of things have been going on here Let's look at the top gainers and losers over the last week And we can see one of the biggest gainers right now is on dough or on I guess that's how you say it, right? That just broke into the top 100 and I think one of the one of the reasons why this is has been picking up a lot of volume here is because The real world assets RWA sector It's part of it and as you guys know black rock recently started announcing that they're going there They're they're going into that that That sector right they want to bring a lot of financial Instruments and financial things Into onto the blockchain. So That that's definitely a big sector that we're going to be taking a look at later on this year that should be very popular along with AI and And you know the usual L1s L2 sectors that that that usually perform very well During bull markets and bull runs So that's something to also, you know, if you guys aren't familiar with it yet You know, maybe this is a good time to start taking a look into these things not saying that you should buy now That's up 86 percent, but you should start definitely taking a look at it on the other end we have Some some here that are down a lot and I mean overall everything's down You'll notice that a lot of things like this, which are meme coins. They're always going to Be very volatile. So dog with hat, you know, it's down 15 percent If you would have looked at it a probably a week ago It was it was up a whole lot. So whenever things are up a lot They usually they usually over correct as well. So, you know with anything like this like on those up 86 percent You can expect this to probably over correct Soon as well. So whatever goes up must go down. That's just the way that it is So let's go ahead and take a look at the economic calendars to see what it is that's going on here What we have coming up which could of course affect the markets The main thing here today, we had the the job openings report that came out at I believe 8 a.m 9 a 9 a.m. Or 8 a.m And I mean it I don't know if it's affecting the market But the market is down today Not only the crypto, but as well as the stock market The next big thing that's going to come up is unemployment rates in on Friday And then the the bigger thing is going to be the inflation reports That comes out next Wednesday. So That's something to keep an eye on Because that always impacts the market depending how inflation rates come out. That's going to you know Probably lead to what we might see as far as when we see rate cuts Remember rate cuts are another thing that we're expecting this year because when we get do get those rate cuts That's going to be very bullish overall for the market Looking at the the rate the target rate probabilities here You can see that we're expecting in May that next meeting for For it to continue being paused So being paused is fine. You know, it's not bullish. It's not bearish But what we're waiting on is when that that rate cut is going to come so right now the probability is To potentially see it in June. There's a 56 percent probability So, I mean that's pretty much a 50-50 shot if this for any reason goes up Then we're gonna see the market, you know, also follow it and also go up So and then if we look further down, we can see that definitely, you know, by mid the mid year They're expecting a rate cut. So that's pretty much what we're looking at here and By September, they're expecting right now at least two rate cuts by then So we'll see what happens with that Next let's go ahead and and let's look at Bitcoin now Let's let's kind of jump into what has been going on with Bitcoin And I know that that's what the majority of people are gonna be tuning in for today And yeah, a lot's been going on guys. Let me take a sip of water really quickly So as you guys see We have so far a massive massive red candle here This is the daily, right So over the last two days and if we just we zoom out even more over the last week We're down currently about 8.35 percent so far this week Now remember guys We're we've had a massive massive run here. Look at this run So let's just kind of to get an idea of what this run has looked like if we start all the way from the bottom Down here all the way to the top. That's a 92 percent move, right? So that bottom price there That was back in January Right when we bottomed out at around 30,000 500. So that was that last major pullback there Since then we've had a major run up 92 percent. So that's wild, right? And that's in about two months time So after that we've recently had a pretty big pullback So this is one of the both big the bigger pullbacks that we've seen Let's see back here in January. We saw a pullback of 21 percent and now most recently we saw a pullback of about almost 18 percent and Now in the last week, we've seen a pullback of about 12. I'm sorry about 10 percent So we've this is guys remember, this is nothing out of the norm for Bitcoin We always see a lot of pullbacks very similar to this during Bull markets, right? So this is nothing out of the ordinary If we look back, you're gonna see many many pullbacks Beyond this so, you know, just I think I have a chart where I Chartered this let's let's try to see if we can find it really quickly No, I think I might have Let's see Not it I don't have it so I I think I I Removed it But just know that looking back in history Well looking back into last year the average pullback last year was about 21 and a half percent the average pullback in 2020 in 2020's bull run was a also about 21 and a half percent, right? so now the way that that to think about this is that And let me switch over here The way that I that I look at these pullbacks as we go forward in bitcoins Life-span right the same way that we're expecting Diminishing returns every as a price goes up higher. I'm also expecting diminishing pullbacks if that makes sense. So Basically if you look at the chart, right if we kind of zoom out and let me once again go to That it's historical time index And you're gonna see a lot of drawings on these and and we'll look back on these in a little bit and I'll discuss these drawings Right, you're gonna see a lot. This this looks like a mess. Hold on. Let me go to a different a different chart All right, we I can work with this one So if we if we look at this chart Let me remove that if we look at this chart here and We start to draw out It's moves during the bull runs, right? So we had this move here 800% so I don't know where this move started. So let's not even count that one Because it's this only shows from 2013 October 2013 forward. So I'm not gonna count this one So let's start over here in 2015 after it bottomed out, right? Once we got that first green candle, look at that move 8700% right then we do it again for 2019 all the way to the top 315% and In that next bull run here 1400% right So we could pretty much get rid of this one because this was not a bull run That was just kind of a bounce there from the bottom. So this was a bull run here This was a bull run here. So look at the big differences here, right? 8700% 1400% that's a big difference. So We're expecting during this bull run kind of something similar, right? If if we're saying that this bull run began, let's say I'm not gonna say it began at the bottom once we bottomed out Let's say, you know right here where this first green candle from the monthly was so far We're up 195% right? How high can we go? Let's say if we hit a hundred thousand dollars That would be about 300% if we were to hit 200,000 dollars This bull run that would be about 700% Let's say let's just say that we hit 200,000 dollars, which is an insane number, right? But look at look at how the returns are diminishing 8,000 1500 700 right those are diminishing returns and We can pretty much expect every bull run going forward For these returns to diminish even more, right? So if we're expecting diminishing returns every single time as bitcoins Grows and matures. We're also expecting diminishing pullbacks And I think we could potentially we might be able to see that as well Let's let's see from here down. This was an 85% pullback From here down This was 84 From let's see where the top was here From here down This was 77 So, you know, it has slowly diminished as well 85% 84% 77% You know, maybe the next one is going to be 70% or something like that, right? And if you take a look at You know during the bull runs if you take a look at the pullbacks during bull runs You're going to see the same thing I'm not going to do all of those because it's going to take too much It's going to take up too much time, but you're going to see the same thing, right? We're getting diminishing pullbacks every single time the same way that we're getting diminishing returns every single time So with that in mind Taking a look now at where we are if we go into the weekly I'm expecting the same thing for these pullbacks to be diminishing So if during the last bull run the average pullback was about 21 and a half percent And last year the average pullback was 21 21 and a half percent I'm thinking that you know during this bull run the pullbacks are probably going to be Less than what we saw previously, right? So, um, I'm expecting, you know, us to be under that 21 and a half percent during this bull run Which that's basically what we've seen so far. We saw, uh, this pullback here Be seven 17, let's say 18 percent And the current pullback that we're seeing in the over the last few days were at around 10 percent, right? Now we did get a pullback in january of 21 and a half percent So I think at the end of the day, you know, when when we look back a year or two years from now We're going to end up averaging below 21 and a half percent is is basically what i'm thinking, right? So pullbacks anywhere between 10 to 20 percent I think Those will probably be great opportunities great buying opportunities And and this leads me to my next point about these pullbacks. These pullbacks are amazing opportunities during a bull run guys So you want to make sure that during these pullbacks whenever we get these massive Uh, you know moves down of 10 percent and beyond Guys, these are great buying opportunities So what I have been doing personally is something that I covered in one of my videos three months ago So three months ago. I did a video on, um How I was playing this bull run, right and if we go to youtube Videos to my channel If we go to videos here This video right here my easy strategy to earn one million dollars in crypto in 2024 So what that video basically covered Was how I was using these pullbacks plus leverage To maximize my returns during this bull run So basically what i'm doing is anytime that that I see big pullbacks like this I'm building leveraged positions To the upside where i'm where i'm making sure that my my liquidation prices are very very far away So the way to make sure that I don't get liquidated and then i'm letting those positions run For you know, the extent of the bull cycle is the idea Right, so I began doing this during this pullback here 21 pullback, right? So in that video I discussed that if we could average an entry of around 40 000 to 42 000 dollars We only need like four like four thousand dollars to build up a position big enough where Our liquidation price would be you know around 35 32 000 dollars Which was a price that I didn't think bitcoin would return to And now now I can look back at this and say I was right about that, right? So not right now my liquidation price on my positions where I started Is around was around 35 000 as a bit as the price moved up and we got more pullbacks like this one here I added to my positions because now i'm not worried about liquidations My liquidation price now since I've added to my positions here now is up to like 42 000 dollars again Bitcoin's price during this bull run is not going to hit 42 000 dollars I have zero worries about liquidations at this point Now if I was starting over right from and opening a brand new position I'd be looking for pullbacks like this where you know, they're beyond 10 percent beyond 17 percent Make sure I have enough funds where I can cover a drop You know where my liquidation price would be below 60 000 I'd be looking for liquidation price probably in the in the area of 53 to 55 000 dollars at at least below 58 is what I would want Um, and as bitcoin's price starts moving up Then I could start uh adding to my positions on You know the next pullbacks where it brings my liquidation price up from let's say If i'm at 58 it'll bring it up to like 60 because at that point I don't see bitcoin's price dropping down that low etc So guys what what I'm what I'm saying is these are great opportunities to buy these dips Like you don't have to be a day trader. You don't have to know how to trade. You don't have to you know Know all these things during a bull market. It's it's pretty simple to make money You just got to make sure that you have a strategy and a plan And uh, and I recommend you guys to watch this video to get an idea on how to build that strategy and that plan So, um, that's basically what I've been doing here During these pullbacks here, and I think that you know, that's the easy That's the easiest money you're probably ever gonna ever gonna make and if you just leave the position open Until you know, let's say a hundred thousand dollars for example You're gonna make so much more money than you've ever made trading probably So, um, I recommend you guys to watch that video now Let's talk about um Let's talk about a few things recently. We just had a new month close And a new month open. We also had uh, the previous quarter close and a new one opening So let's talk about a few historical things that uh, just recently happens here with the price first off um Let's look at the monthly here Bitcoin's price closed at 71,400 dollars That is the biggest Uh monthly close in bitcoin's history, right? We've never closed that high It's crazy it closed above the previous above the the previous all-time high and we're not even at the halving yet That's that's the crazy part about this guys. So We're we've closed officially above that right The other historical thing that we've done Other than break new all-time highs be before the halving event Is we have one two three four five six seven green months in a row Guys that has never been done. Let's look back. I did set up a chart for this one on cracking here If we look back here At bitcoin's history, you can see I I I went back I checked all of them, right? You can see during this bull run. We had six green candles before red candle in uh, 2019 after we bottomed out. We had five green candles before green candle in um 2020 bull run we had again six green candles Before we got a red candle And right now we're at one two three four five six seven green candles Now Are we gonna get a red candle this month? There's a possibility because if if we look You can see that there was eventually always a pullback right after these big run run ups You see we had a eight and a half percent pullback After the six green candles there Here we had a six percent pullback on that six month Here after six months in a row, we had a about two percent pullback before a a bigger pullback here This was a 35 percent pullback so now You have to you can't just take it you have to take this information with a grain of salt because You have to think about where we were in the bitcoin cycle During those pullbacks, right? so looking here In 2016 all the way to 2017 we were in the in the midst of the Bull run, right? So we had in 2016 we had the halving event And then we had this parabolic move up, right? And then we had a small pullback here and continuation up If we look at When we had the five months in a row here, this was actually after we bottomed out right On bitcoin's price. So it it was shifting from a bear market into a bull market But we still weren't in a bull market And then we had the the pandemic here in march And then we had the bitcoin halving and the bull market, right? So that's what happened during this time at so at the At the point of this one here This was the peak Of basically when we were peaking In the bull run So that's why we had this massive 35 correction Right Before you know going into that bear market So here I mean We haven't even had the halving yet, right? So that's why it's so crazy because this is this Kind of situation has never really been seen And that's why there's a potential Even though there is a potential that we see a red month in april There's also the potential that we see another green month Um And that even if we get a red month, it's not a big red month It's it's something more like what we saw back here, right in the middle of in the beginning of the bull run 2017 So You know, we have to kind of we're trying to see it from all perspectives Right, we're trying to vision. We're trying to see it from all perspectives and try to figure out What the highest probability is here, right? That's the idea here. That's what we're trying to figure out now, um With with all that in mind I want to talk about Another another data point that we have to take into account is how has bitcoin's price done historically in april and historically in quarter two Right, so that's two things that that we need to look at and to do that. We're going to look at Bitcoin's quarterly returns And bitcoin's monthly returns right and I I covered this already for my discord group here yesterday. So I want to let me pull it up really quick so And and I see you guys in the chat. Thank you guys if you guys are tuning in here Thank you guys for everybody in here right now What's let me say a shout out to 300 shout out to Man, I can't I can't pronounce your name. I'ma say Ali Khan I can't pronounce the rest of that man, but a shout out to you Ducky Dave what's going on and artem artem says, uh And and if you guys aren't here Let me know in the chat right now um I'ma answer this question right now by artem. He says, do you think Bitcoin's price can go down to 40 000 in the next months around the halving I'ma tell you no and i'ma tell you why really quickly so Like like we just spoke about right We spoke about the average pullback Was about 21 and a half percent and i'm expecting That number to drop during this bull ring um, if we take a look Let's get rid of this from the top to You know, we dropped to about 60 000 here during that previous pullback two weeks ago And that was an 18 drop if you're thinking that we're gonna hit 40 000 dollars You're talking about Just to get below 50 000 right? You're talking about a 33 drop You know let's say 45 000 that's about a 39 drop And if you think we're gonna go to 40 000 that's about a 45 drop right Has bitcoin had these type of drops before? In its history during a bull market Of course bitcoin has had all sorts of crazy crazy moves right? But another thing you have to you have to remember is that during those Years where bitcoin would had have 30 to 40 drops It was also moving up way more. It was having like 500 percent move It would have like a 500 move up a 50 drop right? We're not getting those moves anymore like that. We're not gonna see a 500 move up in one shot You know where then it will get a 50 pullback that that does not exist So because we're we're we're gonna be getting diminishing returns. I'm also expecting diminishing pullbacks so Can it drop? 33 percent to you know below 50 000 I mean it is a possibility. Remember anything's possible with bitcoin But the odds of that happening. I would say are below 10 percent Probably even below 5 percent at this point in time because I just unless there's Some sort of black swan event I don't see that happening right? We need like we it wouldn't it would take It would not happen just because right? It's the the market's not going to drop 30 percent for no reason It would need to be You know Another ftx event For that to happen for us to drop back down below 50 000 dollars. We would need an ftx type of Catastrophe right a massive massive exchange. That's a leader in the crypto world We need to fall. We need to crash. We need to go bankrupt Um in order for a massive massive drop like this to happen I just I just can't see that happening right now right now We've been getting grayscale who has been selling almost a billion dollars per day And even with that happening bitcoin hasn't been getting any massive pullbacks so um Yeah, that that's you know, I I would say If if I had to give odds to this What the probability of a 30 percent or more drop is what the probability of bitcoin ever Going back to 40 000 dollars is and not ever but at least during this bull run Um, I would say that chance that probability is under 5 percent. I just don't see that happening right now What I believe the bottom is I think the bottom is already in during this pullback, which is here 60 000 dollars Um, and that's uh a bottom that I called, you know before it even happens Um, and and I believe that if we saw any levels below that it will probably be this right here Which was around 59 000 dollars. Maybe 58 000 dollars and at 58 000 dollars that would put us at a 21 and a half percent pullback Which is in line with this massive pullback that we saw here in january And um and in line with the average pullbacks we saw last year And the average pullbacks we saw during the previous bull run So I and I would say for 58 000 dollars the probability of that You know, maybe 40 30 percent um for that to happen Because I I do think That uh, there's a good chance that the bottom could be in Now With that said Right there, you know, there there always is that probability where it could go lower, you know in in crypto You never know. I can't tell the future guys All I what all I'm doing When when it comes to these type of things I am Putting different scenarios together. I and I'm thinking in terms. I'm not thinking in terms of absolutes I'm thinking in terms of probability What are the chances of something like this happening because There's a possibility for it to happen But what's the probability of that scenario happening is is how I'm thinking about these things, right? um And when I'm thinking about it, you know, that that's from from my personal experience From what I'm looking at and what I'm seeing in the charts from what I believe Which is diminishing returns the same way that we're getting diminishing Diminishing pullbacks the same way we're getting diminishing returns um, that's kind of where my head is at that's kind of where my comp the confluence points to right all right, so um Let's take a look at let me see. Oh, yeah, we're looking at april. Sorry. I got I got derailed a little bit So let's pull up the chart here We're at the 39 minute mark We've got about 20 more minutes. So Bitcoin quarterly returns Let's start with bitcoin monthly returns, right? So in april In april historically bitcoin has been green seven out of 11 years during april similar to um And and we'll talk about quarter two now, but similar to quarter two results two of the red Two of the red days two of the red aprils in its history have been during bear markets Right, so we have to remember right now. We're in a bull market so in april bitcoin has had four Red months in total one two three four two of those have been during bear markets So of course bitcoin's more likely to be have a red month during a bear market And yes, we're currently red um But if we if we look at the years that Have been during the halving cycle, you know the halving year, which also happens to be election year bitcoin during those years Has been green so 2016 green 2020 green right So far in 24 red So we have to take into account, you know the other thing which is that we've had seven months in a row of green You know, are we going to make it eight months in a row? Like we're already we've already broken a record Is it going to keep going? I don't know. I think that it's going to be tough to have a green month here because we've had seven in a row Because the halving is this month There's going to be a lot of volatility I I think Based on that we're probably going to have Kind of a break-even month or a smaller red month is what I'm kind of thinking overall But on average, you know, historically You can see that bitcoin has a return of about 13 and a half percent in april Now if we look at the the bitcoin quarterly returns It's gonna look very similar to april historically bitcoin has been green seven out of 11 quarter twos Two of the red quarter twos in bitcoin's history was during bear markets Take out the two bear markets and bitcoin has had a green quarter two 78 percent of the time just like april adding halving year any election year and bitcoin has been Has had a green quarter two 100 percent of the time the average quarter two return has had a 27 Has been 27 and uh 27.2 percent so again You have to take everything with the grain of salt now unlike april the april historical numbers Plus what's currently going on and what I think which I think april probably will be a small red month Um, I think for quarter two. We will Most likely be green now if we look back in 2020 We were green every single month if we look back in 2016 the year of the halving um We had two quarters that were green And the previous year every single quarter was green It was I think the only year ever that we had every quarter green. You can see in 2020 Quarter one was red. Of course, we had the pandemic. So we we can't really You know, you have to take that with a grain of salt every other month every other quarter after that was green And in 2021 the year after the halving we had three out of four quarters were also uh green So I do believe that we uh that we most likely get a green quarter two Um But Again, we have to think in terms of the overall picture, you know, because I feel like The phases of and the way bitcoin's price is moving is a bit ahead of where it's ever been Historically during the same time, right? And we can see that with bitcoin hitting an all-time high before the bitcoin halving, which has never happened so With all that taken into account Let's take a look now at um Again, we're trying to fill in pieces of the puzzle Let's see last time that we were in a similar situation. What happened Right. So in order to find that we have to go to the last time we broke the all-time high Which was back in 2020 So this was towards the end of 2020 after the bitcoin halving You can see I already have this drawn up When we initially If you guys remember The 2017 2018 bull run all-time high was $20,000 so when we initially hit $20,000 again and Set up, you know a new all-time high It took Let's see About 21 days That's what it looks like here 21 days. So about three weeks Before we saw continuation to the upside and new highs there And we had two pullbacks. We had a 16 percent pullback. We had a 12 percent pullback So we had the original pullback and then we got one more pullback before price went up so If we think that we're gonna see that we're seeing something similar here Kind of compared to to that Let's see we have I need the uh the time. Let me see So let's get date range So we hitting new all-time high over here Let's let's say right here right So this week we get to that We get to that 21 day three week range Right, which is similar to what happened last time. It took three weeks before Bitcoin finally continued up It's this week is gonna be three weeks, right We got a pullback of about 17.8 percent Which looks that's very familiar to what happened over there. It was 16.8 And now we're getting a second pullback here So the second pullback has been about 10.2 percent Again very similar to the other one. We got a second pullback Which was about 12 percent Before it then continued to the upside So does this mean that This week You know after this pullback is when we get a continuation up That's it's it's a possibility right not saying that that's what's gonna happen, but it is a possibility That's what happened last boron when we were around the same Area of price meaning not that we're at $20,000 But that we're at a previous all-time high and consolidating within that previous all-time high So Now You know, I don't I don't like to just look at that Let's also look at The next thing which is Where we are where we are in the The the halving cycle, right? So now let's pull up the all-time index Where I made all these wonderful drawings For you guys So this is The drawing I made for you guys These are the five phases of the bitcoin halving cycle So phase one is pre halving accumulation Right. So what happens here? Basically price has bottomed out from the bulk from the bear market And you know, we have a small move up and then we just kind of have a big accumulation period there This is where people are accumulating For the next phase that next phase is the pre halving rally Right. You can see here. We had a massive massive move to the upside That was the pre halving rally phase So what happens after that Is the pre halving pullback as you guys can see that's exactly where we are right now We're in the pre halving pullback Let me move this up here. There we go. Let me also move this one up Whoops, there we go now What happens after the pre halving rally? That's when we go into post halving accumulation So that's gonna be, you know At the end of this month beginning the new month when we already see once we get the halving Usually bitcoin goes into an accumulation phase Similar to the pre halving accumulation, right the same way we accumulated here It typically accumulates here, you know, on average, it's around it takes around 91 days You can see the pre halving pullback usually on average is around 35 days So that's the next one. We're currently in the pre halving and then after that is of course the post halving rally Which is usually the where we get the parabolic move for bitcoin. So that's Broken down as simple as possible, right and if you want to test this Just go back to the previous ones And just do the same thing Pre halving accumulation, right accumulated for a long time pre halving rally Right 63 days before usually Then we get we had the pre halving correction that this ended up happening two weeks before the the Two weeks before The halving then we had a post halving accumulation. This happened for 70 days Then we had the post halving rally and as you guys can see the rest is history That lasted about a year 385 days You know, if you want more proof go back to the halving before that in 2016 Right, we had the same exact setup pre halving accumulation phase pre halving rally happened About 42 days before Um pre halving correction happened about two weeks before again Then we had a post halving accumulation that lasted 147 days Then we had the post halving rally lasted about a year so Now you guys see You know that this is how we've created the the five phases of the halving cycle and the bull run So, you know taking all of this into account I'm expecting the rest of this month, you know to potentially just kind of continue consolidating here That's why i'm saying that I think that we probably do end april in the red Even though it might be a small pullback I just think that there is a high probability that we end below where we opened which was $71,000 the highest price that bitcoins ever opened at Um, and then we go into you know for the next few months into this accumulation post halving accumulation area Where we accumulate, you know anywhere between the recent all-time high we just set which was at What was it the high was around 73 74 thousand dollars? and The low which is around going to be around 60 thousand dollars, you know some accumulation around there And then eventually we get that post halving rally to the upside So that's pretty much how I am seeing this play out here over the next few months Just based on How bitcoin has you know done in the previous two healthings So with that said Where we are right now, you know, we've have half a billion dollars have been liquidated from the market Funding rates have been reset if you guys look at these funding rates whenever they get really bright yellow or orange We usually get a pullback in price. You can see it happened here march 5th If we go back to march 5th Let's go back to the daily here So march 5th Boys here you can see march 4th. We had this massive run up march 5th. We got this massive Move to the downside If we look at it when it got really bright again March 9th You can see march 9th. We're around here and very soon after we got this pullback all the way down here Um, and then it heated up recently again here March 31st So march 31st was this last green candle before we got these two big red candles. So you know These these things alone are not going to tell you one But they give you an idea when we might get a pullback So these are always interesting to watch as well Um, let's look at some trade setups and if you guys have any questions about anything That we've covered here so far just anything in general Put it now in the live chat and uh, I'll go over it And I'll answer I'll get I'll get those questions answered for you if I have an answer for you, of course If I don't have an answer then I can't give you an answer, right? All right, we have five minutes left guys So right now the only thing I'm doing any pullbacks I am buying right so um, my most recent Entry is here at $65,000, which is where we currently are Um, and I'm a ladder in my entries. So I'm risking about 1% there Then um, I'm going to enter again a second entry around here this little zone right here Which is around $63,000 If we go down to $60,000, I'm going to have another entry there So I'll probably set it up around $61,000 just to make sure that I that it gets triggered I don't want to set it at $60,000 and then not get triggered And my final entry is probably going to be sitting around $58,000 That would be in the scenario where we sweep this slow here And that that I would guarantee gets bought up very very fast And uh price just, you know, rockets back up. So that's pretty much How I'm setting up my entries here and The way I'm taking profit is just on the way back up, right? If I'm entering my first entry here at $65,000 You know, I'll take profit at $67,000 Or $68,000 $70,000 is another area look you can see here. It's a big area of interest 72 you can see is where it was topping out and of course 74 Previous all-time high and I'm gonna leave about, you know, 10 to 25 percent of my position With the trail stop to hopefully, you know, watch it continue going up So that's that's pretty much it guys that that's That's how simple I am keeping my trades for now Keeping them as simple as possible. You don't have to be a day trader. You don't have to be A, you know, have 10 plus years of trading experience You could keep it as simple as that ladder your entries as price falls Uh beyond a 10 pullback Just enter enter, you know ladder entries in and then as bitcoin Recovers which it will it's only a matter of time. It's not if but when then you start taking profits Um That's pretty much it guys We're at the hour mark if you guys have any questions. I know I covered one question already If you guys don't have any other questions, make sure that you subscribe to the channel guys Make sure that you drop a like on the video Um, last thing I want to I want to cover with these last Two minutes three minutes that I have here is how our trading group has been doing We have been killing it guys. I am not gonna lie to you Let's take a look here. I'm gonna pull up the numbers here on the trade group Give me a second. Let me make sure you guys are seeing it. Nope Boom here we go All right, so let's start off with with my favorite guys it which is the options signals And you'll you'll see very quickly why it's my favorite Because I'm up 70 on the year in three months I have 61 winning trades And one losing trade with a 98.39% win rate You can see here in uh in january. I made about a 23 return In february about a 24 return and march it was a little slower I'm not gonna lie to you guys. We we got our first loser But we still made money up 11.3 And in april, you know and in march we we lost that trade guys and it was so annoying Because if I would have held one more day That trade ended up turning green It would have been a winner some of the people in our group did catch it and Continue their 100% win rate, but I unfortunately ended up closing it because That's when that's I literally sold the bottom which I shouldn't have done But uh, I woke up one morning in sweats Right. I looked at my position. I was down 12 000 and I was like, let me just cut this loser already No point in keeping it open Let's live to find another another day And then of course the next day that went that shot all the way back up It would have been a winner, but I cut it. Um, and I was able to make some some some of that money back So, you know, I'm fine with it Um And now, you know, we're just gonna learn from that and keep going forward But as you guys saw we still ended up making money Uh In march Now let's take a look at Our trading. So this is this is more like our day trading And uh year to date we're up about 60% now these numbers are a little bit different um Because of the way that uh that we take profits You know, but overall we are win rate is at around 70% You know, you might not be your profit is probably not going to be 60% um It'll probably be closer to around half of that. So I would say this is this would be the max profit So unlike the options, this is the max profit here in the options. That's the actual profit. I am right now Here, this is the max profit that you could be at if you created everything perfectly um The next thing that I want to show you guys I I can't see it here But I can see it On cornix. Hopefully it's logged in. Let's see real quick Let me uh, see if this is logged in really quickly It looks like it is. Yeah, it is Let me put it back here on cornix So let's go to closed trades So so far I've been testing this out with a thousand dollars And you can see in about a month and a half. I'm up 400 dollars or about 40 percent All right, we started this mid february So we're up about 40 and what this is is we've set up an algorithm in our discord Where and then we set up a auto trading bot that executes the trade for you guys So it's very simple. This is set and forget guys. This sort of been 40 percent in about a month and a half Without you guys even really paying attention to it without you guys doing anything other than setting it up. So um, it this has been very very very lucrative here, um The next move here, and I'm gonna be doing a video on this, but the next move here is going to be Um putting $10,000 in it and then kind of doing the same thing let it run for about a month two months a few months and You know see how it performs with more money, which I expect it's going to be the same thing Not the same return, but whatever happens with a thousand dollars. It's going to happen with $10,000 So for example, if I had $10,000 right now, um You know, it would have been four thousand dollars Right, but it's a 10x if I had If I had this doing it with a hundred thousand dollars, this would be forty thousand dollars, right? Etc. Etc. So um, and yeah, it's pretty much it that those are those are the three, uh Signals that we basically provide so if you guys are interested in doing any of those Guys, we give you guys a seven day free trial, right? And the reason why is because it takes probably a few days to understand how things work Understand how to set things up and so that you can see for yourself That You're gonna make money. You're going to make profit like that's how I am so confident in this I because it's not only making me money, but it's making everyone in our group money That that's why I I'll give you guys seven days for free and I'll and I'm nothing I'll give you guys when you do pay I'll give you guys 50 off in your first month because guys You're gonna make money. I know it. So I know you're gonna stick around It's it's only a matter of time. So if you guys want 50 off You guys want to try it out. First of all, you can try it seven days for free No charge if you don't like it. It's fine Just cancel before the membership before it charges, right before the seven days If you guys want to stay on Then i'll give you your first month for with a discount 50 off To help you guys get started and making money and to make sure that this covers the fee for you guys so You get you guys can use the discount code 50 off Sign up get 50 discount Try it for seven days free if you don't like it, you know cancel no hard feelings Um, it's not gonna be for everyone if you do want to continue 50 off your first month to make sure that you get started and that you make money. So, um That's pretty much it guys. Thank you guys so much for tuning in. I will see you guys on the next one As always peace and love guys