 Alright folks, so I know that we're all feeling demoralized and I think rightfully so after last week's Iowa debacle We're still putting up with non-stop media bias and attacks against Bernie Sanders But I just want everyone to take a moment to stop and just breathe Relax because we are at the very beginning of a very long and grueling process And there are a lot more primaries to come Iowa was just one of them So I'll be talking more about the Iowa disaster in a separate video But for now, I just want to put everything into perspective for everyone who's a Bernie Sanders supporter Because all of the hard work all of the time that you put in is Starting to pay off now a lot of us were really worried about New Hampshire and it's gonna be close Right, we don't know what's going to happen at this time. I'm recording this on Monday We have no idea if it will be Bernie Sanders or Pete Buttigieg currently It seems as if Pete Buttigieg is in second place still but Amy Klobuchar is eating into his lead After what I guess a lot of voters perceived to be a good debate performance So, you know, we're gonna have to stand Klobuchar for a bit But I just want you all to realize that when you look at the betting odds Bernie's winning when you look at 538 projections Bernie Sanders is best positioned to win the Democratic Party primary and now he is emerging as the front runner Because according to a new Quinnipiac poll he has overtaken Joe Biden's lead So Bernie Sanders is now at 25% Nationally, that's a four-point increase since January and Joe Biden is now in second place That is eight points behind Bernie and a nine-point decrease since January that is huge And now we have Mike Bloomberg in third place nationally at 15%. That's a seven-point jump We'll talk about him later and Elizabeth Warren is now sitting in fourth place at 14%. That's a one-point drop We have Pete Buttigieg with 10%. That's a four-point increase since January Amy Klobuchar at 4% nationally That's a three-point decrease since January and Andrew Yang sitting at 2% not making any movement since January now as Ryan Strogue points out when you look at the overall trend here with regard to Biden back in April of 2019 he was sitting, you know really comfortably at 38% But you see this gradual decline over the course of the year and by December he dropped to 30% and now he's at 17% nationally and Looking at real-clear politics pulling averages You see a really sharp decline for Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders is now just a fraction of a percent away From becoming the official national frontrunner. So this is huge Bernie Sanders is about to take the lead in fact trends indicate that very soon Average pulling data will show that he is the frontrunner Which means we're going to see an increase in attacks Which means that we could see you know a steeper hill to climb because you're going to see moderates coalesce around One candidate because if they're serious about beating Bernie Sanders That's what they're going to have to do because they're kind of splitting the vote between Joe Biden Amy Klobuchar Pete Buttigieg and now possibly Mike Bloomberg and as Washington Post's notorious Bernie hater Jennifer Rubin asks so who's the moderate to stop Bernie and you know it's clear that she'll take anyone and She's freaking out not just because Bernie Sanders is overtaking Joe Biden nationally because I mean here's the thing about the national lead What really matters the most are these individual primary states and Bernie Sanders is projected to do very very well on Super Tuesday We're talking about winning most of those states if not all of them But you know I don't want to underestimate our opponents But part of the main reason why Joe Biden is falling is because voters perceive the electability has decreased They no longer view Joe Biden as someone who can beat Donald Trump and that was a huge reason Why I think his campaign was propped up for so long So this Quinnipiac poll shows according to a Sahil Kapoor here as he explains Joe Biden's Electability number has fallen by 17 points in the last two weeks. Let me repeat that for you his perceived electability has dropped by 17 points in two weeks according to this Quinnipiac poll that is absolutely a Colossal colossal decline now 27% of Democrats say that Joe Biden has the best chance at defeating Donald Trump He's still at number one when it comes to this metric of electability, but he's down from 44% Now Sanders is in second place still technically at 24% But he has increased by five points and we have Bloomberg in third place at 17% Although note the increase that's an eight-point increase everyone else is in single digits So overall voters believe that when it comes to electability It's gonna be between Joe Biden Bernie Sanders and Mike Bloomberg in terms of who can best be Donald Trump And it seems like Joe Biden's campaign They're not really even projecting to do well in New Hampshire at all It kind of seems like they're banking everything on South Carolina where Joe Biden technically still has a lead Tom Steyer somehow it has surged to second place in South Carolina But we'll see how that turns out if he doesn't perform well in South Carolina That could very well be the end of his campaign and by March 3rd We're gonna see this primary take shape now I want to take a moment to focus on Mayor Bloomberg because when you go back to that real clear politics pulling Average you see Bernie Sanders rising you see a little bit of a surge for Pete Buttigieg But you also see Bloomberg Sharply increasing and he's still far behind but at this rate He can catch up to Bernie Sanders within a month and when you look at this graphic from CNN You can see why he's doing so well he is absolutely blowing the rest of the field out when it comes to campaign spending and That Quinnipiac poll showed that when it comes to perceived electability Bernie Sanders is in second place But he had a five-point increase whereas Mike Bloomberg had an eight-point increase So the trend shows that Bernie is going to overtake Joe Biden as the front-runner nationally speaking although Mayor Bloomberg Could very well Be the one to look out for now the thing about Bloomberg is that he is a billionaire Bernie would love to run against him and Progressives we haven't even started to go in on Bloomberg, right? And once we do that I am confident that we can drive down his support But it shows us that his his strategy to just basically overwhelm the airwaves. It is it's successful, right? That's why people think that he has a chance against Donald Trump and it's why I don't think progressives at this point in time Should count him out. Yes, he's weak on the policy. Yes He is the individual who implemented stop-and-frisk. It's a racist policy that disproportionately Profiles black and brown people But nonetheless that money is what's going to make him Possibly unstoppable and I'm not saying that I think he has a good shot at winning the nomination But what I am telling you is that the DNC favors him and on top of that Mike Bloomberg is an individual that is going to be in this race into the convention if he feels like it because when you have That much money you don't have to worry about your campaign sputtering out like Joe Biden a reason why you know There's a worry there is because you only have so much money There's a finite amount of resources until you have to call it quits same with Amy Klobuchar same with Elizabeth Warren, right? So Mike Bloomberg doesn't have to worry about that. He could stay in this race Indefinitely and part of the concern there is that just his presence alone may be enough to help him Pick up quite a bit of pledge delegates because if moderates in this race really wanted to feed Bernie Sanders Then all of Joe Biden and you know, Amy Klobuchar on Pete Buttigieg's support may coalesce Around Mike Bloomberg, but the good news is that Mike Bloomberg was really betting everything on Super Tuesday He kind of skipped the first few primary states, right? But currently as it stands now, he doesn't really seem to be doing well I mean nationally speaking he's rising But what you have to do is win individual states if you want to get pledged delegates, which is how you secure the nomination so what I will say is that if it's going to come down to a moderate and Bernie Sanders, it's probably gonna be Mike Bloomberg at this point in time I mean people would have judged sure how to bump after Iowa But he has no real path to the nomination at this point in time as I record this video He has no support with young people He can't get the support from black people and Latino voters and he's not doing anything to really change that like he His campaign tried to arrest someone for handing out Medicare for all fliers. He's now talking about deficit reduction. He's I mean, this is not going to help you win the nomination and I get what he wants to do like he wants moderate voters to coalesce around him But this isn't going to help you even with moderate voters, right? So at this point in time, I mean Mike Bloomberg, he has no reason to exit the raise He's not gonna run out of funds. He's self-financing his campaign and Bernie Sanders also has that momentum from the grassroots to carry him So regardless if you know Mike Bloomberg is mathematically eliminated He can pick up some delegates if all the moderates wise up and they coalesce behind him So let's hope that that doesn't happen, but progressives may have to Gear up to take on Mike Bloomberg because when you have that much money I mean and you have the institutions the Democratic Party apparatus the DNC kind of like going to bat for you Placing your surrogates on the rules committee. We do have to be worried there But let's just take this, you know one step at a time and let's reflect on everything that we've done Bernie's basically going to become the front runner and it's because you have been doing this And we've got a great shot to win the nomination But we can't underestimate our opponents and we've got to fight like hell to make sure that that is in fact the case And we've got New Hampshire tomorrow. So let's do everything in our power to make sure that he's victorious Let's make calls for Bernie Sanders. Let's fight like hell and Let's just Let's just try to breathe a little bit easier knowing that this is only the beginning and we can't get demoralized this early We can't get too discouraged based off of that Iowa debacle because we can't afford to at this point It's gonna be a long process. So let's buckle up