 This is covering the spread part of the Fandall podcast network a lot of Uncertainty right now at the top of the AFC entering week number two Not just because of the Aaron Rodgers injury last night But also with the big three in the chiefs the Bengals and the bills all struggling and going on to lose and losses Are very important in the AFC's we're going to break down the impact of the Aaron Rodgers injury The losses were the big three and outline where you can potentially find some value in the futures market With Ryan Williams as we get set for week two and also give my first look into the week two spreads and totals over at Fandall Sports Book This is covering the spread right here on the Fandall podcast network. My name is Jim Sonnis I am a managing editor of digital media for Fandall research joined here as mentioned by Ryan Williams You can check him out on Twitter at Ryan Alexander underscore W and Ryan Exciting finish the last night's game with the jets winning on a punt return touchdown in overtime But still kind of a somber tone heading into week two Given we're not gonna get to watch one of the best quarterbacks of all time The rest of the year Aaron Rodgers likely done due to a potentially torn Achilles So kind of a weird note heading into week two. How are you doing today? Yeah, I mean what a what a way to end the week Jim That's just not something that anybody expected let alone the the jets themselves And then you know to put on the spectacle that they did in the second half Against a divisional opponent there one who we think is a Super Bowl contender Was Zach Wilson at the helm was was pretty remarkable. So Yeah, I think you know a From a from a betting and NFL standpoint, I feel you know pretty somber about my jets futures My Rogers futures you look at just how Stacked up that defense is that they've been working built for a long time And you just think about what if and I'm sure you know, nobody thinks about that more than the Jets organization there But we will see we will see what happens We will see if they make some calls to bring in another veteran to keep the things going because Zach Wilson now granted. He probably wasn't prepared for that moment But you know, this China just goes to the reason why they brought Rogers in in the first place So they have a lot they have a lot to unpack going into week two. Yeah, Zach Wilson is one thing You know, it's it's a situation where you don't really want to pile on To a guy who's had a really rough go of it for sure but also like it's Zach Wilson with Nathaniel Hackett and Trust level with that offensive infrastructure might not be super high. No Corey Davis due to his retirement Offensive line. I thought looked really good run locking but didn't you know, hold up the best Against the past and you don't really want to put Zach Wilson situations like that So it's a tough situation for the Jets We're gonna break down the impact of the Rogers injure in the futures market talk about Struggles of the bills cheese and Bengals in a bit and get you ready for week two by taking my first look at the Lines here in just one second the first day reminder to make sure you're subscribed to covering the spread wherever you get your Podcasts you can also find covering the spread on the Fandall YouTube page and on Fandall TV plus if you want to watch Fandall TV plus to watch up and Adams live with K Adams or watch covering the spread the Sola shot with Tom Vecchio right now or the heat check fantasy podcast for the NFL on Mondays and Thursdays Go to Fandall comm slash watch And you can also check it out on your Amazon fire Apple TV or Roku devices as well Now Ryan, let's dig in here to the ripple effects of the Aaron Rodgers injury first because Obviously that impacts not just the Jets futures, but also it could be a situation Maybe it opens up a value in the AFC East for maybe the bills even after their loss less matter the dolphins or Situations like that. So there are a lot of ways we could see Ripple effects from this Aaron Rodgers injury when you look at the futures market right now What do you think is the biggest opening as a result of the situation? Well, you're you're probably looking at the division first and foremost. I mean we saw the Jets, you know Kind of be just under two to one to two wind out In that AFC East and now it's a two-headed monster with the Miami Dolphins now leading the favorite At plus 140 on the Fandals sportsbook and then you have the Buffalo bills not far after them With the Jets coming in at just under six to win I mean, that's that's really the name of the game Like I don't really think outside of that gym It changes up too much on the AFC top because we'll we'll get into it later But like the Jets were not expected to be you know in the top three We have other juggernauts that are there in the AFC. So I think from an outlook perspective, you know As unfortunate as that is, you know might be just some betters It really doesn't change the scope at the top all too much It kind of just makes you feel like man if you had that Jets ticket, you know with them You know having the fourth or fifth best odds depending on where you got it like what what really could have been there To pay off at the end of the season Yeah, I think the Dolphins one is kind of the most important thing for me That I haven't acted on yet and probably won't just because plus 140 is not like an outrageous number It's not as if there's zero chance the Jets or the Patriots sneak in there But you know The the dolphins did get a pretty decent boost in my model after week number one given the way they played there I still have faith in this defense despite the fact that they did let up a decent number of points and some big Long runs to the Chargers and Justin Herbert. So I think the Dolphins are least interesting But I still like the bills. I Spoiler alert might be betting against them once again this week for the second week in row and might be on the Dolphins money line Myself at some point against the Patriots But I don't think there's enough value there a plus 140 to dive in on the Dolphins right now But that would be the first those first place I looked honestly when I was pulling up the future market today was see okay Where did the Dolphins settle in and it wasn't? Enticing enough to get me to actually pull the trigger there now You talked about how the bigger impact here is what we saw elsewhere in week one because bills lost that game I know we're talking about Aaron Rodgers and how it was kind of like a loss of the Jets But the bills actually got a loss in the loss column in that game we also saw the same thing or where the chiefs and the Bengals and Those are the top three teams my power rankings entering this year. So I had high expectations So did the market so I want to ask you Ryan when you look at those three teams specifically Do you have any longer-term concerns with them or was it just a one-week flip we can write off? I? do have some concerns with with the bills and only because of Just the way that they played offense against this without defense Again, you know, I think we probably have like three to four Defenses that are in the realm of like what the Jets were actually putting out there You know when you're talking about the Jets and the Cowboys and the 49ers and there's probably some other defense I'm not thinking about so I don't feel like it's going to Necessarily haunt them all year, but Jim when we talk about this Buffalo team and the expectations, you know And everybody was pretty low on them So now you have an uphill battle to kind of make yourself seem like you are at the upper echelon tier and I think you know, there is going to have to be some digging within to Josh Allen as prolific and as amazing and Electrifying as he is the turnovers for him, you know since 2018 having nearly 85 turnovers You know in the course of five years is is really, you know, that says a lot It is a big indictment. And so We're looking at this division, you know, I think they they have to show me that they can You know makes make some noise in this division, especially, you know with that loss It was on the road. So, you know, you're gonna have to face the Jets again at home We'll see if they can handle business this week when they take on the Raiders at home Like that has to be a shellacking for me to feel good about this team because you are looking at if you look at the Fandals sportsbook right now like you are getting them 10 to 1 to win the Super Bowl Which is probably like one of the best Some of the best odds that we've gotten early on in the season and Buffalo over the past two to three years So I think you you know, if you say You still believe in this team take a shot on them because you do believe in the talent You do believe that the defense is going to be able to you know dig deep You do believe that you know guys outside of Stefan Diggs That Dalton Kincaid is getting going that looks like a great rookie pick for them on offense gave Davis Hopefully he gets going James Cook was looking good We talked about yesterday. So I think for for me right now It is probably decent value But I do worry about them as opposed to the Chiefs and the Bengals As as really being a little bit far behind Yeah, I think with the Chiefs It's pretty easy to write that one off because they didn't have Travis Kelsey who Sounds like maybe back this week and then also Chris Jones who did sign a one-year deal To rejoin the team for this week. So they were actually missing players Whereas the Bengals and the Bills really were not the Bengals won I I guess like it's hard for me to get super concerned there because when T Higgins goes 0 for 8 on targets like that seems a little bit fluky playing the rain there Stuff like that against a very good defense the Bills It's kind of like you said where they leaned into the narrative the narrative And not in a good way We knew the narrative around the Bills was if they were to struggle it'd be because of Josh Allen turnovers because of the offensive line being a bit leaking a couple of key spots And that's kind of what we saw play out in that game and then also the rush defense Could be an issue as well given the number of explosive plays we saw from breeze Hall So I agree with you with the Bills are the most concerning there of of those big three I'm not going to overreact on any of them personally as far as like bumping them down But I do think it introduces more uncertainty where teams like I guess probably the Dolphins But maybe you look towards the Jaguars the Ravens the Browns some team like that as being Able to sneak in and enter that top tier but for now to me It really is still those three as being The top three teams in the ASC Let's talk about some power rankings Ryan and talk about teams that impressed you the most in week number one And when you're looking at the way you view the hierarchy of the league Which teams got the biggest boost for you based on what they did in week number one The AFC is absolutely outrageous Jim like it it really I feel like we talk about this year after year after year But it it's kind of getting absurd Because the two of the biggest teams that surprised me are like not the three teams that we mentioned You know, I think Jacksonville Can make some noise with that offense and what they've built around Trevor Lawrence there You're looking at them 19 to 1 so in the Super Bowl I know a lot of people were talking about talking up Trevor Lawrence to potentially be the MVP of the league and you're look at his odds now Coming in at where did I just see yeah 9 to 1? He's the third highest now in the market, which is absolutely incredible We can stay there in the MVP market and look at 2a 2a is all of a sudden now the front runner at 6 to 1 And that's just how you know That's just how prolific You know, I think we think about things the way that the season started last year before to a got hurt Like this offense was firing on all cylinders. They have a top three offensive unit That's that's not even I don't think debatable at this point And what we've seen over the past two years when this unit is fully healthy And so you're looking at the Miami Dolphins now 17 to 1 To be able to hoist the Lombardi at the end of the year like these two teams are Really, you know, I think I'm really going to be paying attention To these two teams, especially like we talk about defensive units I wouldn't put them at top four yet But like they were playing without Jalen Ramsey last week Jalen Ramsey comes back Like he can help out in that division against Buffalo, you know, I don't the Jets and the Patriots like the Miami could be right there. Um, and so we see that reflected in the market, of course already But those are the two teams that that really stuck out and surprised me And I do have, you know, I think the in the NFC we talked about this before in the summer Really runs through Philly and San Fran. That's reflected in the odds Like I don't think there's, you know, any way shape around that But and I don't want to I don't want to jump ahead of the gun, Jim, if this is doing so But I do think the Minnesota Vikings like Are poised to be able to take control of their own That'd be like they are It's not reflective in the market on how wide open the NFC north is And I think that's where, you know, we need to take advantage right now You're looking at them plus four 10 to win the NFC north Like their odds to win the Super Bowl are absolutely outrageous their odds to win the AFC Are are pretty outrageous in and of itself. And so you're thinking about okay, like This team wins the division like they get into the playoffs anything can kind of happen We saw their offense look pretty good, you know, I think they just had a couple things to figure out But they can get Madison going Jordan Addison looked incredible in his first game Uh, and we all know what Justin Jefferson can do in the tj. Hawkinson, you know addition I really think that they're going to be able to make some noise and I don't think, you know We still don't know if the Lions are as good as they are and the Packers probably played one of the worst teams in the league So, um, I think that there's still left to be unpacked with this Minnesota team And as always like it goes through Kirk cousins, but I think for them right now They're probably one of my favorite teams to kind of get some futures on Yeah, potentially buying low in Minnesota. They are 20 or 19 to 1 to win the NFC and to win the NFC north Uh, there are odds are currently plus four 10 now I actually if we're talking about teams that I bumped up a lot in week one I actually do give the Packers a lot of credit for that win over the Bears So if I'm talking about teams that I boost the most based on week one, I actually think I'd pick the Packers there and You know, I I understand what you said about like the the Bears defense being what it is and that's very true But I think to me the reason I was impressed with that victory is because it came via Jordan Love playing very well without Christian Watson and when I talk about like my internal expectations and I want to see teams exceed them When you exceed expectations without a difference making player on your offense that to me is a situation where It gets my attention is what I would say with the Green Bay Packers And that's kind of what happens with them in that game now Like you said, we don't want to overreact because the Bears definitely struggle and did not play their best in that game but Aaron Jones looked phenomenal. We know what he can do. We know that that Punch of him and AJ Dillon that offensive line gave Jordan Love Maybe it's because of the Bears defensive line But they kept Jordan Love in a calm pocket and I don't want like kind of like Zach Wilson I don't want to see Jordan Love in chaos and if you can keep him out of chaos for a longer time I think that that is that's a situation where we can potentially See things go pretty well for Green Bay So I actually think that the Packers deserve a pretty big boost I'm not taking conference futures on them not looking to the Super Bowl market not going to bother there And I also don't think I want them at plus 290 because I do respect the Lions a lot and think the Lions Are in a good position this week too against the Seahawks with their offensive line being banged up, but I do think that Green Bay deserves a bit of attention for what they did despite their opponent week one No, definitely. And I think that the defense has been the biggest thing for them Yeah, you know, I guess, you know one of those things because they've had a good talented unit They just haven't been able to stay healthy across, you know, Aaron Rodgers last term there and so If they can, you know, be reflective of what they showed us on Sunday afternoon That's pretty scary thinking that the Packers get Christian Watson back in what deep threat he can be And getting those guys in the backfield going Yeah, for sure and the defense is a key part of this as well And I was not the biggest short and love guy coming out So I'm still somewhat skeptical there in that regard But I think the infrastructure around him is pretty good as we saw in that game Let's start with the flip side here Maybe we already discussed one of your biggest followers and talking about the cheese Bengals and bills But Ryan, which teams to you got the biggest downgrade based on what we saw in the opener this year Yeah, I think this the Steelers are Ones that we have to just talk about You know, I think people I was one of the people thinking they have a chance to finish better than the Browns, you know In their own division. I didn't think that they were as good As the Ravens and the Bengals fully healthy, but we've seen three teams We've seen a division send three teams to the playoffs before so you thought man If Kenny Pickett can kind of take that extra step in the way that this defense kind of played You'd like to look at that. Yeah, I see you pull up the regular season odds there You know what they're over a and a half wins now being at plus 100 and I don't I really don't know How we can really feel confident about that we have to see a little bit more from Kenny Pickett now, you know, I know that we It's week one like we try not to overreact on just you just bring up the facts and there's definitely no overreaction to like to Buffalo or Pittsburgh what have you so to speak just yet, but The trend continues the way that it does And what we saw there in a home game against one of the better teams in in the in the nfl Like that, you know that you can't really sneeze at that they were it's not like they were out there and doing this against the Cardinals like They were you know getting getting tested and I think that that's going to you know, show something But as it stands right now, you know the way that we were feeling about this team preseason I just have to believe that um, I have to downgrade them a little bit there I think so too. I think that's a very fair one to bring up because it I know I know like you said it's the 49ers. They're a buzz saw I agree with that Agree with what you said, but I also agree with what you said the fact that like you can't get blown out Like the degree to which you lose when you're facing good teams matters as well So I feel like if we're talking about teams where our expectations shifted most I still think this defense would be very good. Um, you know a defense with tj watt make of its patrick and mike tomlin is going to be good, but Offense is rough. Deontay johnson is banged up. I Not the biggest deontay johnson fan But when it it changes your offense to be deontay johnson, george pickens to being George pickens alan robinson calvin austin that's not ideal, especially for an offensive line that i'm not super high on so We were both in the steward's week one didn't go great for either of us. Um, and I think that um, Maybe we're just burned by this one team, but I I agree with you where it's okay to be A little bit annoyed with them after what we saw here Now ryan you mentioned the vikings want to buy in on their conference futures taking a look at them to win The nnsc north buy and low on them any other futures you're looking at entering week number two Yeah, uh, the the vikings have been one, uh that i've been looking at really early I will say and I haven't really settled on this, but I think you know We can really get some favorable stuff Happening in the offensive player of the year market right now. Um, just because of how You know again overreaction Sunday monday Tyreek hill is all the way up at just under nine to one To win this award justin jefferson at 12 to one and so is christian mccaffrey And then we look at jamar chasen it starts to get to like 27 to one and there's just so many You know offensive players who are stopped here that you know, it could really make some noise I'm looking at like maybe a monorah saint brown the way he's kind of They've been showcasing him the offense over the past couple seasons Like I think a guy like lamar at 36 to one is interesting now with jk dobbins being out like does lamar Go back to just having to do it all and we Talked about todd munkin coming in and the air raid offense could be showing itself And maybe that is the case but if he's the running back as well too Does that carry some weight and then you know, we start to go down at some of these other players And like even a calvin ridley At 65 to one if you believe in jacksonville, you know And i'm saying all of these long shots, jim, but just to kind of get people thinking about it Like if you do not think at the end of the year, it's going to be tyrie kill Justin jefferson or christian mccaffrey just take some shots on some of these guys because the prices On some of these are only going to start to dwindle down as we get more games and get more real estate to them So I think that's a really fun market Um to really get some futures on right now, especially with people and as we're talking like right We think we know who these teams are and then we come to find out. Oh, yeah, no it's The bingles are still the bingles and you know jamar chase is going to be amazing and You know, we can get futures on on that to pay off Yeah, absolutely The ridley one is the one that caught my attention there because he's 65 to one for us an offensive player of the year 30 to one to lead the league in receiving yards And isn't it at a deficit because tyrie kill had 16,000 receiving yards and we won just jefferson had 15,000 receiving yards But got a lot of work. He's gotten a fishing quarterback. They're going to play You know the titans defense is tough, but like not the toughest schedule In the a sc south ridley at 30 to one That's not totally totally out of consideration at least for me there So I think that being on ridley is at least you got my attention there ryan Well, some of these, you know, I think what we have to remember is just think about this if these were pre-season odds You know, I think we're getting a lot of real estate coming in just from one week of games and we see what can happen You know with the jk dobbins and the erin rogers and not that we wish that at all But like injuries happen in this league and so, you know, these are not Forgone conclusions. We're not talking about this being week 13 or 14 and we have so much to go off of We only have one week and so I think taking advantage of these future markets like that to be able to take some long shots As if this were the pre-season is is just as fun to do after week one if not more Because you can see uh, you can see that payoff Yeah, absolutely, especially on guys who actually did play well in week one like ridley, uh, like a monorosa brown 30 to one as well I think that having guys like it's not like they're they were duds We're not totally by and low right? We're still buying the guys a good usage Just happened to get them that potentially better odds me were before that is ryan williams Make sure you check them out on twitter at ryan alexander underscore w ryan We'll be back with you once again next week on monday to preview monday if i've watched a couple games next week on monday So be a little two game slate then looking forward to it and have a good week until that You too jim best of luck talk later Alrighty again, make sure you find ryan on twitter at ryan alexander underscore w To get all of his work over there and check him out right here on the uncovering the spread every monday and tuesday as well We're going to take a look at the week two lines talking about some spreads money lines and totals That my model likes here in just one second But first get ready for the nfl season with incredible offers from fandal america's number one sports book right now new customers Can bet five dollars and get two hundred dollars and bonus bets guarantee plus all customers who bet five dollars We'll get one hundred dollars off nfl sunday ticket from youtube and youtube tv Now is the best time to join fan duel the app is easy to use and you can bet on everything from spreads to player props and more Fan duel official partner of the nfl must be 21 plus and president select states Fan duel is offering online sports waging in kansas under an agreement with kansas star casino llc First online real money wager only ten dollar first deposit required bonus issued is non-ladrable bonus bets that expire seven days after receipt Restrictions apply see terms at sportsbook dot fan duel dot com gambling problem call 1 800 gambler Or visit fan duel dot com slash rg in colorado iowa michigan new jersey ohio pennsylvania illinois tennessee and virginia Call 1 800 next step or text next step to five three three four two In i lost my spot arizona there we go one eight and eight seven eight nine seven seven seven seven Or visit ccpg dot or such chat in connecticut one eight hundred nine with it in indiana One eight hundred five two two forty seven hundred there's a ks gambling health dot common kansas One eight seven seven seven seven zero stop in louisiana visit md gambling health at oregon maryland One eight hundred gambler dot net in west virginia or call one eight hundred five two two forty seven hundred in wyoming Hope is here because gambling helpline m a dot org or call eight hundred three two seven fifty fifty for 24 seven support in massachusetts Call one eight seven seven eight hope and wire text open y in new york nfl sunday ticket offer ends 918 23 no refunds terms and embargoes apply Hundred dollars off nfl sunday ticket not youtube tv youtube tv base plan required to watch youtube tv Redemption requires a google account and current form of payment commercial use is excluded Let's take a look now at the week two betting odds over at fan duel sports book and try to identify some spots where my model is showing value For week number two and the first one is actually in the team that i was on In a week number one as well. That's the los angeles rams now The scary thing is they're facing the san francisco 49ers who we just talked about put a butt whipping on the stealers in week one But we're getting eight points on the rams at minus 110 at home And i feel like that number is a bit too steep Uh, i think the key thing here for me when looking at this game and also analyzing that rams week one game is not the final score But the fact that matthew stafford looked healthy and When you look at the futures market for the rams and look at wind totals and stuff like that it's baking in the possibility that guys Like matthew stafford like erin donald wind up getting hurt and missed time and that's kind of factored in and i feel like a lot of the downward trajectory or the downward movement in the futures is playing into The the number here whereas we know stafford and donald will be helping going to this game cooper couple Um, but like those two guys will be here. So even after downgrading for Cooper cup, I still feel like the rams should probably be a bit closer in this game the defense Stepped up i would say uh part of that may have been because See the seattle offensive line lost both of its tackles during the game Maybe it was just that but and it's also possible the 49ers are just unstoppable right now But we're getting eight points on a team that is at home with a healthy quarterback and a healthy erin donald That to me says we should probably willing to take the eight at minus 110 and bet on the rams here So rams were good to me last week I want to be on them once again for this week just because it's a lot of points for a team at home Maybe I just cross off teams facing the 49ers after week two, but at least for right now I do think there is good value in taking the rams at plus eight Second one is going to be the houston texans taking on the indianapolis colts The texans money line is plus 106 at fandals sportsbook and texans are at home in this game And I do feel like they should be slight favorites here. My model makes them slight favorites colts offense I would say looked a bit more functional in week one But that's before we consider the context where the colts were at home indoors facing the jaguars Well the texans were on the road facing the baltimore ravens now they're back at home here I'd assume the defense for the texans will be without jail in petri because he had to stay overnight at the hospital With a long issue and petri played well last year so that is a blow To their defense, but the defense overall I thought played pretty well in that game after you You know consider the circumstances facing that baltimore ravens offense The colts ground attack looked pretty bad without jonathan taylor Deon jackson was superbly inefficient evan hall is now banged up And zack boss if he's able to go it's not some massive difference maker at least not to me for this offense So I feel like these two teams are a bit more evenly matched than what this number is saying And when you give the texans the bump for being at home I think that taking the plus money on the money line is the right approach here So to me the texans money line plus 106 I show value there I agree with what the model is saying and I do want to take that as being My first money line of the week Final spread or money line for me in week number two is going to be the raiders taking on the buffalo bills This number is down from nine and a half prior to last night's game And this is not a reaction what we saw from the bills I think it's kind of more of a reaction at least for me to what we saw from the raiders The plus eight and a half is minus 105 and I'm going to assume jacoby mires and chandler smith Or chandler jones, uh, don't play in this game jones Upset with the the coaching staff in the front office. So He probably is not going to go mires had a really scary hit on sunday So i'm just going to assume that he's not going to go but I'd still project the raiders to be a decently efficient passing offense with jimmy garoppolo because garoppolo Throughout his career has been an efficient passer despite his downsides He's still like got davante adams there as well And that is worth plenty now the bills Will not play as poorly as I did on monday night That's not what you would expect for this team is again more familiar with Having dalton concave in that offense to get more comfortable with things But like again, like we said at the rye and a lot of the issues that they had were issues We thought they might have coming into this year josh allen occasional turnovers the brain farts that he can have Stuff like that and then also the offensive line having a couple leaky spots So to me it's a combination of the raiders playing very well in week number one against a Good broncos defense on the road combined with the fact that brown the the bills Kind of leaned into some of the issues that that we thought they might have coming into this year I've got the bills as 6.2 point favorites So still pretty heavily favored in this game, but uh again the spread is eight and a half at minus 105 We get across seven here. I think that's enough where I do want to take the raiders plus eight and a half at minus 105 Again, not downgrading the bills necessarily entirely here, but just respecting the raiders and how well they played in week number one final bet for me this week is going to be a total that is going to be in the uh, pay at patriots versus dolphins game on sunday night football and As you know, I was on and under for a dolphins game last week That did not go well as a dolphins and chargers threatened to hit the total by themselves respectively Total for this game is 47 and a half and minus 112 and I'm going to go back to the under here and We'll see how that goes and part of it is because it is above a key number of 47 Couple different combinations get you to 47 a 27 20 game a 24 23 game stuff like that So there are a lot of combinations that get you to 47 We get the we get that as a hit here on under 47 and a half at minus 112 Now that chargers dolphins game was phenomenal, but it was played indoors This one is outside curwin projections of five miles per hour So nothing too scary there, but it is a bit of a downgrade now. Sofi does let it wind Which is worth noting. So it's an indoor game, but can be some wind there and wingman's offense fine against the eagles, especially in the second half, but I wouldn't say they did anything to dramatically alter my expectations of them And I also think that looking at this match up here on the opposing side where the dolphins Offense has the ball. I have more faith in Bill Belichick to Cook up a defensive scheme That can prevent a shootout prevent Tyree kill from going for again 16,000 yards Then I have faith in Brandon staley and that plays a role here as well so to me It's kind of just too high of a number for A game that involves two defenses I respect I know the dolphins let up a lot of points week one, but I respect their defense Patriots played well I thought they played really well against the eagles, which is kind of what you expect so to me The under here at 47 and a half is the right way to go now again similar to betting against the Niners Maybe I just abandon this approach and stop betting unders on dolphins games after week two Again, depending on the number obviously, but I think for right now Taking the under on 47 and a half is the right way to go So that's for this week that I like as of right now dolphins Patriots under 47 and a half and minus 112 The Raiders plus eight at eight and a half at minus 105 Texans money line at plus 106 and the Rams plus eight, which is minus 110 against the san francisco 49ers Final thing for today's we've got to go back through last week's recommendations here on the show beginning with college football We had Dr. Ed fang on to talk college football at the NFL last week You can find Ed on twitter at the power rank And check him out at the power rank.com and the college side of things at ad nabrasco Plus two and a half against colorado and it held there the entire week And I understand why ed was here and I think if it had gotten to like three and a half I've probably to joined him on this but colorado just sick once again Did it with a huge win here one of the best stories in the nation right now Really fun to watch them go. Uh, so bummer to not get that win there, but It is fun to have a talking point like colorado so present in our lives right now In the NFL had had had a couple of bets. You like Kansas City minus four and a half against the lions We were talking about uh before Travis Kelsey was officially ruled out But it did seem pretty likely that he would be obviously the lions won by one and uh, there wasn't pick six in the mix there But um, no win there other one was Bengals minus two and a half a lot of line movement towards the browns Especially on sunday morning where I think the browns money line closed at around minus 108 or so and the browns did win that one outright so A tough week there will have had back on on wednesday to talk talk college football week number three And then on thursday to talk nfl week number two We had JJ zack recent on the talks and player props You can find JJ on twitter at late round qb and check out his work at late round dot com and find the late round fantasy football podcast jj got a nice hit with tank bigs b For an anytime touchdown at plus three ten bigs b nearly scored on a longer run and Kind of bummed because I thought he might get in there, but the jacks their credit did let him Bang it home later on so plus three ten a good hit there for jg on bigs b tough miss on james connor He had under 59 and a half rushing yards at minus 114 and the cardinals kept that game close But connor was still at 59 rushing yards very late in that game did get uh a rush attempt to go over 59 and a half pretty late finished 62 So almost a miss almost a hit there, but I couldn't quite get it jj had khalil harbors over 49 9 and a half rushing yards at minus 114 for the bears bears got down big Herbert finished with 20 70 yards leading on roshan johnson late in that game to close things out so Uh game script got arrived there The other anytime touchdown bet was jahan dottson at plus 235 Dotson had seven targets In a situation where the the commanders do get a win But no touchdown there for dotson final one was a same game parley which missed by one leg He had dk mech half over 60 and a half receiving yards cam acres under 62 and a half rushing yards and mech half for an anytime touchdown at uh I don't recall the odds in that specifically but the full odds for the same game parley was plus 531 Got the touchdown acres went way under that number, but mech half finished with 47 yards So couldn't quite get to 60 and a half there so tough one But uh jj did give it a good run with the sgp again find him on twitter at late round qb We had ryan on last night talked money at football He liked the jets plus two and a half as he won traditional market bet also did have uh the total Under 45 and a half both those did hit the jets uh plus two and a half hitting in the most wild fashion impossible and the Uh the under hitting despite the fact it went to ot and there was a return touchdown that game So good call by ryan on both those there also had alan lasard over 38 and a half receiving yards and the under Or sorry lasard over 38 and a half receiving yards that one hits a lasard I think 46 receiving yards on two receptions So good call by ryan there the two that didn't hit where the anytime touchdowns josh allen Plus 160 doson knocks plus 350 but very profitable night for ryan So good calls by him across the board again check him out on twitter at ryan alexander underscore dubby I also had the jets money line against the bills it moved against me because we talked about this I believe Like two mondays before week one. I got a plus 106 and I think it settled in around plus 110 or so Um, so didn't get good closing line value there But the jets defense is legit and played a big factor in that win last night for that I the under on chargers dolphins as mentioned. We know how that one went Um did not go well ryan and I both had the stealers plus the points I got it at plus three and ryan had it at plus two and a five two and a half so That didn't go well either I did get a win with the rams though They were plus five and a half and we talked about it It closed at four and a half and they won outright which was nice so Q and two week from me with the jets money line and the rams plus five and half being the two wins two losses chargers dolphins under And the stealers plus three so depending how you scale those About a break even week For me with nfl stuff on the NASCAR side of things had a good week I had three bets that I liked on friday when we talked those were ryan blaney at plus 2200 to win Eric jones plus 550 for a top 10 and austin syndrick eight to one for a top 10 and blaney and syndrick did not hit but jones Nearly won the freaking race. He was running top five the entire race and lay pit stop He takes two tires with two laps left and jones was battling for the lead at the white flag at joey legano But tyler reddick was on fresher tires passing for the win But hey jones podium he finished third in that game I didn't get the podium odds, uh, but did hit the top 10 at plus five 50 So awesome to see jones pull through on that Hopefully that partially makes up for was now not a banner week for the podcast But I think that the process across the board was pretty good So we'll see how things go in week number two and happy to have the hit on take figs b and eric jones To hopefully level things out a bit for you there That's all we got here for today on covering the spread got to get got a big Give a big thank you once again to ryan williams checking out on twitter at ryan alexander underscore w Going back here on the show on monday to preview those two monday net football games as for us We are back here once again wednesday talking to dr. Ed fang about week three across college football Probably more colorado talk coming up there and previewing this week's biggest games You can find that by subscribing to covering the spread wherever you get your podcast also find us on the fandal youtube page And fandall td plus if you've got any questions for me I am on twitter at jim sonnis j i m s a n n e s you can also follow fandall research at fandall research Want to thank you all for tuning in forward today. Good luck to you with your bets Whatever they may be across the next couple of days. We'll talk to you once again tomorrow to talk some college football This has been covering the spread right here on the fandall podcast network