 The Power Trading Hour with your host, David White. Call now, toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at 727-873-7618. Now, David White. And welcome all to another excellent edition of The Power Trading Hour. As we get to the indexes here, let's go ahead and update them. But, well, when we last spoke yesterday, as I said, I have been watching these kind of markets for forever. And in a bear market, you do have lows and very good tradeable lows a lot of the time. But before you have one that's going to last more than a day or two, generally you're going to have a fairly good signal. And that signal to me would have been a retest of 3636 on the S&P cash and a little close above it. Now, this being a Friday, can we get the close back above it on Monday? I think we can. Yesterday I was watching kind of into the close and the option market makers were really acting like 3600 was the number for today. Like they kind of knew what was going on. They're not always right. And as big as the swings are in the market these days, I didn't decide to put a position out. I would rather have something I know that I could trade for three, four, five, six, seven days. But I don't think we're going to probably start getting that. As far as next week's options expiration, they're still looking at spies in the 375, 380 range. So I don't know if there's anything you can do except wait. It's not uncommon to really make you sweat over a weekend. I'm not going to buy hoping that we start moving back higher. But we just keep trying to break out the lows. We can keep on getting lighter volume. And that's kind of it. Now we did have earnings this morning. USB, it's up about a percent and a half. City up about one percent. PNC down about one percent. Wells Fargo up three. And then let's call it three and a third percent. UNH, that's the one I thought that might have the big problem. But it doesn't look like so far. In fact, let me do this because I've got this all set up wrong. I've got my pre-market prices set up here. Let's go ahead and change that back to those. Okay. Let's do this. Now this. There we go. I don't know anything about that. That was all pre-market. For these. So, yeah, UNH up. And it's just a percent now. So we've got that. But like I said, not much going on in those that would make you really think something's happening of any kind of big import in those earnings. I'll post them in the den in a minute. That's it. If you discount, I think a lot of people are discounting Putin. Somebody brought that up in the den. A lot of times it's that thing that you forgot about. And I'm wondering if it isn't that train contract, a rail contract, that's going to rear its ugly head, or that's what everybody's a little worried about at the moment. So we'll know more about it on Wednesday. They're going to continue to negotiate no lockouts. According to the union, no flu. Going to hit all of them. But they never really kind of admit to that. Generally, it's pretty easy to tell when somebody's locked out. A lot tougher to know when everybody just calls up and coughs a bit on the phone. But we'll probably know a lot more about that Monday morning. I don't know if there's any reason to go out and put your head out. But we'll see how the market closes today. Volume so far, about 6.7 billion shares. So is it any kind of blowout? No. Probably going to get about 10 and a half, maybe 11 billion shares. By the end of the day, again, we don't have any real burning bush to hang our hats on. That's my first mixed metaphor of the day. But, you know, we are going to get it. And the question is just when. I think it's going to be the upside. But I'm not going to get out over the tips of my skis. Yet another metaphor. But that's kind of it at the moment. Let's see if there's anything else. Let's do a little history and go on. And I actually forgot to tell everybody that, hey, it's two o'clock. We always come here at the appointed time. The following takes place between 2 p.m. and 3 p.m. Uh... Okay. We do that. Oh, then we need to do history. Then it's all just a little bit of history repeating. On this day in 1977, Atari releases their video computer system known as the VCS, and later is the Atari 2600. It took two years for the VCS to gain traction. But by 1979, it was the best-selling gift of the Christmas season. Once it was established, the Atari VCS took the market by storm. Popularizing home video gaming and helping cement the video game movement in the mainstream culture. 877-927-6648. So let's go back and look at these charts. We go back in here. Let me update this one. I want to go back to the usual suspects. You had a nice bullish engulfing candle with lots of volume yesterday, giving about half that back to... It's 213. You had about half the volume. So you're probably going to have less. I keep on thinking you had two dogeys. You're kind of back to that level now. I thought that the first resistance level would be about 130. And maybe if we can just beat all the bearishness out of everybody this week, we might have that opportunity to find the low and start moving back higher. Let's see on that. Question to look at the UVXY. You're down a little bit lighter volume. About three-fourths into yesterday's candle. Options are still bullish for next week. I don't see anything that you can read out of that. Let's take a quick look and see the SMHs. Got a big turnaround yesterday. You're about halfway into them today. Probably the best signal in a bad neighborhood is the 10 million or 10.7 million shares higher yesterday. And the SMH is down on 3.... Well, a little less than 3.3 million shares so far today. We'll look at some of these others and see if we can't find... That's cool. Booming inflation, we are purchasing powers eroded. 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A frequent contributor to TD Ameritrade Network and CNBC, Tom O'Brien founded TFNN over 20 years ago to help educate investors just like you. Tom's Daily Market Newsletter, Market Insights, is published every morning when the markets open to give you the competitive informational edge you need to succeed. These newsletters are packed full of Tom's advanced technical analysis and are geared to deliver comprehensive strategies for a successful portfolio. Get Tom O'Brien's newsletter, Market Insights, today and try all of our products and newsletters 30 days risk-free with our money-back guarantee at TFNN.com. TFNN Educating Investors. At 1-877-927-6648. Internationally at 727-873-7618. We are back. We're going to go to Larry in Wyoming. How are you doing? I'm doing okay, Dave. How are you doing? Fantastic. Yeah, I know. I'm just happy to be alive. I really mean that, actually. That was just rhetorical. David, yesterday on your show, Joby, J-O-B-Y, before I could figure out why that was, you know about it because it's got good following on the Internet as far as bright future with this electric, you know, battery-powered last, what do you think? The problem is getting enough battery time. I take it you're not a pilot, right? I am a pilot. Yeah. Well, what are the minimums for VFR right now? Oh, the minimums, like 2,500 above, like a mile out. I don't remember. How about fuel? Well, fuel, interestingly enough, when I was a young man, I almost ran out of fuel out west, heading into Casper, Wyoming at midnight, but I don't know the fuel. I'd like to have a third of a tank when I'm within 50 miles of an airport. I'll put it that way. Well, I think the last time I looked, it was 45 minutes past any of your VFR locations. So, at least that's what I always used. So, you know, you ought to have enough fuel to get to your destination plus 45 minutes. Well, the problem is... I would regularly violate that. I know that rule. Maybe my instructor just lied to me, but I've always used that. I want 45 minutes plus. I don't even remember them discussing that, and I'm serious. Yeah. So, that's the problem. In IFR, it's even... maybe it's 30 minutes and 45, can't remember. The problem with Joby is there's just... you're off and you're already into your minimums for how much fuel you need left now. Of course, it's batteries. Yeah. That's an excellent point, Dave. That really is. I got to give you. I'm glad I called you. Now, there's a guy here in town that runs a big YouTube channel, and I talked to him on occasion on electric planes and stuff. He was in a cub up north of here, maybe about 40 minutes, but he was doing a lot of stuff about that, and I made some comments about it, and he kind of challenged me on it, and I challenged him back, and I think he's kind of starting to see the issue, and that is if you could double the range, then I think maybe you got something. The problem is that you just can't even get past that. Now, they're trying to have their cake and eat it too. That is, they're trying to license it as a plane and get the lower restrictions for how much time you need left over for a helicopter. I'm trying to remember what it is now. Maybe it's 30 minutes for a helicopter. I think it's 45 minutes for an airplane. And since the 30 minutes was a lot more achievable, they kind of, like I said, wanted to have their cake and eat it too. They wanted half qualified as a helicopter for lower times, and then also because more of the maintenance is lower on an airplane, they wanted to kind of classify that way. They've also crashed. What they have in their favor, Dave, is right in their corporate board is a guy that's like Mr. FAA. He worked at the FAA and he's supposedly negotiating their way through all these prohibitions that could emerge. And I think they're backed by massive corporate money with Toshiba or something. They got a Japanese major corporation that's backing them. I'm not joking. And the company wants to make this work. That's what I know. They've crashed two of them. Yes, they have. So that's not good. Listen, I like ice engines. I really do. I think if they put the money from EV into ice engines and incorporated carbon fiber parts, well, you'd have a very lightweight power plant producing more horsepower. And that's ideal, in my opinion. Have you seen that new P-51 from Germany? No, no. No, I trade all the time. Dave, I have no life. Well, there's a P-51 replica, a three-force scale, runs with a Rotax 915 fuel-injected engine, and probably for a plane, fairly inexpensive. But if you look at the rivets and everything else, there's thousands and thousands of parts in a airplane. This one minus the engine, I think, is nine pieces. Wow. So, you know, there's a lot there. I'm not getting around. I've already sold the house and I live in a town home, so I'm not doing any more projects. I build models, like plastic models. Well, what I'm trying to say is that they're going a lot more toward what the manufacturing process is called, one-shot, where they can build the whole thing in one big piece, or at least limit the amount of small pieces. Right, right, right. No, it used to be early on, where you just had to sit there and grind them down out of fiberglass for hours. So, I think, on the chart basis, I was looking at it, I think, that you saw, just because it had tested the previous low on lighter volume. So can it bounce, yeah? In May for that reason, it came down to the February breakout bar. And on 20% lighter volume, so it went above an indicator and I took it and it went up okay for a while. It's in a trading range. I really think it'll survive until it doesn't, you know, because of the packing. In the yesterday's show, one of my big themes is you don't want companies that need money. I don't know if you heard that. And I think they don't need money. I think they've got, like, huge amounts of money. Yeah, yeah, sort of. Well, yeah, exactly. Everybody's got money until it's hard to get, right? Well, until the corporation backing, I'm sure, is a way out of it. But I'm just saying, they do have a great backer. And yeah, I don't really want to fly the last, like, 60 miles in a battery-powered plane. I really don't, that's not my dream, you know? Yeah, that's the problem. They're a little heavy. They probably need, I'm going to say, three to five more years of development. I think they're highly optimistic, like Musk was on the self-driving car. Okay, I appreciate your input because I value it. Thank you, Dave. We'll be back. We'll be back in a minute. Sign up now by visiting TFNN.com. Don't miss out on the next great gold trade. Sign up today. TFNN.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV, live every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern, for free. Each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world. From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. Watch online at TFNN.com or on TFNN's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be, TFNN Educating Investors. TFNN is excited about our new software charting program, the Art of Timing the Trade Charts. 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This segment is brought to you by Think or Swim. For more information, just click the Think or Swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com. And I had some people, if you're not familiar with Joby, they've got one of those kind of small, flying, I guess they're calling it a flying taxi service. It's got, depending on which version you look at, these things kind of have like nine different motors on them so if they lose one, not a big deal. But it's a lot of wiring and a lot of big batteries and of course the enemy of flight time and range is weight and batteries are heavy. So, again, if you think it's tough and must-have problems with the Transportation Board, you're going to have a lot more. They're going to have to have changes than the FAA certification, which have not happened yet. So, I would say the risk is high in this and that you're going to have to get everybody together and sing Kumbaya in the next Congress to get those changed. If they aren't, I don't think that this is a, that Joby is a going concern. I think whether everybody, it's a great idea, maybe before it's time, maybe they just pare it down and wait for the changes out of the FAA and how these are going to be certified. If you're not into being an amateur pilot or even a professional one, each airplane gets a certificate and there's a lot of regulations and things you have to do to keep that certificate. You've got to have the plane inspected regularly and there's certain things that some planes have to do and you have to fix things. It's almost as bad as a boat when you want to throw money at it. So, the question is whether or not these will work out and how are they going to certify them. The FAA is in no hurry to get in front of this. They want to see some of these tested for probably years and that's no different than just even a regular plane. I'm not talking about a Boeing. I'm talking about, you know, hundreds and thousands, not thousands, but thousands of flight hours in a small airplane just to get it certified. It's enormously expensive and one of the reasons why 90% of all the motors in a small aircraft today is technology goes back to 1930. Nobody can actually afford to go through the certification process to put on a lot of new engines. There's been a couple, but I mean it's extremely rare and most of them have started in Europe mostly because they're a little more lenient on letting those planes fly for a while and then they can be certified here in the United States. Our big piston engine manufacturers have a real tough problem and that is just how expensive it is to get things certified for airplanes and power plants. 877-927-6648. And that's it. Okay. Yeah, we're kind of just dancing around these lows at the moment. 39.52 on the S&P cash, down 3.78, Nasdaq's off 284. The question is whether or not we can pop back up above 36.36 or if we need to go back and retest the low a couple of days ago and then we get to take off, but I mean the volume continues to be low so I don't want to be short when we get a day like we had yesterday and I think we're probably going to have a lot of that until we find and beat out some kind of low that we can trade off higher. But I don't know how you go through something like yesterday and stay short unless you were short from the beginning of the year. Pretty tough. A question about Tesla. Yeah, I see a lot of stuff going on but I'm not exactly sure whether or not it has a lot to do with reality or politics. Did come back down fairly lightly. You did get a nice pop yesterday on 91 million shares. Now you're back down with 67. We'll see how that closes. The next big support level on this is one, let's call it about 180s. That goes back to the May 19, 2021 low and the March 5, 2021 low. But that probably is very good support at 180 that March 5, 2021 low. And that's for Tesla, 26 bucks. Doesn't seem like more than a hiccup, does it? Even after the split, it tends to be a mover. Okay, let's go ahead and check the rest of our email. See what we have here. What do I think about box? I think they keep on spreading rumors they're going to get bought out. I don't see any evidence that is true. Right now all you have is lower highs and higher lows. I don't see a lot in this and I think they're highly optimistic about what someone else is going to pay for this kind of technology that anybody can duplicate. They don't really have any kind of moat around any of the technology they have and pretty much everybody else already has that technology that's fairly large. So there's not a lot of reason to buy box at a premium but it made for some good rumors over the last few days. Questions to take a look at UNG, which we'll take a look at now. I mean it looks fairly good. You got yesterday had 4.4 million shares. You're back down the lows with 2.5 so far today. Ideally you'd get a test of 2170 that October 3rd low that had 5.88 million shares. You may not get it. Again, I've been waiting very patiently to see the first really cold snap and I looked this morning I didn't see much of anything but yeah I think you've got a probably a pretty good ability for this thing to run up to 30 as soon as we get some cold weather. Just haven't seen much right now in that. Okay. Let's see what else we have here. Get ready. A couple more emails here. Let's go through these real quick. See if there's anything here. Okay. Question about Microsoft. I haven't looked at it today. That's FT. We'll take a quick look for Bill. Hanging out fairly well even back into these doldrums that we're at now. Let me update this here. You know, you did go higher. You got about half the volume. You've only given about half back. It's hard to be too bearish on this because stocks come down this much. Stocks can always go lower. I don't think a lot in that. Let's take a look at AMD. See how much these gave back from yesterday's bounce. This one's a little bit more but volume is still about half of yesterday. Go look for NVIDIA. Yeah, about half back. Same thing, a little bit more volume. But still, let's call it six-tenths volume with an hour and twenty minutes left to go. Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument. You have to practice, sure, but you also need excellent instruction from experts. At TFNN, you'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis. And it's not just dry, tedious text either. TFNN airs live financial content streamed live on TFNN.com and TFNN's YouTube channel with Tiger TV, live every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern for free. Each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world. From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds, Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. Watch online at TFNN.com or on TFNN's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be, TFNN. Educating investors. The technology around us is changing every day. With so much happening, it could seem impossible to keep up with all the information. David White's investment newsletter, the Technology Insider, is designed to give you all the information you need to understand the technology that shapes today's markets and tomorrow's future. David White has made his living staying on the cutting edge of technology. His weekly newsletter will give you specific recommendations for valued tech stocks, as well as entry prices, target prices, and stops to set for each trade. 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The prospectus or summary prospectus should be read carefully before investing. An investment in the funds is subject to risk, including the possible loss of principal. The funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors. This program is brought to you by Vista Gold. Traded on the NYSE American and TSX under the symbol VGZ. Watching the market just edge down here. Not a lot of volume. $35.89.73 for the S&P cash. Although there are a couple of stocks I'd like to buy, maybe come Monday we may get back into those in the newsletter. But I've got to see how we close today first. But that's it. Question to look at IBB? Not bad. About half the volume we've got what? Probably still three-fourths of the bounce in yesterday. So that one looks like it's holding fairly well. You had a pretty nice retracement. Let's go do this so I can see a little bit better. So you had a little more in that retracement yesterday. Probably about a 70% retracement that turned around yesterday. Now you're back up. Got into the highs early this morning and just coming back down light volume. I would have liked to see the energy a little less on the way back down. But so far a lot of these things do look like they're starting to beat out some kind of bottom. That's just how patient you are before pulling the trigger. Question to look at GLD real quick. Of course gold goes to the church of perpetual demoralization. You're finally back into this gap higher. That gap higher had about nine million shares. Yesterday about seven million shares, not too bad. Kind of drifting back into it today with a little under four. So it doesn't look bad. I'm not a big fan of going short here. I do like the lighter energy on the way back down. You are starting to test the low of September 26. That's where you got the eight and a quarter million shares that you're hitting with under four today. My guess though is this is a pretty nasty market. You're probably going to get halfway more into this gap. So what is that about 152 probably maybe 151 75 ish. And there I'd start taking a look at it again. But I think the stronger of the two is going to be energy. It's having a bad day today. But I think you're getting awful close. Like I said to the weather turning some other things happening. Can you imagine if the railroad does go on strike and everything has to be actually moved via tractor trailer. What the energy stocks are going to be worth. And of course since we don't have any real. Well they shut down a lot of the pipelines. How is any of that energy going to get around if it's not going on rail. So certainly the rail unions have a pretty good negotiating position. But yeah I think this is an inside day on the XLE so far. We did have Morgan Stanley out before the bell on earnings. This one was kind of the weakest of the bunch. Let's go ahead and look at that. Testing yesterday's low volumes probably going to be about the same. Everybody else was probably a little bit better off. Down four bucks which is about five percent. Not a horrible day on what we're doing here today. But you can look at it. Question from Rob on SAVA. I know it's a favorite of the folks in the den. Hold on to nothing. You got no volume here really to speak of. So this looks kind of sideways to me. I don't see either fish nor fowl in that at the moment. Let's take a quick look at Apple. Okay well certainly you're down on lighter volume today. You went up yesterday 113 million shares. And so far you're down on 56 million shares. So like I said I think we're kind of beating out a low out here in the markets. But it's just not given the signal that the all is clear. We're really ready to go higher. Question on the TLT. Well we certainly broke it. My guess is it's going to pop back into that 101 range as soon as things actually settle down. You probably could get a bounce to about 106. That's just going to be a bounce and a downtrend. But again hard to look at the numbers at 10 o'clock this morning on the economy and not think maybe the Fed is thinking about maybe being a little bit more dovish on a scale of 1 to 10. They're kind of 10 now. What would the market do if they went to just being an 8 on raising interest rates. Exactly sure. But maybe you could get a little bounce out of that. Of course you never know just how bad it could get in Europe and in England. And maybe that is something out of their control where they decide to think about being just a hair more dovish. And I think that's really all it takes these days is any kind of daylight between being 100% hawkish and dovish out here. 877-927-6648. Look at the Microsoft, look at the GLD, look at Tesla. OK. DLR. I always thought that this one was going to be the first one to fail and fail early. Didn't fail just about with the rest of the market. This is Digital Realty Trust. Of course they rent out locations for a lot of web hosting facilities, other things like that to those folks where you need to put your PCs. I think you just completed an ABC down in this and that is a big one about $51. Is that right? $51. So no, I probably wouldn't be hanging around here short. It probably could get a bounce into the 110 area and at that point you'd want to look and see whether or not that is the next ABC on the way down. But these real estate trusts are always the ones most heavily hit in a downturn. We'll be back in a minute. Vista Gold owns and operates the largest undeveloped gold project in Australia, the Mount Todd Gold Project. Vista Gold just completed their feasibility study resulting in a 7 million ounce gold reserve. Vista Gold has all major permits approved and has retained CIBC capital market assistance in evaluating alternatives and in completing an accretive transaction. 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We've got a lot of earnings coming up. And that means, let's go ahead and take a look at that. So, that would be that's today. That's it. I think I went through these early. Bank of America on Monday morning also with Charles Schwab, Bank of Mellon. It's kind of the big guys on Monday. Tuesday, I look forward. I think this is where we're going to start getting the action. Maybe things are going to be a little bit better, kind of like they were on Thursday, than people thought they were going to be. Tuesday, we got Netflix, Johnson & Johnson, Lockheed, Martin, Intuitive, Surgical, United Airlines, State Street, Hasbro, JB Hunt, and I'm going to watch that one closely. You do get some kind of action in the rails because of the strike. I would be watching that very closely. JBHT. Let's take a look at that chart. JBHT. We have enough time, probably not. It's kind of fooling around out here. Yeah, I'd watch it very closely. We get some bad news over the weekend. Look at that Monday morning. So, when you can, not when you have to. We'll see you here Monday, right in shiny.