 The following is a presentation of TFNN. The Power Trading Hour with your host, David White. Call now, toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at 727-873-7618. Now, David White. I'm going to get this fixed one of these days, but it's the connector, but we'll get it fixed one day. What do we have? Another excellent day with the Power Trading Hour. As always, it doesn't matter where you're at. You could be in Alaska selling ice to Eskimos. You could be in San Paolo, and I'm looking for a good rhyme to go with it, but I do not know. Anyway, all that matters is that 2 p.m. Market time, you're here. The following takes place between 2 p.m. and 3 p.m. And what do we have going on today? Well, I got to get my chart up, and yes, I was raised an only child, and that annoyed my sister immensely. Yesterday, we had a lot of people thinking they were going to buy the bounce. I said I didn't think that we had found a low quite yet. I think probably the same thing is going to happen today. There's only one thing that's probably going to make this market rise, and that's not Aunt Blabby from Washington, D.C. saying that there's a deal. That's going to be the bond market saying that there's a deal. The easiest way to do this, in my opinion, is watch the TLT. It's telling you everything you need to know. If something happens in the news, you're not going to hear it until probably 10 minutes after. In the meantime, you're going to take a small, a slow and painful beating if you're long. If you're short, you better be on the mouse finger. I mean, I wouldn't go to the bathroom. This is where I've seen people kind of wiped out in a handful of minutes. Either that or always have some kind of trailing stop that you know is going to execute on the way out. A dangerous market for those not sitting in front of a terminal with a mouse attached to it and a working mouse, not one that kind of works. You better darn tune tootin, make sure that you can click that button because there's going to be probably five minutes between making an absolute load of cash and losing a whole lot of cash on either side if you're long or short. There will be opportunities for both. I don't think that I'd want to be on the long side until I start seeing some action. On the TLT, we need about a buck and a half higher to get out of the range. We've broken lower. The next support lower level, what's the pull up a chart here for that, comes at 138. Let's go to the TLT here already. We're most of TFNN. You're down, you blew through with volume. You gap down through the 145.43, which is what I was looking at. You had that one day move out there, but it had some decent volume. You got the follow-through. You got the false break above it. Could we easily go back to 139-ish, 140-ish, where that gap is support really starts getting firm right there. But I think there's a few things going on. Yesterday we saw one of the Massachusetts Senators be uncharitable to the righteous Chairman Powell yesterday. My guess is that he has already through back channels or absolutely in a conversation told them that we're not going to fund a lot of what you want to do with his big spending bill. That probably is what the response was from yesterday. From Senator Warren. My guess is that he's just not going to be able to get the rest of them, especially with a couple of them leaving, they could care less. You've got to know that a lot of times in the market, I'm going to say 98% of the time, using technical trading is a great thing to do. There's about 2% of the time, which reminds me of exactly when I was learning to fly. They told me, you know what? This is hours and hours of sheer boredom with seconds and occasionally minutes of sheer terror. And that's exactly what is probably going to happen. We're probably going to see some kind of all-out nuclear flush the bombers at the lows and someone's going to get religion. I talked about it with a few people that are fairly familiar with politics. Their thought is that we've got a handful of bomb throwers. These people will not care whatsoever. And it's going to take a few days for these guys to come. Those people will never come to Jesus, is what he told me. And said that what will have to happen is just eventually the more moderate people will get together and that will be the end of it. Of course, the primary job of all politicians is getting re-elected. This is not going to help a whole lot of folks, but certainly the idea of spending $4 trillion only to see 18% interest rates because the bond vigilantes have come to town and they don't intend to leave. They were here earlier. We saw them ride off into the sunset while everything calmed down, but they are back and in force. A lot of people don't remember this. I don't think anybody in Congress in the House, they don't tend to be there for 30 years. Maybe there's a couple of people that remember it. The Senate, they probably all know it. They tend to be older. But in the 80s and 90s, it was the bond vigilantes. Bond investors or the economies bond vigilantes. Yardini once declared. So if the fiscal and monetary authorities won't regulate the economy, the bond investors will. The economy will be run by vigilantes in the credit market. As Yardini later spelled out, by vigilantes I mean investors who watch over policies to determine whether they are good or bad for bond investors. If the government enacts policies that seem to be or ready to reignite inflation, Yardini elaborated that vigilantes can step in to restore law and order in the wild, wild west of the markets and the economy. As I said yesterday and earlier in the spring, this is probably a useful idea. There's no club that I go to meet at. There's no thumb in my nose is a sign that I'm part of the Illuminati that is the bond market. But it is 12 times bigger than the at least 12 times bigger than the equity market. And why the Fed has been able to kind of move the markets by making the equities look good. I don't think they stand a snowball stance in the 80s if the bond guys get to sell. We'll be back after this. Are you grinding in the market but seeing little to no return? Or are you a successful trader simply looking to make your job a little easier? Learn to take the path of least resistance with David White's powerful trading newsletter. David White is an accomplished trader whose deep understanding of technology and the markets allows him to consistently find and share winning trades. Support and resistance define the ranges in which stocks trade. By understanding these trading ranges, David White is able to find the path of least resistance. 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And on this day in 2008, after Congress failed to pass a $700 billion bank bailout plan, the Dow Jones industrial average falls 777 points. Most people don't know. They always think 666 is the sign of the devil. Well, they got the translation wrong. It's 777. At the time, the largest single-day point loss in history, down 7% a greater loss than 684 on September 17, 2001. First day post-11. The S&P 500 also suffered its biggest one-day loss since the 1987 crash, dropping 8.8%. And then as deck fell, a mere 9.1%, its biggest single-day point loss in eight years. So kind of a good time to find the air pockets out there. Of course, very few passengers with their seats in the full upright and locked positions, much less their tray tables up and their seat belts on. Somebody said earlier in the day, in fact, a couple of the dinners said, I'll take the opposite side of the trade that this gets solved very quickly. I would also say that, you know, we saw a little bounce earlier in the day when Chuck Schumer said, we're going to come together. We're going to do it. Of course, like I said then to one of my subscribers, don't believe anything they say. Never could. But on this specifically, you will see it in the TLT when they come up with a deal. 143.93, by the way, on that TLT. Now, can you have some bounces? Will a lot of people trying to get out there in front of this? They will. My guess though is if we don't have a deal overnight, we're probably going to have another big 50-point drop in the morning. And that would be beautiful. I think that would wake everybody up in Washington, D.C. I don't know how long that goes on and when the bomb throwers of which, what, most of them don't have a, the brain of a goat, one married or brother. I mean, these aren't your high thinkers. So my guess is whatever position they are and they have, they're probably married to it. So I'm going to say that it's going to take a greater amount of people than it has in the past to get these people all together. And of course, nothing like politics. It's like herding cats. It's tough to begin with much less when we have people that are true believers in something. It becomes very tough to find out that Congress and all politics is all the art of compromise. And if you're a radical, there is nothing in the world about compromise. It's, we got to get what we want. So we'll have to wait until those folks and there's probably radicals on both sides. If you listen to people and got into it fairly deep, I feel like I would have to take a shower if I did. So I'm going to avoid that. I'm going to look at the TLT. I don't think technicals anywhere else really matter a whole hill of beans. We're probably going to see a close much like we saw yesterday, which everybody's assuming the deal's going to come through. It gets to about 330 and guess what? There's no deal. And we're going to exit stage right and find another one. What else do you have? I'm always on. Just letting some. Okay. What else do we have? That's pretty much it. This is a day when we in the past have had some fairly large losses. In fact, when I was getting started full time was 98. And I remember, I want to say it's October 18th or 20th or something when we were down miserably and the Fed president Greeny and Ruben, it was Ruben, wasn't it? Came out midday. And back then 500 points is like 2,000 points in the Dow or more, maybe 2,500 points. Anyway, we're down kind of the equivalent of 2,000 points. By the end of the day, we were up 2,000 points in today's numbers. If you weren't around, then you really can't, it's hard to figure out. But certainly there was yelling, screaming and gnashing of teeth. Dogs and cats living together. Real wrath of God stuff. So I know everybody loves their movie references like me. So that's kind of it. We're going to start looking at some charts. Give me a call 877-927-6648. And we'll look at some other stuff. Okay. Didn't know about that. I know about this. So the first question up is mRNA. And of course this is going to be part of a political football. If I typed it right. I didn't. Don't know why this one's so hard for me to type, but it is mRNA. There we go. Modern era. This is a real hard one to handicap. I saw earlier that they're trying to put in any kind of reconciliation bill and budget cap a, a, the ability to find employees, employers up to $700,000 for non-vaccination compliance. There's a lot of lawsuits in that. The biggest problem is the only vaccine that today is actually FDA approved is one that you can't get. And we've gone through the legal mumbo jumbo of as soon as there is a approved vaccine that is available, then the other ones have to be taken off the market. So I'm not exactly sure how they're going to do the handoff, but it does become very problematic in that everybody I've looked to for guidance in the FDA and the people that write a great deal about this say that as soon as you haven't approved drug, any of the ones on emergency are not allowed to be sold anymore. So I don't know how long does this go. One of the problems with it is if you want to force people to take a vaccine, then it has to be available and it has to be FDA approved. So a lot of what people have been yelling and screaming about doesn't hold legal water so far. You might get a judge or a few hacks at the lower end of the judicial scale to go along with it for a day or two. But by the time it starts hitting appellate courts, everything I've seen is radically a loss. In fact, the last 18 times that OSHA tried to do this from 1970 lost in every single account. So I don't know. I mean, it would be very good for, you know, these vaccine companies to be mandated. I don't know how the handoff actually works. I don't think anybody else has explained it yet either. You need enough of the Pfizer, you can wait, but you need to get the other guys approved. It's a mess. It's a mess. We'll be back. The Tiger's Den is an exclusive trading room where successful traders from around the world come to exchange trades and ideas. Join the den and surround yourself with the sharpest minds in the trading world. Subscribers to the Tiger's Den are also the first to have their questions answered live on air and can privately chat with our TFNN hosts live during their shows. Interact with other tigers and tigers as they share trading ideas, news analysis and discuss the market action all trading day. Subscribe to the Tiger's Den risk-free with our 30-day Money Back Guarantee and become part of the TFNN trading community, TFNN Educating Investors. And find the newsletter for you. 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The Art of Timing the Trade charts is designed to help you when scouring the markets for stocks just beginning to form the trading patterns that many investors spend days, weeks or even months searching to find. And right now we're offering licenses available at only $79 a month. We are so confident that you're going to love this new charting software that will even give you a 30-day unconditional money-back guarantee. Don't miss out on this incredible new piece of software. Get your copy of the Art of Timing the Trade charts today by visiting TFNN.com. And we're back. I'll try to find a... I know I'm always on. I've got to let the music play a little bit. Don't get all antsy and everything. Just calm down. It'll be okay. So, you know, when we have this kind of bumper, there's no clear fade-out on it. You just let it go for a little while. Anyway, what else do we have here? Oh, we were looking. I got a question about Google. Google decided to take down all the Russian television channels. I knew something was getting ready to come up because employees in Russia from YouTube and Google's divisions were getting beat up by some Putin thugs out on the streets. They were hunting them down and tormenting them at home. So I figured something was going on. They must have given the Putin folks a head up or maybe Putin just knew from looking through their email. I'm sure he's got pretty good intelligence over there, especially in Moscow. Anyway, Google, of course, also is putting... I'm going to have to say rather strict policies that Putin would approve of on free speech here in the United States. I can't actually say the word or will be banned in that kind of Orwellian in its own right. But the question I'd have is, what is the response from Putin? In the past, when people have ticked him off, he's bumped them off. I wonder if we see any stronger methods in the near future of him doing it. My guess is eventually YouTube gets kicked out of Russia. But he's not generally one to take it lying down. I don't know if it really bothers the price of Google as much, as probably sleeping with one eye open, even if you are spending $15 or $20 million a year for security. My guess is if Putin says he wants you dead, your life expectancy is probably pretty short. And the fact that he was already beating up employees last week makes me think that he may be willing to go to the mattresses on stuff like this in the future. But you know what? This is always a problem. And of course, the week before last in Russia, they threw him a fig leaf by making sure that his competitor couldn't be on YouTube, taking his channel down. So kind of hard to figure out where YouTube is really trying to fall here. I mean, they capitulated two weeks ago, and today they stuck a thumb in his eye. Other countries like Hungary are already starting to have laws. I don't know how much longer YouTube and Google are going to be allowed in Hungary, but I think they've already passed the bill on that. And of course, if you can control the politics of a country by saying what is allowed to be said, I think you've got to expect some pushback from tyrants and maybe even non-tyrants about what's going on. But certainly, this is kind of like getting involved with a mob. I never liked it. They eventually just run you broke and burned down your restaurant, as we saw in Goodfellas. That's generally how it works out. You just don't want to be around them to begin with. I don't know if there's that much money in Russia anyway, but my guess is it escalates, doesn't de-escalate from very long. As far as if you just looked at the chart, didn't know anything about the background of anything else going on, you've got two gaps. This is the, you're right at what should be fairly deep support with this gap higher. And that's on the 28th of, what is that, February? No, February, 28th of July, he said correctly. 4.7 million shares. You've got less than a million shares in here. So it's not like that. But my guess is generally what you have in these, I've heard them called paper cuts. And that is the longer that we don't have resolution in the broader markets, even these with lighter volume continue to tick down. Okay. Hey, my clubs, Robert Barnes too. Anyway, probably legally there hasn't been a better source for lawsuits. And he's kind of a bomb thrower of a different kind. He just sits around and takes big lawsuits for more civil rights kind of cases. But generally he knows where all the bodies are buried, knows where to go after them. And he's won almost all of his cases. Yeah, Viva La Barnes, yep. Great, great resource. There's some others on YouTube that occasionally get pushed out. But great discussions. And they have debates from both sides, bring in people that don't agree with them. But certainly if you want the legal version of a lot of this stuff, there's a kind of a political and then the eventual ruling of a judge. And if you go through, especially his debates with, what's the guy's name? I'm thinking about, I'll think about it in a minute. But he's the old professor from Harvard Law that taught everybody for the last 50 years. I'll think about him in a minute. Anyway, there are three things that really matter in the market. There's the legal, the political, and the financial. Generally the political and financial tend to be smaller parts of the overall market. In the rare cases like today, though, I think they are the only thing that rules. Okay, let's come back here and look at it. And we're kind of just stuck at this level here where everybody's hiding out. 143.93 on the TLT. Got a question on the dollar where that is headed. So we'll take a look at that. Come on, come up, Mr. Dollarchart. Well, even I had a hard time thinking that we'd get above 94 in the dollar, 94.33. It's the last tick. We got to 94.45. And of course that continues to put pressure on things like gold. 17.24 right now, down 13.50. Again, like I said, probably the best thing you should own is gold. And as soon as this turns around, my guess is that will be the same thing again. But generally in a declining market, you want to give it about two weeks before gold turns around because it's one of the easier things to sell. And then it becomes important to own. But I don't know if we're going to get that long of a downtrend. My guess is we will get this solved, but it'll probably be Friday or Monday. If it doesn't get done Friday, my guess is they'll goof around all the time until Monday. So as they say, wait for the whites of their eyes. I don't see a lot of reason to be playing Frogger out here in traffic unless you have a small time horizon and a fast mouse finger. Dershowitz, yes, that's it. 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So we got some volume, but like I said, I'm going to say two things. Watch the TLT. You see that thing back above 145.50, 146. We're probably out of the woods. Every day that they don't come to an agreement on the, what is it? Not, there's two things really, but the budget, not the budget cap, the spending cap gets extended. My guess is we're going to see that continue to move down. We're going to see the same thing, people moving into cash, and my guess why the dollar is so strong. And we're going to see a gold weakening, and we're going to see massive return to the normal as soon as it's settled. But you're sitting there with a hand grenade in your hand all the time when that news comes out. You're going to, like I said, you're going to have to be very fast. My guess though is it isn't settled early for the reasons said earlier. And that's it. We're going to see some of the worst markets here in stew. And some of the worst markets I've ever been in for being bearish have been like this, i.e. nothing's happened. No one decided to act. And then finally after everything blows up, everybody kind of stands around and looks at each other and goes, well, maybe we should do something now. And then that is taken off the table. But in the meantime, the damage continues to be done. Now maybe we close a little higher today. Maybe they're pushing some stuff around. But I'm kind of looking at that TLT as the northern star in what we're doing here. And as it continues to go lower, I think a lot of people trying to get in front of this are just looking at yet another gap down tomorrow. So if you play this for today, I don't have a problem with that. But I would want to be out by the close just in case you don't get the deal that everybody's promising you. And that's kind of it. Okay, some other questions out here for what's going on. You talked about SNAP being the best house in a bad neighborhood. So we'll look at that very quickly. Two, okay. Yeah. A lot of these things look like they could come back. Man, you would love SNAP back at about 6750. Everybody would be screaming and hollering. And that would be great. Okay. You know, the problem is every one of these is just going to turn around. As soon as we get a real deal, they may even bounce on a fake deal. But they're probably not going to find the kind of people they really want until we get the real deal out here. Kind of up where we were yesterday when it all turned south in the last 30 minutes with market on close orders, as John from Philadelphia said in the den yesterday. You got to watch out for those. That gives you a good indication of what the big street guys are thinking about. But that's it. So anyway, SNAP 6750, best house and a bad neighborhood. We look at a fascist book. You know, you're down here. You did get a little lighter volume than we've seen in the past. But yesterday did kind of, I mean, you had, you could look at it two ways. You can look at the heavy volume on the 22nd of September as being 4.4, 44 million chairs and being retested by 21 million chairs. But what you should have done is had a move back above the three by three or nine day today to confirm that. You get lighter volume. You get no bounce. You want to keep a look at it. Two, you're still going against fairly light volume at that July 20th low at 33450. These guys will face a lot of headwinds. My guess is by the time we get into late October or early November, we're going to see all those antitrust suits come out and I don't think the people on Wall Street are naive to know that those are coming too. How well they're going to work is another problem. But you know, if you're a CEO of Facebook, you're going to look at spending half your time like Bill Gates did in 2000 in defending this. Maybe you're less of a narcissist than he was, but I'm banking on Zuckerberg being more of a narcissist than Bill Gates was. Other things going on. That means that they will not do well in depositions, which they actually show a lot of people the deposition that Bill Gates did and the one that Jerry Lewis did has stark reminders of how to handle yourself when you're talking to opposing counsel. But I do digress. Okay, we are coming back. What else do we have here? Question about AMD. I like AMD down and around here. I think you could get 99 again. The problem you have today is the volume is a little high. It's going to exceed the September 20th low. So maybe you get 92, 93 over the next couple of days. I mean, if you're a trader and you have a little bit of patience, I think you want all this stuff to drag out for a handful of days. You want it to sit there and be the proverbial paper cut. That is one where it's not much, but it hurts. And you know what? It just continues. You can't make it stop. It just bleeds and bleeds and bleeds. Ideally, 92 would be the Mount Rushmore of buys, I think, on AMD. As long as you have the volume kind of remain low here, it's not horrific. You're just in the doji of yesterday. And again, we get a deal, a real deal tonight, not a rumor of a deal, not Schumer coming out and saying he's got a deal. But we see that TLT bounce probably two bucks. I think that will be the time to tell you that it's time to get back and be active buying and being long. Mostly everything handling or holding fairly good here today. So everybody's going to be, you know what? Maybe I'll hold for another day. I just suspect that everybody thinks it gets done tonight and it doesn't, and we gap down one more time. That one would really, I would really like, I'm not predicting it. I'm just saying that it's more than likely, not guarantee, that you gap back down and blow everybody out that's been buying you for the last couple of days. Get them to toss their cookies right at the point where the market is going to expire. We'll be back in a minute. Tfnn.com and Tfnn's YouTube channel with Tiger TV live every market day from 8.30 a.m. to 4.00 p.m. Eastern for free. Each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world. From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money. Tfnn.com or on Tfnn's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be, Tfnn. Educating investors. Tfnn invites you to test Basil's proprietary Chapman Wave trading methodology with a monthly subscription to the opening call newsletter for only $149. Your subscription to the opening call comes with a 30-day money-back guarantee as well as daily market updates on key indexes, stocks, and commodities. Ride the Wave. 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That's 877-518-9190. Catch Tom O'Brien, professional trader and educator, founder of TFNN, also a special guest on CNBC. Tom will bisect and dissect the markets. The Tom O'Brien Show, next on TFNN. And others that are in PSLA. Hey, getting close, getting close. I like this above the 780 level for a possible short. You got three things out here. I would look at any clothes underneath the 3x3 as a sign that you want to short this. Now, this is always a little different kettle of fish than the rest. And that is that you get people to short it in the morning and get forced out in the afternoon a lot. There's a lot of people that are known as what, Tesla haters or non-believers or all the other stuff, Tesla deniers. You got a lot, a lot of competition coming. You've got some really bad news in what people think of Tesla in China, although they're still selling. It's still kind of a signal. My guess is that that won't last very long. And any kind of blow up dust up between the United States and China means that all of Tesla factories, which are actually financed by the Chinese themselves, will all be repossessed almost instantly. And Musk can go over there and complain all he wants. He may just not come back and just disappear like a lot of the other big magnets that, like I said, kind of leaning more to the political side than the capitalist side of China right now for the leaders of the country. So keep an eye on that. Other things going on as we go into the break is that I'm pretty much focused on the DLT. It's down 13, 14 cents. But that dollar is going to start hollering pretty soon. So when you can, not when you have to, make sure you have stops in. See you here tomorrow. Same back channel, same back time.