 Welcome back everybody, there's your pretty disclaimer. Let's get started. Like always, we're missing days, it's not really easy. Everything's good. Monday we ended up with a sentiment of going along. We went pretty much out of the way, I mean it's just so easy. Market no longer interesting. There you go, went along off here, nice and easy. Even if you missed it, you got the nice free trade back into this area here. And the reason why I don't sleep much, why I've been missing streams, because Asia's been active the last couple of days. Asia's just been great, the one moving the market. This is the one where you have to shift your sleep and pay attention to it. And I mean the only thing to note from Tuesday is the lack of the liquidity or lack thereof due to the fight. I mean you can see these bars are very one-sided, not really too much variance in the styles of candles presented to us. That's always an interesting time and we get those just because you always say okay, something or another either there's no liquidity or either our price is being coerced in the direction. Wednesday's sort of coming in much lower just off the back end off of Asia's session. London and session sort of consolidating, that's nice. That's always good sign for us, that's like okay everything's decently normal. New York for now within that. Where this was, we can sort of say anything past the break of here and retest it is always decent for us. So anything above this line here is always sort of coming in expecting to be bullish on. Because I mean I don't think we're overly bearish today just due to the fact that we've been, I mean we claw back a lot in terms of Monday end up doing, she just ends up saying hi. It would have been a different story, it would have been overly bearish because price coming in and seeing eats a lot of logs, but right now all we're really seeing now is a bunch of shorts stacked up before major sort of news event. So that's never a bearish or too bearish sign, that's usually very good for us. But like most of our news events that happen at 830, it's happening all the way at 1500. So that's always a nice time we have to sort of breathe and sort of say okay during New York, especially you probably expect price to try and make its way down once more to grab as many shorts as it possibly can. I mean you can see spot here, I mean that's where we've finally got buyers, but now we're back to this heavy sort of selling, I expected it to be heavy selling now, Monday finally convince people then instantly back to selling. We're getting a few sort of buyers here, so can easily sort of drop down a bit more, have more selling. Okay, but generally we're really red, that's always a good thing for sort of being bearish. And as already for today come signs and reasons to be bearish just because you are coming in and you are coming with heavy short. So you're already coming into pre some notion that okay price will be bearish, it's just a matter of execution now, that's all that's really left for me, you can see over the last couple of days you can see Tuesday, there's Monday, Monday the stagnating and actually consolidation here, then Tuesday just declined and finally brought sort of Bitcoin down, so Bitcoin went high, Tuesday finally brought it back down to the senses and now sort of back into sort of sensible here where we ideally wanted it to be sort of last week's close which is where we were probably expecting price to come back into and again sort of this here was a nice sort of extension for us or a surprise sort of pump I guess, not even a pump but it was a surprise sort of movement where they just sort of pushed it a bit higher decided because we went the green and not monthly green and then sort of coincided coming out of the gate now we're already finding ourselves down midweek back at that area again where we finished the expected price to sort of come in and sort of naturally sort of find ourselves higher we know that a lot of shorts ends up getting pushed just because the fact that it's just been sort of in directional where the unit monodirectional where it's just been going one way in terms of straight down we know that's always a good point where we are sort of adding shorts, good morning, that's about five minutes before we need to bargle, even if we think now we look at the sort of higher time frames we just add this area here because it's just a nice little consolidation forms here we're sort of keeping ourselves back and thrown again you can see the same thing for this part at least here nice little consolidation forms just off the back end of this volume area I mean it's probably straight there you go, that's sort of the consolidation area dealing with that's a nice little area here so anything sort of coming out we'll sort of grab a lot of breakout traders either way and again we can sort of question for them but again, back down so this is something that you want to see maybe there's this where you target if we sort of have that drop prior to sort of two o'clock we start being very aggressive into grabbing stops okay definitely look for this area here in terms of sort of bullish arguments there are not really many to be made I mean just looking at the overly negative sort of look that we have here usually expected to just go straight to hell from there but on the sort of off chance that we grab it it'll sort of manifest itself in sort of very early pump in the sort of day cycle so you're probably expecting it to push up first again if it starts pushing up it starts clearing everybody out here before anything major happens now you know they're just trying to get rid of all the shorts then they're just going to sort of slam it down here but we're also holding it out so hard to potentially do something like this then a pump up if you're bullish again it starts pushing very much out of range just doesn't want to come down sort of thing and that will be a bearish scenario okay there you go there's your climax at two o'clock you had a nice little build up of longs and then we sort of explode because that's all the advice you need for any sort of newsdays is pretty much doing the opposite of what the mark ends up presenting and you'll usually get away with sort of not knowing how to read as long as you understand that the reason why you're doing the opposite is because you're leading sheep coercing them then you're slaughtering them at a specific time so ideally you'd want to go against everyone that's sent to the slaughterhouse it's a bit of an imagery and again here like with spy we're sort of at that support area here so it makes sense that we've got that one last dig potentially coming out at us but generally speaking we're at an area where we can definitely look to reclaim some ground if anything in terms of the weekly side again we're sort of very low I mean this is our range for the week so far not even so far probably we're at the lows so this is a nice little easy area to target nice pull of liquidity for us and we sort of push off of that because most people come in and again you've got to think of retail retail will come in they'll say okay there's your flag anytime it breaks I short there's a break here or there's a break here wherever it is they end up shorting so that's what you're looking for then you are looking for this then reverse and that's why this is bullish when we go down with bullish when we go up with bearish essentially if we go up with those people who are anticipating short which we've seen they have been going short they get switched out they go break out long break out break out then slam down and essentially that's all the reasoning behind why you do the opposite and it's not really too much to it you just don't need I mean you can just have two brain cells and this should work out even if you just rub them together it'll be nice and easy nothing's sort of too surprising everything's sort of on the level you don't need to be a genius you need super in-depth sort of analysis it's just okay the reason why you do something is because the flow of order is against you that's usually a good sign because that means everyone everyone's doing one thing that means liquidity is getting stacked up in the other direction and there's money to be made in the other direction essentially that is usually why we do the opposite that's where liquidity is and that's where money is so that's where they can make money out of people good morning good morning getting that pushed down very early again it's not really something we want really one sort of bullish yeah definitely bullish again we don't we don't want it to early because what happens up happening is our engines are getting set we're getting nice up pivot it starts pushing high and by the time you open the market we're up here and we're sort of introducing longs which is never a good time what we really want to be doing I mean these guests is fine but for us right now because we want this to be sort of bearish early on so we can get this slammed down much later again we're just looking for that delayed response 30k? God damn it man you guys 30k's man it's 40k bro what am I 40k? it's a surprising amount of shorts and you can see that on the day view you've got all of these closed bars just here you can see just all the wicks just closing here very very sort of aggressively so you can see that's where volume is and again so as soon as you see it was that alternatively look over here and there you go you can see where the closes are that's where the volume is and you can see why I mean you've got the wick here but you can see why more times more times the closes will represent the largest amount of volumes and the desire where they keep the volumes we know that here a surprise here that's where the volume is but everything else came after the fact and we can see generally that's where we wanted to keep volume so that's why we're sort of bearish they're just sort of grabbing longs here so they're averaging longs here like when we get closes on the upside they're averaging shorts here the average shorts here the average longs and this is why we want to look at closes because they set a limit bit like okay average price we let people get pulled out here here and here but we're sort of averaging in we're sort of saying okay this is where we want to come in this is where we want to keep our volume and then we sort of jump up on it volume being here you can see that I mean it's in here but there's your sort of potential say okay if you go down that's where you probably get breakout traders essentially like always we can draw the trend lines to just lower people but that would be mean and when not mean people so carry on being mean and right again and just take these just what retail draws they buy the breakout they buy the breakout it fails and again this is where you're expecting to come in again so you're expecting to come in here just with as high as you make it but you can draw like that as well we can draw the wider one here it's up to you again like I always say reason why I don't like trend lines because the large amount of variations and the subjectivity subjective nature of it and it's just something that a baby knows like oh yeah growth goes like this it's following a trend so it's something that everyone knows and it's something that's easily exploited so it's something that you really want to avoid using unless you have data to sort of come in and say oh okay everyone here went in short so we're just going to go up anyway but we know that most people sort of buy this breakout the only time the short is when they're told to sort of say oh no this is a high sell, sell, sell and then they panic sell then when they panic sell it goes high then they panic buy then when they panic buy it goes back down then it's just constant cat and mouse let's see have we got new data no maybe they're just still printing or updating the website I don't think I might brush them I think that time coming in here it's boring right now because again with me it should be very short streams I don't know why they make me drag this out to an hour like I can end it here you guys know my opinions for today do you look at Aaron I think the only thing that I can drag out is looking at old coins so I'll wait to go next one I don't think most people can wait I mean you're waiting until two o'clock like I have time to sleep because I've been up since Asia I am exhausted out of my mind so I'm just planning to wake up before the news and it should be all fine nothing should come in and just surprise me I'm just trying to see if it's better there's not too much to go on making it come back and it's nice to break out for it still not back to all time highs so a lot in the tank but good thing for us is just because it's not news, new highs that means we get these points to reject off which is always nice so I can drag this out for a couple more we'll go into a sort of so I can go and sleep for about three hours I guess and wake up for the rest of the trading session at the same time I don't think there's any there's not really a I mean sure you have this area where we stop it after a nice little decline so you can definitely see it try to extend a bit higher maybe if it finds itself up here but again with today you're sort of trying to put all the expectations on whatever bitcoin does everything will end up just following suit so you've got to adjust everything to that now so now okay where's your down then where's that climb that you're expecting so are you expecting this nice little star punt and a push up off today oh we get expecting much less where it doesn't budge for a bit then snaps with it aggressively but we know that FOMC Minutes can be very aggressive and very fun that's what makes them so good to trade but new traders it's like it's like the complete opposite it makes it a nine-inch trade and build up for our area nice little blue area so you'll definitely see it go here come back down slam either here here push back up you've got areas to come into it but at the same time we've got to look at what these ones we've got to look at news I mean check coins for a little bit to just live and die of news they've got let's just call a spade a spade so you've got to treat them as such yeah it's there you go we've been preparing for this the whole week just have a look at it you're blinding me there you go no I don't want to look at you see all of it there you go 2 hours ago scarrows 63% midfielder transactions so going up to fluff maybe just smells just reeks of bubble just reeks of bubble yeah just reeks of being a bubble that's fine that's good probably just being bearish on this we've got to look at it if something is being speculative we don't really treat it with too much dignity it's just going up because idiots are biting in sounds like a wrongful I've been wild since I've done this in terms of looking at anything what's looking nothing in the horizon that's fine so it's mostly speculative bearish sustaining it windfall I'm looking for a second wind nothing to have a second wind to we're sort of coming to a logical high we'll probably see some selling I don't think it completely dumps I don't mean to be overly negative but we're just trying to taper expectations the things we've been looking at right now it's just okay this is mostly caused by a domino effect speculative news after speculative news nothing too sustained on those are the fundamentals and charts that's essentially how you do alt coins or shake coins you're unsure you can totally avoid all the news but just in case you go inside but generally you can see it's already at the bottom it's looking like the same thing as bitcoin Avax same thing here it's just the same thing just different variations this one's slightly different but most of the same thing where we're just coming in we've got a low area here at the same time we can easily push up and break out here it's just really simple here again exactly the same we have our numbers in terms of you get slightly different variations of the pie but everything should just follow suit here either at a low or at a high getting played with so everything's got a nice little low to it we've got a decent amount of volume accumulating short which is always what you want to see if you want to go long hopefully nothing comes out, I'm surprised here's ES again drew this bluff at retail but again when they get in here you can see that you get comfortable you get comfortable in this breakout and they get rumpled and I think it's their own fault sorry for them but at the same time it's just darts, it's not how could you be so you're demowally bad at this and then to add insult to injuries just they see this oh no it's double top and so being in double top you can see where they captured the volume just below this area here, nice little short throw, push it back down again we're just coming down into an area we're expecting a price to potentially bounce off of it's a nice, it should have been a nice little simple day we've been collecting short, we've got a secondary area we can test to, if we need that double bottom, if we need to do something like this we have that with most things but generally if it does this you're going long all hell break loose, yep that's my go maybe get a swipe in here and swipe in there but regardless if you're seeing shorts before too, you're going not even being as close, you're just looking at that and saying there it goes, this is short, I think we have what, 10.30 prior but nothing too major in terms of in terms of to dwarf or rather everything's being dwarfed by this 2 o'clock epilepsy minutes again you might expect whipsaw where price goes here, here then does something like this that's always a sort of a potential scenario you've got a plan for, where price may come this then goes all the way down and this then hits here and just recovers and just does some fallery but you are just looking for walls that come in, points where we're getting absorbed at to say okay there's a bottom, there's a top things sort of make sense, so maybe here maybe even here if they're feeling a bit adventurous depends on how much they want to sort of free up and allow to get out the market at the same time how much can they get if they go a bit lower and if they sort of push that down it's just that whole thing with balance if they've got a strike that is like okay if they go this down these guys get to go in profits yeah sure but at the same time do we get more shorts that replace those ones if we don't then okay that's fine this has been an exercise in racing time we got rid of these guys as well to add to the usual stuff that came about okay cool so it was very sort of a successful endeavor pull it away essentially that's the whole reasoning behind everything my favourite day for them so yeah my favourite day my funnest day and I think with that I think we'll end it here thank you guys so much for coming hopefully you guys know what you guys are doing today when in doubt just counter trade everybody always sort of worked out especially on days like this again like I sort of mentioned there's that early here based on time if we go down too early we need to correct it so we can go down at the appropriate time you're just sort of washing it until sort of two o'clock if it's appropriate then you enter the trade essentially we all along hopefully this should be a nice decent long day watch out for those stockpons don't try getting too long too early if you want a sort of safety maybe for entering shallow then slowly add as we go down actually no there shouldn't be any slowly adds should be a fast add again the main thing you should about today is just having things done at the right time essentially that's the main thing for today as long as everything shows at the right time everything should be good and with that I will catch you guys tomorrow stay safe trade safe peace