 Welcome to the weather forecast for the week beginning Wednesday, June 2nd. Yes, it's June. We're there. I'm chief mural just John Innsworth for Longmont Public Media We start out with a new moon next week. We these are all hidden on Wednesdays now So I'm leaving them the end of the forecast period. So nothing to see but Moon in the early morning hours getting smaller and smaller So let's take a look at our drought our drought conditions are getting better and better So just good news at least for this side of the continental divide So last week we had drought-free conditions up the northeast down here near Pueblo south of the Springs And then going to this week a large portion of the southern central area of the state has become drought-free Not a lot of change over here But a little bit of the colors got nipped back more rainfall has fallen this week on the western slopes and as we'll see There's some hope that the rain will focus more there over the next seven to ten days than it has so far We're doing fine here. We are Somewhere about if I remember from channel seven five to six inches above normal now So we have lots of water going for us Nationally if you take a look at last week you can and going into this week much the great plains the drought margins have Nipped back a little bit a little more worsening drought out in the west and in the inner Mountain West going forward So small changes again. It's not extremely hot in most places except the desert Southwest yet Taking a look at some of this beneficial rain up to 70 on Monday We had really close to an inch over most of the city over an inch here down around Balder We had inch and a third few inch and a half location and so tons of water has really great No, we didn't get at the beginning was the batch of thunderstorms on Saturday that we were expecting They hit north they hit south of us with a severe weather down around the Palmer Divide out in the plains Colorado Springs area like that a little cold air again came back in right in advance of the system and Stabilized the northern high 25 corridor, but the rainfall has been Monstrously significant so the yellows here are two inches four inches and just a huge part of much of the Eastern two-thirds of the state has received an inch to two or more. So fantastic water Don't have any severe weather forecasted In Colorado over the next three days and that's as far out as the storm prediction center goes reliably But you can take a look at the normals. So last week you had Highest chances here, Oklahoma, Kansas, Texas normal It's what you expect looking right around Longmont area in our 25. We're sort of the two to three out of the scale of eight and Go into the first week of June. You see that the severe region expected severe weather Chances much higher broader area on the plains and they do inch back a little bit further west in Colorado So chances of especially big significant Layers of hail on the ground type thunderstorms are gonna go up in June. That's our big hail month. So we'll keep an eye on it Let's take a look at the setup though. What do we have do we have these hail producing storms? No, we don't right away Because on Wednesday, we have this giant ridge finally coming into dominating the West. We have a low way down here We have the trough that was our stormy weather over the last few days inching out under the plains and looking at this surface We have high pressure here just your typical mountain triggered afternoon thunderstorms Then going to Friday the ridge is really expanding. It's just monstrous from West Coast all the way out here to the Ohio, Mississippi Valley. So We'll be very dry and warming quite quickly coming out of this trough So our normal high temperatures climb from 77 to 82 now It's normally going to be in the 80s That's where you can expect with 40s now climbing into the 50s at night and the actual temperatures see this time Just bouncing right around in the middle of this normal envelope. So no extreme heat. No extreme cold This is normal for this time of year. We have a chance of thunderstorms on Tuesday night into Wednesday, and then our dry spell is the big ridge passes And then we get into the afternoon thunderstorm chances We have moisture coming back into the stays. We'll see in just a moment and every day all the way through That's Friday Is just take a look at the sky to the west and see if it starts to darken and be ready to get inside if You're doing things outside So I'm putting this into motion going from Thursday Into Friday you can see this big ridge start moving to the east and expanding across the nation Into the weekend. Do you have this interesting little cutoff load off the California coast here? it starts to kind of interact with a trough pulling down in the west and By Tuesday Wednesday it crosses the state or right now it doesn't look like much in the ensemble But we do need to see if that turns into something more significant this week And that could be something that would give us some severe weather Trough continues to slowly approach as we get to the end of the forecast period. So we'll have something Stormy to talk about next week. This is precipitable water Greens are above normal amounts of atmospheric moisture and where it's been out here on the plains and on the eastern side of The Rockies it's now pretty Heavy over on the western slopes in Utah Northern Arizona for much of this forecast period So that's why I'm saying we're could see a lot more rain and thunderstorm activity out on the western side, which is fantastic It's exactly what we need Is that trough passes pulls in some dry air briefly, but then the moisture comes back into the state very quickly after that This is not as impressive to look at as it is in the winter when you get a good winter storm with the snow going around below But you can see that the storms popping up on the western slopes and up in Utah kind of day after day here before We get into the next week when we start to see the storms Make it out under the plains a little bit more. So yeah, that's good. Just good We can take a little break here let things dry out a little bit let the western side Stay get some moisture and we'll get back to our thunderstorms after that so over the next five days It's just a little trick of the model But we have a completely rain-free tiny spot right over a long amount So I it's random, but it is very little rainfall expected on this side of the mountains We got one inch amounts down here down into the southwestern part of the state and over the next ten days again The focus is more on the higher mountains western slopes than it is on the plains, but that's okay We can we can deal with that so looking out in the next seven days We leave the 60s and 70s of the beginning of the week We get right into the 80s and just stay in the 80s with nighttime temperatures bouncing around in the 50s It's not until Saturday that we start to see the thunderstorm chances pick up in the afternoon again. I Do have one more thing to cover before we go. We did look at our June outlook put up by the National Ocean and atmospheric administration and they've updated it and that might be because Last week we talked about the El Nino La Nina state going into neutral. It's neither Going forward for the next few months. And so they had Hired the normal chances of above normal temperatures for much of the west Normal down in the south central part of the nation. They're updated map which different scale Sorry, but it kind of cuts that heat back out further west and further up into the northeast and brings equal chances of normal temperatures over Colorado and Some below normal temperatures for the Gulf. It's a pretty big change and looking at precipitation They had us with a good chance of dry weather here moist down out here on the east and eastern side of the plains And the updated model now has more moisture For the eastern and southern part of the nation and cuts back that dry chances kind of moving it out of Colorado giving Southern and Southwestern Colorado equal chances of normal precipitation. So that's a it's optimistic another good trend so for frequent weather updates and Local news check out longmont leader comm. That's where my weather column is over there I've been chief meteorologist John ends worth keep looking up