 Hey everybody what's going on? I am Greg Sussman joined today by Gabe Marensi who's here to break down UFC Fight Night for this Wednesday night. What's happening Gabe? Ready to step back into the Octagon. It was great to have the UFC back on Saturday night. It's gonna be great to have it back two times this week again. So let's get right into it. Our main event is Anthony Smith taking on Glover to Shara. I know you like someone and there's a light heavyweight fight. Which fight are you going with? Well this is a fun fight actually between two very well respected fighters for different reasons actually. Glover to Shara kind of arrived at the UFC a little bit later on in his career. Used to be known along with Fedor as sort of the best fighter not in the UFC and he's had a hell of a run in the UFC. He's come close to winning a championship before but he fell short. He's the type of guy that could beat pretty much anybody except the champion. You know he couldn't beat John Jones and we can say the same thing about Anthony Lionheart Smith. Anthony Smith is a complete juridian Greg. A guy that came out of nowhere he's got like 14 losses on his resume which is quite a lot. He's got 33 wins too but it seemed as he got you know into his late 20s into his early 30s and he's 31 right now he's sort of found himself an interesting backstory about him leading into this fight. His home was invaded. He was sleeping with his family and he heard like noise in his living room. He went downstairs. He lives in Nebraska. He went downstairs and there was an intruder and he went toe to toe with the guy and he said I gave him elbows. I kicked him in the head. I went full UFC MMA on him. He took everything I had and kept coming back at me and everybody's sort of joke. Well I'm betting against this guy then in his next fight in a return to the octagon but Glover to Shara is not going to be hopped up on like Walter White breaking bad type drugs like the home invader was or at least we hope. It's going to be a fun fight but ultimately I'm not getting in front of Anthony Smith right now. The line is a little higher than I would like it to be but I don't set the numbers right. It is what it is. It's the main event. I'm going to give you guys a pick for Smith is 4-1 in his last five fights. That one loss was the John Jones went 25 minutes with John Bones Jones you know beat Alexander Goff to sit in four rounds man an all-out war with the suite as well. 7-2 in his last nine fights. Tex is on a little bit of a run right now. He's won three fights in a row. We'll give him credit for that but the fighters that he fought weren't as good as Anthony Smith. I think the age difference is going to be the difference in this fight. I think Smith is just going to be a you know too young too athletic to fall into Glover's trap. Glover likes to sort of use his stand-up and body shots to you know where you out and set up a submission. I don't think it's going to happen against Anthony here. Give me Anthony Smith to win this fight. Greg should be a fun one. Yeah it's a main event and those anecdotes are awesome game. I hear about Glover to share and of course Anthony Smith the whole invader. It could be a fun fight. There's light heavyweight battle. We'll see if Smith can get the job done. As you said the odds at minus 24 right now over a faddle. It's kind of high. We'll see what happens obviously on fight night on Wednesday. Let's move on to a heavyweight battle. Last week you and I talked about the heavyweight fight and hoping it would go past one and a half rounds. This week you are going in a even further direction right. You think this heavyweight battle between Ben Rothwell and OSP. It's not just going past the second round. It's going the distance. Yeah well please Greg if we're doing a video in like six months or something like that please like stop me from ever betting and under the Francis Nagata fight ever again. It's like that's four fights in a row. He's that was violent. I thought Gerard Zeno was dead. I was like oh my God forget about coronavirus. I think I think someone just got murdered and he octagon like the dude was not moving. He's a scary scary dude. The other heavyweight fight over doom and old Nick that went the distance right. So you know you roll the dice with this stuff but you're right Greg. Listen we're going to lay a little bit juice sometimes and we're going to you know we're going to get some take back as well. We mix it up with my picks. I'm not betting the numbers guys. I'm going to stay away from something that's minus three thirty or minus four hundred or so but you know I'm picking a winner and not according to the number and if it's an underdog pick fine. If it's the favorite fine you can mix it up and mix and match with pyreles two guys. Right. I'm just giving my suggestions for who I think are going to win the fights. So let's get into Ben Roth. Ben Roth well at OSP not GSP but oh van St. Proud OSP back story here Greg used to be a football player Tennessee volunteers. He was a pretty good college football player. Not a good enough for the NFL. Good though. And he got into fighting. He's OK. He's never been great but he's lasted. He's had you know he's had quite a run as a mixed martial artist. He has gotten better. He's moving up right now to fight in a heavyweight division. He doesn't really have a ton of power to begin with. And Rothwell is a big dude. All right. Rothwell is a big dude with a lot of punching power but he's kind of got the speed of Roy Nelson. Roy might be faster than him actually. Ben's not the fastest guy. OSP is very prodding as well. Don't expect this to be the fight of the night. All right. This isn't going to be at least in my opinion. I don't think this is going to be fireworks. I think it's going to be a slower prodding type of fight. And a plus 156. I'll take my shot that this fight goes the distance. I think it's it's the odds are high enough for me Greg to be willing to roll the dice here that this can go 15 minutes not a championship fight. It's 15 minutes. OSP is a really tough dude. He's a smart athlete. I think he can avoid getting tagged. And I don't think he can drop Ben Roth well. I've been wrong before. Let's hope I'm not wrong about this but a one plus plus 156. I'll take my chances. Smart fighter is OSP. He's just got to survive for those three rounds. Go the distance. Go those 15 minutes and you get that up plus 156 over at the Fandle Sportsbook and a slow prodding fight. That's good news for this bet. Let's hope it goes a distance on Wednesday. Up next a lightweight battle. Alexander Hernandez taking on Drew Dober here gave which way you leaning. This is this is the fight that could be the fight of the night. You know on Saturday night people weren't talking about the luke and the price fight and it turned into like the fight of the year type of deal. You know man there was once price got hit in the face and with no fans. I swear Greg it was like a baseball bat to a ball. Like you know like when Mike Schraut really gets one and you just hear that and you're like God that ball's gone like right away. I don't know how the hell price got up after the fact his face didn't get up. He did. But this is this is the fight that there's going to be blood. This is the one that both kids couldn't really get after it. Younger guys in their fight prime and there's a common theme here guys about guys that are fighting on this card. Most of them seem to think the virus is a hoax. Don't you about about Bryce Mitchell. I said this kid man he doesn't care. This kid's living in the woods in Arkansas. All right. Yeah he thinks this virus is a political ploy to take his gun away. Right. I knew like the whole you know you have to think about that. You notice Greg a lot of the champions some of them didn't want to fight right around now. There's too much going on. Other guys are bringing on. So now we get to Alexander Hernandez. Alexander the great. I don't want to call him a great. He hasn't done that much yet. But he is a good fighter. He thinks he already had the virus at a typical fashion. He said he kicked it. He kicked its ass. Coronavirus is scared of him and it won't come around him anymore. But what I like about this is he's talking about his training camp and he said my camp was the same. He goes I train with a bunch of crazy Brazilians that don't believe the virus is real anyways. He said I already had it. And even if I had it who cares. And even if I had it now it doesn't matter. You can't stop me. So this kid I like his mentality coming in here. Listen. Drew Dover is a tough kid as well man. Nice run five and one his last six in the cage. Hernandez is a heavily hyped fighter who's actually favored against cowboy Seroni. That was his loss at the UFC. But he's not in one of his last 10 fights. He's three and one in this four fights. Greg 27 year old Hernandez is in the UFC. But we always talk about fighters needing to lose to learn how to win. And in the UFC it's very very critical like losing in the UFC doesn't ruin your career. It makes you a stronger and smarter fighter moving forward. You're not going to learn anything if you're winning all the time. Right. Again you know so he sort of went back to the drug board. He's ready for this fight. I was surprised by the number here. Like I said Hernandez is always favored. He gets a lot of respect from the odds makers. He gets a lot of respect from the so-called sharps on the street all the time. So I was surprised to see him at plus 100. I'll roll the dice to take a shot with the underdog here. Greg plus 100. The number here for Alex Hernandez in what Gabe expects could be the fight of the night. Dover and Hernandez two good fighters. Two young fighters. It should be a fun one here in the cage. It's one I'm looking forward to on Wednesday. Let's move on to Ricky Simons battle here as you expect. This also be a good fight between Ricky Simon and Ray Borg this Bantam wait battle. And not only do you think Ricky Simon is going to win but you think Ray Borg is going to put up a hell of a fight here. You know this is going to be another fun fight actually two warriors two really tough guys at like to give a little backstory as well. Ray Borg's been through a lot. You remember when Connor McGregor went loco in Brooklyn and started throwing dollies through windows and stuff like that. Ray Borg actually got glass in his face. All right. He got glad he was on that bus that caught her through the dolly through he got glass in his face. He couldn't fight. He had physical problems after the fact due to that the injury. It's hard to be a fighter and have glass in your eye after the fact that I'd be able to fight again. He had issues being compensated for it. And then the poor guy him and his wife had a child that was born with some brain issues and complications. And fortunately the child made it but he's been through a lot. He's a really really likeable guy. I wanted to take him here. I was like you know I was my boy Ray Borg man tough guy. He's been through a lot but you know what betting betting on feelings doesn't pay the bills assessment. And we got to go with the fighter here and Ricky Simon. He's just a bigger guy. He's going to be two inches taller. He's got a six inch reach advantage as well. I think that's going to be a difference here. It's going to be an uphill climb for Borg. He's going to need everything to go his way to be able to win this fight. So I like Ricky Simon to win this fight. He's minus one sixty four. I'd prefer it was like minus one forty or fifty but hey it is what it is. We got to deal with the numbers that they give us. So we're going to we think Ricky Simon with the fight. Now here's a good angle for you guys here guys. I don't like laying minus two forty ever on anything really. But this is nice parlay material for you. This fight will go the distance. All right. It's minus two forty will the fight go the distance. Ray Borg's last nine fights Greg have gone the distance nine straight fights. Oh yeah. Simon eight of his last nine fights have gone the distance. So it's a 15 minute fight. Smaller dudes for my money. I don't have a problem with this. I'm going to mix it. I'm going to put it with some parlays. All right. And if you want to lay the two forty fine. I don't have a problem with it. But I'm just giving this to you right now. It's minus two forty. I'm giving you the numbers here. Simon eight of his last nine fights have gone the distance. Ray Borg nine straight fights have gone the distance. Give me this fight to go the distance. Yeah. It's a big number there. Minus two forty for this fight to go the distance. But it's worth it. Given those numbers that you're saying Ray Borg nine consecutive fights going the distance. Ricky Simon eight out of nine. We expect the same here in this 15 minute battle. Gabe likes Ricky despite the number there and thrown in a parlay going the distance and getting a little extra juice could be worth it for you on a fight night. One last fight we do want to mention and you go with somebody that hasn't exactly looked great in his last few fights is Michael Johnson Lightway. This one's part of the freedom card on ESPN plus and you're banking on Michael Johnson guy that hasn't had all that much success as of late. How come. Well you know what I'm going to take my chance here that Michael Johnson is going to old MJ is going to punch his opponent like the other MJ punch Steve Kerr and pretty much everybody else on the Chicago Bulls as we're fighting out. I'll tell you what Michael Johnson I think has been fighting since Michael Jordan was still playing and when since Michael Jackson was still singing. Michael Johnson's been around Greg. He's been around the block and you're right. You mentioned it. He's two and five in his last seven fights. But let's consider a couple of the losses. One of those losses was to a fighter named Kabebe. You ever heard of Kabebe. I think people know who Kabebe is. Oh yeah. The other guy he lost to just engaging. Yeah. So yeah. There's no shame in that as we say in the mixed martial arts business. He needs to let it fly. Otherwise he's probably going to be set free and he's going to fly away from the UFC after this. The UFC has been patient with them. They like him. He's been with the company for a long time. He's an entertaining fighter. But a lot of times Greg you lose three fights in a row and you're shown the door in the UFC is two and five in his last seven. They're giving it an opponent that he's needs to win. You got to read between the lines sometimes when you bet on this stuff guys. He's not fighting Gagey. All right. He's not fighting. He's not fighting Kabebe right now. He's not fighting a carnival Gregor right now. He's you know he's fighting a 25 year old kid who if he can't beat it probably means he's going to get fired. I think the desperation and the experience and the veteranship. This should be it's a put it there. They booked this fight for him to win this fight. Great. All right. They don't want to fire. You know what I mean. It's one of these deals. We don't want to fire you dude. So please don't screw up today at work. It's one of these deals. They don't want to fire up. They gave him an opponent he could be. Give me Michael Johnson. Michael Johnson trying to save his career right now in the UFC. They don't want to get rid of him. He doesn't want to leave. All he's got to do is win a Wednesday night. Gabe expects that's exactly what will happen. They have it. That's this week's Fandall hurry up previewing the UFC card on Wednesday night. Gabe we appreciate your time. Good luck on Wednesday. Always a pleasure guys. May the winners be yours. Absolutely. Thank you so much for watching back later in the week as NASCAR is coming back and we'll break it down right here on the Fandall hurry up.