 With 13 games on tonight's slate for MLB DFS We have a whole lot of options both that picture and it sacks and our job is decide Which of those options have the ability to separate on a 13 game slate where we need to find upside need to score as many points as possible and I do think there is one picture you can separate and Some stacks that are pretty good to potentially two pictures as well who can separate so I feel like despite having a Somewhat overwhelming number of options. I do still feel pretty good about being able to identify or also plays for tonight's slate So let's dive on in to get you set for Friday's action. Welcome on into the solo shot That's right here on the Fandall podcast network and number fire calm My name is Jim Sonis. I am a senior writer and analyst for number fire calm here to break down Friday's 13 game main slate We lock set for 705 p.m. Eastern for today Unfortunately similar to last night. There are some weather notes once again for today Rain is very likely in Baltimore for the Orioles and the Pirates. It may move out as the game goes along so Depends on the timing of it, but it doesn't look great there by any means rain odds a bit lower in Philadelphia for the Phillies and the Nationals Looks less rough than last night but still worth noting last night also kind of annoying but We'll see how that one plays out there timing of that and more But I think that came a bit safer than the Baltimore one There is a chance of rain mid game between the Guardians and the Astros They should be able to play but it's looking like it's getting there right around first pitch, but Hopefully just a late start and go from there, but we'll see on that one Rain odds decently high in New York for the Mets and the Braves This one is similar to Pittsburgh where I think it's legitimately at risk. So highest risk ones for today Pittsburgh and New York We've also got rain in Philadelphia and Cleveland. So check back on the weather situations for those Once things are closer to lock later on today We'll dive into the pitching preview for tonight's slate in just one second But first a reminder to make sure you're subscribed to the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed wherever you get your podcast We of course are not the podcast Spotify stitcher Google podcast whatever it may be you can find us there one quick programming note for us is that Beginning next week covering the spread our betting podcast is shifting to being a daily show so five times per week and As a result of that this show will no longer be going up on youtube each and every day So if you are watching youtube a thank you, I appreciate it. It's been awesome support all year Unfortunately starting next week will be shifting this podcast to being just audio So to get that podcast search for the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed wherever you get your podcast If that plan changes, I'll let you know But as of now, I would not expect the show to continue to be on youtube. So again, thank you I appreciate all of you who have watched youtube this year It's been a blast talking to you every time but I would note that beginning next week Things will be changing in that regard. So just find the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed wherever you get your podcasts NFL week one odds are out and now is the time to try fandal sportsbook if you haven't already Get in on the action early this season To help get you started new fandal sportsbook customers can get a no sweat first bet up to $1,000 Think your favorite team is making the playoffs. Who is your dark horse to win the rushing title? Odds for that and more are available on the fandal sportsbook app Just sign up place your first bet and fandal will give you up to $1,000 back in free bets if you don't win There is no better place to get ready for the football season than on fandal america's number one sportsbook An official sports betting partner of the nfl must be 21 plus and president select states first online a real money wager only Refund issued is non with trouble free bets that expire 14 days after a seat Restricts and apply see terms at sportsbook dot fandal dot com gambling problem. Call 1-800 gambler or visit fandal dot com slash rg in arizona call 1-800 next step or text next step to 5334 2 In connecticut 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org slash chat in louisiana 1-877-770 stop in new york 1-877-8 Hope and wire text open y In tennessee called the red line at 1-800-899-789 in wyoming 1-800-522-4700 or in west virginia 1-800 gambler dot net pitching preview for this friday main slate We got dylan sees up at the top of the pool. He comes in at $10,900 a fall by frumber of aldezz at 10 for nester court has faced in the cardinals is 10,000 eric lauer 97 shaman night is 95 with host a barrios in a revenge game 94 robby ray is also 94 with taiwan walker at 92 tony gonsolin is 91 with uh joesia gray and tyler malley making his twins debut both at $9,000 ian anderson corrie cluber patrick sandoval and dean kramer are the others at $8,000 or higher Now we got a lot of options for tonight 26 different starting pitchers But I do think one guy stands out and that guy to me is dylan sees he was my top guy here at $10,900 I don't think I have much choice but to rank sees first. He's facing the rangers here It's not really about that. Um, but they also don't scare me off 23% strikeout rate versus righties with a 7% walk rate. It's a fine matchup This adoration is mostly about sees himself We're up to 10 starts now with that forcing with fewer forcing fastballs and more sliders on sees and he has a 2.85 skill interactive ERA in that time He's The only guy below three in terms of skill interactive ERA and each guy's most relevant sample and his strikeout rate Is 34 percent that is 6 percentage points higher than everybody else in their most relevant sample He does all that while also letting up a hard hit rate of just 31 percent That's also best on the slate. So best the era best strikeout rate best hard hit rate That's really tough to do and that's all reflected in the results that sees has had he has an o 62 e r a in the span He has not let up multiple earned runs in any of these games Granted there have been seven honored runs, but hey, they're on their end for a reason I've got sees projected for 7.6 strikeouts tonight, which is the largest on the slate by a decent amount I think he's absolutely the top guy for tonight. I don't have a lot of pause in putting in there So to me Dillon sees separates in the packet is your number one starting pitcher on tonight's slate on fandall I feel obliged to put Robbie ray second and i'm not opposed to that even with a couple rough starts here recently The past two for ray have been awful He's let up 10 earned runs in five and two-thirds innings with four walks compared to just four strikeouts But both those games were against houston His loss in the second game was fine He was just facing the same super tough team in consecutive starts So it's totally understandable that ray would struggle in that situation doesn't worry me a whole lot moving forward That's in part because the current angel's lineup is a rough one against lefties just an 82 wrc Plus on the current active roster with a 34 fly ball right in a 117 iso That's not going to put a lot of fear in too many people Ray is also at home, which does help I think we can look at a larger sample on ray digging into those two astro starts I don't think there was anything too concerning there outside of the results But if we got 10 starts on ray with his sinker being in the mix and He has a 28 strikeout right in that time including those bad starts versus houston He has a 3.36 skill interactive eray his swing strike rate is 13 percent We did see this version of ray facing the angels one time with my trout back on june 17 And in that game ray went seven innings and had 10 strikeouts with one earned run allowed I still think that robby ray is in there. So I'm in on him for tonight I'm gonna rank him second behind cease. He is projected for 6.9 strikeouts That's second on the slate behind cease as well. So I'll rank him there too so to me the top two guys and the guys are the best upside and Maybe also potentially the best floor are going to be Dylan cease and robby ray Because of the strikeout juice they bring to their respective matchups Among the value plays my favorite is on the other side of that game. That's patrick sandoval 87 Obviously if he's on the other side of this game means facing the mariners and they're a pretty tough team But they're not as daunting of a matchup with no julio rodriguez That's one thing that does help sandoval He also typically is a high strikeout pitcher now I got a bit nervous about that part when I was looking at his pitch mix because In his past five starts sandoval throwing more sinkers and sinkers Typically suck. I always want to avoid them. It worried me to see that usage on the increase But the strikeout rate hasn't really gone down. Actually, it's up from his full season. It's 28 percent and that's helped The sinker has helped bring his fly ball rate down to 25 percent and That does come against some pretty tough competition with the astros dodgers and braves all being in that span So sandoval did have bad results there. I think his era is around eight or six somewhere in there Big difference obviously, but uh, not good either way But so it's not all sunshine and days to buy any means The peripherals are there though on the whole sandoval's had a decent year 3.61 era 4.03 skill interactive era. He has a path to double digit strikeouts I think that's enough to justify going in on him here. So Sandoval is my favorite value for tonight. I really do like season ray. So I might just build around those too, but if I were to go elsewhere I'd probably look at least towards sandoval Maybe from her ball does depending on the timing of the rain there in cleveland But sandoval would be in that consideration for me for sure So not a definitive to be out of my player pool as it's how value of the night So pitching pretty good between ray and cease. We got two guys who have a lot of upside and we can feel good about Stacks are pretty good too and that starts to me with the brewers They're facing robert dugger coming up tonight here for the reds he's replacing tyler malley in the reds rotation and It's a guy we can stack against with the brewers here dugger has spent most of the year down in triple a Wasn't a big strikeout guy down there. He had an 18 strikeout rates between his time With the rays and the reds in triple a with a 10 walk rate And an 18 strikeout rate and a 10 walk rate are numbers We'd stack against if they were numbers a guy put up in the big leagues But this happened in triple a We also did not see dugger suppress fly balls If you look at the star since he joined the reds organization his fly ball rate is 48 percent So All this adds up really well. We have seen dugger in the majors previously a couple outings with seattle last year He was with the marlins before that and if you look at his career in the big leagues He's led up a 43 hard hit rate with a 40 fly ball rate And I haven't seen a whole lot in the minors to suggest that those issues that he had previously have corrected themselves this year So I think this all leads to the brewers being arguably the top stack on tonight's slates They are my top stack personally and I think that they deserve to be there not just because of the match it but also They're kind of sneaky fun from a power perspective hunter renfa rowdy thales They're obvious guys, but willy adamus and colton wong both have ices above 200 against rights Luisa reos just below that at 181. So they're a really fun team I specifically want to keep using colton wong. I think that uh, the power speed combo Really fun. He feels second base, which typically is difficult for me. So I like wong I like the brewers in general and I think that they're a tiny bit underrated from a stacking perspective This offense is kind of fun and we should start giving them giving them more credit for being exactly that The rays are in play tonight for the second consecutive slates. I'm going to rank them second here for stacking behind the brewers They're facing brian garcia and we saw garcia last week in the majors and he's coming back up for today He's still getting stretched out as a starter. I've gotten projected for 75 pitches for tonight But the numbers here are concerning Dan Zamborsky zips over at fangrass his projection system projects garcia for a 5.6 Or a fit as a starter in the majors and that's in large part due to Tough plate discipline numbers He had a low strikeout rate and a high walk rate and he's not a ground ball guy He spent most of the year down in triple a his fly ball right there is 40 percent Now he goes to face big league batters and garcia held his own last week. He didn't implode And that was a tough spot based on the jays on the road But he wasn't lights out either to the point where we need to be super concerned about stacking against him I'm expecting some groin pains here because garcia is both stretching out and transitioning to the big leagues I think that's enough to justify stacking against him with the rays or tonight I think the rays are good enough to take advantage of a plus situation I'm curious what they do versus righty's isek paredis. Obviously last night we did see him batting third in that lineup and But the problem is they've got a lot of guys. They've got more depth than they had previously Versus righty specifically with the addition of David Peralta But paredes has been so good this year. He has a 226 iso versus righty specifically so I hope that their plan last night is indicative of their plan going forward where we get paredes at a good spot in the order even against righties because I feel like he's earned that based on the way he's played so far this year salary. There is $2,800 I think that is too low with how he has played so Definitely an on paredes for tonight is being a key focal point within our dfs lineups For the third stack i'm going on another fresh face in the majors That's hunter gattis who's making his mlb debut Facing the astros so welcome to the big leagues kid. It's a rough assignment, but it's also A really tough task for him overall because gattis has spent most of this year in double a he was there for i believe 1516 starts somewhere around there. He just got promoted to triple a two starts ago He's gotten strikeouts at both levels So clearly moving from double a to triple a has not faced him and it's i don't Think it's fluky either based on the swinging strike rates. He's gotten at both those levels too But the walks have been present and he lets up a ton of fly balls The thing with fly ball pitchers you can get by letting it fly balls like max scherzer does if you limit base runners So press walks get a lot of strikeouts that way if you let up a home run It's not going to hurt as much probably a solo shot Gattis could struggle with that aspect of it. He's facing a lineup of just professional hitters as a word phrase the astros to be He may get a slight edge because there's no mlb tape on him, but This start was announced previously. So the astros have time to prepare for him and I think that that matters I do believe that the unknowns here coupled with gattis's strikeout rates Push the astros down this list a bit down a third But it's not pushing them down far enough where I want to go with others above him So the astros to me great out is a very good stack here in one I feel fairly confident in just below the other two teams we discussed previously We get trained mancini here in an astros uniform tonight, which is pretty fun. I already saw him go yard once But the salary is $2,700. That's pretty low We talked about this before with dan voglebach tyler naikwin on the mets Situation matters a lot for hitter because it increases plate appearances it increases chances for Run scored and rbi's all that stuff and mancini's situation despite not being in an awful one previously His situation did get better. He has a 38 fly bar at this year versus righty's good amount of hard contact I think that when you're stacking the astros mancini is a pretty quality piece to have within those stacks yuli goriel's probably gonna bat higher in the order than mancini, but I think i'd rather use mancini among the secondary options So mancini a big upgrade here with the astros pretty fun batter fun story as well So I think the train mancini a guy worthy of our attention and someone I rank above goriel among the non stud options I mean, I didn't use the stud but like among the non like super high salary guys within these astros stacks Let's go now to things to watch the yankies are just a hair behind the astros for stacking for tonight They're facing dakota hudson, which is part of why they're a bit lower hudson is annoying to stack against he gets a lot of ground balls, but That's less true when he's facing righty's than it is with lefties righties get more fly balls versus hudson than lefties do So i'm fine stacking the yankies Skewing towards the righties here to mitigate hudson's ground ball rate So torres donaldson judge etc etc those guys all grading out well After you account for hudson's platoon splits and other issues i'm not going to stack the pirates tonight because they've been gutted And also the rain potentially there, but i'm finding some one-offs here at the rain ones that being okay They're facing dean kramer who's letting up a lot of fly balls a lot of hard contact right now That's a pretty tough combo to find on this slate beyond the top three stacks So o'neill cruise brian reynolds both those guys very much in play assuming the weather allows us to stack them for today Finally if you want to be a bit different tonight I might check out the cardinals for stacking. They're facing nester cortex. Obviously I don't want to stack against nester cortex, but hasn't been as electric recently letting up a lot of fly balls Getting fewer strikeouts the cardinals. We know obliterate lefties I don't think it's totally outrageous on a large slate to give yourself to give them a sniff if you want to be a bit different so It stings to stack against cortex because he was so nice to us earlier on this year He's a fun pitcher, but I think in this one situation. I am okay In tournaments where you want to get weird? Putting the cardinals on that list in terms of stacking for tonight Let's finish up here with some dinger calls for today and the boring one Not sure if he really counts as boring, but he had three barrels last night. Uh, that's branded lau Three barrels is like a an absurd number four hard hit balls. I believe for lau across that entire game so He's hitting the ball really well right now And I find that super encouraging because I love lau in general. He's a guy we've been Infatuated with in the past He actually has a barrel in four consecutive games so six barrels in the past four games for brand of lau He's seen the ball pretty well in a good spot I will go with brand of lau as my boring home run pick for tonight for the fun one Let's go back to colton wonk again Again, I know part of the appeal in him is that he is a power speed combination We're just talking about pure home runs here, but His iso is 200 and that says to me He can go deep 37 percent or 35 fly ball right this year. It's actually higher versus right. He's two Had a home run a couple nights ago I don't think it's totally outrageous to look at colton wong in terms of home runs Given the match if he's in given the way he's hit the ball so far this year I kind of like it So our home run picks for tonight are going to be brand and lau and colton wong Hopefully those two are fun enough to cleanse your palette for today That's all we got here for the solo shot on this friday again a reminder that next week We'll be moving to just audio for this podcast over on the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed We'll have covering the spread up on youtube in its place So still a lot of good stuff on the fandal youtube page, but there's different stuff We'll be talking mlb uh bedding on monday in fact So if you've enjoyed dfs and want to dabble in some bedding We'll be talking about that on monday up on the fandal youtube page for covering the spread But again search for the number fire daily fantasy podcast feed to get this podcast plus nascar ufc pga and nfl not too far down the corner If you've got any questions for me i am on twitter at jim sonnis j i m s a n n e s You can also follow the fandal podcast network at fandal podcast big Thank you to everyone for tuning in good luck to you with your mlb dfs lineups towards nights We'll talk to you once again monday. Have a fantastic weekend This has been the solo shot right here on the fan dual podcast network