 Welcome to the fans will hurry up for everyone here at sports. Great. I'm Ariel Epstein joined now by dailyroto.com's Ricky Sanders Ricky we're talking NBA today. What are you excited for tonight? Well, it's weird because there's not a single team with a total over a hundred and seventeen So you have all these teams with similar totals So what I'm excited about is there's not just one game for us to talk about like we did a few times last week There is a lot to talk about tonight, and I'm excited to talk about all of it His total on the board is the Lakers Cavaliers game with small forward LeBron James is one of your studs tonight Why LeBron James is just such a good play here Even without knowing the Anthony Davis, you know status on dailyroto.com He is our top value tonight, and we have not even gone bullish on his rebound rate because of the uncertainty Without Anthony Davis, he's at about a 12% rebound rate, which is what we have him and we have the usage rate split I mean, he's been about a 38% usage rate without Anthony Davis and about a 32-ish percent usage rate with Anthony Davis We've got him at about 35 and he's by far top value Even if you move him down to a seasonal total He's still going to be the top value at the small forward position at 10 700 in a game where the Lakers have an 117 implied total at home, which is the highest on the slate The the good thing for LeBron is if Davis is out I feel a lot better about his minutes being that he's the only superstar in the rotation And I think they would push him there if Davis plays I think there's at least an opportunity for him to play in the low 30s of minutes, which is not great But because of his massive rates, even if you lower him there, he's such a strong value for us So you can do all these things to manipulate his rates. He's still the top play for us on dailyroto Games missed the last game with an illness. However, Anthony Davis has missed the last two with a tailbone injury He's questionable for tonight's game against the Cavaliers in the Portland Trailblazers game tonight They are up against the Charlotte Hornets and you have point guard Damien Damien Lillard of the trailblazers as one of your Studs why Lillard again? Well, it's the $8,500 price tag that has us very interested I mean this matchup against Charlotte They have been a top 10 ish defense against the postman point guards for the year A top two defense against the position over the course of the last 10 days So that's not great But we have seen Damien Lillard push 10,000 and we've been willing to play to pay it in games pass Now we've got them as home favorites big home favorites 10 points Against the defense that's been really susceptible to both the paint They're the dead last defense in terms of defensive efficiency in the paint And they've allowed a high frequency of shots Beyond the three-point line the sixth highest and those are areas in which Damien Lillard lives I mean either he's taken a three-point shot or he's trying to take it to the hole So I think it's just a really good correlation there with an underpriced Damien Lillard I know that matchup isn't perfect But that $8,500 price tag basically takes that risk into consideration more than it needs to The New Orleans pelicans are finishing up their three game road trip Where so far they're one in one a win over the nicks and then a loss to the boston Celtics You're taking advantage of their road trip here and you're going with andre drummond as one of your studs tonight Why do you like the piston center? There are so many reasons to like andre drummond tonight I mean this pelicans team just speeds up the pace to the point That the pistons are being implied to score six points above their seasonal average So should be a lot of scoring comparatively to the norm for the pistons And then you get no derrick favors who's their best defender down low In fact, he's probably the best defender on the team. You look at it. He leads the team in defensive rating He leads the team in defensive box plus minus and while you know Jackson haze the youngster has been an above average defender in his own right He doesn't play as heavy of minutes as favors was playing We've got him projected at 26 and a half which means there's going to be more jaleel oka for And also jackson haze is a follow threat. So if you get jackson haze and fall trouble early There's just a chance andre drummond goes crazy. There's a chance. He goes crazy either way We saw enus canter in 23 minutes. I think it was close to a 30 and 15 game Uh against his team. He just went absolutely nuts You know andre drummond has the potential to do the same. So I think you have to love him here Now it's time for our value picks and one of your value picks is only at $3,800 on fandal You're taking advantage of the oklahoma city thunder here. Who's your first pick tonight? Well, I think this entire minnesota team is worth targeting I mean, we'll get to another player on this team, but their last two games have been blowouts both of them I mean even last game and we had like a 16 point discrepancy It was a big fourth quarter from their opponent to get it there So basically they've been playing in these massive massive blowouts and shabazzon apiers played 20 minutes in each of those games. So game log watchers are going to be like why are his minutes down? And it's clearly been the game context and if you look at it He's basically averaged 30 minutes per game this month prior to that two game stretch We're projecting 24 and a half minutes tonight So we're being conservative compared to where he had been in non blowouts And he's still projecting is one of the best per dollar options on the slate because He's a 21 percent usage rate sort of player And we've got him at over a 31 percent use or assist rate baseline rather In a game that should be competitive and you look at this thunder team that does have chris paul even with him 20th in defensive efficiency against opposing point guards. So if you assume shabazzon apiers last few games have just been You know Something that you shouldn't take into consideration. Then all of a sudden this $3,800 price tag looks great You said you have another timbrewolves player to talk about as a value pick. Why are you going with the timbrewolves center here? Yeah, gorgie jang with carl anthony towns looking doubtful. He didn't go through shootarounds So we're expecting him to be out once again. I think that's a pretty fair assumption Is a guy who's averaging over 29 fan dual fantasy points in the month of january and now there was one explosion game in there But you look at it. He has not played 20 minutes in back-to-back games and even in those games We've seen over 26 And 32 fan dual fantasy points in both those games Now if you assume that he missed out on a stint each of those games All of a sudden this is a great spot for him against an oklahoma city thunder team That ranks a league average against opposing centers Obviously the matchup against steven adams isn't great, but he's priced just a thousand above the bare minimum It's almost like the fan dual pricing has baked in the risk of the last two games And now you have a competitive game environment. So as long as this one stays close I think these price tags and the timbrewolves are just too cheap Your last stud seems to have a little bit of discrepancy depending on if anthony davis plays tonight for the los angeles lakers against the cleveland Cavaliers who would you say is your final stud of tonight's slate of games? Yeah, so kyle kuzma is hinging on the status of anthony davis I mean if anthony davis does not play We are talking about a guy who is still priced below 5000 despite the fact He scored at least 27 fan dual fantasy points in each of the games that anthony davis has set out Over the course of his last two games and mind you the last game was without lebron jam So this is probably overselling it. He scored 62 real points The lakers have 117 point applied total. It's unclear whether they're assuming anthony davis in But if they're not this is just a big total for a team with one superstar and kyle kuzma has clearly shown He is number two in the offense when anthony davis is out. So I think you have to love him If we get anthony davis in I think bruce brown as another member of that pistons team The starting point guard the guy who usually doesn't start the second half a point guard But plays enough minutes to get you there. I think he would be the fill in value Yeah, you can't really look at kuzma for the season totals You have to look at him in the last two games without anthony davis And he for sure has been a huge help to people's fantasy lineups at dailyroto.com's ricky sanders ricky. Thanks for joining us Thanks for having me as always. We'll have an nba recap of your fantasy players tomorrow morning right here However from everyone here at sports grid. I'm aria lebsdine. Enjoy all seven games tonight in the nba