 18 penodol gynhyrch yn ystafell yn Yngyrchuriaid yn Yngyrchuriaid yn Febrer 25, y dyfyniadau newydd yn ymlaen i gyd yn 29 mai, ac yn ysgrifennu'r amgueddfeydd chi'n meddwl i gyd yn ymlaeni'r Yngyrchuriaid, ymwyaf, ymgyrchynedd ein tyfn yw ym mwyaf a'r ymwneud, ac ydi'r ysgrifennu ym ysgrifennu sydd bod y fwyaf yn ysgrifennu ymwneud yn ymwyaf, yn ymwyaf yn ymwneud yn ymwneud yn y gyd, yr ysgrifennu ymwneud. Over the past seven years, government has invested over $12 trillion, that's about $26.5 billion in military assets, expanded the armed forces and focused on degrading violent extremist groups in the northeast of the region. However, public safety and security in Nigeria are still in a bad place. Joining us to discuss this evening is Charles Llew, a political analyst. We're going to be looking at the campaign promises of the different presidential aspirants, and of course what they have to say about security. Mr Ohto, it's so good to have you join us. Happy New Year. I wish you the best. Thank you so much for having me. Great. Now obviously you are in the part of the country where there seems to be a lot of heat when it comes to violence, whether it be electoral violence or insecurity, ethnic uprisings, et cetera, et cetera, especially in emo states. There's been a lot of burning of INEC facilities, killing, kidnapping, et cetera, et cetera. It seems to be an ending. The people obviously are looking to government, and when I talk about government, they were looking at governments at state and federal levels. But what seems to be the body language of these are leaders in terms of the insecurity that we're facing as a country? Thank you very much. I'm glad you mentioned the fact that we are no longer looking up to the government that is at the centre at the moment whom we ought to have been looking towards till at least May 29, 2023 when they would have ended up. The fact is simple. The government has chosen to believe what it wants to believe. It has also chosen to act the way it wants to act. It has chosen to believe the actions and actions towards security or the insecurity in the country at large, but particularly the scientists, is deliberate. How do I know? If you will take a casual look at the promises of the government on security, during your news review you mentioned very succinctly that over 12 trillion era has been spent on tackling the security challenges in the country. That is about the largest budget any government will offer or provide or propose for fighting insecurity since the return of democracy in 1999. The government we need took off from 2015 with the promise to wrestle to the ground. The very pertinent security challenge we had in the country then was certainly only because that is the most important part of the country. And today the government by its actions and actions have multiplied the security situation. When I said it has multiplied, I mean the government has deliberate about it. For instance, my last step today is Monday. I just came back from the trip. It was difficult to make that trip as proposed simply because there are rumours about sit at home. So people when I wake up in the south is to say, look, today people are not going to anywhere. They are not going about their normal business. And you see who glows hijacked the situation to unleash mehemi. So what would have happened? We have been talking about a Monday sit at home in the south as it is today for instance. If the government had not held on the kind of pressure they had caused, even against the cost of the land. The answer is applied, no. You move away from the case in the south. You move to the other parts of the country where the incidence of kidnappings there and there, even the heading of the local measurement of emo states. This has become like... Criminality has been taken to a whole new level. What is this issue? The challenge is simply because the youths are angry at the unemployment rate has increased from the figure it was about 2015 to an unimaginable level. I don't want to put the MBS figures because they are scary. But the realities we are facing in the country. So the security situation in the country today or the insecurity plug-in idea today is directly proportional or cost by the actions and the actions of the government. The inability to provide the jobs that they promised the youths. The inability to meet up with the expectations of the population. It's increasing the restiveness in the country generally. And that is where we are today, is it clear? I'm most curious because you see we talk about the statistics that have been rolled out. I remember just at the close of 2022 I ran through some of the events. The major events that happened in 2022 and surprisingly from January through to December. In fact the year started on a very rough note where we had killings and slaughtering and massacres all the way down to the end. I mean the only good thing that we could have positively pointed to was the passing of the PIB, the electoral act and of course the young lady Tobias Mousson who broke a 16-year-old world record. Apart from that, all that we recorded in this country was one mayhem, one violence, one killing, one negativity after the other. And it makes me wonder where we all as Nigerians come in here because yes the box stops at the table of our governors, presidents, our legislators but how well have we held our own as the people who seem to be victims of these perpetration of violence or killings? What are we doing to make sure that our leaders are accountable to us as opposed to just talking about it and reeling out these statistics? Thank you very much. The answer from my end as I've watched over the past nearly eight years of the border administration, the answer from my end is simple. We are doing nothing and absolutely nothing. Why? Because some of this security and intelligence mayhem, you will agree that they have been forecasted. They attack only K-Ga of the K-Ga machine in the Nemo State Forestry. Some people have boasted about it publicly. Some of these incidents were foreclosed. The claim of Reverend Father Ashe in Cardona State Forestry is something that is foretold. This is a man who had been in the past couple of years been haunted by bandits, by a man of armed militia. That's because he's sticking to a fate. What have we done? What the security agencies do by time is to react to the circumstances, not to be productive about them. It mayhem, when you just suppose all of this with the fact that the Northern Hegemonie, Hegemonie as it were, particularly the Fullerney Hegemonie, the Fullerney leaders who are piloting their first of this country as it were now, have stopped their guns, they have stopped their guns to say, look, that the IGP must be retained. You must have heard the news headlines yesterday, even today, that the Police Service Commission is saying they are not aware of the attention of the tenor of the IGP. This are... Mr Ocho, are you there? Incidents. I think there was a connection problem with you. Can you hear me? I can hear you. I think these are clear cut incidents where the President should have tried to reduce his image and rescue the country from further security damage by just accent the IGP, Isma Mbobar Ahmed, whose tenor has aspired to step aside. His tenor has aspired to stand in his stay in office. Is it on what grounds? Has he performed? The answer is downright no. The Police, as it were, which is the basic... The security front room, according to the Constitution, rests quietly on the federal government, because we are not operating state police as it were. It's still has quiet not only on the federal government, the President, it's still has quiet on the IGP. The question is, what has the Secretary of Police done about all the security students' breaches that have been reported across the country? Campaigns have started, Marianne. As we speak, I am in a point, that part of the country is where people that are perceived not to be spokespersons of government cannot campaign. And they have been pockets of incident of violence. Not one, not two. All the people are on the daily basis. Many petitions, several petitions have been reached into the IGP. Why is the IGP not deploying the Commissioner of Police in a point, in a time like this? Because the Commissioner of Police is simply a full animal like in death. And that is why these things are the way they are in the state and the country at large. So you're telling me that the reason why we're having these problems is because ethnicity has found its way into security? I'm trying to understand this. What does where the IGP come from or where the Commissioner of Police comes from have to do with how security issues are being handled within the state? What does that have to do with anything? It has so much to do. I've heard that the government of Ebonian Forest has posted several publicly that as far as the IGP is there, the CP can not be removed. So those of us who are Ebonians, who are much across the states, who have tested the rights, who have spoken up about the activities of Ebonian Forest. We are wondering what is so difficult about bringing in a CP from another state. There was a time, you must have heard in the news, that a CP from Canada was to be redeployed to Ebonian. You must have heard the news. A few days after the plan was pushed, the CP was retained. So when political actors act like this, they are actually in contact with the security authorities and that was clearly on the IGP. So what we have done is political patronage. We patronize people because they are from our plans. We patronize people not on the basis of competence but on the basis of what we stand to gain as individuals. That is why it is a criticism in this country that it is not going to improve even as we go into the election. Talking about the elections. Let's look at the different political, the presidential candidates, some of the front line runners. Let's start with the APC. Now, Tynabull's manifesto builds on the APC successes at the national level. I am wondering what those are. He proposes, I want to quote his manifesto directly, he proposes extending the ongoing security sector reforms by redefining Nigeria's military doctrine 1 and he also wants to upgrade weapons systems to establish anti-terrorist battalions, improve soldiers' wealth and revitalize the forest and border guards. Quickly, let's look at all those things that are put out. How does this address the problem that we have right now in the interim? If he were to be president today and these are the steps that he wants to take in addressing insecurity, what does that change? There is no sentiment, my dear sister, but the fact that, apart from the incoherency and inability to pin down issues, so specifics, in the very, very vague manifesto of the APC presidential candidate Bola Mair. The fact remains that the APC as it were the APC president as it were has no blueprint of his own. That is the truth. If you read what he has proposed on security, people have been questioning how many police officers are you going to recruit? Are you just telling us you're going to get some 1,000 soldiers and feed them with agbado and cassava and all of that? In specifics, what are you going to do to abandon even the issue of state police officers? He's not talking about it. He's not talking about the fact that, look, the police service commission as it were has become so handicapped that you could imagine where the president and commander is chief. We know it is his constitutional duties and right to extend the tenor of the CP-12, the tenor of the inspirational police. But then it must be on the basis of what is fair, what is just, what is acceptable, what is civil, called, competence and capability. What has the IGP done and achieved in the last couple of years? Mr Abola Mair Tnubu is talking about building on the security accession that is in place. I want him to know that there is nothing in place. OK, let's quickly go to, let's quickly, because we don't have time, let's quickly run through. Yeah, let's quickly run through Atikus and then, of course, that of Pete Arby. For the PDP, which is a former vice-president at Atikua Bulwka, his manifesto was very scant in detail and lacked a lot of action plan against banditry terrorism and kidnapping. It also didn't really necessarily talk a lot about Nigeria's primary national security threats. However, it does make some bold commitments. I'd like to put you through it. Atikua has promised to increase the size of the police force by more than 70% in line with the international standards. He has also said that he's going to commit to strategic engagement with state and non-state actors to remove policing from exclusive, that's the federal, to the concurrent federal and sub-national lists. Overall, Atikua is saying that in his proposal he's going to do a lot in terms of bundling our police. But is that enough? Again, if we were to give him the mandate right now, what will it change? For me, absolutely nothing. We change. But the man has said that he's going to increase policing by 70%. In bundling the inside, he will abandon the security architecture in the country, which is he's going to make state police a possibility. Just these compromises, they are good. They are fine proposals. But my guess is that we should continue to raise these candidates by their antecedents. What has Atikua done even in the past couple of years? That's a few months ago, a few months ago or about a year ago. We know about how the border was slaughtered and how Atikua rushed to delete his tweets condemning the killing of the border by jihadist full-animal Muslims in Sokotys. The truth is that based on Atikua's artistic anybody, any Nigerian who is believing the proposals he has made on security is living analysis in a wonderland and the person will be presently disappointed. We've seen the innocence of these persons regarding the safety and security of Nigerians as it were generally. For me, it is all good in paper that Atikua doesn't have the political will. He doesn't have the political will to act as he proposes. Finally, because I have just a minute let's look at Peter Albee's manifesto. The Labour Party's alternative is to blend security and national cohesion and inclusive governance as their theme. It raises a lot of questions about the aggrasp of the severity of Nigeria's security world. Albee actually acknowledges banditry, terrorism and organized crimes as central to Nigeria's security but his most significant commitment is to extensive reform of Nigeria's police to allow all sub-national units to establish and control on also their policing teams. Other proposals, again, like others, are vague and indistinguishable from the current government's policies. Again, the three candidates do agree that Nigeria has multi-dimensional threats to statehood and propose different interventions but then most of these interventions seem vague to us. Again, if this is the major problem that Nigeria is facing in security and, of course, on the other side, we have corruption and all kinds of other problems, how are we certain that these people will be able to solve our problems on any level? Well, on the put of this manifesto, I'm a bit not excited but realistic to say that I'm not also impressed by his proposal on security. You know, when these candidates are talking and they are not giving us exact figures, they all keep us in the deck. Yes, Obi has promised a reform, a general security reform in the Nigerian police force and security on bonding and all of that. These are very beautiful proposals by my dear sister but the truth also remains that at no instance have we seen the specifics even in the campaigns. The public campaigns and public rallies that are going on across the statistics of the country has more or less been not very far from the not too far from the utilitarian of jobs. We expected that these candidates, as they have visited the North East, make specific promises on how they will intend to tackle Boko Haram as different from the kidnapping for ransom and rampart killings that is going on in the South East. I don't know if you understand me. Yes. One also expected that these other candidates should be able to extrapolate the different issues surrounding the security in Nigeria and be able to address them region by region, zone by zone and then even step by state because there are peculiarities in Imo and therefore in Forestas Ebu Baku is terrorising people. They are not being so iranam brun and they are looking. How are you going to address that if you become the president? I think this is a conversation that we have to have again. Unfortunately, time is not on our side. But then of course, as people, we have to ask these questions. We have to be certain that they are able to tell us how they're going to go about it and not just tell us something that is a bit blanket and vague. But I want to say thank you. Charles O'Too is a political analyst and he joined us live from Ibu. Thank you so much for speaking with us tonight. Thank you so much. Thank you for having me. Thank you. Well, that's it on plus politics tonight. But before I go quickly, I would like to give you my take. Here's my take. Clarity is such an understated feature that is non-existent in our politics. That is not to be mistaken for accountability. Now, we talk about lack of accountability from our politicians because their time in office seems to be one complicated magic trick that no one is paid to watch. It's not entertaining and it leaves us feeling so exhausted at the end of the attention. The great magicians actually convince you to look in one direction while the trick is going on elsewhere. Now, when it comes to governance at the very list, you know, the application phase of seeking the job, what we need is and what we deserve is clarity. Remember back in school when your maths teacher would demand that you show your work for the solution to the completed equations? Well, that is the same that is required here. Having politicians who may not be experts on security or, in our case, in security come out with platforms that is anything but clear on how they intend to solve the biggest issue of our national or state of affairs is purely unacceptable. They have the luxury of handpicking a team of professionals they intend to go into office with and consult experts on academics who can draft recommendations and reports on the issues that we face. Now, without clarity on this basic homework that they are allowed to have others do for them, how audacious must they come for a job interview when they are so unprepared? So ask yourself the next time you want to vote for a person or you are trying to fight and lose your head over a politician. How ready are these guys to lead us into the future that we want? I am Mary Annacol. Thank you for watching. Good night.