 What's going on and welcome to the NBA DFS Q&A show. My name is Tom Vecchio. I'll be here for the next 30 minutes taking your questions about tonight's 11 game NBA Slate. Plenty to get to. We're waiting on a few injuries for a number of teams. As always, you can follow me on Twitter at DFS underscore Tom. I do the Daily ISO, which is our Daily NBA DFS podcast right here at numberfire.com. Also writing up three value plays for each slate. It's going to be a good one. We should be in for plenty of scoring. Again, waiting on a few injuries. The Jimmy Butler news, the Bama to bio news is certainly very important. Let's jump right in with Grim on YouTube. What do you think of stacking at Trey Young with Bogdan and Bogdanovich and using the Lakers, Talon Horton Tucker as well? I think you'd want confirmation that Bogdanovich is actually going to be playing for the Hawks. Of course, he is listed as questionable for them. I don't really think of his game time decision questionable, what everyone would call it. I don't really think of NBA in terms of stacking. I think it's just a good spot overall, all for them, versus the Celtics. And of course, Talon Horton Tucker is playing plenty of minutes for the Lakers. I think that game is going to stay a little bit closer than the nine point spread that eight or eight and a half now indicates. So I do like THT tonight. Of course, go for Trey Young any time. But the Bogdanovich news, you've got the way down for final confirmation. Stacking Me Too or Me Too, excuse me, with Hallibur in a Jalen Green and Alex Caruso. I like that Sacramento, Minnesota game a lot. Big, big fan of this game. Already took the over on Carltony Towns. It was 39 and a half, 38 and a half when it comes to points, rebounds, assists combined. I'm very, very high on Carltony Townsend. I think he's actually going to be one of the best plays of the slate. 39 and a half took the over on his points, rebounds, and assists. I think that's fine. Me Too, you get some value in there. I think that's certainly fine as well. Caruso, we know, providing plenty of point per dollar value. And Jalen Green, we are waiting on the confirmation for Kevin Porter Jr., who is, believe he's still listed as questionable. Yes, still listed as questionable. So there could be extra shot attempts to go around for Jalen Green if we see Kevin Porter ruled out. So on board with all of those players. We have Andrew on Facebook, paying up for Tatum and find value somewhere else or run with Bam and pay up at another position. Well, we have to wait to see if Bam is actually ruled in because he's listed as questionable. He has missed, just was it one game for the Heat at this point, their most recent game against Oklahoma City, just the one game. I think he's obviously in a great spot going up against the Pelicans. They are certainly weak on defense. 11 of the six most famous points we're going to opposing at center. So I love this spot for Bam. We just have to wait for him to get officially ruled in. I would love the value that we get with Dwayne Deadman who got to start the other night. You know, Casey, Deadman is also listed as questionable. So I'd wait there. I of course, like Jason Tatum, I think that this is a really good game for him. What the over under it is at, it was it's sitting at 214, right? 216 now for this game. I think that, you know, the Hawks are looking kind of average to start the season. And we know that Tatum is always going to be filling up the stat sheet for them. We also have Al Horford projected to be starting because Robert Williams has been ruled out. So I'm also high on Al Horford. I took the over on his points rebounds and assists which is sitting at 24 and a half. I took the over on that, really liking this matchup for him. Just an insane volume of shots for Jason Tatum on a nightly basis, doing plenty when it comes to the peripheral stack category, taking plenty of three pointers. So I'm very big on Jason Tatum. I also took the over on this game. I think I got it at 214. Just double check. Yeah, I have it at two, I got it at 214 earlier this morning. So I have the over on that game. I have the over on Al Horford. So I'm very big on this Boston Atlanta game. Again, Boston Atlanta, they both look kind of average to start the season. Not a whole lot of defense for either of them. DJ is asking me, any prop bets you like for the Bulls tonight? I would have to, I mean, I haven't looked at that game specifically. I think waiting on some of the potential injury news for the Trail Blazers is what I would want to wait on. But Nerkich, let's see what his points, Nerkich 26 and a half is interesting. Obviously if Lillard gets ruled out, I would consider McCullum. DeRozan's been super hot as of late. What's his points and assists? I would consider DeRozan prop. I'd have to dig a little bit more into it, but we know the volume of shots for DeRozan is obviously fantastic on a nightly basis. Low 20s, high teens every single night. He's been super hot as of late. What's his points, just points prop sitting out? Let me just check that because some combos, some people don't like to go to combos. DeRozan 25, you know, Lonce ball over 13 and a half. As I said before, he's been improving his three point shooting as of late. So DeRozan or Lanzo ball are spots that I would certainly be going. I also think that the one and a half line I think it is for this game could certainly flip easily if we see Lillard and Norm Powell ruled out. So if you wanna just take the bulls at the money line at plus 102 or just on the spread plus one and a half, I think that's also good. If Lillard is gonna be ruled out, he missed a couple of games ago, he played the other night. So back and forth with this abdominal injury. Andrew on Facebook was saying Brunson, a hardaway stack or too much talent there. I think that we're gonna see a lot of hardaway and Brunson together. Just the value that they bring and the roles that they should be playing are just so, so clear for Dallas with Luca Donicic being ruled down. He's gonna be out for a couple of games. I wrote up Tim Hardaway today, big minutes projection for him. We always know he can get those shots going. And specifically for Hardaway tonight, if he gets the three-pointers going, as we know he takes plenty of three-pointers on a nightly basis. We see Phoenix right now allowing the 12th most three-pointers made per game from their opponent sitting at 12 and a half per game. So this is like just a really, really good spot for him and Brunson to have plenty of shots. Really liking that. So yes, Brunson and Tim Hardaway are perfect together. I think you look to them. I think Josh Giddy is going to be super popular tonight. Who else? Dean Wade, I wrote up him as well. He's going to be super popular just because the Cavs are so shorthanded at the big man position. We know he's going to be popular. You know, I know a lot of people take shots on Yed Ayaspin and Isaac Acura. I think that's fine. Jamezi Mitu also should be popular, $4,100. Plenty of solid amount of minutes for Sacramento off the bench. And then we'll see plenty of Brunson, plenty of THT, plenty of Hardaway, and Josh Giddy, all very, very popular value options on tonight's slate. Kool-Aid is asking, is this only for DFS Q&A? I mean, if you want to throw me some betting questions, I talk about betting plenty. If you're asking for football, that'll be back tomorrow. But this is only NBA. DFS or betting, that's all fine. But NFL will be there tomorrow. So overall on this slate, I think the things could change if we get Jimmy Butler or BAM or both of them ruled out. Just give this a quick refresh to see. So no updated news as of yet because the line of construction could change for some people. I know, like I said, I'm very high in Carleton Towns. I think that this is a phenomenal matchup for him. Sacramento, obviously not good on defense as they haven't been for a number of years. Both teams in the top 10 of the league when it comes to offense pace, we're also dealing with, was it 227 over under? Yeah, 227 over under, one point spread. Like this is an awesome, awesome fantasy environment. So I know I'm focusing on spending up for Carleton Towns. Then obviously there's plenty of value on tonight's slate. So you want to take someone like Dean Wade, totally fine. You want to get some Tim Hardaway, Jalen Brunson in your lineup, totally fine as well. We have open spots, we're dealing with nearly 7,000 remaining per player. I think the way you can go about line of construction tonight is absolutely fantastic. You know, I know plenty of people are still going to want to pay up for someone like a Tetsukumo and you could certainly do so because there's still plenty of flexibility within your lineup. So paying up for multiple stars and going with the stars and scrubs built is obviously very viable on a 10, 11 game slate as we have tonight. This Indiana Detroit game, I know there's some value options there. Both of these teams have been trending under in terms of their overall games this season. 205 over under certainly isn't amazing. So I know I'm going to be limiting my exposure to this game. I think you could take some shots with Kate Cunningham. He's obviously taking plenty of fugal attempts on a nightly basis. You know, he's certainly going to have his struggles as a rookie, but the overall volume of shots where it was when we see and a lot of them coming from downtown. Also, if you can continue to build a statue to provide plenty of fantasy value on a nightly basis. Isaiah Stewart, also a player I've been going back to a bit recently with Kelly O'Linnick out of the lineup for a couple of weeks for Detroit providing some solid, a fantasy production as well. How do you look at the bucks tonight, Milton coming back, which concerns me a bit with the spread and how it spreads things out. So I am cautiously optimistic on Chris Middleton. Like you said, coming back. He hasn't played in a while. And I got to say, like Middleton's a player. I spoke about it briefly on the podcast, the Daily ISO today, where a part of me almost wants to completely eliminate Middleton from my player pool. Just as the day has gone on, more and more, I think about it. Him playing only 25 minutes, maybe 30 minutes depending on his conditioning is something that wouldn't surprise me tonight. Him being rather ineffective, shooting the ball also wouldn't surprise me tonight. I also think just looking at the shooting guard position tonight overall, the opportunity cost of rostering him over someone like CJ McCullum potentially, if we see Lillard ruled out, that is just too great of a difference. I would go to McCullum 10 times out of 10, ahead of Middleton. I'd also be willing to go to Spencer Dinwiddy. I would also be willing to go to Tyler Hero if we see Jimmy Butler ruled out. So A, the conditioning status, just how involved Middleton is gonna be fully integrated back into the Milwaukee Bucks rotation. A, that's a concern. And then B, the opportunity cost of passing up McCullum if Lillard is ruled out. And Hero, if Butler is ruled out, I think it's too great. So that's why I've been thinking more and more about just completely eliminating Middleton from my lineup. Bobby Portis or Tony Bradley. I like Tony Bradley tonight. I think that this game has some back and forth potential. It's obviously a very close spread. It's trending nicely with a 219 over under. So I would certainly look to Tony Bradley. I think he's well projected tonight. I had 26 minutes or 25 minutes, 22 fated points. So what we should be getting from him obviously just giving the other options in the Bulls Offense. He's probably gonna be producing under one fan two point per minute, but he'll be exceeding value. He's only $3900. So I would take Tony Bradley tonight. So again, Middleton kind of a player that I'm shying away from a little bit tonight. DJ is asking Dwight Powell or Miles Turner. Again, not super high on this Indiana and Detroit game. Miles Turner we also know can be rather inconsistent at times. I know he's been producing some solid fantasy points but dipping down to in the 20s, these random games where he's below 20 fated points is certainly a bit concerning. I would rather take Dwight Powell in a game that I think is gonna be very solid for value. Yes, we're not gonna be seeing him as the primary shot taker, but I like his ability to rack up boards. I like his ability to get a few above the rim field goals. Obviously not creating his own field goal attempts too much. But I would rather take Dwight Powell over Miles Turner tonight. I just think that this game overall and if I bring it up real quickly in terms of these teams, again, they're both trending relatively low over under Indiana is five and 10 in terms of over unders and Detroit is six and six. So this matchup does not trend well for a lot of scoring tonight. Just not a spot that I'm looking. I would also rather take potential value at the center position. I mean Al Horford isn't a value but I'd rather go there. I'm big on him tonight. Dwight Powell is 4,300. Me too, I'd rather take him at 4,100 over Dwight Powell. I'd rather take Me too over probably either of those players for being honest. And then Tony Bradley, both better options compared to Dwight Powell if I'm being honest. That's where I look initially. So this late, I think we again, we have to wait on the injury news for Jimmy Butler, Bam on a bio. Who else are we waiting on? Damian Lillard, Bob Donovich. Also Kevin Love, he's set to come back for Cleveland. I assume he'd be in the starting lineup. If by chance, he's magically ruled out that open up even more value, we'd probably see, would we get Taco Fall minutes for Cleveland at that point? If Kevin Love, again, he's on track to play, hasn't played in quite a while. He hasn't played since October the 30th. So it's been two plus weeks. He's on track to play. I think he's a viable option tonight. Not someone I'm like running to play, but I know I'll have a little bit of exposure with him. I have a little bit more interested in Dean Wade just because of the salary of 3,600 and even Isaac Coro also at 3,600. Those are players I'm looking to a bit more than Kevin Love. Can we go back to no multi-position, 320 points doesn't mean anything anymore. I'm getting killed by this year. I have no control over that. Multi-position certainly brings a new element to line of construction as it did with MLB when players have to like shortstop and second base eligibility. It's just something that you have to, I think you have to learn to adapt to. It wasn't, I have no control over it, but if I could go back to single position eligibility, I think that'd be awesome. But I think if the faster you adapt to it, the faster you can gain an edge on the audience. Now at the forward position, I know a lot of people are gonna be focusing on spending up, whether it's at Encompo, Durant, Tatum, whoever it might be, obviously Anthony Davis. I think those are all solid options. But there's also plenty of value down at the forward position if you're looking to pivot away from certain options. I think Doreen Finney-Smith makes a nice pivot because we should be expecting, again, Jalen Brunson and Hardaway and poor Zingas to be popular. Doreen Finney-Smith allows you to gain a little bit of leverage if either of those players have an off night and he happens to have an on night, I think that's fine. Cam Reddish, I spoke about him briefly on the podcast. I think he's also in play as a value options night for Atlanta if we see both Donovich and Kevin Herter ruled out. He's a player that could certainly jump into the starting lineup for the Atlanta Hawks. We already know he plays a ton of minutes on a nightly basis. He's the player I would assume jumps into the starting lineup depending on who is out in or out for the Hawks. So, Donovich Herter, waiting on that news because I think Cam Reddish presents a bit of value tonight. Thoughts on Duncan Hines. Thoughts on Duncan Hines, Robinson would be candid for extra minutes, it bothers out. So, Robinson already plays, where's the heat game? Robinson already plays a normal amount of minutes. He's in their starting lineup playing in the high 20s, low 30s on a nightly basis. The issue I have generally with Duncan Robinson is that most of his value, if not all of it, is always coming from pure score, where he doesn't always do a whole lot when it comes to the peripheral stack category. Like this nine rebound game against the Clippers is obviously an outlier, where most of the time, as you could see, 4.3 rebounds, 1.6 assists, he's not doing a whole lot. So, if he does not get the score in going, he doesn't provide fantasy value. So, the minutes are going to be secure for him, kind of regardless. He's in the mid to high 20s, low 30s, most nights, regardless of Jimmy Butler's day or not. It comes down to his fantasy potential. I think the extra shots will be there for him if Jimmy Butler is ruled out. I think that's the spot that you want to be going. And because the Pelicans are bottom 10 elite for the most three-pointers allowed, this is a good matchup for him. So, Robinson, I never look at it at a minutes question. It's more about his opportunity because we know Tyler Hero does a bit more when it comes to the peripheral stats, which is why he has a higher floor. And we know he obviously has a similar shot volume potentially if Jimmy Butler is out. So for me, Duncan Robinson is always a great tournament option because he can exceed value quickly if he hits six threes, which he can certainly do. And more importantly, what I like to look at when it comes to Duncan Robinson or a player, the player profile similar to Duncan Robinson is how many of his three-point attempts are coming in comparison to his overall field of attempts where we're seeing nearly all of them come from downtown, which is great. That scoring upside is immense. So he's like the ideal candidate because for a tournament, because if he gets hot from the field, like he could score 25 real points, like all of them from threes, and then he's crushing value. It is a good matchup against the Pelicans. So it's not about the minutes for someone like Duncan Robinson. It's about his opportunity. Mika is asking, or Mikhail I should say is asking, Katie or Tatum tonight, I would take Tatum. Just that game should stay a little bit closer compared to the Nets game. 10-point spread here. It opened up at 11. It was down to nine and a half. It's back up at 10. I would rather take Tatum in this five-point spread going up against Atlanta, higher over under. Yes, Katie could go out there and dominate, but we also could see him sit in the fourth quarter as he did last night. Obviously a different side of a blowout compared to the Warriors and losing big. They could be up huge over the Cavaliers and he just doesn't play full minutes. So I would take Tatum in that spot. DJ is asking, is there a bench player you would look to put in your fancy lineups tonight? I think that they're Chamezi Matu. I think you look to him, if he's gonna be in starting lineup, I guess that rules that out. Who would I look to as specifically as a bench player tonight? Only a bench player? That's a good question. Because if we're not talking about value at that point, we're talking about strictly a bench player. Well, Bembrie should be in for plenty of minutes because their rotation is thinned out. I think that's fine. Derrick Rose and Emmanuel Quickly are always candidates to get hot from the field and score. They are bench players, I think that's fine. Kelly Ubre could be in for another great game. I like this game environment overall, certainly looking to attack there. I mean, that's a really specific question. I kind of like that. What bench player specifically are you looking for? Buddy Heald always comes off the bench for the Kings that he just takes an insane volume with three corners on a nightly basis. I mean, nine plus three-point attempts in what is this, seven straight games and seven plus in basically every single game. If he gets hot from the field, he's a player that could crush. I like that. So yeah, so Buddy Heald, yeah, he's probably my favorite option. Bembrie would also be an option. Derrick Rose, Quickly, Kelly Ubre, I think those are all very solid options to come off the bench, provide that scoring boost. Hopefully they're not super popular. Christian Wood or Montrez Harrell, I would take Montrez Harrell. Again, this game environment overall, I think is very, very solid. Nothing against Christian Wood, we obviously know he can produce plenty of fantasy points on a nightly basis. This matchup is just, I think a little bit unantising to me. Just two bad teams against each other. I know I like a few value options in here potentially jail and green. I do like Josh Giddy tonight, but Christian Wood, the potential upside for him is rather limited just in this game environment overall. I think that's what it comes down to. Yeah, DJ, I think that's hopefully that answered your question. Heald, Quickly, Rose, Ubre, I think they're all in play. That scoring upside for Buddy Heald, especially in this game, I think is absolutely awesome. What about Yeti Osman? He's a bench player, totally on board with that. The calves are shorthanded and they are, they're generally running a thinner rotation. So this website, popcornmachine.net, I know it's kind of a weird name, but this shows you the game flow logs for teams. And you can see exactly what players come in and out. So Osman is always one of the first players off the bench for the Cavaliers, playing big 31 minutes the other night. Obviously the return of Kevin Love changes things slightly, but Evan Mobley is now out of the rotation. So I think it's gonna be like a one-for-ones swap. So Osman is also a player. I would look to playing plenty of minutes. And we also see that like he comes on the floor and he's taking, you know, five field go attempts, he's getting some rebounds, some assist, some steals, which is of course good to see that he's involved in the offense for the Cavaliers. So Osman is another player I would look to. Any Bulls players you put in toward in play, of course, always some Bulls players. DeMar DeRosin and Zach Levine are always candidates to have 30 plus real points, just due to the volume of shots that they are taking. Players that have immense scoring upside have it because they are primary shot takers for their given offense. Seeing high teens and low 20s most of the time, this 12 field go attempt game for Zach Levine is clearly the outlier. When his floor other than that is 17 and more often not he's taking 20 plus field go attempts. This is a player that we know can get super hot from the field and go for 30, 40 real points. And the same thing for DeRosin now. Now he's obviously not taking as many three pointers as Zach Levine is, but the volume of field go attempts is always immense for DeMar DeRosin. So DeRosin and Levine would be my two ideal tournament options just because getting 50 plus or 60 plus Fandal points from them is realistic if they score 35 or 40 real points, which we know can happen. Especially in a match against the Trailblazers team we know does not play good defense, a high overunder, a close spread. Like it's setting up to be a perfect game environment. So the Bulls and Trailblazers, the Kings and Timberwolves, the Celtics Hawks and the Wizards Hornets are some of my favorite games on tonight's slate. Obviously I don't think that's gonna be like a super hot take or anything like the Pacers, Pistons, Cavaliers, Nets, Magic Knicks, like these are much lower overunders. And frankly you can limit your exposure to those games outside of a few value plays because we know that the scoring upside in some of these other games is just significantly higher. The whole roster, DJ saying the whole roster, you can plan a tournament. That's true because Portland just does not play a whole lot of defense. I think that this game environment overall where we have Chicago, 22nd League when it comes to Pace, Portland is 24th. They're not playing super fast overall but we know the defense or the lack thereof is certainly prevalent for Portland. When it comes to, look at this, the third most three-pointers lab per game to their opponents, 14.1. 14.1 made three-pointers from their opponents per game. We look to Zach Levine, 13, 13 three-pointers in his two most recent games. Obviously an increase from where he's been. Obviously I don't expect it to be at 13 on a nightly basis. I also don't expect it to be four or two. So settling somewhere around seven, eight, nine three-point attempts per game for Zach Levine is where he should be and it's a great matchup for him to hopefully accentuate that three-point ability that he has against Portland. What about Hardaway and Brunson tonight for Dallas? Do you think they were both get more minutes? Yeah, Michael, if you weren't here at the beginning expecting Brunson and Tim Hardaway to be very, very popular tonight, just given their expanded offensive roles for Dallas when Luca is off the court. If we just flip to this real quickly, Luca off the court. So we can take a look at their offensive usage. I mean, great increase in offensive usage for Tim Hardaway. Dorian Finney-Smith, he doesn't change anything in his production, but the extra usage is there, which is obviously, I guess, net neutral. But Brunson producing more fantasy points, Hardaway producing more fantasy points and extra usage. That's what we want to see. We don't see extra production from Brunson from Hardaway. They should be very chalky tonight. They're both probably gonna play 30 plus minutes, very, very solid. Upper on YouTube is asking, is Lonzo worth a look tonight? Yeah, I always kind of like Lonzo as a solid consistent option. Most people will look to DeRozan or Zach Levine or normally Vusevich as an option, but his ability to fill up the stat sheet is always consistent providing a solid floor points. And then when he gets the shot going, which he has been improving over the past few seasons, especially from downtown, when he gets the three-pointer going, which he can actually do, I know he kind of got knocked for that in his first few years in the league, but he's been getting better at the mid-ring shot at the deep ball in these recent years. And if that scoring upside is gonna be there for him, combined with the high floor from his kind of sneaky double-double potential, I always think Lonzo is in play and $6,000 is a very, very modest salary. It's like you're not paying a whole lot to get a player that can go for like 45 plus points. So a lot of Chicago players are gonna be in play tonight. I will say if Lillard is ruled out, you could look to Anthony Simons. I think that's pretty easy. When Norman Powell missed a few games early in the year, we sort of not see your little step into the starting lineup. Both Lillard and Powell are listed as questionable for tonight's game. So we have to wait on that. We also have to wait on the Jimmy Butler news, the Bama to Bio news, that's pretty big. I think the Bama to Bio news is a little, it opens up obviously more value. I guess we have to wait on the Dwayne Deadman news as well, because Dwayne Deadman is also listed as questionable. But if Bama is out and Deadman is in, I'm looking at Deadman. If Jimmy Butler is out, I'm looking to Tyler Hero, much more confidently tonight. I still think Hero is a solid option. He would also be a candidate for like that sixth man question because he's generally, or he normally comes off the bench for the heat when they are at full health. So that is something to consider as well, because the scoring upside has been very, very apparent for Hero, who's having a nice bounce back year. So Hero would also be an option. And of course, if Butler is ruled out, I think Hero should be very, very popular. Tonight's slate, I think is gonna be good. The scoring should be there for a lot of these games. I think that the interest situation is, we're waiting on a few important players, but it's not a long list, which is good. You should be able to narrow down your player pool. Again, some of these lower scoring games, Indiana, Detroit, Orlando, New York, Brooklyn, Cleveland, I think is a slight exception because there's a lot of value there with Patty Mills, Bruce Brown, Bambry, Acura, Wade, some of those players. But some of these other games I'm not like super high on when it comes to their overall fantasy potential. Sacramento, Minnesota is awesome. Chicago, Portland could be awesome. Boston, Atlanta, I already took the over on that game. Washington, Charlotte already took the over on that game. And Charlotte on the money line, really liking some of these matchups. How do we feel about Grant Williams for Boston tonight? Do you think there's some value there? There certainly could be. The issue for him is that his overall involvement in the offense is rather low. And we are hoping that this game really turns into a back and forth shootout so he can fill up a stat cat, like fill the peripheral stats because he's really not going to get there for pure scoring because Schroeder, obviously Tatum first, I'd say Tatum, Schroeder and Horford are all going to be taking, feel and smart are all going to be taking field attempts ahead of him. So his pure scoring upside is going to be limited. You're hoping for like eight, 10 real points with him filling up the stat sheet just because the game is so back and forth. So I would consider him tonight because I'm also playing the over in this game. So it goes along with that theory, but on a nightly basis, I think Grand Williams is a pretty thin option overall. Let's look to Grand Williams real quickly at power forward. He's $3,700. I mean, I would rather just take Dean Wade at 36. That's the main player to me, just because the minutes are going to be so secure for Wade and you should have a significantly more involvement in the offense. All right, so that does it for today's Q&A. Good slate, 11 games, a few injuries to take note of. We should be in a good spot overall. There will be no show next week because it's day before Thanksgiving. We'll be back in two weeks to take your questions. As always, you can follow me on Twitter at DFS underscore Tom. Until next time, good luck in your contests.