 The following is a presentation of TFNN Trading Hour with your host, David White. Call now toll-free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-445-1044. Now, David White. And welcome all to another excellent edition of the Power Trading Hour with me, your humble lovable and squeezibly soft host. The following takes place between 2 p.m. and 3 p.m. And what do we have going on today? Well, we're up a little bit. Volume is very light. So I mean, this market's really kind of balanced on a razor's edge going in to news over the weekend. So we're expecting high volatility come Monday. Of course, the other thing that happens on Monday, the start of fund buying. We got maybe a little bit in here today, maybe just the markup part because normally they like to mark it up no matter what. No use, those 401 suckers getting a decent break and buying a little lower. But of course, Monday we go right in to fund buying in a shortened week. So you're going to have a lot of compression between Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday on that news. And I'm going to have the whole week and of course, back in for one day, I'll do Monday and Tuesday. I'm out for the rest of the week. And I think that's what I told everybody, got to know. I will be out the third through the eighth. So my last show is the second. My next show is the ninth. I just wanted to make sure. So yeah, I'll be out Wednesday and come back. The newsletters, of course, continue on always because the market never sleeps nor do TF&N hosts and authors of their newsletters. We're not allowed to sleep. As soon as we nod off, they poke us. That's what they do. So a little, as we said, up about 10 points volume, very light, 3.4 billion shares as we start the show. And like I said, that makes a market that's very brittle, very good news, could run the last of the short side of the market, maybe a good place to say sell the news and make a top. The opposite could be true, which is we pull back on really bad news and there's no volume going in light to the 4th of July holiday and a buying opportunity yet again. So either way, this thing flips. I think that there is some, there's opportunity for some fairly large winnings. I just don't know and can't tell how two individuals on the opposite side of the planet in Japan are going to think and react and decide. So I'm going to have to wait until they do because I know there's a big enough movement in this market that's not something I want to bet on. I would much rather have some prudent speculation once that in the market, probably some very good opportunities either the shorter go long. So I'm just assuming whichever way it goes, I'll play it the opposite way, but I've got to have it go that way before it goes. So it is quiet market. In fact, technology news may be some of the most quiet I've seen in 10 or 15 years. It's been incredibly, somebody that then says you can hear a pin drop normally even in, you know, quiet times in the market. There's a lot of technology news, but it is very, very, very quiet. I mean, he's right, pin drop quiet. And it's, I think there's just two factors. One is a lot of the big companies get all the press, all the ink, and two political news more than ever has swamped out a lot of the more interesting stuff. You know, the websites keep cranking out news doesn't mean that it's important or that you should read it. I went through all of it. In fact, I went through it again today just to make sure there's some interesting stuff that I think. But it was buried deep at the bottom of the pile of what the Silicon Valley press thought was important. So we'll talk about that stuff today with Tom O'Brien at 330. And they're fairly interesting things, but it's normally, you know, I've got stuff that lasts three or four hours, but it's not quite that this week. It is quiet. All quiet on the Western front, actually. Let's do a little bit of history and then we'll get on with the rest of the shoe. The following takes place between 2pm and 3pm. I think I already did that. And it's all just a little bit of history repeated. Yep. On this day, well, he came up with it late. On this day in 1914, Archduke Ferdinand. I don't know what a Duke is and an Archduke, but it must be like a bigger, like Lieutenant Duke or is it like a Sergeant Major? Don't know. France Ferdinand of Australia and his wife Sophie are shot to death by Bosnia and Serb Nationalists during the official visit to the Bosnian capital of Sarajevo. The killing sparked a chain of events that led to the outbreak of World War One by early August on June 28, 1995, years to the day after France Ferdinand's death, Germany and the Allied powers signed the Treaty of Versailles, officially marking the end of World War One. And of course, the issues that that that treaty had actually led to the rise of it off Hitler and the Second World War. So everybody's always kind of worried that the domino theory that really presided over most of the thinking in the fifties and sixties for world events kind of came from this. That is that one thing leads to another. What is that the the I want to say that's the clash, isn't it? One thing leads to another. Everything reminds me of a music song the last couple of days. I'm not exactly sure why. But certainly on this day in 1914, it happened and led to a lot of other things. Question in the den for the first one. I've got a couple of emails also in the hopper. You can email me at path at tfnn.com question. Can you look at snap? I'm in the July, 1913 boots rock in the Kazba always thought it was rocking the cash bar because I went to a lot of weddings and the drinks were not free. It was a cash bar. So on snap, well, I mean, it's all about Monday, isn't it? The downside is that I think if the news is good, man, the puts are going to be pretty much worthless for a lot of stuff. And of course, if they go down, a lot of that premium also on Monday is going to come out. So overall, you got light volume today when you go back to the 18th, you had 56 million shares today. You're down with 13.7 million shares. I don't know again to me right now, any kind of short term thing is a gamble and not a good speculation doesn't mean that your trade is that way. But for everything I've looked, the way I trade, I just can't find anything that tells me that I want to trade before I have the news on a trade after we'll be back after this. The Taz profile scanner is the most revolutionary piece of trading software that you will ever try. Wouldn't you like to approach the markets with confidence as you begin your trading day? It's likely that you'll be faced with lots of decisions in order to make the best decision. 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When we look at the rest of the markets and the futures and commodities, take a brief rundown that on going into the weekend up just 90 cents on gold, which is kind of interesting with volatility in it. Oil pretty much flat down 14 cents for crude net gas down another penny. $2.31. Of course, we had the Baker Hughes numbers for oil come out at one o'clock. Flat in the United States still a little bit of growth in Canada. And that's generally, you know, literally crude just gets so thick you can't pump it. So they really go kind of hog wild come summertime and we continue to see that. And the Baker Hughes rig counts. So now that they're kind of flowing a lot of oil, some of the other rigs are down for maintenance in the United States. And again, you know, most of those will be pumping pretty hard in the lower 48 when Canada gets back into the throes of cold weather to two. OK, what else do we have here for emails? OK, take a quick look at the SMH is, of course, this week, a nice push mostly from negative Nancy's or as Agnew would say, negative at Nabob's of negativity. We're all wrong this week on micron. It's still printing in the 38 or so. But that's kind of helped out the SMH is, but you haven't had a lot of volume. Everybody's still kind of in the camp of non believers and throwing everything can at this. Again, fairly light volume. Generally in markets with light volume, the go to position is to not be short. Because even if you're right, a lot of times they'll run the market and run you out on any kind of big news before the turn comes. So again, I can't see a lot of reasons to be short or long this until we get into Monday. But I think Monday, Tuesday. And then we get it in the fourth of July and kind of a light volume day on Friday. Kind of tells you that when we come back, it will probably have a lot of action on Monday. Maybe a little action on Tuesday. It's going to go quiet and then come back on the Monday after that, which is going to be what? OK, so July. That's OK. So that's the eighth. And that's really probably when we're going to see a next big trend. I've been looking in there. Some questions also on my theories on if war is going to break out. When is it going to happen? And of course, the the new moon is on Tuesday. The the articles of war that Pentagon always draws up for any kind of in in action. Always is to go in first with the stealth bombers and take out all the air defenses to do that. You don't want to be silhouetted up against a moon. So if you're really thinking that a that action actually happens in the Middle East, you want to generally watch for moonless nights. So that's first, second, third ish of the month. That's all kind of quieted down. Don't hear Iran really making a lot of newses or trying to really push the the issue. But you never know. Maybe there is something in the works, but it's, you know, more than anything, it's the quiet that makes me think something's going to happen generally when everybody's yelling and screaming. Not much happens when you get quiet. That's when you've got to watch. Anyway, if we get past that, of course, like I said, Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, even into into Friday is going to be a little bit of fun buying. So overall, you've got to kind of look at this market as half full, not half empty going into next week. So again, I'm not a big fan of being short into this market, mostly because a handful of people are more than a handful of people are short. Fun buying, short and weak, light volume. Could it go down? Yes. Could it go up? Yes. But more than likely, if I was a betting man, I'd say higher. But I don't I believe in prudent speculation. Anyway, my thought is after next week, we're probably going to have a big trend change or at least character change started around the 8th of July. And of course, the big fireworks, though, will be Monday, Tuesday with a follow through. So get your sleep this weekend because you will need it to other questions. What do I think of Facebook's foray into digital money? Well, they're going to be in front of the man come mid July. They're dragging everybody that they can find into it in front of Congress mid next month. I don't know exact date yet, but I know it's like in the second week of July. I don't think it's going to pass regulatory approval to this point. Just a lot of mom and pops have been involved in the currency exchange. I think with the history of lying by Facebook to Congress, I don't think that there's a lot of appetite to let Facebook actually come up with their own currency that they can track people with. And that's it. Listless. That could be it. OK, what else do we have here? OK, anyway, SMH is let's take a quick look at M.U. What's up a little bit higher, not kind of a light volume. Going back to what should be resistance, which is right above this thirty eight dollar level on about five days from May 9th into was at May 15th. That was that we kind of went into. That's about all you could expect on this first huge bounce from them. I don't know if the news is that good. It's more than anything else. It's the short covering. And of course, everybody decided to pile in and short that first gap day up and even yesterday. So my guess is people are shorting micron even more today. And maybe that pays off for a Monday. But my guess more than likely that they'll run it up to probably forty forty two on any kind of good news. And those shorts are going to get barbecued. Unknown if it's the Dallas or Kansas City or or kind of Atlanta kind of style barbecue. But barbecue none the less. OK, what do we have? Oh, I want to look at some other things. In fact, what's I get to some of my scans? Look at that fairly quick. OK, quick look at a Matt. A Matt's going back into this huge gap down from August 17th last year that came down on fifty two and a half million shares. Tried to get into it with ten million shares on April twenty fifth. Getting into it today with about five million shares. That's why I'm saying this market's rather brittle looking. You're up against very heavy resistance on the upside. And news can make you gap above or gap below. Come Monday, we'll be back in a minute. Path of least resistance is David White's daily trading newsletter. And if you're looking for active trading ideas, the now is a perfect time for a 30 day free trial to this powerful daily trading advisory service. David uses his years of trading experience to offer his subscribers his trading ideas each morning in his path of least resistance newsletter. Using a combination of equity trades along with options. David keeps his subscribers up to date with all pertinent market information with intraday afternoon updates when warranted. 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Can you imagine having a piece of property and having a $50 million price cut? This is an area of bell error. The guy has, what was it, 258 acres with an asking price of 125 million, now down to a mere 75 million. Seems cheap and reasonable. What else do we have? Got a question about McDonald's coming in over the ether. Can you look at MCD? I went short today with August 2nd options. Well, you got no signal yet. That again is my problem. I could think what's gonna happen Monday, but I got no signal. And generally the idea is to respond to what happens, not anticipate it, unless you're going with options, in which case, you had to buy them today based on something, maybe some signal that you did not tell me about. This is K from Myrtle Beach. And that is the problem. I wish I had a lot more signals to go after. I do not, and why I'm standing back. I don't know what signal you have, but to tell you the truth, this is what you have to do. If you're in options, you have to take a flying leap and go. So I don't understand why I would short McDonald's. I normally look for companies that have a lot bigger problems. I mean, once Boeing came out with the news, I mean, you see an issue that can languish for a while. I don't know what the problem is with McDonald's other than being overpriced. That would be my second question. Maybe there's something that I don't know because I don't follow them that much, but that would be it. I just, I don't know of a intrinsic issue or how Beyond Meat is gonna affect them or everybody quits that's working for them. Gotta be something, but that's it. Got a few questions. Take a look at G-L-U-U-U-G-L-U-U glue mobile. This one I've never really understood and I've never been making great calls on it. So I don't know if that was it, but it doesn't look bad. You're back here when the thing did gap up from the 26th of October last year on nine million shares. And now you're back into about, I mean, nice pattern. Looks like support, but you know what? I'm a big fan of getting down to about six bucks. I don't know if you get it, but six and a quarter is about where you'd wanna buy this thing. And again, like I said, come Monday, you may have a very different opinion about what's going on. Sale, which is a cyber security firm blew apart on earnings. It looked like it had been doing pretty good. We bought it and sold it in the tech insider and when it was kind of a fledgling IPO, a lot of things looked fairly good. Did not hold it into the earnings, thank God. Anyway, May 9th gap down with 10 million shares, back into it with 3.58 million shares on June 24th and you're back out here. Never, you know, you got down to 16, 63, you'd like to get a retest of that, do you get it? I don't know. My guess would be if good news in the trade talks are out, you probably certainly don't get very quick trade talks. And let's see, carbon black CBLK on that. Again, you've got to go back and look at the hack. Yeah, and this thing's just making lower highs and higher lows. My guess is that you'll have a lot of moves. Now, the one thing I can say, one of the reasons why I think right now that I'm looking at doing whatever the opposite happens on Monday is that we have so many of these stocks that do have lower highs and higher lows and they're making these triangle patterns. If we get a huge breakout to the other side, almost always those patterns are false breaks. So if it breaks down, I think it's an opportunity to most likely buy and a handful of days. And if we get a huge pop higher, maybe a opportunity to sell with a sell the news issue. So again, I'm waiting for, I think we're gonna get a ton of signals come Monday, but that's what I'm speculating now. Okay, what else do we have? Two, two, two, two, two. See what's on my list. A lot of people, we were talking about Dible, one of the stocks that actually made a fairly decent test of its previous low on May 2nd that had two and a half million shares, with one and a half million shares on the 25th. That's moved up a handful of days. But again, you're just getting no volume right now so you can't get a really good read. Electronic Arts, this thing could rip right back up to 150. I've been watching it for a while. The question is, when do they announce some of these games? And that's generally when these things start rolling is when they have a new must have game. But generally you want to, most of those things are queued up for September and October, maybe as late as November. And this may sit around and go sideways for the summer. You want to keep a close eye on it. Anything over 10880 takes this thing right back up, I suspect. Fortnite's kind of losing its cache and there's nothing really that's come in to replace it. So I assume that everybody will get bored of Fortnite and move back to some of the other games that are already out there. What else did we have on my list? Fizz, F-I-Z-Z. Okay, well you needed to close back above 4460 with a light volume. You didn't get it, you got 1.3 million shares. You did get kind of a reversal yesterday and a lot of volume today. I do not think that is done already. GoPro, well, we haven't talked about that one for a while, but talk about a huge stock that may run on good news on Monday. Massive short interest, in fact, let me do this real quick, G-P-R-O. Okay, and you got 18, 20%, 25%, 26% on the dailies. Okay, well you got a 28% short interest on it from 27. You actually came off a little bit of a high of 36 here in the last couple of months, but I do like this pattern. And the one thing that may really do well for GoPro is if we get tariffs and they cut a lot of Chinese made knockoffs out of the running or raised the price, they make the GoPros look a little bit better. I don't think that they're GoPro's doing anything that changes their outlook, but on the chart here, this thing gets back into the trading range. I certainly wouldn't be short this thing with your money, but if you're looking for some inter-day plays on Monday, take a look at GoPro. This thing could do a lot of good things, have a monster short squeeze right back up to $7.64, which is a pretty decent percentage move. We'll be back after this. If you're in the CD market and looking for a secure investment, the Tiger First mortgage program may work for you. The security for these first mortgages are building lots in the tax opportunity zone in St. Petersburg, Florida. 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The one that I've been tracking to see whether or not it was making a long-term high was Match Group. Hadn't done much. She had the big down candle on the 25th. Volume, kind of a reversal candle of the day before, but again, no follow-through. And again, like I said, I need to have a fairly decent signal of a break of a trend or a test of the previous high. And there just aren't that many out there. I have another question about net gear on whether or not it's bottomed. As I said earlier this week, you wanna keep an eye on this over the summer and see how it's 5G starts to move because this is certainly a cyclical business where wireless routers continue to have a lot of action every time there's a new spec out and the new 5G wireless spec for some of those new phones over the next few years should be fairly good. Unfortunately, that means a lot of people that know things are not buying the routers today. And those will probably be kind of cheap, but eventually that will turn and the business will come back. But I'm thinking at least a few months more on that. Sprint is in talks with Spectrum and others and becoming yet another cellular provider network. I don't know how that works. And that's about it. Okay, what else is on my list of stuff? Pacific ethanol, this thing has been down in the dumps but boy can it rip when things happen. And if you're interested in energy, as long as it's forced to be put in your gasoline, kind of interesting dollar play, this is down around 75 cents right now. Fairly light volume, the reason I bring this up is the test of the December 31st, 2018th low at 76 bucks with 1.9 million shares. You got into it yesterday with 400,000 shares. If you're a penny player, one of the better looking setups that I've seen, but to keep a close look on energy, see what else do we have on here? Reology, Holdings, R-L-G-Y, this one's been acting like it's consolidating a little bit. If I'm not mistaken, this is, now I'll just wait till I get it here, see if I'm right about it. It provides real estate relocation services. It operates through four segments, real estate finance, franchise services, company owned real estate, brokerage services, relocation services. I think that relocation services where companies come in and buy your house so you can move and not have to worry about having two houses and all that stuff. It's kind of a big deal. Although that is kind of gone to the lowest levels that's been in 30 years. So I can see why this thing's trading around seven bucks. A lot of people just do not want to move anymore and have to start over and buy a house that's already appreciated when they're sitting kind of knee deep in appreciated housing for a lot of them. Anyway, dancing around seven bucks, I like the setup in this one. And if the economy continues to improve, we'll probably have more people moving rather than less, RLGY, but no sign yet other than a pretty nice consolidation in this price range. Okay. And okay. T-Mobile testing its previous low, but the volume was about the same as the May 31st low. So you don't have that much in this one. He didn't break the previous low. Was a little lighter. Kind of a couple of sideways day, but much going on there. An opaque meeting. Okay, thanks. I didn't see any specific new news. Okay. Let's go here to the last few things. Tractor supply, T-S-C-O hanging at highs. Now here's one that's actually bucking up against the 107.98 high from April 25th. That had 3.8 million shares, tested with a million shares on June 7th, testing it today with a million shares. And of course this is in farm territory, mostly where these locations are for tractor supply. Kind of hard for me to believe that everything's going to hell in a hand basket for the farmers, but tractor supply up at the highs. One of those two things does not follow the other. Okay, question about Apple, AAPL. Yes, we've got a couple of minutes left. Again, just back into this gap down that had 35 million shares, got into it with 20 million shares yesterday, but you had close to 40 million, you have 47 million shares in the spike into there on the 21st. Not a lot of pullback and volume's kind of light today, the 13.6 million shares so far. But again, good news on Monday. This thing probably goes back up to 205, bad news back to 190. So that'll give you a little idea how much movement we could have on Monday. Is there anything else that I had on my list here? Uh, we'll check back in on IBM again. Nothing's really changed. She got six days of sideways on this, going back up into the gap down from the, what is that, April 17th drop down that had 12 and a half million shares. You've been doing about five million shares. There's just not enough energy to go back up there. And I've said it for the last few months, there's just not a lot gonna happen in IBM until they get their quantum computers out and selling. And that's probably still a couple of years off. Amazon, anything going on in there? And let's see. Yeah, you're right up at the highs, volume's fairly good. On Monday, if we get a trade deal out, 2050, test of the September 4th, 2018 high is probably on the shelf. I wouldn't be surprised if you got all 80 of that on a good news with China deals and so much of the stuff that they sell comes from there. On the downside, bad news takes you to about 1800 bucks. So again, about as much money on the upside as on the downside, maybe a little, maybe the same, pretty close to it. Not enough that I care. But yeah, if you're talking about total blue sky or total end of the world, that's probably the best bet to see what's going to happen come Monday, Tuesday. If we have really good or very bad news on the trade deals. We're gonna go to the break here. Just good chance, time to go check out the front page of TFNN. I've got two newsletters, the path of police resistance, the daily one, and of course the tech insider that I'll be talking with Tom O'Brien about at 330. I'm certain you are or strive to be one of the best of the best at everything you do in life. It's the most common trade that we tigers and tigers share. If you're looking to become the best of the best when it comes to managing your money, let me teach you to do what most wealth managers tell you can't be done, which is how to time the markets. I'm Steve Rhodes, author of Mastering Probability, and for the last 12 months, Timer Digest has been tracking my newsletter signals, which have earned me the ranking as their number one market timer in the nation for the S&P 500 for the last 12, six, and three months. 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Stratasys have been a monster day back up to the previous high on February 27th. That high up there was about 900,000 shares. Into it with about 1.35 million shares. We'll see if 3D systems came along for the ride fairly quiet, but still on an update on fairly light volume. I would imagine if you see SSYS continue, this thing may be ready. Yeah, I saw that. And see if there's anything else we wanna look at. Let's go back and check out the markets just as we get ready to close the show out for today. Again, I'll be with Tom O'Brien. We'll be talking technology at 3.30. All the interesting stuff that's worth a print. See if we've got anything else out in here. Okay, not so much. Let's take a look at that volume because that was the biggest sign out here of a lack of days of global market. 3.9 million shares, so volume fairly quiet. And let's see. One question about what happens next week for earnings. I don't think that there's that much going on after the bell on Monday, nothing, Tuesday. I don't think, it's just one of those things where you don't get a lot during that fourth of July weekend for earnings. But I'm looking at here stuff. And even in the Friday, you just have nothing next week. You come back the eighth. And again, not much of anything. Ninth, you get PepsiCo WD-40. It's gonna be light when we come back. So again, it's all about the trade deal. Fun buying next week. And of course, that's about it. Anyway, we'll see you Monday. Same bad channel, same bad time. Remember to sell when you can, not when you have to. And I'll be with Tom O'Brien at 3.30 when we talk. Take that.