 fans welcome inside our Fandals studios here in Los Angeles. It's week six. We're here to bet it. You're watching Fandals Sportsbook's more ways to win. I'm Lisa Kearney alongside the best betting experts in the business. Dave Weaver, Ed Egros, guys we're breaking down the biggest games of the week. We're handing out best bets and giving you best value DFS plays as well. Yes it is go time so make sure you download the Fandals Sportsbook app right now. Sign up for your new account. Make sure you plug in the promo code moreways1000 to get your risk free bet of two one thousand bucks. All right time to kick this thing off with the undefeated Cardinals at the three and two Browns. Guys the Cardinals are five and oh for the first time since 1970 for their outscoring opponents by more than 12 points per game. It's the second best point differential in the league right now. Now as for the Browns they've been leaning heavily on their running back and Nick Chubb he's second in the league in rushing has five carries of at least 20 yards that is most in the NFL. Cleveland a three-point home favorite here. Dave you are alongside Andrew Filiponi sports radio host from Pittsburgh. You guys are going to bet this game and Dave I'm coming right to you first. What you got? Well remember the Cardinals season long win total was eight and a half so they're already five and oh they're going to lose this game by the way but when they're five and one after this game they should be doing back flips being so excited about where they're at. Look they've had back to back division games and now they're going to Cleveland who is going to run it down their throat. Not only is Chubb second cream hunt is 14th in the league as a backup running back. I mean that one two punch is incredible. The last four weeks the Cardinals have given up 152 rushing yards a game. I mean I just don't see Pony how they're going to be able to stop this running game from the Browns. Well you know real estate's location location location and I think that's what this game really boils down to. Where's the game being played. It's in Cleveland and for the Browns that's paramount because when they've lost it's been in places like Kansas City and Los Angeles this year. I think this location the dog pound behind Baker Mayfield going to prop them up and I think that's enough to get the Browns to win and the cover on Sunday. There it is Browns giving three. Thank you Pony. Time now to take our research to the next level here for that. We turn to next gen stats for analytical perspective on this matchup. The NFL analyzes the location speed and acceleration of every player on every play and then creates these various data sets that we get to tap into. So add your analytics guy give us a stat that you're using from that next level data set that's going to help us bet this Cardinals Browns game. Let's talk about last week and we had been waiting for some time for DeAndre Hopkins to become wide receiver one again since that week one performance and we got it last week against the Niners. Here's his route chart with most of his success happening outside the numbers. His catch rate over expected was an impressive 18.3 percent in part because a handful of his six receptions were deep. His air yards per target was 16 yards and again he was the primary target accounting for 74.3 percent of the Cardinals air yard share. Even if Hopkins has a quiet day Arizona has other weapons who can step up here. So I'm going to take Arizona to cover. There you go. Arizona likes to hear that awesome next level info from this next gen stats. If you want to tail head go ahead and take the Cardinals getting those points a winning fifty dollar bet means you will collect more than ninety two dollars. And a reminder you can make your first bet on the app risk-free. Just sign up for a new Fandalsports book account using the promo code more ways one thousand. You are going to get a risk-free bet up to one thousand bucks again that promo code it'll be right there on your screen all show long more ways one thousand. Let's turn our attention now to the Los Angeles Chargers heading east to take on the Ravens in a matchup between two four and one teams two teams that look very good and are led by their quarterbacks for the Chargers. Justin Herbert coming off a career high three hundred ninety eight yards passing against Cleveland also tied a career high with four touchdowns in that game as well. And then you got Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson coming off an incredible comeback performance. He's fifth in the league in passing yardage ranks eighth in rushing yards eighth. I am so excited for this game. The Ravens are giving three Pony reeling you back in here. Where's your money on this matchup. I'm going to go Baltimore. You know things have gone outside of Lamar Jackson's breakthrough as a passer. So many things have gone against them running back injuries in the preseason. Their offensive line has struggled their defense frankly doesn't look right for me. And yet here they are at four and one. The last time we saw the Chargers come east Dave they were very lucky to win against Washington. And we know the football team isn't on the same level as Baltimore. They don't have a quarterback like Lamar Jackson. So for those reasons I'm going to take the Ravens to cover. Let's just get this out of the way right off the top. Carson Wentz whose previous high passing this year was 251 yards hung up 402 yards against the Ravens secondary last week. I mean what is Justin Herbert going to do throw for 600 yards. I mean Carson Wentz getting 400 that is not a good thing. Baltimore has absolutely zero running game right now. All their best running backs got hurt before the season started. They're running on fumes there. Look Lamar just cannot do everything himself. Got away with it last week against this very very good talented Chargers team. I don't think he's going to be able to put the team on his back and carry them like he did two consecutive weeks. I'm going to go with the Chargers. Let's see whose performance shines through the most. Thank you guys. And hey if you like Lamar Jackson and the Ravens giving those points you got to do you. Bet with your heart here if you need to winning $50 bet means you're going to collect more than $93. Time now for our DFS download. And of course that means a chance to win millions in prizes for free. Yes. Fandal is hooking it up for you for free. Just head to Fandal.com. Sign up for the weekly free DFS contest and play free each and every week. Just sign up. Set your roster play and win. And of course our job here on more ways to win is to help you score those points. So Fandal Editor-in-Chief JJ Zacharyson is here coming in hot with his best values for week six. Hey JJ. Hey Lisa the first value this week he's only $5,200. I like Daryl Williams for the Kansas City Chiefs. Clyde Edwards Alair has an MCL sprain. He's going to be out a few weeks. Now we shouldn't expect Daryl Williams to step in and be a workhorse in this backfield but he's likely going to be the 1A in this offense. Last week he saw more work on the ground than back up Jerick McKinnon and he out targeted McKinnon five to two. This week the Chiefs get Washington and they have the highest implied team total on this slate by far. So with Williams you're getting a relevant piece in this offense who can see some goal line work in the offense. He's only $5,200 making him a really good value. Next there's Michael Pittman. Pittman finally found the end zone in week five after seeing tons of volume through the air over the first four weeks of the season. Pittman now has seen at least a 20% target share in each of his last four games. He's only one of 10 wide receivers with a share that high over the last four weeks against Houston. Pittman should pay off this $5,800 price tag. And then finally I like DeAndre Swift at $7,100. Only Najee Harris and Alvin Kamera have a higher target share this season than DeAndre Swift does and that could come in handy against Cincinnati because this season the Bengals are allowing the highest target share per game to the running back position and that's even the case when you adjust for strength of opponent. So DeAndre Swift at $7,100 I think he's a pretty nice value. Well done. There you have it. Go to fandal.com, sign up for free DFS competitions right now and of course each week of the NFL season. Go ahead and use JJ's info for a chance to win millions in prizes. Of course, follow our guru at late round QB on Twitter and Insta. Hit up his podcast as well, the late round podcast on Apple Podcasts. Back to our game previews now and the four and one Cowboys are in New England. Dallas has won four in a row in those games. Guys, the Cowboys led the NFL in rushing yards with more than 800. They're second in yards per rush at five and a half. And you look at the other side, the Patriots snapped their two game losing streak with the win over the Texans last week, scoring those final 16 points of the game, including a game winning field goal with 15 seconds to go. The Cowboys a three and a half point road favorite. Ed, turning to you here. Who are you backing here? Well, one of the things that we've talked about for the Cowboys for a long time is the reason why they haven't been championship contenders is the defense, right? Well, now the defense looks pretty legitimate and now they're getting another good opportunity to take down say a rookie quarterback. And this is what's great about the Cowboys here. It's what they do vis-à-vis the Blitz quarterback pressure rate on Blitz is 41.3% 22.7% were not blitzing. That difference is the second best in football. When you look at the Patriots defense, their pressure when blitzing is 18.9%, but more than 26% when non blitzing. And so the Patriots actually get worse when they send that extra rusher. And so Cowboys are great with blitzing. The offense is absolutely stout with Dak Prescott. They are better in all three phases. So to me, that's an easy Cowboys cover. Well, I think that's Dan Quinn comes in and the Cowboys are lucky to get him. He's turned this defense around and they are pointed in the right direction. Great points. I just wanted to add that as I turn it over to you. They're doing great. And people are just going to think they're going to roll into New England and continue this. But I think both offensively and defensively, this is the team that thrives are so fast on turf and indoors and in domes. But when you take them outside the last 10 games they played outdoors, they won once. And that was against Cincinnati late last year that had two wins and also didn't have Joe Burrow. So they beat Brandon Allen and the Bengals last year. That's your only win in the last 10 games outdoors. You take them and it's an environment on the grass outdoors in New England. I don't think it's going to be the same result. I think this is an upset alert here with the Patriots. All right. Thank you, Dave. Time now to get to prime time. And we're starting with Sunday night football and digging right in. Seattle is in Pittsburgh, both teams two and three. Steelers working running back at Najee Harris had his first 100 yard rushing game last week, finished with 122 yards and a touchdown in that win against Denver. But Pittsburgh did lose Juju Smith Schuster to a dislocated shoulder. He's undergoing surgery expected to miss the rest of the season. Injuries for the Seahawks as well in a big one. Quarterback Russell Wilson underwent surgery on the middle finger of his throwing hand, meaning his 149 consecutive game streak will end. He's likely out at least four weeks. Geno Smith will be under center. The Steelers are giving four and a half points. Ed, who do you have in this Sunday night matchup? The most important injury when analyzing this game is what's going on with Seattle's quarterback. So let's diagnose Geno Smith and actually figure out what we're dealing with here. When you look at his EPA in terms of different parts of the field on short throws, which is from zero to nine yards is totally PA is 6.2. Now keep in mind. This is a super small sample size. He only played in part of that Thursday night game on quick throws. Total EPA 5.1. That's less than two and a half seconds, which is not too shabby. Whenever he Geno Smith did not feel any pressure, meaning that there wasn't a rush or within two yards of him, his total EPA was 6.7. These are all decent numbers. They're not outstanding, but it does point to the game plan that Seattle will employ here. And that is super short, super quick throws. And for that reason, I feel like that Seattle can at least keep this close and cover the four and a half pony. Well, last time Geno Smith started a game in the NFL, Edward, his coach got fired. That was in New York. It was such a controversial move to go to Geno Smith over Eli Manning. The guy is a journeyman quarterback for a reason. And for the Steelers, TJ Watts, 100% healthy now that defense rebounded against Denver and played an excellent game for about two and a half quarters last week. And so there's no way with the stakes here with all that's on the line for the Steelers trying to get back to 500. I can't bet Geno Smith. The number is not big enough. Give me the Steelers minus four and a half. All right, guys, now moving on to the Monday night matchup. The bills travel to Tennessee to take on the Titans. Buffalo had a statement win last week, beating the Chiefs at Arrowhead, 38 to 21, the fourth straight week. The number one scoring offense in the league has scored more than 30 points. They are on fire, you guys. For the Titans, no surprise, workhorse running back. Derek Henry leads the league in rushing, but the next closest back trails him by more than 115 yards. Guys, the Titans are five and a half point home underdogs. Pony coming right back to you. Who do you have here? Remember last time we saw the bills in Titans? Didn't Derek Henry like steal a man's soul against the bills? He took Josh Norman out of commission with that stiff arm. It was incredible. I think it's too many points here. The bills have been excellent, but it's on the road. Can you slow down Derek Henry? And not only that, we're starting to see the Titans get their weapons back healthy. AJ Brown last week. I just think Buffalo, there's so much of a recency bias, Dave, because what they did in Kansas City, I think this is going to be the game of the year for the Titans. They might win this one outright. They haven't been this big of a home dog since Andrew Luck was still playing for the Colts back in 2018. You never see them getting five and a half at home. This is absolutely a mirror of what happened last year. Buffalo is on a four game winning streak. Head into Tennessee and you're right about that. Henry went for two touchdowns. Tannehill went for three and another on the ground. 42 to 16. Tennessee, I see this maybe happening again. Here's the other big factor. Is there a chance that Buffalo pushed all their chips in last week against Kansas City and left their game on the field there and could come up empty in this game? Another reason why I like the Titans. Love the numbers. Love the context. Do you know I'm here for it? Now I just need more. Let's sit back in on those next gen stats and Ed, you use these next gen stats to pick the Cardinals Browns game earlier in the show today. Now I want you to dip back into that bag and give us three bets that you think are good value right now in the Fandals Sportsbook. It's not the high profile games are always looking for. It's the ones where we can find the most value and Miami Jacksonville is one of those. Dolphins are off to a one and four start quarterback to a tag of Viola coming off IR, but will it be enough to salvage the season? Well, look at his quarterback grid from what little he's played so far. Not encouraging. You see a lot of red signifying his passer rating to those parts of the field below Lee Gavrange. It's led to a completion percentage over expected of negative 7.6 percent. The game plan for him is straightforward. Get rid of the ball quickly. More than 54 percent of his throws take less than two and a half seconds from the snap. The routes thrown to are largely in the flat or they are slant routes and those are some of the higher rates among starting QBs. Their opponent in the Jaguars. They play about as much base defense as anyone. So that personnel issue could be a concern and it could be a great matchup for Jacksonville. So I had the Jags covering next Vikings running back to Alvin Cook missed another game. So Alexander Madison came on in week five. His box score numbers were humongous, but if you look at his carry chart, his next gen stats, they were a little more muted. He was used a lot, but notice the number of yellow lines signifying short games. His rushing yards over expected was only 12. Not a large number, but not a bad one either. From this chart, you can see that a lot of those runs were to the right side. 72 percent of the strong side to be more precise. Credit the big guys in front of them for that. Madison spent on average 3.02 seconds behind the line of scrimmage. Good small numbers showing once he got the rock, he was ready to roll. Vikings run game. Yeah, it's solid, but there is room for improvement and the challenge is real against a tough Carolina front. So I'm leaning Panthers there. Finally, Detroit is winless so far. Jared Goff has had a lot of mediocre performances, but Sunday that was a clunker. Here's his pass chart from week five against the Vikings. So far, Minnesota isn't even the toughest pass defense the Lions have faced, but it was stout enough to help Goff to a completion percentage over expected. A negative 1.2 percent Goff largely kept his throw short. Average depth of target was only 6.7 yards. That's one of the shallower marks of any starter this season. He only threw deep or beyond 20 yards, 5.7 percent of the time. What's interesting is in LA, Goff was a play action machine. Now the Lions run play action just 19 percent of the time. One of the lower marks in football, unless the infrastructure improves, Detroit is not keeping up in a track meet against the surging Bengals. So I'm taking Cincinnati to cover as one of my favorite bets of the week. Oh, well played. That's a mess there in Detroit. Thank you, Ed. Awesome stuff there. Take that info, use it to place your bets right now on the Fandals Sportsbook app. You can place a wager on the bets we just talked about or hundreds of others. They are available right now. It's the Fandals Sportsbook app. Let's move on here in time to speed things up and hit our betting markets with some quick picks here. We're shouting out your local teams as we rip through the rest of the week six late here. Guys, I give you the game. You have 10 seconds to give me your pick. Let's roll. Dave Denver hosting the Raiders in an AFC West showdown. Obviously news this week, John Gruden stepping down as Raiders head coach that continues to play out both teams here three and two Broncos are giving three and a half. How do you play it? I think the coaching change actually helps the Raiders in this game, but I don't think they're good enough to beat the Broncos. We've seen that the Raiders just cannot defend these teams that have a pass for us like the Bears and the Chargers last two weeks. I think Denver gets to Derek Carr enough, 27-17 Broncos. All right, Ed. Washington hosting the Chiefs both teams two and three. Washington getting six and a half at home. Nice little bitterness there. I can't even get it out of my mouth. Well, here's the deal. Washington's defensive success rate ranks 18th out of 32 NFL teams. You'd expect it to be a lot better by this point, and this defense is having trouble getting secondary sacks, and now they're getting Pat Mahomes and company, and they're a little ticked off. KC covers big time. Let's get to you, Pony. Four and one Green Bay at three and two Chicago Bears getting four and a half. I mean, there's a lot of value in the Bears because it's hard to set a line right now on Justin Fields. He makes that Bears offensive line better, and their defense is rounding into four. I'm going to take Chicago. All right, Dave, one and four Giants getting nine and a half points at home against the four and one Rams. It's the biggest spread of the week, which you think? Well, the Giants obviously have some major injury problems on offense, but there are some teams like the Rams that just don't get up for these bad teams. Last year, they lost at home to the Jets as a 17 and a half point favorite, and they didn't cover against the Giants as a big favorite last year either. So I say the Rams come a little bit flat and do not cover. I'll take New York. It's a big line. All right. And the Giants are home this week, as I mentioned, which means the party returns to New Jersey and the Fandals Sportsbook at the Meadowlands is the place to be. The Fandals Sportsbook opens seven days a week. Come watch Wager and win with your favorite teams and players. Cheer them on right there at the sportsbook located right across the parking lot from MetLife Stadium. And it is so easy to get there on game day. Just hop the free round trip shuttle from Lot G. Hey, if you don't have a parking pass, it's all good too. We've got your back head to Red's restaurant in Carl's stat, catch the $10 shuttle to MetLife, then head to Lot G for that free ride to the Fandals Sportsbook. Mass transit, of course, available as well. Sunday is going to be absolutely hopping and a heads up to mark your calendars as well and get to the Fandals Sportsbook at the Meadowlands for the 2021 breeder's crown taking place there at the Meadowlands racetrack on October 29th and 30th. Get your friends, come out for an awesome time at the Meadowlands and the Fandals Sportsbook and wager, win and have fun with us there at the Meadowlands. We move from ponies to dogs in time to give some underdogs a little love here. Cole Wright is off this week, but he's hit his last six moneyline picks. You guys, he's six for six in the last four weeks. Got the Eagles over the Panthers last week. So guys, I'm just going to say this now, big shoes to fill here. Give me one moneyline moneymaker for week six. Dave, I'm going to come to you first. What you got? Well, I'm going to go with the Patriots. I just think the Cowboys are a completely different team. Outdoors versus indoors is an outdoor game, an environment that will be hostile. So give me the Patriots to upset the Cowboys. I am taking Las Vegas to upset Denver. There have been a number of situations where we've seen teams deal with a lot of adversity, overcome those challenges and then look absolutely fantastic and come out with an upset win. And I think given what Derek Carr has shown throughout his entire pro career and the remaining leadership with Las Vegas, I trust this group to knock off Denver. Yeah, I'm going to go bigger go home here. Sorry, Lisa. I'm going to take Washington at home against Kansas City. The Chiefs remind me of like a former heavyweight champion boxer that almost like needs to get to the end of a round here or something. They need a bi-week, something to kind of get them back recalibrated. I just don't get it with them. The turnovers on offense, the defense has been abysmal. And I think Heineck, he's actually okay up and down. He might get hot this game. Give me Washington. Big moneyline play. You know, Pony, I'm not even mad about that to be completely honest with you. And Clyde Edwards-Hilaire, he just went on IR as well. So now they're without him a little bit of a mess in Kansas City. Maybe they can go on the road and fix this. I don't know. But go ahead and tail those upset picks or, hey, make any other bet on the Fandalsportsbook app right now. Risk-free up to $1,000. All you got to do is sign up for a Fandalsportsbook account. New users get a risk-free bet up to $1,000 just by using the promo code right there on your screen. More ways, $1,000. And it gets better. Our experts are giving you their risk-free bet of the week. So let's give some props to Dave here. Dave, you hit your 14 parlay last week. A $1,000 risk-free bet collected $5,150. Pony, virtual fist bump to YouTube, by the way. You parlayed the bucks minus 10 and the over. Your $1,000 risk-free bet paid out more than $3,500. If I was back there and could make graphics and stuff and put some music to it, I would. But anyway, let's do it again for week six. Dave, you're up first. Give us something that's going to hit. Yeah, I mean, I know these weekly winning parlays are really boring pony, but I'm going to give you another one here, pony. I'm going to go $1,000 parlay. Patriots on the money line. The Broncos on the money line as a favorite. And then the over in the Browns and the Cardinals. Reminiscent of last week, the Browns are going to open up a huge lead. Like, did they get this to Chargers? Except they didn't hold on. They'll hold on this week, but Arizona will get their share of points as well. So three team parlay gets me back almost seven grand. The weather is getting a little cooler here. And, you know, the one way that I like to warm up the best is with the same game parlay. So that's what I'm going to do here. In the Cowboys Patriots game away team total over 26 and a half points. I think Dak Prescott runs away with it. Alternate total for the game under 55 and a half points. And so I'm expecting a blowout here with Dak scoring a lot of points. $1,000 gets me a total of $44.60 and 10 cents. Something I'm happy I didn't end up interrupting you, Ed, because I'm feeling the same game parlay to after last week. Stay with the formula that won me some big money. I like Minnesota minus one at Carolina, and I like the game to go under. Both teams are in a similar situation. They're both dealing with running back injuries, McCaffery and Cook. Minnesota beat Detroit last week and Carolina lost to Philly at home. I don't think they deserve to have such a small spread in this spot. So give me that parlay. You're going to collect more than three grand on it too. I don't think Ed's done one of these that he hasn't used an alternate spread or an alternate total or alternate something. Gamblers, go ahead and do your thing. Make sure to sign up for a Fandalsports book account right now to place your bet. Remember promo code again, Marway's 1000 to get your risk free bet up to $1,000. It's easy. It's legal and it is live. You just take your winnings if you hit and get your money back if you don't. So you can just play again. All right, not just football on the show. We're bringing you news from the track as well. The Breeders Cup World Championships returns in November to where the turf meets the surf in Del Mar, California. The world's best thoroughbred race horses will compete for championship honors and more than $31 million in prize money. It's all happening Friday, November 5th and Saturday, November 6th. Tickets available at breederscup.com right now. And for those of you who can't make it to the track, you can watch all 14 championship races on NBC Sports or TVG. Now TVG, not only your place to bet the Breeders Cup, but you can bet every race, every day, right now by downloading the TVG mobile app. Let's check out some fun futures bets before we go here and start with who will win the MVP. And after last week, guys, here it is, Bill's quarterback, Josh Allen. Now the favorite at plus 450 followed by Kyler Murray, Dak Prescott and Justin Herbert tied there for the third shortest odds. Let's get all your MVP picks here. Dave, you're going to start us off. Who do you think? Am I seeing that right? Patrick Mahomes, 15 to 1. He leads the league in touchdowns with 16. When he goes to Washington and thrashes that defense with five touchdowns and he has 21, he'll be half of these odds next week. That's a crazy price. The GOAT is fifth at plus 800. The GOAT has value here. When are we ever going to say this again? The Buccaneers are fourth in point differential among all teams in the NFL, but Brady is fifth. The schedule is going to get a lot easier for Tampa Bay and that value is going to dissipate. Grab it now. Josh Allen, he was a high riser after the Vils beat Kansas City in prime time. Everybody jumped on that bad wagon. I think the same thing can happen if Tennessee beats Buffalo. Derek Henry's, I think 80 to one right now is incredible odds. If they win that game, you're going to see the Titan star running back shoot up. And I think they will upset Buffalo. I think you can see that happening. No doubt about it. Great stuff, you guys. Let's do the same drill with your super bold picks. Buffalo, same story. Now followed by Tampa Bay and the Chiefs. Dave, who do you like to win at all? You know, I'm going to stick with the team that I had before the season started because I think the Rams really aren't getting much respect here and still offer good value. I think there are somewhere around 16 to one when the season started. I think the price they're at right now is still worth a bet. Right City, wrong team, Dave. I'm going with the LA Chargers at 17 to one. You think about point differential where they are here, but also they're leading a really tough division. So all of a sudden they make a run. Chargers lose that value. Take it now. I'm still wondering how the only undefeated team in the NFL is so low on the list. All the Cardinals have done is one. Tyler Murray's look fantastic. They've got JJ Watt now on defense, and yet they're still 13 to one to win the Super Bowl. I think there's a ton of value there in the five and no Cardinals. Can you imagine the Chargers Rams here at SoFi in LA? Great stuff guys. What a show. What a show from game picks to best bets to DFS. We absolutely covered it all. We do it every single week. Week six check done. You can bet it right now. Check out all the bets we talked about on the Fandalsports Book app. New users, welcome to the fam. Welcome to the party. Sign up for your new account and use that promo code. We talked about it all show long. More ways 1000. You're going to get a risk free bet up to $1000. And I just got to say from all of us here at Fandals, thank you for hanging with us today. We're going to see you right back here next week. Enjoy the games and good luck with your bets. After an unprecedented year apart, the time has finally come to say welcome back to the prestige and excitement of witnessing history firsthand. This November, beautiful Del Mon will welcome back the world's best thoroughbreds, the brightest stars and most passionate fans to the Breeders Cup. One experience. That's a breed apart. Tickets on sale now at Breeders Cup.