 Hey everyone, what's going on? I am Greg Sussman, Super Bowl 54. Just days away. We got all the picks to make you all the money. Oh, I don't. Game of events, he knows what's happening here. We're ready to rock. Greg should be a great Super Bowl. And if you recall, before the playoffs started, Greg, when we did a six pack of playoff predictions, we gave you the San Francisco 49ers versus the Kansas City Chief Super Bowl matchup plus 650. So you're already playing with house money. Absolutely, this is free for you. So let's make more money. Let's start out with your pick game. The Chiefs, the Niners, you've gone back and forth on this one. Where did you end up? I'll tell you what, Greg, I bet on my first Super Bowl in 1982. Ironically enough, it was the San Francisco 49ers in that football game against the Cincinnati Bengals. Pontiac Silverdome, San Francisco won a football game. What it was all said and done, an epic comeback from Joe Montana, I can tell you. So I believe now it's been 37 Super Bowls that I had bet on and this has been one of the toughest, if not the toughest one of them all to break down. Originally, I was buying into San Francisco and we all remember what we saw last. And what we saw last was the NFC Conference Championship game. And what we saw last was Raheem Moster just absolutely shred the Green Bay Packers. San Francisco, check a lot of boxes, guys. 53 Super Bowls, the team with the higher rank defense has won 43 of them. That's right, 43 and 10 straight up, higher rank defense and Super Bowls. Defense does win championships in the National Football League. Team that runs for more yards in the Super Bowl has won 42 out of 53 Super Bowls. One Super Bowl, actually both teams ran for the same amount of yards. In case you're wondering, it was the Patriots and the Falcons, but that's irrelevant right now. So if you add it up, who's got the higher rank defense, San Francisco? Who's probably gonna run for more yards in this football game, San Francisco? This is incredible. Jimmy Garoppolo has started 28 games in his National Football League career. He's won 23 of them. He's 23 and five, a straight up, Jimmy Garoppolo. And before anybody says, and I know you're thinking of right now, yeah, but he was on to England and he's on San Francisco, he's been on good teams. How good was San Francisco last year when Jimmy Garoppolo was hurt? I tell ya, they weren't in the Super Bowl, now were they? Say what you will about Jimmy G. He finds a way to get it done. Kyle Shanahan arguably the best play caller in the National Football League. So we have the higher rank defense, we have the better rushing attack, we have a great play caller, and we have a quarterback that's played in 28 games and has won 23 of them. Why don't I love the San Francisco 49ers here? Because Patrick Mahomes does not play for the San Francisco 49ers. And I've been around a long time, I've seen a lot of greats come and go in the sports world and unfortunately the rest in peace, Kobe, we just lost a great champion and competitor. You know, Patrick Mahomes might smile more than a lot of these other killers did over the years, but Mahomes has that burning desire to be the best and to win like no other and he got it from his father. Mahomes is just an unbelievable player that is the toughest player in the National Football League to stop and maybe in NFL history to stop as well. He's accomplished everything there is to accomplish already in a career in this kid, all right? He's already won an MVP. So he played in 35 games, he's won 28 of them. All right, what he hasn't done is won a Super Bowl. What I like about Kansas City and why I'm gonna give you the Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl is they've been through the playoff pain. They've got the scars to prove it, all right? They've had close encounters. Andy Reed's been knocking on the door. These guys have been around a while. Travis Kelsey's been around a while. Tyreek Hill's been around a while. Damian Williams, nobody ever gives this guy credit for being as good as he is. Sammy Walkins, a guy that's been often criticized. Honey Badger, if you look at the Kansas City Chiefs, they've got a lot of guys with chips on their shoulder. Frank Clark wasn't wanted by Seattle, et cetera. They've got a chip on their shoulder. There are also guys that have lost in big games before. I think this experience comes into play. I just can't buy into a team that won four games and the next year, flicking a switch and winning the Super Bowl. And you know what it is? I heard Ross Perot once. And some people don't remember Ross Perot. He passed away. He's a rich Texan, like oil guy. He ran for president like 25 years ago, whatever. And he really caused a stir. And he dropped out of the race, then he came back into the race and he was on the Larry King Show and it stuck with me. Larry King asked him, said, Ross, you change your mind. Now you're back in the race. He said, Larry, only dead and dumb people don't change their minds. And that always stuck with me. I might be dumb, but I'm not dead. And I'm not that dumb. You know what? I was on the Rams last year. I was wrong. I was on the Carolina Panthers a few years ago. I was wrong. I like the Falcons in that game. All these one and done NFC teams that come out of nowhere always fizzle out in the Super Bowl. I don't think San Francisco's gonna fizzle out. I think it's gonna be a high scoring, fun football game. But I'm not getting in front of Patrick Mahomes. I said the Chiefs are gonna win the Super Bowl for a year started. How the hell am I gonna get in front of that right now? The Chiefs are gonna win the Super Bowl. We're gonna play the Money Line at a minus 128. Gabe, you're talking a lot about players with chips on their shoulder. Guys that have lost before that they were not wanted. That's Andy Reed too, man. That is this coach who's also very good off the bye week. Didn't work in his last Super Bowl. We'll see if it does here on Sunday. Gabe, do you like the Kansas City Chiefs? The Chiefs are gonna win. They're gonna score a lot of points. And the San Francisco's gonna be from behind. They're gonna score a lot of points. That means this game's going over. I really do think it's gonna go over. And I'm surprised that the number hasn't climbed more throughout the week. Listen, it opened in a 51 and a half range. It was quickly bet up to 54, ironically enough. In Super Bowl 54. And we've never had a closing number of 54 at a Super Bowl before either, which is pretty crazy. A lot of weird little numbers and tidbits here. Listen, the San Francisco 49er defense was great and their secondary was great. But what happened when they played mobile or really good passing attacks? The New Orleans Saints put up like 48 points on these guys. Really high scoring game, shredded their secondary. Jared Goff had a lot of success throwing the football against these guys. We saw Russell Wilson a couple of times have success. And watching game tape and breaking this stuff down, San Francisco do our problems with quarterbacks to roll out and throw on the run. And Mahomes is better than all the aforementioned quarterbacks that we just talked about. San Francisco can score too, guys. San Francisco actually the second highest scoring team in the national football league. Kansas City is third. Perception of reality is a funny thing, isn't it? I don't see how this game doesn't go over. I think we're gonna get into the high 50s, Greg. Maybe the low 60s. There will be points put up on the board. You're not stopping the Kansas City Chief offense. And San Francisco's play calling is so good. They're gonna put points up on the board as well. I like the over, Greg. I totally agree. I think these two bets go hand in hand taking the Kansas City Chiefs and the over. Both teams are going to score points. You have a number coming, a prop coming in a little bit that I absolutely love and it all ties into this. It's all related. We'll talk about that in a moment. But Niners and Chiefs going over on Super Bowl Sunday. What next for us is the Chiefs' team total. You like the game to go over and you like the Chiefs to score more than 27 and a half points against his volunteer San Francisco defense. Well, we're all in agreement on over. Why do you like the Chiefs to go over that team total? Well, what I like about this, and I don't want to be too chief dependent, but what I like about this is the fact that they could score over 27 and a half points and still lose the football game, but we win this bet. Mahomes, as we've talked about. Mahomes, 28 and seven as a starter in the National Football League in 35 games, Greg. But it's amazing when you actually look at what he's done. He's never lost the game by more than seven points. And get this, he's also scored 27 or more points in 28 of 35 games, guys. All right, play Madden on your couch and you're not gonna score 27 or more points in 28 of 35 games. We got a total of 27 and a half here. Let's keep it simple, stupid. We're gonna ride the team total over the number, over 27 and a half for the Chiefs. Let's just keep riding that total. Even if the Chiefs do wind up losing, we may be able to cash this one. You gotta like the Chiefs going over their point total. The game, it doesn't just end with the Chiefs. We'll get to that just in a moment. Because if the Niners are gonna hang in this game, they need more from Jimmy G. Jimmy Garoppolo, their superstar quarterback in his own mind. There's two props you like here. Let me start with the rushing one. You like him going over three and a half rushing yards. I believe like 10 out of 16 games a season. He didn't get over that number. You're buying over three and a half. I think that we're getting a lot of value now with Jimmy Garoppolo. And if you guys recall, I know it's been two weeks, but what was my best prop bet that I gave you a couple of weeks ago? Jimmy Garoppolo under 31 and a half pass attempts. That's right. He ended up throwing the ball like eight times or whatever it was. This game is a little bit different. He's gonna have to throw the ball here. And I think we're getting value guys with Jimmy Garoppolo's rushing prop and his passing prop. Let's start off with the rush yards right now. Three and a half yards guys. Jimmy Garoppolo isn't King Kong Bundy and may he rest in peace as well. But he's not King Kong Bundy, all right? Jimmy Garoppolo is a good athlete. Jimmy Garoppolo is more than capable of scrambling for a couple of yards. It's the Super Bowl. There's gonna be a couple of plays where things break down and he's gonna take off in a situation that he probably wouldn't have in the regular season. Not to mention a QB sneak here or there. Three and a half yards is just too low. And if you break it down actually Greg, in four of the last five regular season games, I mean like real games, those two playoff games were very strange. They were up, they ran the ball all the time, was like watching a military football team play. But when they played real football games during the regular season, for the last five football games, he went over three and a half yards rushing. You wanna go a little bit deeper? Five in the last seven games, he went over three and a half yards rushing and he will go over three and a half yards rushing on Sunday in Super Bowl Sunday. Give me Jimmy G over three and a half rushing yards. Gabe's been able to handicap Jimmy G pretty well and this week he says he's going over the number of rushing yards. It's at three and a half Jimmy G. Let's keep it going. And that brings us to his passing yards. This is my favorite prop on the board, Gabe. I absolutely love Jimmy G over passing yards. For the last two weeks, the narrative around the San Francisco 49ers is how much they run the football. They ran it through Green Bay. You just mentioned it. He threw the ball eight times. How is Shad of Hands gonna come out slinging in this game? I love this prop. You're a smart man, Mr. Suspin, because you're exactly right. You know what I think should happen, too? Casey's gonna come out running. You're right. No, no, watch. People are gonna be at all my homes this. You're gonna see Damien Williams gonna get like seven carries in the first quarter probably. People are gonna be a bizarre world and you're exactly right. Jimmy G's gonna come out slinging it. Every game is different. It's not as if though they had that game plan because they're scared to throw in the football. They had that game plan because Shanahan is very Belichick-like. He does what every thinks is the best possible plan against that opponent at the time. And he's sorta new. If we get the lead up on Kirk Cousins, they're gonna be in trouble. Green Bay just sorta fell apart fast. And what happened in the second half? Aaron Rodgers started throwing the ball around on these guys. I think Casey is gonna have a lead in this game. San Francisco's gonna have to play from behind as well. It's just too low, Greg, at 240 and a half yards. Great play calling, great speed, yards after catch. George Kittle has been non-existent in the playoffs, but he's gonna rear his ugly head in this spot. Not that he's ugly, it was just, you know, that's the expression. So nothing personal against you, George. But yeah, 240 and a half. And how about this too, Greg? In the last nine regular season games, he went over 240 and a half passing yards seven times, dude. Seven times in real games when they, you know, when they played against Seattle, 248, 424, 300 and this. He's a real quarterback, he has weapons, and what a game that I expect to get into the high 50s, I gotta take the quarterback at over 240 and a half passing yards. For all the reasons, Gabe mentioned, for all the reasons that I mentioned, we're in on Jimmy G going over this number, 240 passing yards, it's too low. He's going over the number for sure. Final prop and Gabe, you've been all over this for two weeks. Really, since Bill Vinovich was announced as the referee for Super Bowl 54, you've spoken about Michael Thomas' quote regarding Bill Vinovich and his crew, keeping the refs, keeping the flags in their pockets. That's his style, that's their style. It's gonna be more of the same on Super Bowl Sunday. Well, if you guys recall last year any infamous non-call between the Rams and the Saints, the non-pass interference call, that was Bill Vinovich's crew that didn't call that. Bill Vinovich is famously known for letting the players play. I don't have a problem with it. As somebody that grades and keeps my eye on NFL referees pretty closely, Vinovich actually is one of the better ones. Only two referees in a national football league had less penalties called in football games than Vinovich does. We always hear the expression, come on, man, let the players decide, let the players play. The problem is, he goes too far with this as Michael Thomas, a wide receiver once famously stated earlier this year. Oh, no, Vinovich is doing the game. He don't even bring flags to the stadium with him. He's a wide receiver, so he's got that perception. It doesn't mean that Vinovich won't step up and make a controversial call at some point in time. He is an NFL referee after all. But generally, he's gonna let them play. We have two disciplined football teams as well. Neither team is reckless with penalties. They're both well-coached. There's a lot of veterans and smart guys on both teams. 12 and a half is a lot of penalties. That's 12 and a half penalties accepted, so I need 13 penalties accepted in this football game. I just don't see it, Greg. Give me the under 12 and a half penalties in this contest. Even though it's been an all-star crew with Bill Vinovich, Vinovich is the leader of that crew and he does not want the game to be defined by penalties. 12 and a half's a lot. We don't expect that on Sunday, which means you need to go under this number. That's gonna do it for us here on the Fandal Hurry Up Game. Best of luck this week and enjoy the Super Bowl. May the winners be yours, Greg. Everybody out there, place your bets, get to the window, win some cash, and join us next week with Football Seasons Over. We got NBA. We got golf. We got baseball coming as well. A lot more coming your way for Gamerancy or myself, Greg Sussman, for everybody here that works at the Fandal Hurry Up. Enjoy Super Bowl Sunday. We'll see you back next week, right here on The Hurry Up.