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Published on Oct 23, 2012
The Cube - IBM Information On Demand - James Gartner, IBM Software Group, with Dave Vellante and Jeff Kelly My my little debate with Gartner was utterly unintentional, and I blame it entirely on Google reader. Late at night it brought me this gem of a quote about 'cloud computing'
With failure and lack of interest [in cloud computing] the fall from Inflated Expectations [will soon] begin its decent to the Trough of Disillusionment. It is at this low point that interest wanes as experiments and implementations fail to deliver. Producers of the technology shake out or fail. The only thing that will save the technology at this point is for those who have been successful to improve their products.
Remembering the last two months of their headlines I got upset. They'd been cloud washing magic quadrants, and market sizing and making a big splash in the news each time. Now they were going to sabotage the same phenomena, grabbing headlines again, by pronouncing pilots ripe to begin failing en-mass? At this point my life-long addiction to playing ice hockey got the best of me.
imageBut as any hockey player knows dropping the gloves is transitory—you get the frustration out, see who is tougher in front of the crowd, then get back to the business at hand in an orderly fashion. I had a little scuffle with the NY Times earlier, but now I'm very friendly on Twitter with Jonathan Zittrain reading his book, and planning podcast here on the angle with him.
The Root Cause? As I think about my Gartner frustration with a little more perspective and fewer # signs I'm more concerned with the systematic reasons for the problem.
Above all the #1 (shoot used a #) cause of dissonance is jamming data into models not built with it in mind. Comparing API driven Amazon and custom contract driven IBM hosting as 'managed hosting providers' makes almost no sense --to anyone. Primarily because Amazon is in no way a managed hosting provider, and IBM is in no way (yet) a cloud hosting provider.