 Y Llywodraeth Llywodraeth nr 1, Kezia Dugdale? To ask the First Minister what engagement she has planned for the rest of the day. Later today I will reply to the email that Jeremy Corbyn sent me yesterday asking what he should ask at Prime Minister's questions next week. The email said that in just over two months we've already achieved so much together. I think that Jeremy Corbyn is being modest. He and Chairman Mao are doing much more to destroy the Labour Party than even I have managed. Alongside the Chancellor's misguided budget statement yesterday, the impartial and independent OBR published updated oil revenue figures. It's not talking Scotland down to say that they made for grim reading. Yesterday was a significant day but so is today. It's an important anniversary because two years ago today the First Minister published a white paper on independence. In that document the First Minister promised a future free from Tory austerity based on oil revenues of £8 billion a year at the point of independence. Can the First Minister say how much oil revenues are expected to be this year? I have to say that on the day after Labour's partners in the Better Together campaign, otherwise known as the Tories, announced plans to cut the Scottish budget in real terms in revenue budget by £1.5 billion by the end of this decade for Kezia Dugdale to stand up and talk about cuts or anything like that is breathtaking hypocrisy. This is a challenging time for the oil and gas sector, which is why the task force that I established earlier this year is working hard to support the industry at this time. Do you know what? Every time people hear Labour gleefully crowing about the challenges in the oil and gas sector, what they realise is how little Labour actually cares about people's jobs and about their livelihoods. They realise that, for Labour, all that is about is getting one over on the SNP. However, if Kezia Dugdale wants to cast her mind back to the pre-referendum period, let me give her something else to ruminate on. Does she remember when the Better Together parties told us before the referendum that the only way to protect jobs in HMRC was to vote no? Can she explain why it is that, after the referendum, the UK Government announced plans to slash those jobs? Perhaps Kezia Dugdale might want to reflect on that. I was born in Aberdeen. I grew up in the north-east. I know the damage that this industry and the communities that are affected by the decline in that gas industry are going to cause. Please do not question my motivation when I bring that subject to this chamber, not a single person. I asked a very specific question about oil revenues. The problem for the First Minister is that she was not just a wee bit wrong. She did not tell a half-truth. She did not even tell a quarter-truth. She was not out by a factor of 10, 20 or 30. The SNP's oil figures were wrong by a factor of more than 60, because, according to the OBR oil and gas revenues this year, are expected to be just £130 million. The weirs won more than that on the lottery. We know from today's oil and gas survey that things are not going to get much better any time soon. So can the First Minister tell us where the SNP's failure lies on oil? Was it the ability to do the numbers or the ability to tell the truth? The hypothesis is, I have to say, breathtaking, because, back in the period that Kezia Dugdale was talking about, she was in a campaign with the Conservatives and the Conservative Government at the time were forecasting oil prices to be even higher than was the case on the part of the Scottish Government. I have to say to Kezia Dugdale—and I am sorry to have to say this—but I do question the motivation of a party that was happy to tell Scotland to leave its finances in the hands of George Osborne to then have the cheek to stand up today in the Scottish Parliament and complain about cuts. The fact of the matter is that the choice facing Scotland today is the same as the choice has always been. Do we allow the Tories to control our finances or do we take control of our destiny into our own hands? I know what I prefer. The First Minister accuses me of hypocrisy. She is the one that promised a second oil boom. Bad enough that the Government responsible for collecting an increasingly large share of our taxes had been out by 10 per cent or 20 per cent, but the First Minister was out by 6,000 per cent on the money needed to fund our schools, hospitals and pensions. The Government's ability to get these things right really matters to our future, because this Parliament will be responsible for more tax and spending than ever before. We will have a chance to make different choices and take a break from Tory austerity, so we cannot ever again be in a position where our Government's numbers are so wrong on such a grand scale. What we need, Presiding Officer, is a real financial watchdog with teeth, not the pup that John Swinney is proposing. So will the First Minister back our plan for a Scottish office for budget responsibility? As Kezia Dugdale should know, if she is bothered to read the draft legislation, the Fiscal Commission will have a veto over the projections that John Swinney brings to this Parliament. It says everything Scotland needs to know about the priorities of the Scottish Labour Party. The day after George Osborne's budget, a budget that announced plans to reduce the revenue budget of this Parliament by £1.5 billion in real terms over the remainder of this decade. What does Kezia Dugdale come to this chamber and do? Does she criticise the Conservatives? No, she wants to play politics with the SNP instead. Being arm in arm with the Conservatives while this party stands up for Scotland that has left Labour in the Daldrums. However, if she wants to know some real facts about the oil and gas sector, she won't take my word for it. Let's hear what oil and gas UK's economics director had to say just yesterday about the OBR. Oil and gas UK believes that there is room for greater optimism, given the fact that production from the industry is likely to increase this year for the first time in more than a decade and is set to continue throughout the remainder of this decade. We, in this Government, will get on with the job of supporting the industry, of supporting the Scottish economy, of standing up for Scotland against the Conservatives, and we will leave the Labour Party to the slow, painful death that it is currently experiencing. If I wanted real facts about the oil and gas industry, the First Minister is the last person I would be going to for it. The idea that you could have a Scotland with high public spending, low taxes, a stable economy and reasonable government debt was wishful a year ago, now it is deluded. Those are not my words. They are the words of Alex Bell, the man who drafted the white paper. We are on the cusp of major change. With new powers heading our way, Scottish politics will never be the same again. This Parliament needs impartial independent oversight of Government finances. Scots cannot be let down like this ever again. The question for the First Minister is this. With all her power, with her majority in this place and after eight years in power, is she humble enough to change her ways? It was at the recent Labour Party conference in Scotland that the word change was emblazoned across the backdrop. The only party in Scotland, apart from the Conservatives, that badly needs to change its ways, is the Scottish Labour Party. I am being heckled to say that the Lib Dems need to change their way, and I am happy to concede that that too is correct. Kezia Dugdale quoted a former adviser to the Scottish Government. I often enjoy quotes from former advisers to political parties. I particularly enjoyed this one from the former adviser of Kezia Dugdale, Mr John McTernan. If Scottish Labour were a football team, it would be in division 3 struggling to avoid relegation. That was just before he talked about the stupidity of the Scottish Labour Party under Kezia Dugdale. Will I tell you what, Presiding Officer? I and the SNP in this Scottish Government will continue to stand up for Scotland. We will continue to fight Scotland's corner against the Conservatives, and we will leave the Labour Party to wherever it is that they have ended up in Scottish politics. To ask the First Minister when she will next meet the Prime Minister. First Minister, I will next meet the Prime Minister on 14 December. Ruth Davidson. Thank you, Presiding Officer. Yesterday, the Chancellor unveiled the biggest home-building programme since the 1970s. Responding, the housebuilder's trade body, Homes for Scotland, said that its sentiment was clear to back those that aspire to buy their own home. The Chancellor also announced that he would be pushing forward with his commitment to help to buy, supporting first-time buyers on to the property ladder. Homes for Scotland, says that it is, and I quote, in marked contrast to the position here, where the announced successor to the Scottish Government's scheme faces budget reductions of up to 50 per cent and will likely be less accessible to buyers. Will the First Minister today reverse those cuts and give a decent leg up to those aspiring to own their own home? First Minister. I am not so cheeky. I am not so cheeky for a Scottish Conservative to stand in this chamber the day after George Osborne's cuts to this Parliament's budget were announced and utter the word cuts. It is absolutely unbelievable. This Government has consistently supported the help to buy scheme. We have done it in partnership with Homes for Scotland and we will continue to do so. John Swinney, of course, will outline our budget plans in this chamber in three weeks' time. I have already set it in the next session of Parliament. It will be the aim of this Government if we are re-elected, Presiding Officer, to build 50,000 affordable homes. We had a target of 30,000 in this Parliament, which we are more than on track to meet. One of the things that I take issue with in terms of the plans announced by the UK Government yesterday—yes, they are about building homes—and I welcome that in as far as it goes, but there is no commitment. No commitment whatsoever on the part of the UK Government to building new social homes for people who need to rent. That says everything about the Tories. They are not interested in helping the poorest and the vulnerable in our society. All they are interested in doing is harming them even further. Ruth Davidson, only the SNP could find grievance in a 14 per cent increase in the Scottish capital budget. Of course, if we listened to the First Minister's fiscal autonomy plans, we would be sitting here with a £20 billion black hole in Scotland's finances right now. However, if we get back to housing, the truth of the matter is this. The number of new homes built each year is down 40 per cent from the time the SNP took office. 10,000 fewer homes built in Scotland. We know now that her ministers are about to half the help to buy scheme in Scotland, ripping £65 million worth of help away from first-time buyers. In short, this SNP Government is slashing support for home building and it is slashing support for home buying. I know that the First Minister wants to make plenty of political points about George Osborne today, but there are thousands of people out there who are trying their best to get on the housing ladder. Why is she cutting their support? First, let me pick up Ruth Davidson on the point that she made about the capital budget. She will be well aware of this, but I know that she will not want the people in Scotland to hear this. Despite the Chancellor yesterday claiming to increase capital spending, the fact is that Scotland's capital budget in 2019-20, based on the plans that were announced yesterday, will be £600 million, 17 per cent lower than Scotland's capital budget was in the year that David Cameron became Prime Minister. That is the reality of the spending plans of this Conservative Government. The point about housing is that we have helped thousands of people into home ownership through our help to buy scheme, through our shared equity scheme, and we will continue to provide that help. However, we will continue to have a commitment that the UK Government no longer has. We will have a commitment to building social affordable housing as well. That balanced housing policy that helps people across our country is the right one, and it is the one that this Government will continue to pursue. Yesterday, the Chancellor made the disgraceful decision to pool £1,000 million funding from the development of carbon capture and storage technology in the UK, which could have created the world's first commercial-scale gas-powered CCS plant in Peterhead. Has the minister been in touch with the UK Government on that? Does the minister have any observations as to the effect of that on the negotiating position that the UK might have at the upcoming Paris talks on climate change? I think that Stuart Stevenson is absolutely correct to describe this as a disgraceful decision. It is a shocking example of how the Conservative UK Government is treating businesses. Here, we have two FTSE 100 companies entering a £1 billion capital funding competition in good faith, committing resource, time and money towards a bid that was due at the end of this year, only to be told at the very last minute that the money is no longer available. We were not consulted on this before this decision was announced. Everybody will have realised that the Chancellor neglected to mention this in his autumn statement, which we were only told afterwards. Fergus Ewing has already made clear to the UK Government our opposition to this decision, which is the latest in the long list of UK Government energy decisions that harm energy generation in Scotland. As Stuart Stevenson rightly says, ahead of the Paris talks undermines our efforts to tackle climate change. I would call on the UK Government today to reverse this decision because it is utter folly, it is unfair to businesses, it is downright wrong. I agree with what the First Minister has just said about the carbon capture project up in Peterhead, and I know that she agrees with me about the Chancellor abandoning his plans on tax credit cuts. Will the First Minister agree with me on something else, too? A cross-party campaign led by my Liberal Democrat colleague Norman Lam has persuaded the Chancellor to add £600 million to mental health spending in England. Bearing in mind the news this week about child and adolescent mental health services in Grampian and Tayside, will the First Minister guarantee to use the new NHS money for mental health services here? I thank Willie Rennie for raising the issue, because I think that it is an important issue. He will understand that John Swinney is due to bring forward his budget in three weeks' time, and Parliament will hear the Government's spending plans in that budget and will have a chance to scrutinise and debate those plans. Willie Rennie is right to point to the importance of mental health. He will be aware that we are already committed to investing an additional £100 million over the next five years to help to equip the health service to be able to provide the support and treatment that is needed. That funding will deliver a three-year programme to support the child and adolescent mental health service workforce, including further training and more specialised supervisors. It will invest money to improve mental health support in primary care, and it will also support the development of innovative approaches in mental health delivery, including the provision of support for people who need mental health care in community settings. We are also developing a new improvement programme, which is working with all NHS boards to identify and plan for how their performance can be improved. We are doing all of that, but I would say to Willie Rennie that I recognise the need for us always to be looking to do more, because the fact is that more people today are accessing mental health services. That is a good thing, because we should encourage people to come forward, but when they do, we need to make sure that the NHS is providing the services and the treatments that they need. I look forward to the budget in due course, because, if I can gently say to the First Minister, we have heard an awful lot of that before, and it is simply not enough. We asked the health minister in June about the shocking waiting times back then. He said that he had a recovery plan, but since then it has actually got worse. 50 per cent of young people in Grampian do not get seen on time, and that rises to a staggering 70 per cent in Tayside. That is hundreds of teenagers waiting for months to get help that they need urgently. Will she accept, and I hope she does, that things cannot carry on like this? Will she give an early commitment that this new NHS money will be committed to mental health? As I have said, we will bring forward our budget plans in our budget. That is a reasonable thing to say, and Willie Rennie will, of course, have the opportunity to ask questions about those spending plans when John Swinney outlines them to Parliament in three weeks' time. I am trying to be consensual here, because it is an important issue, and I am determined that the plans that we have set out and the plans that we set out in future will be commensurate to the scale of the challenge that we face. Willie Rennie talked rightly about a number of health boards that are facing significant challenges, and we are establishing an improvement team to work with them to address those challenges. I will not repeat what I said in my previous answer about the money that we have committed already over the next five years, but we are seeing some progress towards what we need to achieve here. In the last year, for example, we have seen a 4.5 per cent increase in CAMHS clinical staff. Since 2009, the CAMHS workforce has increased by more than a quarter. Those are the steps that we need to take, and we need to make sure that we continue to have the capacity in place in our health boards to meet the increase in demand for mental health services that the country is facing. To ask the First Minister what impact on Scotland will be of the combined autumn statement and comprehensive spending review. The spending review represents a continuation of the UK Government's failed austerity programme. As a result of the UK Government's cuts, funding for day-to-day public services in Scotland will be cut by almost 6 per cent over the next four years. That represents a cut of over £1.5 billion in real terms. I think that those further cuts are damaging, they are needless and they will continue to hit the poorest, hardest. What is to be welcomed from yesterday's statement is the Chancellor's U-turn over tax credits. That is a change that we repeatedly called for. A few weeks ago, I in this chamber called on people to unite to persuade the Chancellor to change its mind. However, notwithstanding that U-turn, the cuts to the welfare budget are set to continue, and we will want to scrutinise very carefully where the axe from those cuts is going to fall. I thank the First Minister for her answer. She will know that last May the Tories obtained their lowest share of the vote in Scotland since 1865. Does the First Minister therefore agree that, whilst it makes no economic sense for the Tories to impose further austerity cuts on an unwilling Scotland that will only damage this Parliament's ability to grow our economy and deliver services, it also shows their contempt for Scottish democracy? I saw a flicker of memory on Jackson Carlaw's face there at the mention of 1865. He is probably the only member of the Tory benches that still remembers the heady of the Scottish Conservatives, but I think I just woke Mr Carlaw up there. If the look on his face, the Tories are going back to 1865 as what Jackson Carlaw has just shouted at me across the chamber. Some of us think that they went there rather a long time ago. Anyway, back to the important point. The member raises an important point. Rather than supporting economic growth and prosperity, the Chancellor's cuts will undermine the measures that this Government is taking to support households and businesses. We will continue to do everything within our power to protect the most vulnerable from these austerity measures, and that will very much be our focus as we draw up spending plans ahead of the Scottish budget next month. Jackie Baillie I welcome the Chancellor's U turn on tax credits, but the First Minister has said that the Scottish Government will mitigate against UK austerity measures. There are, of course, new powers coming to the Parliament, so can she tell us that George Caravan was unable to do today of any specific measures that she will take to combat Tory austerity? We will bring forward our proposals firstly in our budget and then we will bring forward proposals in our manifesto. I hope that Labour will do the same thing, but let me tell Jackie Baillie what this Government is already doing to mitigate Tory welfare cuts. We are spending £104 million this year to make sure that nobody has to pay the bedroom tax. Interestingly, Labour in Wales is not making sure that nobody has to pay the bedroom tax. We set up the Scottish welfare fund. We are supporting advice agencies to give people the advice that they need, so this Government will continue to do everything that we can to help the most vulnerable in the face of further cuts from the Conservatives. We will leave Jackie Baillie over the next few months to continue to argue that, instead of investing in our public services and our economy in support for the vulnerable, we should be spending £167 billion on trident nuclear weapons. She seems to be in a minority of one in her own benches these days, which says it all about the stupidity of the position that she takes. Can the First Minister tell us what level of budget cuts we would now be facing had we followed the SNP's policy of full fiscal autonomy? What can you say to that? Hypocrisy really knows no bounds. Can I just remind the chamber of what Murdo Fraser and all his colleagues on the Tory and Labour benches said before the referendum? Remember, we had to vote no to protect welfare. Now £12 billion has been cut from the welfare budget. We had to vote no to protect Scotland's budget. Yesterday, 6 per cent real-terms cuts to the Scottish revenue budget over the remainder of this decade. I will continue to make the case, Presiding Officer, that it is better to control our own resources with independence than it ever will be to leave our resources in the hands of Murdo Fraser and his colleagues. To ask the First Minister whether the Scottish Government will hold an inquiry into undercover police operations in Scotland. The Office of Surveillance Commissioners, which carries out annual inspections of police Scotland undercover activities, has not ever raised an issue with Scottish ministers. The Scottish Government takes all allegations of police impropriety seriously, and should there be evidence of such activity, I assure the chamber that appropriate action will be taken. Of course, the Government has already taken a range of action to ensure that strong safeguards are in place regarding undercover activity. Neil Findlay. The Home Secretary's Theresa May has established the pitchford inquiry to examine the role of undercover police in England and Wales since 1968. As policing has devolved, Scotland is not included in the inquiry. Giving yesterday's revelations about Police Scotland's monitoring of journalists and their sources, and the Sunday Herald's weekend exposure of Mark Kennedy, an undercover officer who monitored environmental activists at the G8 summit at Glen Eagle, there is now grown concern about the role of undercover police past and present. Is the First Minister seriously telling us that, under a Tory Home Secretary, there will be an inquiry in England, but under her leadership, the truth and justice will not be offered to victims in Scotland? The difference is this, which I am pretty sure Neil Findlay knows about. Her Majesty's Inspector of Constabulary for England in Wales produced a report in 2013 that recommended actions to ensure that strong safeguards are in place regarding undercover activity. However, the Office of Surveillance Commissioners carries out annual inspections of Police Scotland's activity in relation to undercover investigation and has never raised an issue, either directly with Scottish ministers or through its annual report about Police Scotland or, indeed, about the legacy forces in relation to undercover activity. If those concerns are raised with us, of course we will act appropriately and, of course, we will carefully consider the conclusions of the pitchford inquiry. If there are measures that could sensibly be delivered in Scotland, we will discuss with Police Scotland and other interested stakeholders how they might best be implemented. No care home residents should ever be subject to any form of harm or abuse, and it should be remembered that the vast majority of care homes deliver high-quality care to their residents. The care inspector investigates complaints against registered care homes and carries out a rigorous inspection programme. Complaints about registered social service workers are investigated by the Scottish Social Services Council. Through our current health bill, we are legislating to bring forward a new offence of willful neglect, and that will provide improved current powers and complaints procedures and ensure effective legal action can be taken against a care worker or a care provider wherever necessary. I thank the First Minister for that answer. Rhanald Mer, chief executive of Scottish Care, has reported to have said that the rise in abuse allegations referred to in an article on Sunday Post might be down to a greater awareness of how to report issues. Notwithstanding that, does the First Minister agree that abuse in any circumstances cannot be tolerated and that the increased frailty and demands of care home residents demands a workforce that is better trained, skilled and paid? I absolutely agree with that. I completely agree that abuse in any circumstances cannot be tolerated and will not be tolerated. Ms Simpson stops shouting across the chamber, First Minister. Should it occur, I have made clear and we will continue to make clear that we expect employers, the care inspectorate and the Scottish Social Services Council to take a very firm approach. Improving workforce skills and recruiting and retaining the right people is absolutely essential to that. These are key areas for action in the vision and strategy for social services in Scotland, and we are also working with the SSC to achieve the full roll-out of regulation of care workers in a range of partners to further progress fair work practices across the care sector. Thank you. That ends First Minister's question. We are now moving to members' business. Members should leave the chamber, should do so quickly and quietly.