 Hey guys, it's Nate, AKA the Foot Accountant. Welcome back to the channel. Happy New Year! It's 2020. This is the first video of 2020 on the channel, so that's kinda cool. And I just wanna do a quick shout out and thank you guys for all the support this year and all the videos in 2019. I started off 2019 and I don't like to talk about numbers a ton, but I think this is worth referencing and just a testament to you guys and how much you guys have jumped on board into the community and jumped on board into talking about the market and just hanging out chilling on YouTube and having a conversation with each other about the market. I mean, I started this year around, I think I was like 700 or 800 subscribers. That's literally all the subscribers that I had. I hit 1,000 in March and it's just been uphill ever since then. So that's just a testament to you guys and I am very, very thankful for you guys and how much you support this channel watching the videos, commenting on the videos, liking the videos, showing your friends the videos, sharing videos and stuff like that. My aim here is to help as many people as I can and to put out quality market content, quality FIFA content to help you guys have a better FIFA Ultimate Team experience. That's what I'm here for. So we're gonna do that again today, talking about when to buy some teams for the team of the year time period. That's a big question a lot of people have right now because a lot of these cards have dropped a ton on the market and people have the question, yo, when do I buy this card? I wanna get this prime icon. I wanna get this nominee. I wanna get this inform. I wanna get this special card. I wanna get this gold card. I wanna get this team of the year card. What's gonna be the buy time for a lot of stuff? I don't wanna talk about team of the years, I guess that much just yet. We'll talk about those kind of in a later video and that also is gonna just depend on what happens when they come out. But we're talking stuff that is non-team of the year related today. Because a lot of people wanna build a team, right? Because the market is so low, maybe you've sold your squad, you have a couple of players that you need to buy to finish your squad. This is kind of like a Black Friday type period. I feel like the most centralized time in this game where people build teams is Black Friday and team of the year. Because there are two massive promotions where there's tons of packs being opened in the store. We've got lightning rounds upon lightning rounds upon lightning rounds. And there's incredible cards and packs. They do that now with Black Friday. But especially with team of the year, we have insane cards and packs. And everybody's trying to get a team of the year and people save packs for this promo and stuff like that. So the market's already low now heading into this time period. So it's making it really interesting this year. And we're gonna look at some stuff from last year. But I don't know if last year really applies exactly like it's gonna happen this year. I'm not sure if this market is going to mimic the market that we saw last year. You're gonna hear me refer to Black Friday of this year a lot. Because I think the market this year is going to be very similar to how the market was Black Friday this year. Because this is a huge promo where it's largely pack-based. We do have some SBCs that come out more than Black Friday. But Black Friday this year was just a total pack promo. There was not a lot of other content besides the just packs on packs on packs and FIFA points and stuff like that. And EA succeeded because they sold out their lightning rounds on the big days. And they had like 250,000, 125K packs. So I think they're gonna do that again for Team of the Year. There'll be more SBCs and stuff. And we'll talk about SBC fodder, buying some of the cheapest 86s, 87s and stuff like that a little bit later. But this again, we're gonna start talking specifically about buying teams and buying players for your teams and when might be the best time to do that. So we're gonna start with like gold cards lower to your informs and move our way up into the most meta things, icons, other out-of-pack specials and stuff like that. I don't wanna take too long so I'm gonna try to keep rolling through these quickly. If you have any comments, again, at any point in the video, drop down in the comments, ask your question, I'll try to get to it if I can. There's a lot of other people that answer comments down below as well. So first thing, a lot of you guys like Griezmann, Obamyang, any like higher rated impacts meta gold card. It's gonna be impacts during Team of the Year. Barring some crazy thing where they put a lot of cards in packs again, like Team of the Year nominees. If they put all those impacts again during Team of the Year, then you might see something a little different. But if it's a gold card that is impacts during Team of the Year, look what happened to this Griezmann last year right before Team of the Year starts, literally the day before Team of the Year. He's like 200,000 coins. Team of the Year hits, he's 180. And he kind of just drops down the whole time during the week and then on the weekend when a majority of the packs are opened for the full team being impacts, he drops down on another, what is that, like 10% ish, 20%? Yeah, it's about like 10 to 15% drop right there. So a lot of the gold cards that are gonna be impacts, this would be like a guy like Fabinho or maybe even a gold like Gareth Bale or a Veran. Like a Veran is a very popular card this year. What happened to him during Black Friday? Well, he shot up like crazy on the market. After Black Friday, he went down a bunch before Black Friday, 186, all the way up to 225,000 coins, back down to 130K. Will he rise back up to like 217K? No, the rises you're gonna see after Team of the Year won't be as drastic as they were after Black Friday, but you will see some rises on those because people wanna put them in their teams, there's new people on the game that wanna get these cards and stuff like that. So talking about like when to buy some of these gold cards, I would wait to buy a lot of these until the lighting runs actually come out on the weekend of Team of the Year. Like you don't have to, unless they put the nominees back in packs and a Veran wouldn't go out of packs, but does a Griezmann have it? No, a Griezmann doesn't even have a nominee, but let's say somebody who's a really good card, like a Bombying, a Bombying is a Team of the Year nominee, right? Let's say you want a Bombying's gold card for your team, but then this card goes into packs, so then this one's out of packs, 95K with a gold card so far, which is pretty cheap. You might see that rebound a tiny bit, go up because he's out of packs, but other than that, the gold cards and a lot of that type of stuff is just gonna be a buy at the end of Team of the Year in the last couple of days before the Team of the Year goes out of packs and everybody is spamming packs and spamming and spamming and spamming and stuff like that. So that's what I think for a lot of those cards. I wanna talk about other lower tier informs, right? My favorite example when looking at informs on the lower end of things is Saul. Where is Saul? What Team of the Week is he from? Team of the Week seven. This card right here fluctuates a ton. He's one of my favorite Thursday flipping cards on this game and he's one of my favorites because he kind of feels a void that is not super, there's not a lot of special cards that are center mids in La Liga that have solid box-to-box stats and this guy's got higher work rates, great box-to-box midfielder. Cards like this, out-of-packs informs, you're going to want to buy these as early as possible. We're talking possibly before Thursday flipping this week and this is kind of my talk and kind of my thinking about the market and how it sits right now as we go take a look at Saul. So many people are either just putting this game down right now at the moment, that there's just not a lot of listings, there's just not a lot of people playing FIFA is what it seems at the moment and that for me makes me wanna buy. If I was somebody who wanted to buy a team, seeing that there's not a lot of people on the game would make me want to buy because that means a lot of people have sold. If you see the market trends, all these cards are down a frick ton just because people are kind of done with them either they're done with FIFA or they're just done with FIFA for the time being and they're gonna come back when the content heats up again during team this season. But a lot of those people have sold, right? And you see, you know, we'll take that right there. Chesney for 37K, he was 45K earlier today. You know, stuff like that just sits on the market because there's nobody that's on this game right now. Like I can make like 5K on that transaction right there. There's just nobody on this game right now to buy cards and that's part of me saying that's why part of me is thinking, yo, this might be one of the times to buy a team on some areas of the market. So again, the low meta informs and stuff, I think you might wanna buy those before this weekend, right? Or maybe if you wanna chance it, you wait a little bit later until we can sell off. So those are kind of my two options. Either you buy before weekend this weekend, you buy on a Wednesday or today, or you wait until we can like sell off if you think there's gonna be more info on team of the year, you think there's gonna be more info on some of that stuff. That's, those are like the two main options, I guess, because I think you wanna buy before. Again, we looked at some of the prices and how they reacted after Black Friday. Now, obviously we can use Seoul as an example, but I mean here, the PKSBC helped them out around the Black Friday time period. But this guy went from 40K all the way up to Black Friday, it was up at 50, 60,000 coins, and it kind of held that price, right? The PKSBC helped again with the links to PK. That's why he went up so sharply here. But he held this price right around 60K through Black Friday. And if you look at a lot of stuff in this game, a lot of it went up a bunch after Black Friday. Let's look at like this, let's look at a popular card in the game really fast. I'll find like a Scream card or something. Like let's look at Firmino, like this Firmino card who is down a absolute load. I cannot believe how low this guy, it's crazy, right? But what happens after Black Friday? Boom, the guy goes from 790 all the way up to 928. So 750 to 928K. I don't think you're gonna see that crazy of a rise again, but I think that's how it's gonna go for team of the year. I think you're gonna see a lot of these cards, team news is gonna come out, they're gonna be super duper expensive, people are gonna realize that they can't afford them, and you're gonna see a lot of these out of pack special cards just bounce, right? So again, the main point here is that you're buying your team before team of the year actually gets released. So Firmino right now is 725,000 coins, just as Flipin said. But yeah, that's the thing for me, if you guys are buying any Inform, any out of pack special card, even road to the finals, we looked in this in the video yesterday, the road to the finals last year didn't really move. They didn't really move. And I think that was just because they were supplied on the market a lot more last year than they are this year. This year, these cards are super rare. Road to the final cards is, do I have it to pie on the market here under 200? I don't. These cards are so freaking rare, but a lot of them make it into popular foot squads, right? If you look at some of these road to the finals, people know they're getting upgraded, but they're just popular cards. Allen, Militao, you know, Beyo, Marquinhos, Tarea, Martial, a lot of guys get into the main, they fit that OP meta. And these cards are just so rare this year that I think they're going to rise during a team of the year as people build teams with them, even though they don't get upgraded until February. I do think you're gonna see some of these cards rise in price over that time period. And again, scream cards are really rare as well, we just took it from Eno. All of those scream cards, I mean, I would expect almost every single one of them to rise, especially if it's a really OP usable card. I mean, I still look at Odomendi as a very, in a very high commodity position. Again, there's not a lot of special center backs in the prem. And this is a pretty, pretty stinking good card. You know what, a face value card, 200K for this. He was like 280 at one point after Black Friday, I think. So 210,000 coins for this is pretty crazy. He still hasn't really recovered since the Sanchez Footmist SBC. That's something to think about, but I think that that card could do well after Black Friday. Again, out of pack specials. Again, you're kinda really looking at two buy times for that. If you think it's up to personal preference too, but the main thing is you're buying before the team of the year actually comes out because after that, you're probably just gonna see the market continue to rise and things to go up after you see people starting to build teams, right? They open up all their save packs on that first day or even if they save until Friday, some people are done opening their packs then or spending their FIFA points or whatever and you start to see the market trickle up as people get more coins. There'll be daily challenges, team of the year challenge SBCs if they do that according to last year as well, putting coins on the market and that'll cause things to rise as people get coins back because a lot of people lost coins in the last month or so with Footmist SBCs and with the market dropping. Then I think all those SBCs packs being open will inflate the market with coins and you will see stuff go up. Now let's talk about some meta cards, right? A lot of you guys want this Mbappe version or you want this Mbappe or you want the left mid Mbappe or even just gold Mbappe, right? If Mbappe gets a team of the year, all the cards that get team of the year it's something that you have to kind of consider. Even Messi has an SBC that is about to expire and I think that might increase the value of this card of this card and honestly of all of his special cards to be honest, I think Messi's special cards could take a bump up in value just because of the fact that he no longer has that SBC there to kind of hold his cards in check. If the team of the year comes out and the pack weight is like ridiculously low on those cards and nobody's packing them and Messi's team of the year card is like seven or eight like eight or nine million first day maybe and even heading into the weekend it's still like seven, eight, nine million coins and it only drops down to five after the weekend when it's in packs then I would think that you would see that a team of the group stage and honestly even this team of the year nominee card I do think you would see a rebound and on the gold Messi as well as it's out of packs because there's just becomes a point where you have to realize that people can't afford that card. So depending on the price of the team of the year card you know you guys like Messi if Ronaldo gets a team of the year card if Mane gets one, if Conte we looked at Conte's inform last year on that video from last week Conte's gold card last year since it's such a meta and such a used card in FIFA, it rose right and out of packs gold card rose a little bit but the tricky situation is with those Mbappes maybe if Neymar gets in team of the year that would be something I know a lot of you guys want to buy this card he's out of packs right now so I would still say maybe hold off a little bit like right now he was 670K on Saturday night in the weekend like sell off his card's out of packs right now because he has a team of the week item that's going to be well this card will go back into packs but 670 for this card I think is a great price anything under 700K for this I think is pretty solid because this is going to be one of the most sought after cards again after Black Friday the last thing I want to talk about before we kind of wrap this up and talk again overarching themes is prime icons prime icons are very very rare on this market their prices have trickled off to a lot more reasonable range but right now on the market there's only four desais are you kidding me dude four desais prime cards these cards are so stinking rare in the game that in my opinion they have to drop some of the guys have reached a price which seems reasonable some of these icons are kind of at a reasonable price for what I would say for those cards is reasonable but especially for some of the top two guys wow 7-7 jeeks so some of these guys have dropped a lot but I still think there's room to drop because they're going to get packed a lot this goes for the middle cards as well you're going to see a lot of these cards just get packed because it's going to be so many landing rounds so many cards entering the market how much is 94 or 9? he is he is 6 still 6-3 6-3-6-2 so yeah I think a lot of these cards are going to get packed and they're going to go down in price but they're going to rise up shortly as we end up through team of the year because people are going to be buying these cards for their teams right so the best time to buy some of these superduper meta icons if it's something that's like a Eusebio or a Cruyff even if it's like a middle Cruyff if you haven't bought this card yet he was like 2.6 earlier today he was at 2.5 at one point and it looks like right now he is 2.7? wow 2.7, crazy alright so it's a little bit rare at the moment unless I missed one which I don't think I did 2.735 so he's actually kind of up at the moment but stuff like that you're going to want to try to catch during lighting rounds using a basic chem style filter on whatever icon you're trying to look for or even just do an icon 59th minute sniping with a basic chem style filter that's what I'm thinking for the icons probably try to snag those during lighting rounds and stuff like that but again any out of packs card you know it seems a little bit risky to buy before the promo comes but the market is just so stinking low right now that if it goes any lower if it goes any lower it's probably not going to be too much and then the rebound will still be crazy after that that's my opinion because I think from Black Friday again gonna be a good comparison to how the market is going to react to this team of the year promo I think we're gonna stay low heading into team of the year and it's gonna start to trickle up it's even gonna start to trickle up beforehand I think because people are gonna say you know this market has been too low for too long and they're gonna start buying right so that's how I kind of feel about a lot of this stuff if you want to build a team if that's your main main thing that you want to do during team of the year I would start to look into setting that team up first of all have an idea of what team that you're trying to build and what team you're trying to get but then start looking at those prices and thinking is this too low is this too low and that's something that I would consider look at the graphs and if it's I mean some of the stuff is just getting like tasty man like this Mbappe 1.8 mil is crazy this card was 3.1 million coins first couple days absolutely selling its boots off right away off the game like one of the coolest dynamic images obviously if you get to team the year it's gonna be nuts stuff like that so it's kind of a little bit of a guessing game but especially on the lower tier market again like this Sterling card he's not getting a team of the year like 99% sure he's not getting a team of the year right so this might be a card that a lower level budget player might be wanting to buy a right wing in the prem Pacy it's Raheem Sterling he's English you know come on usable guy in the game even this Firmino card probably not getting a team of the year De Bruyne could get a team of the year but especially the low budget stuff if you're buying a team that's anywhere under a million coins even like 1.5 mil I would say that kind of stuff is definitely a buy before team of the year if any of those players or icons if any of those players are getting a team of the year card themselves like an Mbappe De Bruyne or maybe even Van Dyke then I would maybe hold on to that but again I think the safe route is just get that team if you're buying when nobody else is buying I have not heard anybody say buy your teams yet if you're buying before everybody else is buying it is risky because you don't have that luxury to sit there and wait and see was that a good deal did the market go any lower but when nobody else is buying I mean this is the case for a lot of stuff we know something is coming like 83s right we know that 83s usually go up during Black Friday if you're one of the first people to buy on something like that you make the most return on your investment you get the better price because nobody else is thinking about buying right now of course sometimes the markets can still go lower than them that's the only the only issue with buying before team of the year right now and what we've talked about today is you run the risk of losing a little bit of coins on just something crazy coming out during team of the year but I'm just not entirely sure that's gonna happen based on what team of the year has been and based on what team of the year is so I wouldn't be too afraid of buying especially in a lower tier budget a lot of those cards one last thing I wanna point out this has been changed they originally in here it said January 6th and now it just says we'll be announced in early January I don't know what the change for that is I wonder if it's because it says the final team of the year will be announced the final team of the year I don't know last year if we get the final the whole starting 11 of team of the year I don't know if we got that on day one and maybe that's why they had to change up the wording because the final team of the year might not be actually shown to everybody on day one they might release it in stages you know the first day they might do the defenders and goalkeeper then the next day they do midfielders then the next day they'll do attackers and then after that you'll have the full team of the year but I wonder if that's why they changed the wording or if they're actually gonna change the date but I don't think the date's gonna change so if you're worried about that as well I guess you could wait so again I see two possible buy times for this market especially if you're in a lower tier area cards that are under like 500k to be honest with you that are out of packed specials if it's a gold card you can wait on it if it's like a gold Griezmann who should be in packs if it's a gold Abameying if it's a gold you know even a gold Ter Stegen I don't know if Ter Stegen's gonna win team of the year it might be Allison it could be Ter Stegen so there's always a lot of like special circumstances with some of these cards in this game because of do they get a team of the year do they not get a team of the year and stuff like that but if you're looking to buy a team if you're gonna start to piece together a team all those out of packs in forms road to the final cards ultimate scream items even team of the group stage cards I would say really start to look at those before the actual promo starts so that you can get ahead of the game get those cards in your club because the market is so stinking low already I think people have started to quit this game and team of the year is gonna bring them back and they're gonna wanna build teams and play the game and have fun with it and they're gonna open packs as well and especially all the new people that are on the game after getting the game for Christmas and stuff like that they're gonna wanna open packs and all that so again, compare this market and how I think team of the year is gonna work look back at Black Friday trends if you want some examples for some of the cards that you're looking to buy and stuff like that so we're gonna do a couple more videos on this and monitor the market and monitor prices and stuff like that but this is kind of the first preliminary one that I wanted to talk with you guys about today because I know the biggest question right now is or one of the biggest question is when do I buy my team so hopefully that clears up some items for you guys it's a long one but I wanna like just continue to kind of tell you and sort things out and kind of lay it out in front of you so that that can help make you a better decision make you a more informed person so that you can make a better decision about your FIFA ultimate team and what moves that you need to make if you enjoyed this video please smash a thumbs up on it comment down below if you have any questions and of course subscribe to the channel if you are new it's been Nate the Foot Accountant catch you guys later peace out