 This is covering the spread part of the Fandall podcast network The NBA is back off of its all-star break tonight with a massive 12 game slate We're here to break down and that's late with Tom Vecchio getting his read on his favorite NBA bets across tonight a Fandall sports book And also talking about a revamped version of the Daily ISO where Thomas talking player props each and every weekday Right here in the Fandall podcast network as well This is covering the spread right here in that very same the Fandall podcast network. My name is Jim Sonis I am a managing editor of digital media for Fandall research Joined here as mentioned by Tom Vecchio checking out on Twitter at Tom underscore Vecchio one breaking down tonight's NBA slave Tom happy Thursday. Happy do we want to call it second half another more than half way through the year But let's call it second half to you. How you doing? I'm doing good. Yeah The other day we talked all about the NHL today is all about the NBA Lot going on, you know coming down to the stretch run for the teams We will see things tighten up as the year goes on in terms of player rotations No more messing around with getting these random bench players involved We're gonna see 10 man rotations drop to eight bring us a little more consistency those types of things So it sounds like from a DFS player perspective from a prop betting perspective. It's golden baby, right? Yeah, I mean I would like to say at this point in your Coaches maybe outside of the box with dock rivers coaches should have things figured out by this public They know it works. They know it doesn't work. No more messing around push for the playoffs bring us a Higher level of trust. I would like to say from coaches and that's what we should see going forward All right, so we'll break down what Tom is seeing as far as value for tonight and talk about the new revamped daily ISO here in just one second but first a reminder to make sure you're subscribed to covering the spread wherever you get your Podcast just search for covering the spread an Apple podcast Spotify You name it you can find us there while you're there if you like what you hear leave us a five-star rating We appreciate those of you who have done so already get buckets with your first bet on Fandall America's number one sportsbook because right now new customers get $150 in bonus bets with any winning $5 bet. 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It's the home of the heat check the daily ISO and of course the solo shot down the line as well And I'm pretty pumped about this Tom because people have heard your props on sports grid They've heard them here on covering the spread all across the board But now you get to top props every single weekday over on the daily ISO as well So what can people expect from that podcast going forward? Well, it's gonna be much of the same at least to at least in part. We're still gonna be covering fantasy every single day We're just gonna be adding in props in the beginning portion and you know, obviously a lot of states have sports betting More states are coming online seemingly like every few months And it's just a big portion that a lot of people are already doing it Obviously correlates closely with fantasy with players that you know, I like to trust I always talk about PRA bets the points rebounds assist as one of my favorites Which talks about two for today the pot that went up late yesterday afternoon where it's like We know what these players can do from a usage perspective from a minutes perspective We can correlate that close with fantasy because their PRA bets should be relatively consistent So on a day-to-day basis, I'll run through a few props that I like It's actually gonna vary by the size of the slate. We have, you know, 10 12 games today I could be talking about three four whatever might be But I just think it brings in another dynamic of I'm betting these props I also think there's a lot of opportunity in props just because you can jump in early in the day If you know what player might be ruled out Just a lot to take advantage of certainly and I think that it's exciting for me because We talked to you about NBA probably once or twice per week here on the show But like it's hard to fill the needs of everyone as far as when it comes to betting You know, we have just one covering the spread per day and we want to cover a lot of topics Which means we can't cover the NBA every day We can't cover the PGA USC every single week and they'll be every day and now with this new version of the podcast We can do that without sacrificing covering DFS at the exact same time and that to me. I think is really exciting Right and that's the main part is it's like it's already happening begin with we have so much going on every day in terms of props And games and especially this time of year like I said at the top we shouldn't see like a high level of consistency So if we're talking about it already one as well trying to shift it to as much as possible Which is every day since it's it's gonna be happening, right? Exactly. So if you want to check out the revamped version of the daily ISO whether you're a DFS player a sports batter or both You can check that out over on the fan dual research podcast feed Just search for a fan dual research podcast wherever you get your podcast hit subscribe there Apple Spotify etc etc and as always if you like what you hear drop a five start writing there We of course are doing hybrid DFS and betting shows for PGA and UFC as well Just again search for fendal research podcast to get that and Tom's breakdown of today's slate for the daily ISO It's already posted that is up on fendal TV plus and of course on the fendal research podcast feed as well Now let's kick things off by talking about the Thursday games Tom coming on the break a couple of TNT games for tonight Fandals sportsbook actually has an offer of a no sweat same game parlay on each of those games So make sure to check that out if you have interest there Suns Mavericks followed by Lakers warrior starting off with the Suns and Mavericks any bets you like in that one Yeah, let's start off with a player prop there. The one thing I will say is Bradley Biel is questionable. Luca is also Let's still listen is probably maybe not graded to is probable for today the line opened up plus three for the Suns Which I really liked it's now obviously changed So if Luca gets confirmed maybe gets the two two and a half whatever might be I would actually jump in there Not at one and a half so keep that in mind But let's go to Devin Booker over two and a half threes It's seeing a plus 124 and we've talked about threes plenty of times And you've mentioned that you've talked with dr. Ed fang about variants and threes and there's there's so much going on that You know variants can be seen as a bad thing But also when variants hits on the other side variants can be a very good thing Where players that can take seven eight nine ten threes sure they're gonna go two of eleven sometimes But if they're shooting at this volume They're obviously going to be hitting three four five threes at times and that's what we see for Booker by no means what I say He's a top ten three-point shooter But he's still a high volume shooter and with Bradley Biel being list as questionable dealing with multiple things I hamstring injury right before the break and then he was battling through a Nose injury which he had a procedure done over the break So like I'm not expecting Bradley Biel to go tonight and we're dealing with a high over under I will also say both teams were around the league average when it comes to offense a pace Overall, but prior to the break the last few games before the break both teams were in the top four of the league in pace They're actually playing a little bit faster So, you know, we're kind of combining variants in a good way with I'm not gonna say a ton of extra opportunity Devon Booker's already a high usage player to begin with but we have a solid game environment I'm gonna say Dallas is gonna figure things out with adding PJ Washington to the mix They have a new starting line if they kind of got to get things sorted I'm not gonna say they're the best defensive team, but we should see a lot of scoring tonight Right now at Devon Booker's three-point prop over two and a half is now plus 126 did length in a hair Right as you were talking so plus 126 now for the Booker over two and a half made three to talk about pace Leading into the break. How quickly does that stabilize and do you think that was a concerted effort of these teams to Change up their play style or could that be just as we talked about before variants? It's it's probably just variants at the end of the day I would have to go literally game by game to look at sure Well, I don't know if one of those games went to overtime. There was just Circumstantial, but no pace is actually pretty stable. You know, we can see teams trending up and down But on the one or three game basis obviously anything happened but paces is important because it's a good indication of No theoretical upside based on number of possessions that teams are obviously going to be seen I'm not worried about Teams regressing massively after one game. I will say overall on tonight's late not just for this game specifically I have a lot of interest in live overs Come first game out of the brain. Yeah, yeah Takes players a quarter quarter and a half to like get into the flow of things. So live overs I think is actually a spot to look tonight Okay So consider some live overs during the games But for Booker specifically over two and a half threes made threes is plus 126 as mentioned other game For tonight is one of a lot of intrigue right now. That's the Lakers and the Warriors That is the other TNT game Lakers currently fair by five and a half. What you're seeing in this one, Tom I'm gonna be going to Anthony Davis over 20 and a half points. There is no LeBron James tonight. We know that he has been ruled out I'm not gonna be shocked if we do see Another player here or there get ruled out We'll touch on one of the game lines in a second that could be impacted by that This is obviously a very simple straightforward thing. There's no LeBron James It's all about anything Davis tonight. If you want to have interest in Austin Reeves or D'Angelo Russell I understand that I would have more interest in D'Angelo Russell when it comes to a P&A bet points and assists Just because he's obviously gonna be playing a facilitator role with LeBron outs. The Warriors are extremely lackluster on defense That's why they're sitting in this play in kind of situation that they're not as dominant as they once were There's an opportunity thing Davis taking all the shots pushing to 30 points. I don't care who wins the game We should see some scoring both teams are below average on defense Keep things very straightforward coming out of the break when the Lakers are in coming down to literal must win games If they want to make the play in You mentioned no LeBron for tonight Which is why Davis's point prop is as high as it is currently 20 and a half at Fandall sports But over for him is minus 113 for the Lakers and the Warriors as always a fun match for tonight Even if the the team's not as not thriving as much as usual still a lot of intrigue around those two teams specifically going on right now All right, Tom and 10 other games for tonight. Where is the scene value? Let's start things off here with sides and totals Anything stand out to you there? I like the calves and magic under 216 and that's a low number That is and you know, especially for today's MBA. It's a low number But both teams play super slow to begin with they were actually playing slower coming into the break Donvin Mitchell for the calves. I'm gonna say not just the best player on the calves But the best player in the entire game is listed as questionable tonight due to an illness Which is not gonna be surprised to see a lot of players listed as with an illness coming out of the all-star break If they maybe went away somewhere Relatable let me sell it. Let me say relatable which we have seen plenty of times over the last however many years So if he doesn't play I think it's all about the under that number will obviously drop the offensive expectation But both teams are solid on defense and they play super slow specifically to caps really solid defensive team I think that this is a team that you don't want to see in the playoffs any team especially in the first round It's gonna be a tough series So 216 is a low number If you're looking for Excitement games, this is probably not the one you want to tune in to watch tonight I think they're far better games like Indiana and Detroit But teams that play slow offensive expectation low and again kind of mentioned teams may come out a little bit sluggish tonight So I certainly do side with the under. Okay, as you meant that's a pretty low number 216 is minus 110 and I was of hard time personally betting unders on very low totals because you typically expect regression towards the mean Are you less wary that this point in the year? We kind of know exactly what these teams are So we're not as worried about regression especially in the sport That's a bit less volatile than a lot of other sports as basketball is. Yeah Like we're at the point like you said it's not like we're dealing with a 1015 game sample size where the Pacers started off like What was it 14 in 1 to the over and they had totals that were like 260 it was insane Yeah, but that we're obviously used at a certain point you just start taking unders just because and you start, you know betting against the bridges because that's it's not gonna happen. They're not gonna wait 75 and and seven against the spread. So yeah, I at this point in the season I'm not really worried about it other sports that have higher variance anything can happen But we should see a relatively low score tonight and listen if you want don't take us an under on a 216 game I understand that but This game ending with one of the teams finishing with less than a hundred points wouldn't surprise me Okay, that's the magic in the calves under 216 Minus 110 right now at fangirl sportsbook any other traditional market bets you're eyeing for tonight Yeah, I have a lean on one and it's solely dependent on two points of news That's for the Rockets and the Pelicans. Okay, so for the Rockets Fred Vin Vliet Did not play in the last few games prior to the all-star break He said he would play There's no update on how many minutes would he play is there a minutes restriction Is there a minutes limit because the Rockets are pushing for a play in spots. So these are very important games around So it it opened that it's still plus seven. It was plus eight or plus nine yesterday So will van Vliet play a full set of minutes and then Brandon Ingram for the pelicans is now listed as questionable So those are two very important things van Vliet obviously hugely important for the Rockets If Ingram doesn't play they still Zion Williamson. They still see Jim McCollum. They're still in a good spot. So if they're Ingram is out. I've also have interest in the under in this game But I also have interest in the Rockets if we do see van Vliet as a full go It's a lean as of now waiting on information So you mentioned the under 229 and a half minus 112 The plus seven is mine or minus 110 right now. That's Rockets and pelicans. So Keep your eye on the news. Obviously markets shift fast once news does come out But if you can get a read in the situation if markets don't move as much as though there they go The under just went down to 229. So some movement towards the under there was 229 and a half now 229 So already some movement in that direction may be an indicator of your read being correct on those situations But that could potentially mean that there may not be value later on but check the markets You never know. We'll see what happens throughout the day What about player props tom? What are you seeing elsewhere for props tonight? There's one that I really like and that's going to be with tyrus halbern of the indiana pacers over 32 and a half points and assists just points insist no pra Super high over under as we just mentioned with the how much of this is narrative given what he's been taught is saying about Detroit recently Yeah, and nothing to do with that and this is strictly about what we have seen from him now halbern had this hamstring injury Miss some time Comes back and I was very as I talked about on the daily iso in terms of dfs. I was totally out on halbern but We're seeing is his minutes were in the low 20s. Then we see 29 25 30 and then 34 and 34 in the last two games prior to the all star break So minutes trending up is obviously a fantastic thing to see for a high usage player Halbern is someone that is consistently going for a dozen assists on the nightly basis I'm going to say but between the time off he looked good in the all star game take that Obviously the greatest solid he's just shooting from half court as everyone is but he looked good Uh throughout the whole weekend and all the events his minutes were trending up This is an extremely easy matchup against the pistons and it has a super high over under So I'm of the belief that halbern's lines as the minutes trend back up towards the high 30s are not going to Be this low because he can drop 30 and 15 in any game So I will take halbern as as a slight by low spot right now So it's not because he was just talking about how shocked he was to troy to did not take him In the draft a couple years ago. He said it felt personal tom. How can that not be the number one point of emphasis when it comes to This this analysis, I mean that's circumstantial about like them drafting Uh killian haze and then they just released killian haze at the trade deadline They just straight up dropped him That no one wanted trade for him Sure, if you want to add that that little spicy factor in there, I don't mind that you say add as if it's not the primary thing Come on. Listen. I'm all for narratives bobblehead narratives birthday narratives, baby narratives, whatever might be I I want to sometimes separate myself from that and strictly rely like hey We are actually trending up for halbern who's already awesome to begin with In his run totals against a troy to disappointing. I will say I pulled up his his basketball reference page I don't look at these because they're not predictive. They're very stupid. This is bad analysis. Don't listen to me um 16.7 points per game, but 11 assists per game across seven games. So, you know, he gets a little I would have to double check that sample size of how many games he played But no, how many games he played when he was with sacramento Okay. Yeah, I mean was the player he is today Tom revenge narratives don't care. Um, they don't care if you are Fresh in the league or if you are now a superstar. It's all the same and dumb splits of a player against a team Don't account for context at all. Obviously why would we care about that? We could just look at what he's done against the troy in the past But halbern is a superstar right now the minutes creeping up 32 and a half the points plus assist mark for halberd and over is minus 111 So go with tom's reasoning the actual data the actual analysis Not the fact that he's p. O'd at this teams. We didn't draft him back in the day You know, just just throwing that out there as a little extra incentive for tiris halberd in this market Yeah, I would say uh By low on some of the pacers pacers making the playoffs. I've said that number's probably juiced a ton um, but halberd and going for 30 and 15 kind of game is uh, certainly what we should be seeing tonight Uh, no, there's no 35 plus market 30 plus points is plus 550. We'll just put that out there for halberd And that's not a good bet. I'm not saying it's a good bet Just you know just for funsies because of the narrative and nothing else That is tom vekio make sure you check him out on twitter at tom underscore vekio one as mentioned checking out every week day Talking nba player props over on the daily iso search for fan dual research podcast wherever you get your podcast for that Plus pga ufc mlb down the line nfl next year as well, of course Tom, I appreciate the time as always happy for you the all-star break is done and we'll talk to you again soon Thanks for having me. All right again find tom on twitter at tom underscore vekio one I am on twitter at jim sonnis check me out in threads at jim dot sonnis and find fan dual research on twitter at fan dual research tomorrow Austin cast swings by to break down e pl match week 26 And i'll be talking nascar in atlanta cup series bets that i like over a fan dual sports book We'll talk to all of you then this has been covering the spread right here on the fan dual podcast network