 We should be going live. Hi everyone, this is Chicho. Welcome to my channel and welcome to another live stream. Today is April 1st, 2020, and we're doing a live stream on analyzing the data for COVID-19, coronavirus, the novel coronavirus, virus, and we've done, I think this is the fourth one we're doing. We've been tracking this data for basically end of January, I guess, for a couple of months now. We've been looking at the data. Hello, Spider-Man. How are you doing? And we're creating a table, and this is the table that you see right now on the screen is just for the month of March because we have 72 data points. It was going to be too large to include the whole table. But I have all the data posted on our Patreon page, and I'm going to give the link to everyone. So everyone on chat, when they come in, they can, I believe that should be the one. Take everyone there. Hello, Catholic traditionalists. How are we doing? Case Man, Evening, Evening, our newest mod, right? And just to let you guys know, I'm just going to go through my little intro, Speedy Gonzales again. If you want to know who I am, what I'm doing here, and what we are doing here, because this is sort of a, in essence, a collaboration with everybody in our community made with Excel, made with Excel, right? And you can check out our Patreon page. Okay. I will provide a link in the description of this video, this video being loaded on Bechut and YouTube right now. That'll take you to the post I made with the full table that we have created so far, including 19 graphs that we're going to take a look at for this live stream. Okay, so there's 19 graphs, each one of these columns, and a couple of the columns we're sort of putting together. But there's basically 19 graphs we're going to take a look at for this live stream. And they're basically, I believe, start off with 11 graphs, about a month and a half, go that we looked at. And we've slowly been building the data, because at some point we want to create a mass series, take all of this data, and see what we can do with it, and sort of hindsight what we could have known, and take a look at some of the metrics that we're graphing right now to see if we have a good idea of what's going on with COVID-19, the novel coronavirus. Okay. And we are live streaming this on Twitch. So if you are on another platform, that if you want to catch these live streams as they are happening, okay, Twitch is where you want to be at. Okay. And I do announce these live streams 30 minutes before we go live on Twitter, Gab, Minds, VK, and Lo. And again, all the links will be in the description of this video. And this video after the live stream is going to be loaded on BitShoot on YouTube. Okay. And since we are in the middle of a pandemic, okay, a lot of healthcare systems around the globe are being overwhelmed. So what you want to keep in mind is you want to flatten the curve, okay, which means basically keep a physical distance from others for the next few weeks, right, because this virus does have an incubation period, does have, you know, people are asymptomatic. They don't show signs, but they could still transmit. And the R0 value for this is fairly high relative to the regular flu and whatnot, as well as the fatality rate being higher than the regular flu anytime, anywhere between 10 times or higher. Right. So we want to slow down this pandemic. That way we can flatten the curve, basically meaning that you don't want to overwhelm your healthcare systems, because if people do need critical care with this virus, they do need to be put on ventilators. And there's only a certain number of ventilators that are distributed all over the world, right. Some places are running really low. So if they get a whole wave of people coming in that require ventilators, they might have to make the decision, the unfortunate decision to decide who is going to live and who is going to die. And we don't want to put people in that kind of position. And you really don't want to be in that position yourself, either as a healthcare provider or as someone who is ill. Okay. So physical distancing is not a bad idea. I don't like the word social distancing, because what we are doing right now is social. Okay. Now we're going to start taking a look at the graphs. I'm just going to say hi to chat, catch up with chat and just say our salutations. Okay. And again, the link will be in the description of this video and I've posted on our channel posted again, where you can take a look at the larger version of this table, as well as the graphs that we're going to take a look at for this live stream. And they are on our Patreon page. Okay. Aside from that, hello gang. How are you doing? Hope you guys are doing well. Here's a post to the Patreon where you can find the data. Apologies about taking the doing our long intro. I think it's important to do that intro. Hey, Chih-choo on mods and followers. Hello, Martin. How are you doing? Saucy, Rossy. Welcome. Welcome. Hey, Chih-choo. From the number crunching I've done, America would hit 1 million known infected people by April 7th and 10 million known infected by April 20th. We'll take a look at the graphs. The data looks, oh yeah, I'm going to pop out the chat. I should have done this earlier. I'm not going to pop out the chat yet because I'm going to lose all the chat. So I'm going to go through the speedy Gonzales style. That's a bold prediction. So I'll say, where do you get those numbers? Just where the numbers are trending. I hope it's wrong too. If stay at home orders work, it should flatten out by the end of April. What up, Chih-choo? Hey, we'll show. How are you doing? Welcome. Welcome to another live stream. This article has been dead on Saucy Rossy. You got to post those links on a Discord page. Those numbers worry me. April is going to get dark no matter what. What's your opinion on people dying? Not good? What do you mean? 1 to 2% of total people infected was a number of people dying. So I'll say, what do you mean? Let me pop out the chat because I caught up with the chat. That way, we're not losing any of the chat. So the fatality rate is higher now, by the way. The last time we looked at this, the fatality rate, the first time we looked at it was around 2.5%. We followed the data and it was kicking up to 3%. It was 3.5%. Now the fatality rate global is hitting 5%. The main focus of this live stream is, I've calculated, because some people asked on the previous live stream if we could lag the data. I forget who it was. I should know, but I forget. She's on Twitch as well, but they requested for us to do a lag of 5-day fatality rate lag as well as a 2-week. And we're going to take a look at those graphs. Hello, Chicho. Always be making. How are you doing? By the way, I don't mean to hijack the discord. I just feel like I have a lot to say. Chat away. Always be making. I might skip the stuff if it's not related to what we're talking about. Rust evening. How are you doing? How do you feel about millions of people not living due to that? Here's a kicker, anti-cage. You might be just playing devil's advocate or whatnot. But check this out. I looked at some data. I'll play the devil's advocate. I looked at some data and what you see on a weekly basis, U.S. death rates have fallen relative to previous years. Why are U.S. death rates falling or relative to whatever metric they were measuring? U.S. death rates are falling because there's less people dying of car accidents. Because everyone's staying at home, there's less accidents, maybe there's a little discussion on a discord. Maybe the cause is people aren't driving to work and whatnot. Car accidents, there's less fatalities. You can take data and look at it whichever way you want. The question is, we're here to find out to the best of our abilities what is going on. How we decide to incorporate that knowledge into our lives is up to us individually. Simple as that, we have the discord for case man. We do have discord for talking about a lot of things. As case man says, always be making. If 10 million people are infected, then one to two percent is a good guess. Though if what Chicho just quoted is true, it could be way more. Saucy Rossi, if you look at the tables, if you go to discord, I believe it's the last, we have 19 graphs. It's the last four graphs that give you an estimate if we do a little lag relative to the fatality rate. And the fatality rate straight up is at 5% now, basically. Without doing any lag. It will probably get to 20%. If hospitals are completely overrun, that is possible. 5% infected. Global rate right now is including global populations. Ross, you can't include global population. You can't just say out of 7 billion people, that doesn't make sense. Doing that just doesn't make sense at all, really. Anything new on vaccine cure sites? Strawberry Jesus. Nice name. Strawberry Jesus 11. They are working stuff. There's some stuff that's showing promise. There's some stuff that's kicking into a trial already. And France, the United States, certain governments are saying that, oh, certain things, people, we're going to try taking them and stuff like this. We're not going to know exactly what is the cure for this or what's going to help people to stay alive, really. That isn't how it's calculated. It's calculated by known infectious. I think the person is just trolling. All the data Chico has and anyone is looking at has a general disclaimer of selection bias. There are problems with testing availability, asymptomatic infections, numbers being purposefully under or over reported, 100%. And that's the kicker. Aside from testing availability, testing accuracy. Some of the tests are 60% to 70% accurate. So 30 to 40% of people who are infected or passing by and a certain number that are infected are probably being tested positive. So the testing is very problematic right now. I know that's how they calculate it, but they say most of us are going to get it. Over what period of time, the kicker is, if everybody gets it in one shot, then the fatality rate is what, 30% right? If you distribute the case load for the health care providers in the world and the system itself over a 10 year period, then the fatality rate is a lot lower. It's just mathematics really. All the room will get it at some point. Martin, thank you very much for taking care of business. The standard model is 40 to 60% effective rate before her immunity starts to slow infection down. That's my point. If we all had it right now, the death rate would be no rust. If we all had it right now, the fatality rate would be a lot higher. There are people who are being saved right now that the only reason they're being saved is because they're getting medical care. If everybody had it right now, what percent of the population would get medical care? Not very many. So a lot more people would die. It's not even math anymore, it's simple logic. Not sure what to say to that. We can't really say more than that, saucy rosy. At least for an infection with the spread rate, this one does. It's natural around two to three new infections per carry. And I hope you're okay with me being fairly sharp about that rust. You know, silliness goes only so far. If you think those are numbers straight out, you need to amp up your math abilities. Ideal scenario is we distribute the caseload, like Chichou says, across as long a period of time as possible, both to ease the strain on our health care systems, but also to give time for treatments to be developed. Yeah, yes, Caseman and Chichou. That's it. Simple as that. So gang, let me give you the link to where this table, the bigger version of this table, this is just one month. So this is just the month of March. And I cut it up and I loaded it on here so we could take a look at it just because the bigger table is way too big. We can't even read the numbers on there. But if you go to Patreon page, you'll see the big table and you can follow the data. At some point we'll have this up as well somewhere in open spreadsheet where you can mess around with data and create your own formulas. And at the bottom of the main table, I've included the formulas for the cells. Unfortunately, I forgot to include the column numbers, but you'll get an idea of what the formulas are that I'm using. It's very simple, just percentages and whatnot. Okay, I got bingo. Knights of old comics. How are you doing? You're playing the chart, the table. Okay, so gang, we're about 15 minutes in. And I should have mentioned in the beginning of the video that if people are watching it on bit.youtube, I'll have the link to when we start taking a look at data in the description of video, usually in all of these streams. Okay, I don't think we can go with the numbers they provide at all. So this is all just speculation right now. It's just yeah. And take a look at this on the main table right now. If you go to here, let me go look at the big table. So I'll give you the exact table coordinates. If you go to, for example, here, if you go to column M, okay, the death inside China, right, the number of reported death inside China, if you scroll down, okay, and if you go to, what's the date? If you go to March 17th, I locked the number of deaths that are being reported out of China because it's not really, first of all, they're not increasing according to Chinese numbers, not very much, right? So it's not worthwhile relative based on our error to even keep track of it anymore. And the other reason I locked it up is because I don't really trust those numbers anyway, right? So if you look at the big table at the bottom of the table, I've made some notes based on the shading. So I've shaded a couple places here where I'm highlighting certain features, right? For example, if you go to column Q, you'll see if you scroll down to, let's make sure we're on the right. What month is that? Oops, not month. It's March, but let's say March, around March 22nd, okay, I shaded in another cell and that basically I made a note in the bottom of the table where it says, I switched collecting data from one source to another source because the original source was no longer reporting this metric, right? So this table is the best I could do with the resources available to be able to make sure the data was as accurate as possible and wherever I saw the data that I wasn't really 100% sure on, I just locked it up. For example, a number of deaths being reported in China, right? And if you go to February 15th, that's the date where the number of deaths outside, a number of reported or confirmed outside of China was more than the number of confirmed inside of China and now the number of confirmed outside of China is 10 times more, almost well, 10 times more what they are coming out of China. So again, these are metrics we have to consider when we're looking at this data, right? So what we're going to do, we're going to start looking at the graphs. Saucy Rossi, yeah, China, but the kicker is the numbers outside of China are growing very rapidly now, right? So the error within China that China is introducing initially was very large, now it's becoming less and less, right? And some of these graphs will let us know that twitching Jason evening, evening, how are you doing? Five gallon bucket of rolled oats, lamb ready, nice beans. And the who just goes with, WHO, I don't trust what they're saying as well. Initially, we looked at them and listened to a couple of their conference calls and stuff like this. Take what they're saying with a grain of salt, right? Certain things are accurate, certain things are not. There's a lot of politics to play. For us, we're going to look at the data, right? We're not playing politics. We just want to get an idea of what's going on to the best of our abilities based on the data available. Holy smokes, I actually caught one. This should be good. The real vegan zombies, nice, nice. I don't trust China, no. And a lot of countries, right? A lot of countries are barely testing. A lot of countries are underreporting because, you know, for two reasons, it could be underreporting intentionally, or they just don't have the test kits available. Like who here believes India, I think supposed to be 1500? Who here believes in India's 1500 or even 15,000 or even 10,000? My guess is a lot higher, right? By the way, tonight's snack, I just cut up some bananas. Need some potassium and some sugar. It took me a while to put this table. I was been working on these things all day today. By the way, if you see any mistakes in the data set or in the graphs, please let me know and we'll correct it for the next live stream because we're going to continue to look at this data. Okay. Yeah, I've had to switch sources for my graphs a couple of times. I'm using the COVID tracking project as my primary source now. Chico is using WorldMeter. Yeah, I'm using WorldMeter right now. I'll take a look at the COVID tracking project as well, but I like the WorldMeter right now because they dig down a little bit more and they're still reporting the metrics we were following initially when we started with this, right? We only had 11 columns before. We're looking at 11 bits of information. Okay. And before we get into the, let me just check this out. Okay. So again, this is the table. Here's the link to the table and the graphs we're going to take a look at. Okay. And what we're going to do is we're going to look at the data from January 20th to March 31st. Okay. So we got our table right here. So I'm going to take the table down. I'm going to start looking at the graphs and we're just basically going to move from the columns this way, right? So we're just going to hit up the columns and go down and take a look at the metrics that we graphed. Okay. And if you want to know, you know, follow our work, Patreon is where we're at. So if you go there right now, if you're watching this live, the top post is the data, right? And if you're watching this after we load it up on BitShooters YouTube, the link will be in the description of this video. And if you ever want to catch these things live, Twitch is where you want to be at. Okay. Our Twitch channel. Let me take these guys down. I'm going to take down the table. I'm going to let me turn on the first graph and take down the table. Okay. And the first table, first graph is total confirmed worldwide. Right. That's a pretty steep slope. Okay. Oh man, Chico, I've been watching your YouTube vids on Corona all evening. This is awesome. Okay. Awesome. The bane of existence. Welcome to our live stream. You're in luck. We're looking at the data all the way to yesterday. Okay. So what you're looking at is the data from January 20th to March 31st, today being April 1st. We're looking at this, right? So I had to wait last night until the data became available to enter it into the table and I put all the graphs together today. Right. Couldn't do it beforehand. You got to include all the data set. Right. Nice. I'm getting cozy. Get cozy bane. Okay. We've got some interesting data here. Now you can make projections out of this. You can take this data and do a little bit of crunching and take a look at the slope. See, do a little calculus and see how far it can extend and where the peak might be based on some of the peak that has occurred in other countries, possible peak that has occurred in other countries or whatnot. Right. And all of the stuff we may do later on for the series on mathematics, we're going to create regarding statistics. Right. Because we got the data and this is phenomenal data and it's math in real life. Right. Because the name of the game for us is to learn mathematics to a level where we can use it as a powerful tool to make predictions. And we already have made predictions when we started looking at this data. Right. Those people who have been following the live streams when we first started looking at this data, people were pretty much prepped before WHO came out and said, Oh, there's a problem here or any country came out in the Western world came out and said there's a problem. Right. So if you know mathematics, you rule your own world, you're not a slave to centralized power to tell you what's going on. You can already make a guess. Right. Strange. 20th January was the first time I saw, I saw parents, I saw parents. Oh, was it Martin? So this graph looks pretty steep. Okay. The second column is the total confirmed cases in China, which is basically died down. Right. So the total cases, the previous graph includes China, right, as well as the countries outside of China. And the graph is going, still going pretty steep. Right. Okay. If it's going like this, what's the driving mechanism for this thing still going like this? Well, it's not China because China's flattened out. So it must be the confirmed cases we are getting outside of China, which is this and the slope of this compared to the slope of the world doesn't look like much, but this is a lot steeper than this guy. Okay. The scales change a little bit. I haven't said everything to be done the same scale, same distance, because I need to, you know, be able to put a lot more effort to make sure all these are automated. Hopefully we'll get to do that on an open spreadsheet online and set things up in a way where as soon as the data is entered into the table, it automatically updates the graphs. Right. But the driving mechanism for what we're seeing right now with the global confirmed cases kicking up is not China based on the reported cases, but it's the world. Okay. So keep that in mind. Now, one of the metrics we started looking at, which was extremely important, Audmic, how are you doing? Hey, Chih-Chou, happy 420. Happy 420. Is it 420 right? It's not 420. April 20. Audmic, we will definitely do something on April 20. And welcome to our live stream. And thank you for early 420. Congratulations. Right. People are already trying to do that modeling now, but the variables for anything on this scale make predictions have a really wide margin of error. Exactly. And we'll see that the margin of error, like the range of what the fatality rate could be in the last four graphs that we're going to take a look at. Total economic collapse one. We can talk about that during current events live stream. April 20. A month of 420 where no one can leave home and all food must be delivered. Someone wished me a monkey's paw. Monkeys have paws. 420. That's right. April 2020. Audmic, I didn't catch it. No, it's April 2020. That's right. April. So 420. April 20th this year is going to be an insanely 420 year, right? Yeah, yeah. Double 420, man. I didn't, it didn't even click in for me. Doctor, hate and Audmic. You guys are bang on. Case man as well. Hell yes, brother. Lima, how are you doing now? Take a look at this. One of the main metrics we looked at from the get go was the percent growth per day, right? Because that was really important. How fast is this thing spreading? This is the total growth per day for the total confirmed cases. Okay. And if you look at the table, let me bring up the table here. You know what? I'll put it up on the live stream as well. Let me bring the table on the live stream. And I have to look at it because this is really small for me. I have to look at it online. Okay. On our Patreon page. So percent growth per day total right now is 9%. Right? In China it's 0% because it's not really growing according to China. And the driving mechanism is the world population, the world confirmed cases. So the world is also 20 or also 10%. Right? But this one here is the total confirmed cases in the world. Okay. Here is the, sorry, this is the percent growth per day for the world. Okay. So it's sitting around 10%, which is pretty damn like 10% growth per day. Whoa. This is huge, right? Here's a percent growth per day in China. It's just flat. Basically zero because it's not, you know, you can trust the data or not trust the data. We're going with what the data is telling us. It's telling there's basically no growth per day inside of China. It's minuscule. That's why we've basically locked it up. Right? Hello. I'm so sorry. I'm coming across that glitch again with Twitch, Grr. I'm going to email them. Oh, no, Spider-Man. I hope the glitch corrects itself. I know you've been looking forward to this one. Okay. Now if the percent growth per day in the world is around 10% and in China is around zero, so the driving mechanism for this is the country's outside of China, right? Confirmed cases outside of China. So that's sitting around 10%, right? It came down. The last time we looked at this and we're looking at a 72 days worth of data right now, by the way, gang, right? So we're looking almost a two and a half months worth of data, right? This is how fast this thing has been growing. In two and a half months, we've gone from just a few hundred cases to confirmed cases to over a million right now, right? So that's huge. That's huge. Okay. Now take a look at this. This is percent growth per day outside of China, right? The next graph we're going to take a look at, okay, boop. This is a total number of deaths reported fatalities, okay, globally total, right? And this graph does not look good. There is a reason why a lot of leaders in different countries are saying expect more. The numbers are going to increase, right? Because you can't just, when something is growing like this, mathematically it's unless it seriously blacks want major event occurs or there's something traumatic happening where the curve can all of a sudden come down where it stops in its track. The momentum behind this right now going like this is pretty heavy, right? So it's going to take a while to flatten it out and bring it down. So the bad news is this thing is kicking up, huge, okay? And we're going to look at the percent growth of this as well, right? Now this is also good news, right? Or it's doing the same thing but it's good news instead of being bad news, right? So total deaths bad going steep. This is recovered and initially it was flatter but now it's picking up. So that means the recovery rate is going a lot faster now, right? So this is a positive we can pull from the data, okay? The other positive was of course the growth per day, okay? Total confirmed cases per day went from 20 percent down to 10 percent. So the growth rate halved which is really good, right? Even though 10 percent is ridiculously huge, right? At least it's not 20 percent, it's only 10 percent, okay? And the recovery is looking to be fairly steep which is a great thing, right? This graph here is problematic, right? This is the fatality rate and this calculation we're doing, we're calculating the fatality rate for a specific day, right? So we're taking the number of reported deaths, right? Fatalities and we're dividing it by the total confirmed cases, right? Unfortunately, right? It's reaching 5 percent, okay? Now it kicked up, it was around 2 percent and then kicked up to, you know, two and a half percent and we saw it going up to three and a half percent, right? We talked about it, saw this thing being three and a half percent and then WHO came out like a week later or something and said, oh, it's three and a half percent. Expect the WHO to come out and say that it's 5 percent, okay? If they haven't already, so the odds are there's going to be an update coming because we're seeing it come up hit 5 percent. When we saw our graph about a month ago, right? When it had already hit three and a half percent and one was, you know, had sit at, you know, bouncing off to three and a half percent, about a week later, WHO came out and said, okay, it's three and a half percent. So I'm guessing we're going to get an update on that, right? That is unfortunate and this is the low number because the other calculations we've done was for the fatality rate to figure out what the fatality rate is. We've lagged and one of the calculations is five days and the other one is two weeks. The five-day calculation is kicking up into the eight, 10 percent depending on which metric we're looking at, okay? So keep this in mind. Fatality rate according to the numbers that we've tabulated is pretty much 5 percent now. This number here is also problematic percent total recovered. We saw percent total recovered kicking up, which was fantastic, right? You know, 40 percent of people are being recovered and stuff like this, but because the growth rate is exponential, kicking up huge has expanded into the world as a pandemic, as global now, we're getting a lot more confirmed cases than there are people recovering. That's why we're seeing this thing go up and come down, right? So right now, if I look at my table, because you guys are looking at it on your big screen, you should be able to see it better than me, but let me see what we got. Let me see what we got. Recovered, recovered, percent recovered. Where is my column? I believe it's sitting at, oops, I added a few more columns, so I gotta recover it. There we go. On my spreadsheet, I've locked the titles, but this is just an image I'm looking at. Where are we? Jeep is Jeep is. Anyway, you guys take a look at it. Because this is big, I want to be able to read it. It's difficult for me to narrow it down because the headers are not locked in. So I think that's around what is a 10, 20% now or something like this. Here is another graph, which is also problematic. This is that death versus recovered as a percentage, right? So initially, the death rate was huge because people were being confirmed to have COVID, confirmed infection, right? And once people are getting sick, it's taken them a while to recover, right? During that recovery period, people started dying, so they couldn't confirm people being recovered. So the number of deaths were more than the number of recovered initially, right? And that was, it wasn't enough data, so you see the whole thing dropping down. And as it was dropping down, it was great because what it meant when you see the graph go down like this is the number of recovered was growing faster number of deaths percentage wise, right? So it was kicking it down, kicking it down. We were hoping that it was going to go down and flatten out and slowly become asymptotic to zero. So basically, there weren't very, very many people dying and more people were recovering. Unfortunately, we're seeing this thing kick up again, right? That means, you know, you can interpret this multiple ways. You could say, oh, the virus has mutated is stronger now, right? Maybe the virus has hit the general population where there's a lot of elderly are being affected or immune compromised are being affected. So they're not being able to recover. Or you could also look at it in terms of health care systems are being overloaded right now in certain countries. So they can't help people out that they really want to help out, right? So there are people that are being sacrificed because there aren't enough ventilators or enough people to take care of them, right? So unfortunately, this is a problematic graph as well. We're seeing the death rating go higher, okay? It's kicking up. Death versus recovered. The next graph is this guy, okay? Now, this is two columns I put together, right? Percent total confirmed inside China versus outside China. So what we saw basically was all the cases initially were inside China, right? Or 99.999% of the cases were inside China, right? That's where you see, you know, and this is out of 100% the y-axis, right? So almost everybody confirmed that had COVID-19 was inside China. And then what you saw is the infection spread out into the rest of the world. And as it's spread out to the rest of the world, the numbers being infected outside of China grew dramatically while China people are locked down and physical distancing and whatnot. And, you know, you can take it with, you know, any which way you want, the data coming out of China. But there's no doubt that they were able to reduce the rate of infections because they lock things down. There was at one point they had 100 million people, 120 million people on their lockdown, right? So no matter how trustworthy the data coming out of China is, no matter what, you can assume that the number of the infectious infection rate inside China had slowed down. Meanwhile, outside of China, a lot of countries were still talking about herd immunity and they didn't lock down, or they didn't let their population know that there's something going on in the world, right? And there are countries that, you know, they couldn't do anything, right? And the infections grew, right? So all of a sudden, when you see it cross, that's the date in the table that we see. Let me crack open the table again. If you look at the column where it's highlighted, which is March 15th, the 80,860 for Confirm for China and 88,574 outside of China, that's where you see the data crossing, okay? That's what we're seeing here, where the red line is crossing the blue line, the blue line being mainland China and outside of China is a red line, right? Outside of China goes above China and right now 90%, if not more, of the confirmed cases of COVID-19 are outside of China. So the numbers being reported from inside of China are becoming less and less relevant to the bigger picture, right? Now let's take and look at the next graph. This is what we're seeing, right? Total deaths inside China versus outside China. So if you assume that China was able to reduce the rate of infection inside their country, right? And they build a few hospitals and, you know, they kicked their industry into high gear creating ventilators and masks and gloves or whatever it is they needed, if they were able to reduce the rate of infection inside China, then you're going to see the deaths taper out. That's what this graph says, right? Or the data is not being reported accurately. Take it whichever way you want or a combination of each, right? But the deaths outside of China, that's problematic, right? That is very problematic. The other graph that we have here is, this is the percent total deaths inside China versus outside China. So again, it's the same type of graph that we're seeing total confirmed cases inside China versus outside China. 90 plus percent of the deaths now are outside of China. Okay. So again, the numbers being reported from inside of China are becoming less and less. Their weight is being reduced relative to the bigger picture, right? Which is what we were looking for initially when we're talking about this data because, you know, however you want to look at the data coming out of China, we knew that once it hit the world, other countries were going to get more data coming in so we could, we would get a better idea of what's taking place, right? And the better idea, one of the most important metrics we want to take a look at is what the fatality rate is, right? So the next five graphs, really, we're going to take a look at the fatality rate based on lag time, right? Because if people are being confirmed to have COVID-19, and if, you know, if they're being tested, right, then they're supposed to have to be showing signs of infection, you know, coughing, dry cough, high temperature, fever, whatever it was, lack of sleep, I believe, and what not. So there's certain symptoms you would be showing, right, to get tested in a huge chunk of the world, or at least until a few days ago, right? They weren't mass testing everyone. Some countries are, right? Once they test someone that shows symptoms and they're confirmed positive, some countries have been going through and testing everyone they were in contact with, right? Some countries haven't. So what we're seeing right now is the death rate kick up because people have been infected for a longer period of time. So this graph right here, okay, is the percent total death inside China versus outside China. And this graph that we're about to look at is the fatality rate outside of China, right? So we're excluding inside of China. The fatality rate outside of China is, I got to look at my table or take a look at the graphs. Oh, hold on a second. I got to crack this open. Sorry, gang. Oh, hold on. I should be able to make this larger for me to be able to read that. Let's see if we can. Again, it's 5%, right? But the slope is a little bit steeper, which is problematic as well, right? Now, let me show you the next graph that we have. And the next graph, let me, is a five-day lag because if someone is being confirmed to have COVID, I believe the earliest that if things go sour, that people are passing away, is anywhere between 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 days, right? So we took a lag. The number of deaths, if you look at the table and you'll see the formula in the table, in the main table, right? The number of deaths, and instead of comparing the number of deaths to the same day as the number of confirmed, we're kicking it back five days, right? So we're taking the number of deaths and dividing it by the number of confirmed cases five days before, okay? This is what we're seeing. Okay, this is fatality rate for total confirmed cases with a five-day lag. And this becomes problematic, right? The fatality rate, let me find the right column. Fatality rate out or total with a five-day lag is 8%. Okay, and that's not a reasonable thing to do. Really, it's not an unreasonable thing to do. If you kick it back to three-day lag, and I think very few, it's on the extremities that people when they're showing symptoms within three days, they might pass away. It takes a few days longer, right? So five-day lag, we got a fatality rate of 8%, which is huge, right? Which is really large, okay? Now, the next column, and this was total cases, right? Now, we're going to take a look at fatality rate for total confirmed cases with a two-week lag because I don't think the average would be two weeks, right? I hope not anyway, because that would mean that it would take people, you know, they would be suffering for a while. And unfortunately, some people that go on their ventilator, I haven't followed the data, but someone could crack me if this is incorrect. But if someone is put on a ventilator, what is the lag time? If they're getting care that they might pass away, when do they go past the hump of the danger zone where they start recouping, right? How long does that last, okay? So if we do a two-week lag, this is what we see, okay? Now, I did the two-week lag for the whole data set from January 20th, all the way to March 31st, right? So January 20th, two weeks in, and then you collect the data from the number of confirmed death. The data was sparse then. That's why you're seeing, oh, fatality rate is much higher than what the recovery rate is, like over 100%, like everybody's dying, right? But you kick it down. Once you see the graph go down, okay? And if you do a two-week lag, it's coming up and it's sitting at 20% now, right? So if there's a two-week lag from the time that people are confirmed on average, that if they're passing away, it takes two weeks, we're at 20% fatality rate. I don't think this is reasonable to be honest, right? I think this is an extreme, right? I think the five-day is more reasonable number, okay? And if that's the case, we're sitting at 8%. Now, the next graph is the fatality rate with a five-day lag outside of China. And this, again, is sitting at a little over 8%. It's 8.5%. Right? And the reason it kicks up to 8.5% is because we froze the column, the number of deaths that China was reporting, because it's barely budging, right? So what we did, we froze that column, the number of deaths. You'll see it in the table. It's highlighted, the number of deaths being reported inside of China, right? So we're really just going with the number of deaths outside of China. If you do a five-day lag with the number of deaths reported and divided by the number of confirmed cases five days beforehand, we're sitting at 8.5% right now, right? It hit 9% and it's coming down to around 8.5%. Hopefully, it'll continue to come down, okay? Now, unfortunately, as you can guess, the two-week lag looks even worse, right? So outside of China, with a two-week lag, we're sitting at 30% plus, and I think that's unreasonable, right? This would be an extreme, extreme case that would happen, okay? Just some numbers to keep in mind, right? And these are, should paint a certain picture that hopefully people take, you know, think about this a little bit more, because a lot of people are dismissing the devastating effect this thing is having, not only just on an economic front, political front, and stuff like this, but the human toll that is taking, especially on healthcare workers, right? And the last thing you want in any country, in any community, is the healthcare workers to be affected, because if they're affected, then you're taking people out of the game that could be helping other people. And one person helping multiple people, if you're just doing the numbers, will have a traumatic effect on what the fatality rate will be for that country, for that region, okay? So that's the one table we have, and 19 graphs that are available on our Patreon page. If you want to take a look at that data more, okay? And here's the link to the Patreon. For those of you following live, you can click on that link, and the table is there, larger version of this table, okay? Because this table that you're seeing on your screen right now is only for a month of March, right? The table we've provided on the Patreon page, it goes from January 20th until March 31st, so it's a bigger table, okay? And it has the formulas at the bottom, so you can check the formulas to see what cells are being divided by what cells or multipliers subtract and whatnot, and what numbers have been frozen or whatnot, right? And for those of you watching this on another platform, we're live streaming, it's on Twitch. So if you want to watch these things live, and we're going to do monthly updates, I'm pretty sure we're not going to do a two week update, we might, we did it last time. So right now we've been doing two updates a month, we might reduce that to once a month, because the data is so much, but we might get up to two, you know, maintain it at two weeks, we'll see how things go. Aside from that, I'm going to go to chat and catch up with the conversation to see what's going on, because I saw a lot of discussion taking place, I just didn't want to pause anymore and just go through the data, the table and the graphs, right? And I saw some subs and follows happening. Thank you very much for the follows, at least, and the subs. If there were subs, if you're joining our stream, join this channel. I hope you're finding this information useful. Hello gang, let me take down the Twitch and the Patreon. And of course, Patreon is a phenomenal way to support this work, if you do have the means to support this work. And if you just want to follow what we're posting, right? Because I don't make anything private. You can just follow and get the posts coming to you. But if you do have the means, supporting this work through Patreon is a fantastic way to do so. Okay. Chishou, Chishou is just trying to share data right now. Yeah, that's it. We can't really crunch the numbers you know, beyond this. We can't, we can do speculation and stuff like this, but I'd rather just continue to create these graphs and give ourselves a visual as to what's happening, right? Because really, depending on how you, as you can tell, right, with the fatality rates, if we do a lag, all of a sudden the fatality rate is really kicking up high. Some people may use that that way. Some people initially were here on the stream, they're going, oh, if you compare it to the world population is 0.00, which is ridiculous, right? So there's a lot of different ways you can look at this data. Every country is so different. The timelines here, yeah. By the way, this is 72 days we're looking at, right? My biggest question is, will they get to a point where the food supply chain will run out? Always be making? I don't think so. We're lucky. We're coming into spring. Now the odds are this is going to be popping its head out again, fall of next year, right? So wherever you are, really, wherever you are, this summer, do some prep work, and we're going to do some prep work during the live streams. If you, if you were here watching the live streams, you would have noticed that over the summer, this summer, I did a lot of preserves, I made jam and dried mint, and we made a whole bunch of stuff, right? Crab, apple, butter, and stuff like this, because it's always good to have food. You should have a pantry, right? So really be aware of what's taking place this year, okay, this winter, and appreciate the fact that this might be a cyclic thing that's happening. Now, will it be as severe next year as it was this year? The odds are not, because some people have already been infected. There'll be a little bit of immunity and blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, and people more aware and whatnot, right? However, this thing might be a cyclic thing. If you're concerned about food, start doing some prep, okay? Start doing some prep, and if you have a space in your house or your apartment or wherever you are to have a pantry, make some preserves and have some food on the side. Now, all like it's been in BAS for a long, long time, but matured, yeah. So I'm going to scroll down, gang, through the chat, and if there's anything directed towards me, please let me know, or anything directed towards the data, just, you know, if you have any questions regarding what we've talked about. 3.5 to 5% is terrible, and if hospitals are overrun capacity, it will definitely go over 10%. Yeah, and that's what we're seeing in Italy. Italy has been overrun, Spain has been overrun, and their fatality rate is more than 10% now, I believe, right? Which is very problematic. Yeah, absurd decline, absurd decline. Italy, death rate was 11.8% around noon, yeah. You do not want to overload your system to hit that level, right? Well, there's a lot of chat, gang, I'm scrolling all the way down. Wow, wow, wow, so much, so much. A lot of discussion. Unrightfully so, by the way. There should be intense discussion regarding this. That's what I'm saying. I live in a country of 22 million and only 159 deaths, 5% fatality rate, only 159 deaths. How many tested? With Jupiter in mind. Banana. Case map. We try to facilitate discussion. People presenting alternative views is healthy, but no reason to let people agree. You can discuss, you can talk about whatever you want, but don't attack people. Because the first person used to be attacking is me, because I'm presenting the data. This is me putting this data together. You should be taking this data and analyzing the data yourself as well. Let the mathematics speak. Not opinions and guesses and whatnot. I would agree with getting food, because the transportation of food could be a big problem. Agreed beings, which is one of the most important things we need to do. We need to localize food production. Ridiculously important. If this doesn't wake people up and realize that how fragile they are, if they're supply chain, the food that they're consuming comes from miles away and there's nothing locally being grown, you guys are in trouble. You have one season right now. Spring is here. You guys should be trying to make sure that wherever you are in the world kicks into high gear and gets off their asses, whatever government, city, county politicians that you have, and you force them to start having some kind of food security within the community. Because if this thing kicks in high again, as always be making, I believe, that was saying, there might be problems with the food supply. If there's problems with the food supply, what are you going to do? I know New York alone just passed 1,000 deaths. New York is problematic, twitching Jason, and always sleepy waves was very concerned about that. In the state I live in, we have around 500 cases of virus. Beans, the testing, how many people are there testing? How long have they been testing? I'm just worried they are inflating U.S. numbers. I don't think they're inflating them. I really don't think they're inflating them. I'm going to scroll down, anti-cage. You still here? Abdicent case man, with your wife being a nurse, what precautions do you guys take when she comes home from work? Case man says a lot. By the way, I'm absurd, Khan. My partner is a nurse as well. When she's coming in the door, we have a box where she steps into the box and takes her shoes off in the box, and then all the clothes go into another box, okay, and quick cleanup, right? And new clothes, next shift, right? You need to take precautions. You may not be cohabitating soon if her exposure ticks up, okay? We haven't started talking about that case man yet. Well, we have talked about it, but we're not considering that right now, me and my partner anyway. South Dakota only has two cities, the biggest city is 130,000 K people. We have done about 5,000 tests, okay? Okay. Now, the size of the country or the county or the state doesn't really matter. Look at Iceland. Population is not very dense, but per capita is a disaster. Anti-cage, I want to time you out, time out brother, okay? I'm just not interested in, there's a lot of conversation going on. I want to make sure that the chat, the mods are able to enjoy the conversation, and I'm just going to time out anyone that goes a little bit too far, okay? Be respectful. Ah, yes, the last bastion of freedom bombs. Yeah, there's a lot of politics involved in all this, right? So much discussion going on. Then you guys rooting against your own nation, I don't understand. How so, which I missed the conversation, so fill me in. You can be critical of your own nation. That doesn't mean you don't want it to be, to succeed. Yeah. Lord Cutley, I 100% agree. For some reason, people think that if you call out for politicians for BS, or your government for committing crimes, if you hold power accountable, people think that's, you betray your country, that's ridiculous, right? Hold criminals accountable. Otherwise, they will run a muck in your country, okay? We must be critical of our own nations. Yeah. His first comment started it. I'm not going to go back that far, that's for sure. I said, even if not being American, I worry about USA because it's the last free nation in this world. With Jupiter in mind, free nation in the world, what does that mean? Are you serious? Free nation in the world? No. If you consider the United States to be a free nation, then, man, your definition of freedom is pretty ridiculous, okay? Free to do what? Bomb other nations, throw people and lock them up and throw away the key, hold special juries, what's that called? Special prosecution, the ones that took Chelsea Manning and secret trials. Chelsea Manning and threw her in jail and charged her $1,000 a day because she refused to bow down to a dictatorship, to fascist regime? What? Free nation in the world? What? I wish that was true, yeah. I wish, actually, I wish every nation was free. I personally don't, you know, where's a free nation? I don't know. Right now, top of my head, I can't even think of a free nation in the world. Iceland is the closest I come to, right? Iceland is the freest country that I know of. Okay, yeah, always making sense, you have a wacky definition of freedom, 100%. Absurdagon says, I'm from a pretty conservative town and it's insane how being critical of a country is interpreted as anti-pacism, yeah. And that's just centralized education, right? Centralized programming, right? Centralized indoctrination. Those people who think that aren't free human beings. They don't have free thought. They are completely programmed. Lord Cutley, oh, I'm in a red state as well. I know how that goes. Wow. Being well informed and critical of any centralized powers of duty as citizens, 100%. That was a core foundation of the United States, right? Aside from other, you know, some bad stuff as well, right? U.S., the last free nation, according to its own definition of freedom, the nation of Cichorna, Cichorna is not a case man. Well, okay, I will keep listening. No grudges, no grudges, Jupiter. USA land of capitalism. Spider, any luck? Yeah, Spider, how's your Twitch stream? Is it going okay? I hope it's going okay. Slowly, but we're working on it. Texas has some amazing people come out of Texas. Bill Hicks was a Texan. Bill Hicks was one of the greatest prophets that has ever come out of the United States. Like, once you understand what Bill Hicks was saying, you wake up fast, right? Frodo locked down just 40 minutes ago. Cool. Let's see what happens, right? I mean, everybody saw, they were pushing it, you know, those indoctrinated youth that went to the spring break and that's what centralized education produces in large parts. Craziness, banana. It's just a ride. It's just a ride. Cichor Bill Hicks, the guy tool tributes an album too. Yep, that Bill Hicks. 100% on tool rocks. If you ever get a chance, go to a tool show. I've been. It's phenomenal. Cichor, sorry if I've missed it, but have we done any finance or economics chats since this virus began to spread in North America? I'm curious to hear your take on the markets if you followed them at all. Twitching Jason, I've been following them a lot and I'm finding it fascinating, right? I'm doing my own analysis on it. To a certain degree on the same level as we're doing for COVID, but I'm doing it in just mental note and stuff like this. We have done current events, that's part of thing, but twitching Jason, if you want posted on our Discord in the next batch of streams and I'm going to announce it in the next two, three days, the next batch of streams to come up and I'll include a personal finance economics stream in that as well. There's some cool things going on economically. Crazy stuff. Right now it's a trader's dream. Traders have lived, completed their lives that would dream about having an opportunity that is being presented right now, their whole lives and they would never have had it, right? This is a trader's dream right now. I've dropped hints in previous streams of oh this, that, that. Look into finance, look into companies that are producing fitness exercises, home fitness exercises. If I had lots of money on the side, I'd be investing in them and really divesting from companies that have gyms, right? Can we eat banana in an empty stomach? I think so. It's actually really good. I like it anyway. I have said this before while you were speaking. The news in my country did not tell us Huawei G5 contract deals with China have been processed since Friday. Why keeping this information? Oh this is regarding 5G and stuff. And 5G is, you know, it could be very, very nasty. How are you? How are you doing? Doing well here. I wish I had the foresight to buy some stock and zoom, zoom. Touching Jason, that's like a dad joke, quality comment. Touching Jason, what do you say? Antarctica's pretty free isn't it? Walmart, Publix, Albertson, Amazon. There are a bunch of companies making a ton of money off of this. Yeah, cannabis stocks. We talked about cannabis stocks, right? Martin says, potassium helps you absorb calcium. Nice. Hope you're doing well, Chicho. Richard, how are you doing? Got a chance to catch some stream before work this morning. Nice. So you're in Europe, you're in the UK? I bought Grubhub. Banana, banana. Banana is good. Banana is good. Yeah, UK here. Yeah. Morning stream, talking about data analysis for COVID-19. Heavy, heavy, but important. Very, very important, right? Very important. I'll give you guys a link to the, oops, that's not it. That's the person I timed out. Here's the link to the, at the copy's name. Here's the link to our Patreon page where we have all the data, this table, though a larger table than this and 19 graphs, right? And our Patreon page is here. If you want to go there in the top post right now is where the data is at. What time is this for everyone? I'm 1 a.m. for me. Obsurrection. I'm 9.45 here. My brother-in-law works in cannabis industry as a trimmer. He's in Oregon and his county or state, I'm not sure, is saying marijuana industry is essential and staying open. Thoughts, Chicho? Yeah. There are, there's Spiderman. There are a lot of people that require cannabis to be able to function in life. They're in pain. They got back pain. They're having chemotherapy, radiation. They have digestion issues. They have Crohn's disease. Cannabis is one of the greatest medicinal plants that we have on this planet, right? Brighton. Richard, you're in Brighton. Cannabis is medical in Florida, so it's 100% staying. Yeah, it's medicine open here. Birmingham here. Does anyone know how exactly is the process for diagnosis of this? Of COVID-19? It varies from country to country, right? I believe there are test kits coming out that now they can do it in about a few minutes, right? They're approving them, but their accuracy is like 70% or something, from what I understand anyway. 5.45 AM, Martin. For me, I got up at 5.30 this morning and you stay up the other side. Our time has shifted, right? How are you doing? How long will we be locked up here in the Pacific Northwest? I think this is going to go on for a couple of weeks, two, three, four weeks maybe, right? Are you guys totally locked out? Like for us in B.C., and by the way, Hannah is from Washington State and I'm in B.C. Canada. We're neighbors, right? Same type of climate and whatnot, but Seattle got hit harder than we did initially. Vancouver's hit hard, but the testing wasn't rolled out faster and they're doing it now, but people, the smaller population is spreading store, right? To a certain degree, but Vancouver's problematic, but we're still able to walk around. Hannah, can you guys still go for walks? And stores are open. You can go buy food and stuff, and there is buses still running, so there are certain people out and about, right? They need transportation to go to work with their healthcare workers or whatnot, right? And the cleaners, like huge respect to the people taking care of cleaning, wiping everything down and in grocery stores, especially those in hospitals, right? The cleaning staff in hospitals have one of the toughest jobs around, right? And the nurses will attest to this. They're like, I don't know how they do it, right? Like, I know nurses that said they couldn't do their job. First of all, they couldn't do their nursing job if they weren't around, and they would never do the cleaning job because it's too traumatic for them. It's a lot, a lot, right? Oh man, I'm glad to see you share my enthusiasm. Also extremely fascinated to see how a majority of workforce may permanently shift to working from home. As someone who's worked from home for years, I've always wondered how a massive shift to remote work would change the world as we currently know it. Twitch and JSON are with you. For me, I've done contract work for 20 years, right? I've worked solo, basically. This is like two or three years that I've worked for companies and stuff like this, and I realized, why would I do that? So it's interesting seeing this, and I've had a few people contact me to say, hey, Chicho, how do you do this? How do you do this? Because they know I've been doing this for a long time, right? So a lot of people that had all their eggs in one basket had worked for a company for a number of years, everything there. And I kept on. I've told people over the years, and if you guys have been following the live streams, politics, economics, or whatnot, I continue to say, decentralize yourself. Have multiple streams of revenue, right? Make yourself anti-fragile, as Naseem Nikolas Talab would say, right? That way, when something traumatic happens or dramatic happens in your industry, you don't find yourself out in the streets. This headline was from today, quote, Taliban pledges not to kill healthcare workers as fear of coronavirus pandemic express in Afghanistan. I think every country should say that. One of the countries that has killed a lot of healthcare workers would be the United States, right? In Afghanistan, in Iraq, in Syria, sadly, the US isn't quite ready for that yet. Yeah, sadly, breaking into shops, Chicho. How do you feel about rent freezes? I'm all for it. I think every country in the world right now, and they have the ability to do it. I think every country in the world right now should come out and say rent, interest, mortgage, okay, what do you call it? The strata fees? Condo fees? Frozen, right? That would have been the optimum way to relieve pressure from the society instead of getting a bureaucratic machine into place to send everybody money and only a select type of people get money. Some people are off the grid, right? And they pay rent still. They're not going to get any money and they still have to pay rent. Oh, you just created a serious problem, serious problem in your society, right? Part of my understand how much it would help, but I also see how it's other individuals' income. That's the kicker. Freeze it everywhere. It's not just a rent freeze, mortgage, strata payments, condo payments, rent, interest, all of it frozen. You could easily do it, right? Who's going to take the hit? Wall Street. Why should Wall Street be bailed out while what do you call it? Main Street gets shafted, right? I see what you're saying. Yeah, easily done will show. Way easier done than what they have done. Way easier done. Unfortunately, for us, right? If they did what we just said, freeze it all, right? Then they wouldn't get paid and they want to get paid, right? That's why you need to criticize your own countries when you have corrupt politicians, corporations, power that's never held accountable running amok. They take taxpayer money and they give it to themselves, right? Landlords. There we go. Hannah said, said, what did Hannah say? Landlords don't matter. They're just greedy. There are people that don't want to buy property, right? Not that I agree with the landlord situation the way it is, right? I don't. I don't. But personally, for me, I disagree with calling a certain segment of society scum. I don't agree with that, right? That's playing into a trap, right? That's exactly what centralized power has done to many of us, many people in society, right? Just look at prohibition. These people are scum. Boom. For 100 years, right? Persecuting people for growing plants, right? What insanity, right? So I try to refrain from saying this segment of society is scum, this segment of stuff. Even though I say Wall Street, but Wall Street is not people, Wall Street is a system. It's a completely corrupt system, right? You can call a system corrupt garbage, but people know Wall Street has 70% of the wealth. It would be so easy to absurd a con. Ridiculously easy. And Wall Street is a, what do you call it, a slush, slush machine, right? They take money and they're a larger money. They take money from many and give it to the few and they do it very efficiently, right? For them. So they pay zero taxes and screw over everybody, right? That's the machine in place, right? Why are we bailing them out in a matter of 12 years? Just imagine 2008, 2020, right? 12 years, right? Trillions of dollars given to them. 12 years, they filtered that through. This is how much money was given to them in 2008. The biggest scam in world history at that point. This is how much money they gave them. It took them 12 years to linger that money and take it all out and they ran out of money after 12 years. Now they needed more money to be able to linger it again, right? How long is it going to take them to linger this money and are people going to put up with it? You tell me. Should people put up with it? Absurd a con. I agree with you. At my current place in life, I have no clue when I'm going to purchase land. So landlords are all right sometimes. There's good ones and bad ones. Absurd a con 100%, right? Don't pigeon, is it called pigeonhole people or pigeonhole segment of society? Like I never liked the term 1%. I don't like it. I didn't like it during Occupy Wall Street where I was, if you know my work, I was writing articles back then, right? I never like 1%, right? I have friends that are considered to be the 1%, right? They're very amazing good people, right? I disagree with making the other the evil, right? Ultimately it's up to the banks to freeze mortgages and in turn rents for citizens and businesses. It's up to the country. The country can go in there and say you do it right now, right? It's up to really the people, right? Did you guys see the the the banking head people come out? I posted on our economics thing where they came out and said, oh, don't pull your money out of the banks. It's the safest place to be. We guarantee it. See the eyes. I forget all the acronyms. It's guaranteed and you'll it's the safest place to have your money. We don't want bank runs and stuff like this. Wow. Wow. Never happened. Catholic traditionalist. I'm currently not collecting rents on any of my rental properties that are rented by tenants that cannot currently afford to pay during this crisis, since I'm paying mortgage on those properties. It is not a pain-free policy. I agree with you Catholic tradition. That's fantastic for you for turning to your tenants and saying, look, if you guys can't afford it, it's okay, right? Awesome. Awesome. I make this point only to refute the notion proposed by Hannah that all landlords agree. I 100% agree with you, Catholic traditions. We thank you for doing that. Humanity thanks you for doing that. If you believe if you're a Catholic traditionalist, you're going to be looked upon fondly. You're doing a good thing. Phenomenal. That's the reason we should never say this group of society is bad. No, never, ever, ever. And if I ever do it, man, call me out. Please, please. Because I used to do it when I was younger. I was programmed. I was brainwashed. I was indoctrinated. We can only really affect our immediate surroundings. So don't use better words, Jupiter. Please. Okay, I'm not going to allow that. Use better words. Don't be. Don't be an a-hole is better than that. Right. Please. Okay. Thank you, case man. I apologize. I spoke too soon. Hannah, thank you. God bless you. Awesome. Thank you, Hannah. It's easy to feel that way in a time like this. Yeah. Yeah. And it's okay. All right. Always, I disagree. There are people who misappropriate their power in ways I would consider bad or evil. Sure. Always be making. I'm not sure where the conversation was going came from, but I jumped in. I read because I'm down. I caught up with the chat. Right. Like I said earlier, let's not direct our anger at each other. Direct it at the centralized power. Yeah. I love medicinal marijuana. However, my girlfriend put the kabush on it for me because I was smoking too much. Now I have to wait till Saturday night to use the magic. But Hannah, why not? If you're really human beings, we have addictive personalities. Right. So if you have someone in your life that cares about you, and I think your girlfriend probably cares about you, right, then if they say, Hey, maybe you shouldn't do this for a little bit, take their advice. Maybe it's a good thing. Right. Spiderman happened to me too. The thing in moderation, including moderation on another note. So case math says everything in moderation, including moderation. My saying is extremism in moderation. Right. If you're going to go hardcore, don't go hardcore all the time. Right. If you're going to drive, don't put the pedal to the metal. Every time you get in the car, you're going to blow the car. Right. But you can do it every now and then. Extremism in moderation. Tolerance break till Saturday mandated. My, my, everyone by gold. No, what might have been taking you out of the game in relation, relations matter. You don't want that. Sometimes you need a bill. Hicks break. Sometimes you need a bill. Hicks break. And you need to do heroic doses as Terence McKenna would say. Right. If the diagnosis is not accurate, how can deaths be attributed to Corona so fast? Also, there are deaths occurring that are not being attributed to Corona because they don't test them. Right. So the numbers are the numbers. You can't right now. There, there are problems in the data. Right. But all we can do is analyze the data to the best of our abilities. However, we can't really say this is the main problem with the data. Right. So how could they attribute it to that? You know, some people are being attributed falsely. Some people are saying, Oh, because they had a high fever and they couldn't breathe. They're saying COVID. Okay. Without testing them. So they should test them. Yes. But it's also on the other front as well. So it's occurring across the board. Right. Busy, free, man. If I test positive for COVID, escape the hospital, run into the street and get run over by a bus. What will my cause of death be? Agreed. Hypothetical. Right. I mean, slip up and sneak above. Well, talk to your girlfriend first. If you made her a promise that you're going to hold out, talk to her first. Right. Man, I've been listening to so much Carlin lately. Nice. A lot of stuff he's saying is still relevant to what what is happening today. Yeah, for sure. That's a sign of brilliance. Right. I've seen Carlin live. By the way, George Carlin, the amount of people dead from heroin and it's not an Ash, Ashnip. You can't compare this to heroin or car accidents. Right. You could, we talked this during or at the beginning of the stream, because COVID is in play, because people are in lockdown, there's less people driving. So I looked at one graph. I'm not sure if it was posted on our discord or I saw somewhere else where the number of fatalities per week in the United States are down. So some people could argue that COVID is saving lives. Right. But is it COVID saving lives or the lockdown saving lives? So cause and effect and stuff like this. So you can't really compare heroin to COVID. It totally complete. Like you can't even compare the flu to COVID. Right. The fatality rate of the flu is 0.1%. The fatality rate of COVID that we looked at. We looked at six graphs with the fatality percentage. Right. The lowest we have is 5%. 5 to 0.1. Right. That's 50 times. Right. The multiple. Holy communities and people are comparing COVID to the flu. Some people that I follow are comparing COVID to the flu. Some people that I have respect for are comparing COVID to the flu. Right. Everybody has some kind of fallacy they attach themselves to. Even me. Right. That's why I always tell people, if you find that I'm seriously mistaken or even partially mistaken on a concept, please call me out. I don't want to look like a ding-ling. Right. I'm going all the way down to the chat gang. There's a lot of chat going on. Will Show, Chicho, a big part of me, hates using Amazon, but right now it's one of the only ways I know of to get what I need while staying inside. Any recommendations for other options? Okay. Will Show. Here's the thing. When you're getting your packages from Amazon, how are you handling them? There are people working in Amazon warehouses right now that are being tested positive for COVID. The mailman or the delivery service is delivering a lot of packages and they're going a lot of places, handing a lot of boxes. Right. If you get a package from Amazon, pick up the package, have a safe place that you take your package to, unbox the stuff. Don't touch your face while you're doing this. Right. Don't contaminate it. Don't bring the box, put it on your dinner table. Right. Or your kitchen table counter or anything. Right. Take it to a safe space. Right. Crumple off the box, put it outside, take whatever package you got, wash it down. Right. Spread whatever you need to do, wash your hands, take those packages out, transfer them into a container that if it's food or whatever it transferred into a container that's clean, throw the package away, wash your hands again. Right. So don't assume just because a package comes to you from the mail, that it's, it, you, you might not get infected. Right. I'm just saying that we don't know what, you know, what the probability of that is, but people sound false sense of, what do you call it, security? As far as your question goes, it really depends what you're getting from Amazon. Like for me, I just stopped buying, like I'm not buying, I'm not picking up comic stores closed. I'm not bidding on any comics on eBay. Right. I wish. Right. Stuff that's going pretty damn cheap. Right. But I'm not going to overload the system. I don't want packages coming, handling. Right. I'm not going to introduce that into my life or introduce it into someone else's life. Right. So stop things. If it's food, if you have no other choice, sure, go ahead and do it. There are some other, like we have some local places that you can order food from online, but they were overwhelmed in the, in the first, like three weeks ago, all of a sudden, some places that we used to order some seeds, organic seeds and stuff. Right. Online, their websites were down saying, they just had a note saying we're overwhelmed with the number of orders we received. Our website online purchasing site is closed until we fulfill the orders that we already have. Right. One of the things we're doing, by the way, we'll show, we're going to the local farm. So we're driving to a local farm because the chickens don't have COVID. Local farms have chickens. Right. Chickens lay eggs. It's springtime too. So they're laying more eggs. Right. So farmers have to sell their eggs. So for us, we go to a local farm and buy our eggs. We're getting 30 eggs for $9 Canadian. Right. So that comes out to like $7 US for 30 eggs, free range, organic run eggs. Eggs is a good source of protein. If you're looking for protein, I would say instead of getting it from Amazon, go to a local farm if you have one and buy their eggs. Right. We have a local chocolate place that we've gone to and bought some chocolate. My girlfriend is here. Her screen name is Cascadillas. Cascadillas. How are you doing? Is Hada allowed to puff puff? I think Hada wants to puff puff. Do you give the okay? I'm scrolling down gang. I'm going down. I'm going down. Please, you can't just spread misinformation right now. You need to base your actions on good information. I wonder who he's talking to. Case man. You're taking care of it. Case man. That's good. Hada needs a puff puff. Cascadillas. Oh, funny. Here, I'll show. Here, let's... Wait, wait, wait. Hada needs a puff puff because look at this graph. 34% fatality rate. You need a puff puff. If this doesn't make you do puff puff, I don't know what will. Hada needs to cool it with the weed. Cascadillas. Hada needs to cool it with the weed. Okay, Hada. Too much, bro. Hada, you're off. Nope. Good. You sometimes, the person looking at it from outside and closest to you, they know. They know. I would take their advice. Busy Freeman. Vitamin DC. Eggs are the fastest absorbed protein after weed protein. Is it? Martin? Milk. So what about cheese? Is cheese a fast absorbing protein as well? Yogurt? Yogurt has got some protein, I guess. Martin is trying to find a link. Hada needs meditation. Hada needs meditation. Oh, where'd it go? Hada needs meditation to chill, not wait. Okay, perfect. Hada, you should be meditating. Thanks for the bits, by the way, Hada. Busy correlation is not causing... Busy correlation is not causing it, for sure. Nate, hey, Chico. Missed the stream yesterday. Work at the ICU was pushed back, so I'm starting Friday nice. Feels like things here in the Netherlands are only getting started. Yeah, Nate, I'm following someone from Holland, from Netherlands, that's been that live stream, not live, well, I just watched their videos. So they've been giving updates from the Netherlands and from what they're saying, things might be kicking up a little bit. All right, guys, 1am here and I am beat. I'm going to get some sleep. Stay safe, guys. Looking forward to talking to her most soon. Sweet, awesome, to twitching Jason. Sweet dreams and thank you for sticking around. Intrepid, how are you doing? Hey, Chico, hope you're having a good day. Having a good day, Intrepid, thank you. Been really busy. Been putting this table together in the graphs all day and I had some students that I had to live stream with as well. Greek yogurt is an excellent source of protein and amino acids, nice. Love it. Greek yogurt, 12%, 10%, 15%, the fat content. Have you read all those books? A lot of them, on this side anyway, a lot of them on this side. That side, no, that's my partners. Yeah, yogurt probiotics, good for the tummy. Yogurt is amazing. Cheese has whey and KCN protein, like milk. Whey is fast. KCN is slow. Perfect combo. Okay, cool. I need to start. Where else do you get whey? By the way, the water from yogurt, if you buy yogurt and take out a little bit of yogurt, you'll see water form in there. I think that's, there's a lot of, is it called whey? Whey in there. I think it's called whey. That's whey juice, isn't it? What are those triangle things? Triangle things. Oh, you're talking with Hannah. Thanks. Good night. Dragoloid, good night. Or you might be saying good night to someone else, but if you are going to sleep, calling a night, sweet dreams. They're bits and a straw. Chicho, a working girl. Bolsho, working girl. Whey protein is basically protein powder. Oh, is that what it is always even making? Dang, I haven't had yogurt in eight. Oh, really? Man, I eat a lot of yogurt. I love yogurt. Yeah, yogurt is one of my two go-to things. Uptime. Oh, the other way. Exclamation point and uptime. Will show, thank you for the bits. Correlation is not causation, so if you have COVID, you die. How can you attribute the cause? Busy Freeman. Oh, we're almost been up for two hours. I get powdered whey from shop. Okay. Yogurt will have some whey in it. Yeah, you're right. Okay, awesome. It's a bit party. Chicho, I met working girl because he said he was throwing cash at you with the best. I don't do the, my pleasure, Nate. Each bit donated is a puff Hannah is going to take. He can't do until Saturday. And I agree. He shouldn't do until Saturday. He needs to meditate. That's why the people that sign death certificates are trained to make those decisions. Yeah. I mean, there's a, there's a chain of events that has to occur, right? But right now, everything's overloaded. So take everything with a grain of salt, maybe Friday. As long as you get the okay, Hannah, do you meditate Chicho? I do walking sometimes. I have in the past, I haven't been doing the, just the breathing. Actually, no, no, no, let me rephrase. I do do one of the exercises I do. I breathe through it. It's meditation. I'll show it to you guys. For me, that's meditation. So I do it with weights and it's relaxing. It's amazing. And I'm doing it almost every morning. I didn't get a chance to do it this morning. I was really busy, but almost every morning I do it. Maybe you can send some liquor, liquor my way. Sorry, brother. Borders closed. Sure. Can me go meet you this summer and we will go cliff jumping? I don't know, Hannah. I don't know. I have a pretty private person, brother. Even though you see this, I am very private. I separate certain things. Like wherever I've worked in my life, it's been very seldom that I do socializing in my work atmosphere, right? And I'm very, what do you call it? I like being solo a lot. We'll see, Hannah. We'll see. But right now I would say no. I'm already, I have a lot of people in my life and they, you know, I like my privacy. I love my privacy. Thank you for the offer, though. I take that as a serious compliment, by the way. Any thoughts on the $2.2 billion stimulus from the truck? You mean $6 trillion intrepid? At least anywhere between two to $10 trillion scam? Yeah, it's theft. They're giving it to themselves. What is a, what is a subject you've been dying to do a video on, but haven't gotten to just yet? Oh, Spiderman, there's so many, so many. The math stuff for sure. I would love to kick up the math stuff, but I need, I need the funds to be coming in enough through the work that I'm doing right now online to kick me up to a level where I can reduce the amount of work I have to do that is not related to that so I can put more focus on it. To be able to create the math content the way I really want to create it, to put these modules together, I have to be sort of focused on it full time. So that's one thing I really want to do, but it's nothing that is not going to happen with time. It will happen with time, but I could dive into it as soon as enough funds are coming in. Like that's, like, you should see what I got lined up, man. Wow, wow, wow. Chicho, you tweeted something about the correlation between wearing masks in public and containing the virus. Did you do any further? No, no, I just tweeted it because it was Nassim Nikolastalib, this guy, this guy's book that we're reading that I've read, not we're reading, we read some of it and I finished and he's a statistician, right? And I like statistics and he made a comment that I liked that I retweeted it. I don't retweet too much stuff, but I do retweet certain things that I find interesting. Some things that I like on Twitter, right? It doesn't mean I like them. I'm just highlighting them so I have it archived, right? So, you know, people say, oh, you like this. I'm just archiving. Like personally for me, people put way too much emphasis on things people like or just like stuff like this. I just use them as bookmarks sometimes, right? Oh, bookmark, bookmark, bookmark. I wish they had options saying you agree, you don't agree, you're just archiving, you haven't read, you're going to read later, you this, you this, you this, just that's it, right? But I like that one actually. I liked the comment he made and it was statistics related. I don't think it's 100% correlation between mask and that, right? There's a lot of things in play, right? But it's worth noting, right? I think they should just call it noting, noting. You could note positive and negative, right? Maybe I'll just cliff-jump on my way down. I'll yell Gicho instead of Toronto. I still haven't found a place to go cliff-jumping in my area, brother. There's one place that's in a lake, but I don't want to jump into a lake. At lakes, I find problematic. Things shift in lakes. You could be cliff-jumping in a lake where at the bottom, a log was lodged and it's gotten loose and it's drifted up, right? And when you jump, you're going to get nailed, right? I like cliff-jumping into the ocean. Into rivers I do, but it's got to be really shallow. I don't like rivers either because rivers, the water goes up and down a lot. So it depends when you're jumping. You have to know the, know the water level really well. You got to know your lakes really well, right? And your rivers really well. So this summer I'm going to look for a place to be able to cliff-jump here. Okay. You can do that, I don't know. Crack me up. Observe the con. I like the solo life and privacy as well. My last relationship I was with the other person so much that I lost that and it made the relationship very toxic. Oh yeah. You need time solo. I do anyway. Busy freeman, chicho. Have you ran an AI models on this data? Are you into AI? No, I haven't, I haven't run it. I haven't done AI modeling and I'm not a coder, right? And I'm not a coder. Chicho, excited for the lineup content. I really hope you do get funds your way. Yeah, it will happen Spider-Man, right? And I really do appreciate it. Like seriously, if you do like this work here, I'll put it up again. Patreon is a fantastic way to support this work, right? For anyone that looking for funds to put somewhere, right? Decentralize yourself instead of getting Disney Plus and all this jazz, right? Sending your funds to a centralized institution that is trying to enslave you or write laws that take copy things out of the public domain out, right? Start distributing those funds that would go to centralized institutions and enslave you to independent creators. Fantastic, right? But do something if you think the system is wrong. And it will happen. And for those who have been, there's a few people that have been supporting me on Patreon for a very, very long time, right? They've been carrying the full load of this thing. To them, a zillion thank yous, because seeing them being there for such a long period of time is giving me the means and the motivation and the power, right? To be able to do what I'm doing, right? Without that, without that support, would we be here doing this right now? I doubt it very much, right? I would try my best, but there's no way we would have reached this level this fast, right? Could we have gotten here faster? Probably. But the pace we're going at is amazing, right? And huge thank you to people who have supported me through Patreon as well as direct donations, as well as subscribing to Twitch, using Twitch Prime or buying tier one or sending bits and stuff like this. All of that, decentralizing yourself, right? Makes you, if you're doing this type of work, makes you anti-fragile, so you can put more energy into it, right? Just letting everyone know. It doesn't have to be me, independent creators, decentralize your information, your news, your education, your entertainment, right? Your disruptive innovation. Very, very important. That's what centralized power doesn't want you to do. What centralized power doesn't want you to do, you should really consider, after you think about it, you think it's a good idea, you should do it, right? Fun, fun. Oh, we're almost been live. I'm scrolling down, guys. I'm looking for anything that was like my name on it so I can answer anything. Coolio, how's it going? I'm going to be able to fully pay off one of my student loans when my government's going to come in. Once I'm closer, not owning them yet. Oh, good. I hope so. Yeah, those, those, there's such scams, always be making. Spider-Man was asking, what's the schedule look like coming up? I haven't put it together yet, always be making. I've been going pretty hardcore, as you know, don't know what I'm saying about the streams. And like, it's not just the streams, like what I did today. I was working all day to get this ready today, right? That have been compiled data and do things in the back end, right? So tomorrow, I'm going to take a little bit of breather and think about my schedule and take a look at my calendar and make sure my students are taken care of, right? Because I'm doing live stream, not live stream, but online math tutoring and stuff. Make sure they're taken care of, figure out my partner's schedule and arrange my schedule so I can do these streams and take care of things, right? So I'll have it up in two, three days. Today's Wednesday, I'll have it up by Friday, most likely. Okay, Friday, Saturday, the latest. Chicho, are you making apple butter again anytime soon? Dude, will show. I have some crab apples frozen in the freezer, right? And because we're sort of making food and putting in the freezer and stuff like that, I need to use up that stuff. We need to get some sugar to make some crab apple butter or I might make some crab apple preserved that we eat with food like savory, right? But I think in the next cooking stream, we might be dealing with the crab apples. I want to make the savory stuff. I got to do a count to find out how much crab apples we actually have left, crab apple butter, right? Because the crab apple butter is absolutely amazing, right? So if we have enough crab apple butter so that this summer we can go to the crab apple tree and grab more crab apples and make crab apple butter, again, it'll take us to that period. Then I'm going to try to make the crab apple preserve the savory stuff. If we don't have enough crab apple butters to see us for the next five months, then crab apple butter it is, I think. No rush, man. I know you've been pushing out a ton of cards. Yeah, Spider-Man. It's fun to do. It keeps me on my feet. I love it. And keeps me excited, right? I think you use the crab apple to manipulate. Oh, yeah, you could always be making for sure. And it goes amazing with pork and lamb. We eat crab apple butter with the meat dishes. Take a couple of spoonfuls, put it on the side of the plate, and have it with that. It's like a sauce. It's so okay. I got to make more crab apple butter, man. I got to do a count. So good. So good. Very yummy. I'm going to fall a sleep dream of crab apple butter and pork joe pork chops. Fun, fun. Awesome, gag. Great, great conversation, great live stream. Fantastic discussion. Okay. I hope you guys found this information useful. Here's the link to the Patreon page, to the post that contains the bigger version of this table that has 72 days of data from January 20th to March 31st with all these columns. And it's got some notes in the bottom that you can figure out what's what, right? And I have a row there with the formulas that I'm using. If you see any problems with the data set, please let me know. Okay. And that post on the Patreon has the big table. This is only what you're seeing on screen is only for March. It has the big table that has all 72 days, as well as 19 graphs that we looked at in this live stream. Okay. And if you're watching this on BitShooters YouTube, I'll have the link in the description of this video. And again, if you want to support this work, Patreon is a fantastic way to support this work. If you want to watch these live streams live, then and participate in the discussion because we have fantastic discussion on Twitch. If not with me, people are having a discussion between themselves and sorting things out. Okay. And join Discord. If on the Twitch page, you will find a link that takes you to Discord. You can join Discord. There's a lot of conversation being taken place there as well. And there'll be a link in the description of the video on BitShooters YouTube that can take you to Discord. Okay. I do announce these live streams on Twitter, Gab, Mines, L-O-N-V-K. I'm active on a few different platforms because I believe in decentralization. Right. And we are loading these videos on YouTube and BitShoot right now. And most likely in the future, we'll add one more video sharing platform on this as well. Might as well go 3-3. And the name of the game right now is Flatten the Curve Gang. Do not overwhelm your healthcare systems. The slower this virus works through the population, the more lives will be saved. And some of those lives might be the people that you care about. Could be your healthcare workers. Could be your neighbor. Could be family member. Could be a friend. Take it easy. Relax. Breathe. You're not social distancing. You could be online and socializing. We just did two hours of hardcore socializing. Aren't you tired? Don't you need a break? Yeah. Keep a little bit of physical distance and flatten the curve. Flatten that people. Wake up. Wash your hands. Stay home. Stay safe. Period. Thank you, busy free man. Okay. Thanks for being here, gang. And I'll announce the next set of live streams in two to three days. Mods. Thank you very much for taking care of business. Funny how the best thing people can do to save others right now is by doing nothing at all whilst at Guglio. What is BitShoot is just another platform where I'm uploading the videos because YouTube has a lot of censorship kicked in. Right? So YouTube is censoring. They took out one video. I had to contest it. You know, so any platform that is censoring hardcore, finding alternate platforms to share information. Twitter was censoring. We go to Mind, Gabs, VK and LO. YouTube is censoring. We start loading on BitShoot and another platform. Right? Patreon, by the way, Patreon was censoring people. I also have a subscribe star page that I haven't really mentioned because we don't have anyone supporting us through subscribe star yet. But that's the alternative to Patreon if you don't like Patreon. And the link will be in the description of this video. Okay. Aside from that, gang, I hope you have a fantastic next few days and I'll see you guys on Discord and I'll be uploading the videos on YouTube and BitShoot in the next few days as well. Okay. Stay safe, everyone, and have sweet dreams and good morning to the gang in the UK and Europe. Bye, everyone.