 This is covering the spread part of the Fandall podcast network NBA free agency begins on Saturday. It is wild. It is happening this soon after the season But I guess that's the way things go So we got to talk about it got to get you ready for free agency and all that could transpire there by talking to Austin Swain getting his read on the landscape prior to free agency Which teams he's monitoring which dominoes are gonna fall get his read on that Then I'll talk some NASCAR and formula one later on this is covering the spread right here on the Fandall podcast network and Number fire calm. My name is Jim Saunders. I am a senior writer and analyst for number fire Joined here as mentioned by Austin Swain check him out on Twitter at a swing three fine His work over at number fire calm in Austin NHL draft last night and be a free agency So I know that like you're just kind you haven't your your fingers in a lot of different dishes here It's not a phrase, but like we're gonna go with it anyway. So you just kind of never get an offseason, do you? No, it really never feels like I do have an offseason like theoretically now is the offseason without the NFL And it just never feels like an offseason for me. By the way, you left out. We had a perfect game last night Domingo Hermon Didn't happen didn't happen. I did not stand for the end of that game woke up Saw the push notification. There's a perfect game. It's like I'm guessing my A's money line did not hit Yeah, that was my first indication that that bet did not work out, you know It's uh, at least I don't have to like sweat as I open the ESPNF checks force. That's yeah It was like 8-0 and I took the athletics first five specifically looking to target Hermon So not the best day for targeting the Oakland athletics for you and I we probably should have anticipated that Although this is not a bet I gave out on the podcast But we were talking last week about how I had my my numbers had shown value on the Rockies You have 13 times since May 2nd and they had lost every single game last night They finally won in a game where I had value on the course wasn't when I discussed in the show because why would it be? But like it finally happened So I guess maybe I have to thank you for your Rockies finally coming through for the first time in a decade But my number should value on them for sure I'm headed to course field tonight, too So I'll be at Dodgers Rockies here on Thursday and not not enough games league wide to care about So I'll head to the ballpark tonight. I love it pitching matchup chase Anderson and it's she and what more could you possibly ask for with their Nolan Jones dinger call for today on the solo shot So hopefully we'll get some some long balls up there a lot that it a lot that it All right, I like it Brandon Nemo is the other one. He's five to one I can only get five to one here So I didn't take that but you know regardless those of the day girls We're gonna talk about some NBA free agency here Get you ready for that here in just one second a first aid reminder to make sure you are subscribed to the covering the spread podcast feed Wherever you get your podcast despite my terrible a's recommendation yesterday Well, that's more MLB betting recommendations on tomorrow's show to get that and all these shows as they go live Make sure you're subscribed to the covering the spread podcast feed wherever you get your podcast Let's dive in now and talk some NBA Austin with free agency beginning on Saturday So I kind of wanted to just kind of do an overall Primer from you getting a read on the big dominoes to fall which teams are monitoring most and stuff like that Let's begin things off here with those big dominoes whether it's trades that could occur Signings, what are the biggest moves you're watching as we get set for free agency on Saturday So I kind of see the NBA title picture right now as a bubble with sir Or maybe a nightclub with certain people loud in right we've got the defending champion nuggets They are in they could contend to win the title next year Phoenix made a move for Bradley Beal They are in they could potentially win the title next year Boston already got Chris stops for zing issue And I talked about that last week I think the only remaining domino that could fall that could create someone else in that bubble is the Damien Lillard trade out of Portland and it might be forgiving for one of these contenders if Portland is really willing to strip down to the bare bones Just kind of reload like we saw the spurs do I have two key spots I'm watching for Damien Lillard obviously to Miami heat in the NBA finals with seemingly a Deficit of talent, you know, they can add his scoring his backcourt scoring to bam out of bio Jimmy Butler Those guys that do the dirty work that is like in a super sized upgrade of Gabe Vincent for them and then Philadelphia We don't really know what's gonna happen with James Hardin. I'll talk about that here in a second But you you talk about Nicole Yocuch and Jamal Murray with this elite pick and roll Damien Lillard Joe Would be right up there so those guys would immediately vault into that sort of title contender sphere So I think that's the biggest domino to play Just watching where Damien Lillard winds up is the thing you're kind of like most focused on right now Yeah, I think that's when you're talking about implications for actually winning the title next year There are a few key free agents, you know, some good teams could add contenders But like that is the biggest domino and then obviously we're watching some of the big names and free agency I think three that could shift that landscape, you know, maybe Buffalo contender James Hardin Kyrie Irving, Draymond Green. I don't think Kyrie at this point is on the move It seems pretty exclusively down to Dallas or maybe a Lakers reunion with LeBron is a long shot But James Hardin, Draymond Green linked to a lot of different places Could significantly impact the playoff picture and who we're targeting to win the conference looking at win totals for certain teams as well Now you mentioned how the Damien Lillard trade could mix up the futures market with the finals Conference finals and stuff like that. So let's take a look here and talk about teams You may want to invest in right now whether to win the NBA finals when their respective conference Whatever it may be because there's gonna be an inflection point Saturday The question is who benefits from that inflection point So are there teams right now Austin that you want to potentially buy into in order to get in front of any potential moves? They may make Yes So the one team that I really think would become all of a sudden a dark horse to win the Western Conference and maybe even the NBA Finals the Sacramento Kings which you and I have talked about on the pod I wasn't super enthusiastic about their playoff run But you have to take in the data of how impressive they were going head-to-head with the Warriors last year They can open up about 30 million in cap space if they renounce Harrison Barnes some other insignificant pieces on their bench And when I look at the Kings to potentially win the West I'm obviously talking about the fit with Draymond Green for more Warriors assistant Mike Brown the head coach in Sacramento now and Draymond is a picture-perfect guy that you would want to put next to Demontus Sabonis because he brings a little bit of that defense that toughness a little bit of that rim protection I doubted the Kings because of that element their defensive rating was in the bottom 10 of the NBA last year Well, Draymond is one of the best glue guys defensively in the 21st century So I think Draymond here would be a significant step forward for the Kings They could also add other guys at the four like PJ Washington Grant Williams You know, they are the team that has the potential and flexibility to open up cap space And by the way, they're the team that has the youth they have the potential to grow I think Draymond would be a perfect fit and that's to me That is where I would want to invest before free agency because it's a little up in the air What happens with Draymond and I don't think that's being accounted for in this number here to win the West We also did get a Brian Windhorst. Why would they do that situation with the Kings clearing up cap space? That was last week. So Connecting the dots there as well I think he was talking specifically about Draymond there Kings currently 24 to 1 to win the West Do you think that fully accounts for the open-ended is here where? Maybe they strike out in free agency and stuff like that because there's a wide range of outcomes here Do you think the 24 to 1 number already accounts for that and thus makes them a good investment right now to win the West Yeah, I don't know if I don't think there is any way that Sacramento could it could strike out in free agency because if they wave Harrison Barnes Then essentially they're just tasked with replacing what was very very much mid-level production So as long as they land someone in that four spot Keegan Murray, they were hoping to grow his role this year Malik Monk get him more time on the court So Barnes almost leaving the team is is a positive for some of the initiatives that they're trying to do I don't think this number believes that the Kings can actually land Draymond green I feel like at this point if you search dream Draymond greens individual market He's still more than likely going to end up with the Golden State Warriors. Just what a lot of markets are saying There are a lot of other open-ended teams that he could potentially he's meeting in Portland with Damien Lillard Which is kind of interesting and weird because I don't think that's a title team either Dame But yeah, but you know, I don't think that this number at this point does reflect the possibility of how much I love The core of this team if they get Draymond was that your pitch for for Lillard to officially leave and go to Miami your East Coast team Yeah, I gotta be I gotta be honest I just am tired of talking about it like Dame was talking about I want to I want to Resign Jeremy Grant and do this and we'll be able to contend. It's like dude It's just not working like there's just not like you have to make up That you're either gonna be longevity guy or you're gonna do what every other NBA star does and try to team up And win a title I I'm so tired of the Damien Lillard discussion to be true We like the Kings 24 to 1 to win the West any other teams you want to buy into Austin before free agency begins So there's only one team that wins the finals two teams win the conferences But like a team that I will be bullish on as far as their win total when those are released the Houston Rockets They have the most cap space in the NBA right now They last year my largest wager was Sacramento Kings over because of some of the pieces they added in free agency They traded for Zvonis the Rockets have added to me What is the most important part which is they go from the worst coaching situation in the league to now eBay? Utoka guy that got to the finals kind of a no-nonsense Defense first guy and then we're looking at what they could potentially do in free agency Of course They are linked all over to James Harden because Harden still has a significant personal imprint in Houston They're linked to Fred van Vleet which would be more of a play on youth in that same type of ball-centric role And I think that's really what they've been missing. They need a guy that unquestionably This is the guy that is taking the last shot of the game This is who the ball's hands is in late and close games and they've just kind of haven't had that in They will be have the ability to spend I think they had a great draft when they got cam Whitmore at 20 I'm you know, I think Thompson the point guard They got it for is is a little ways away from being an NBA contributor like in full But Whitmore is a good knockdown shooter already. They're trying to move off some young pieces They still have a few questions to answer like what are you gonna do without parents shingoon? He's a great offensive player, but really you will have a bottom 10 defense if that is the guy You're asking for rim protection and you know, what do you do with the young guards? You already have Kevin Porter Jr. Jalen Green I think it'd be perfect to bring Jalen green off the bench But then do you kind of sour him about potentially losing your second overall pick from a few years ago? So they have a lot of questions, but they they are a core and a nucleus that is building and importantly You and I were talking I think yesterday I showed you they're only like five teams that currently have NBA cap space Houston has a bunch and they've already got a lot of good players They're 250 to 1 to win the West. I'm assuming that's a bridge too far for you, correct Yeah, they you know, they are way too young to make that leap But you talk about the leap Oklahoma City made last year where we thought we'd they'd be one of the worst teams in the League left into the play-in That's more of the forecast that I would have for Houston So maybe even a to make the play in future if we got those available on Sportsbook recently soon Yeah, I'm assuming the windtills will be a probably later July or so if I had to guess And to make the playoff stuff probably shortly thereafter So the Rockets may be a team to monitor there as mentioned, we don't have wind totals up yet So this is a bit tougher to actually like fade a team But I still think it's important to discuss teams that you think Might see their value decrease because there's still a ripple effect of that So when you're talking about teams right now where you want to mean if you can hypothetically fade them I fade them which teams you think could have outlets that could get grimmer in the next week or so So I think it's a couple of teams that are already pretty popular So you're not dealing with a lot of value as is like it's really hard to get value on the Cowboys to win the Super Bowl because a lot Of people in bed and Cowboys won Super Bowl every single year I still wound up doing that a couple times My numbers always love the Cowboys and they kind of do again this year So I'll just hide I'll hide my head and shame when you talk You know Jim you definitely not a Cowboys fan So but a couple of places I'm looking at teams that I'm genuinely concerned about it's not just because they're popular First I look at the Golden State Warriors last week. I said on Twitter I am so concerned about the trade that they made sending Jordan pool to Washington. They got Chris Paul back I can't think of anybody that fits less in the NBA than Chris Paul into what Golden State does high-motion offense a lot of set plays Chris Paul likes to drag the ball up the floor run a pick and roll and shoot a mid-range jumper It's like the opposite of what has built this Golden State Warriors dynasty And it's starting to sound like they just kind of dumped Jordan pool on a personality fit You really can't dump somebody for nothing at this point in CP3 is not nothing But especially if they lose Draymond Green in free agency I was just talking about Sacramento if I was Draymond Green I'd rather play with the Kings next year as far as having a chance to win the title now after that Chris Paul move Because if they lose Draymond their defensive rating last year without him was 119.2 that was the second worst mark in the NBA It was terrible and Jordan pool carried this teams through some of the stretches, you know Steph Curry's getting up there clay Thompson's getting up there They miss games and Chris Paul by the way is gonna miss games as well He only played 59 games last year and Jordan pool won't be there to carry the office and in their stead anymore So I'm really concerned about the Warriors moving into next season And they're right on the shortlist to win the title because of their longevity But I don't see this team without those aspirations Yeah, right now the Warriors 12 to 1 and to win the NBA Finals 6 to 1 to win the Western Conference You talked about the Nuggets and potentially being a team that's worthy of plus 460 or so a couple weeks ago Or I don't think I should say and the Nuggets there or 70 Implications there is that there may be more value at the top end and also it does help with the Kings future too Okay, so we are low on the Warriors. Which other teams to you carry red flags entering this weekend? What why don't we just take one stop down there on the overall championship on some looking at the Los Angeles Lakers as well I think this is a pivotal moment for them to make a decision that may not make their fan base incredibly happy But if you're going to be a title contender Are they're apparently willing to back up the Brinks truck to keep Austin Reeves and Rui Hachimora? And my question to that is really Austin Reeves and Rui Hachimora Because you potentially would be losing D'Angelo Russell in that situation And it's just really odd to me that you would then Get rid of your financial flexibility to lock up a team that was good They were sixth the net rating plus 4.8 after the trade deadline last year But that wasn't a juggernaut and we saw their deficiencies in shortcomings athletically against the Nuggets And the reality of the team is the same LeBron still old still hurt starting to post photoshops of him playing with his son next year So he's not very interested Anthony Davis has always hurt. He's inconsistent and when they're gone now you have a worse depleted roster behind them I think they absolutely need to swing for the fences about trying to recruit aci reirving about trying to recruit A James Harden and then maybe lean more on mid-level talent. I know the Lakers want to get younger But it's also about the right youth pieces, right? I don't think you should lock in a team that's ceiling at best Just maybe the third fourth fifth best team in the western conference next year and getting worse Yeah, Lakers 15 to 1 right now to win the NBA finals in the west They are currently 8 50 over at fangirl sports book. All right So we're buying into the Kings right now and potentially buying the Rockets once we get a non upside markets posted at some point And then also checking out the game lower situation Lower on the Warriors lower on the Lakers as of right now that is Austin Swain Make sure you check him out on twitter at a swing three fine all of his work over at numberfire.com Austin Enjoy this weekend. Hopefully we can get some rest time despite the fact there is no offseason for you And we'll talk to you actually I won't talk to you You'll talk to everyone on monday because you're filling in for me on covering the spread all of next week outside of tuesday Which live fourth so appreciate getting a little primer in for you as well here Yeah, so nascar this weekend moving to the chicago greater area You'll talk about that gymson is moving to the greater midwest chicago area So a couple things in line there. I can't wait to talk you guys We'll have baseball stuff with nascar pga ufc big fight card next week So it'll be a lot of fun filling in for you I do miss out on the street course because we're not leaving until wednesday But I it was partly to miss traffic. I'm not gonna lie like younger me had been like, okay We got to move right away so I can get there before the race now I'm like, I don't want to go through traffic. So I'm going later. Yes. So I'm old is the takeaway here All right, again, check out awesome twitter at a swing three austin Appreciate you and faking advance will cover for me next week as well Again find austin on twitter at a swing three find his work over at number fire.com as he mentioned We'll talk about that nascar street race in chicago We'll talk some four wheeler one in austria in just one second But first baseball season is in full swing and there's no better place to get in on the action than fandall america's number one Sportsbook because right now new customers get a no sweat first bed up to $1,000 That's up to $1,000 back in bonus bets if your first bet doesn't win So don't miss your chance to snag a no sweat first bet up to $1,000 when you join fandall today fandall Official partner majorly baseball majorly baseball trademarks used with permission must be 21 plus and president select states First online real money wager only 10 a dollar deposit required refund issued is non-retroable bonus bets That expire seven days after receipt Restrictions apply see full terms at fandall.com slash sportsbook Fandall is offering online sports waging in kansas under an agreement with kansas star casino llc gambling problem Call 1 800 gambler or visit fandall.com slash rg in arizona 1 800 next step or text next step to 533 for two in connecticut 188 789 7777 or visit ccpg.org slash chat in indiana 109 with it in wyoming in kansas 105 to 240 700 we're in kansas ks gambling health.com louisiana is one eight seven seven seven seven zero stop in massachusetts gambling helpline ma.org Or call 800 3 2 7 50 50 for 24 7 support in mariland md gambling health.org in new york 187 70 open wire text open y And in west virginia go to 1 800 gambler dot net Let's begin things here with formula one. They are in austria for this week It is a sprint race weekend So a bit different schedule than usual practice will be tomorrow and qualifying tomorrow as well for the race Then they'll have sprint qualifying and a sprint race on saturday now that race on saturday Will not impact the starting grid for sunday. That'll be fully set on friday. It's confusing I know but just so you know one practice one qualifying session both on friday and the race coming up on sunday There is a slight chance of rain in the forecast, but doesn't look like it's uh likely enough where i'm gonna abandon my model So as of right now, i've got two guys showing values being Values to finish inside the points for sunday Those guys are yuki sonoda and nico hulkenberg both those guys are three to one at fan dual sports book Let's begin with sonoda because we talked about him before canada two weeks ago and that one did not go well But sonoda's had a good season overall and his like lap pace his like median lap time in canada Still was not terrible just made a bunch of mistakes that really ruined his day and that's still possible because In the past sonoda's been a bit erratic But the pace had been trending up before that race And sonoda's finished inside the points in 25 of races so far this year He had another where in barcelona where he finished inside the top 10 But then later got dropped back to the penalty It doesn't count because penalties do matter and you got a penalty for a reason So we can't count that and artificially inflate his number But sonoda has finished 11th three other races beyond barcelona So i would say Facing what sonoda's been doing he has been too consistently Right in this range to ignore him when his odds are three to one the implied odds there 25 percent I've got sonoda above that so i am very okay with yuki sonoda for a top 10 That is three to one right now over at fan dual sports book for this weekend The second top 10 bet as mentioned is nicole hukenberg for haas and hukenberg The pace has primarily come on saturdays not sundays That's not ideal if we're trying to bet this guy to finish inside the points on sunday hukenberg just one top 10 for haas so far this year and That came in australia, which was a chaos filled race that really shouldn't count You need a lot of chaos to get there That's always possible though I think overall this year this formula season is formula one season has been pretty low chaos Not a lot of retirements and you kind of expect regression at some point there hukenberg Has had speed though in qualifying. He's made it to q3 and five out of eight races My model doesn't care about that personally. He cares what you do during the race It's looking at just his pace during the races and it still thinks that hukenberg is undervalued to finish inside the top 10 The pace in canada was awful. It was probably the worst it's been all year So maybe that was a sign of things to come as teams like mclaren bringing upgrades this week or at least to lamb norris's car Other teams may have gotten better alfa romeo's gotten a little bit better at times hukenberg's teammate kevin magnuson was also slow in canada But I think three to one is long enough to account for that So personally what I want to do here is take both these take both uh hukenberg and sonoda three to one to finish top 10 And I think that there's decent odds that one of them does wind up hitting Between the two I prefer sonoda. So if you want to go with just one bet I would go with sonoda over hukenberg But personally my personal pro our preference is to go with both sonoda and hukenberg top 10 Plus 300 over at vandal sportsbook. I think that's the right way to play things for this week So for austria not seeing a lot for outrides because why would I outside an extra stoppin? um Not seeing a lot for podiums or t6's. I think those markets are pretty efficient But I do like sonoda and hukenberg three to one to finish inside the top 10 As for nascar as mentioned pretty unique events this weekend They are going to chicago and they're racing through the streets. This is the first street race in nascar cup series history They've never raced this course So it is hard to know what to expect and that impacts stuff for me because i'm trying to model stuff There's obviously going to be an element of guesswork inherently involved here because we've never seen it before For me personally I'm pulling in road course data for drivers, but modeling it's similar to a super speedway So what I mean by that is the driver ratings like their baseline numbers are based on What they've done on road courses and road courses are different than street courses But it's at least the best baseline that we've got but From a modeling perspective. I've got the incident rates of a super speedway And there is a variance of a super speedway. So even of the guys who do Survive and don't wreck there's a lot of variants inside their finishing positions as well The track here is super narrow. So If there is an incident it could involve multiple cars And that's my concern and why the incident rate pretty high and it sounds like drivers Have had a hard time not wrecking by themselves and the simulators denny hamlin was saying in his podcast on monday That he's been in the sim and he had like an hour where he couldn't get past turn four without wrecking It's like me playing f1 2022 where i'm trying to do qualifying and just can't make it through a whole lap without wrecking So I could be wrong on this very much possible So I want to account for that one betting and what that means is I want a pretty decent edge Before I take the plunge on an outright because the error margin of my model is higher this week than usual And I have to account for that by taking only the spots that are good values and typically that will be On somewhat longer odds There are some bets that pop up though when taking that approach My favorite bet of this week is actually an outright and that's for michael mcdowell to win at 25 to 1 Over at vandal sports. We can remember from sonoma. I was on mcdowell There as well and he was pretty good during that race. He was 40 to 1 at open He shortened to 14 to 1 after he qualified third for that race and mcdowell was not as fast as martin truex jr Was not as fast as denny hamlin, but He was probably in that second tier of drivers. I think that he had a top five car for that day And he could have had a shot late because there was a caution people were bunched up in traffic But mcdowell's pit crew made a mistake on a late pit stop and he went from around the top five to outside the top 10 mcdowell did rebound and finish seventh But it was a pretty big bummer to have a 40 to 1 ticket on a guy and have an actual shot But then have it taken away that late in the race Overall, we've run eight races on road courses in the next gen era and mcdowell has five top tens He's had a top 10 average run position in six of those races And if there's a bit more chaos, it'll better allow mcdowell to compete with guys Like truex the jgr cars and the hendrick cars of larson elliott I mcdowell pretty well above his implied odds of 3.9 percent He is 7.4 percent from me That's a red flag because if your model's way off in the market typically you're wrong not the market So i'm probably too high mcdowell But I think the market's also probably too low It's probably somewhere in between where i've got him where the market hasn't So I will take 25 to 1 i'm mcdowell to win this race I feel pretty good about that and I think that accounts for the stuff we discussed where it could be a high variance race There's a lot of unknowns, but it's a guy's run along road courses But maybe could bet it from a bit of chaos if that were to happen in sunday's race I also do like the end of suarez at the same number 25 to 1 suarez has Crashed a lot outside of his win in sonoma last year He's finished outside the top 20 in five out of eight next-gen road course races But the three races where he did not finish poorly he finished first fifth and fifth I don't mind volatility If you can hit the highs and suarez has shown that he can He had a good car at circuit of the americas this year did crash there But at a seventh place average running position He messed up his car in the first lap at sonoma and never really rebounded but did qualify well there So this year there's been speed first suarez despite bad results I have suarez at 6.8 percent to win His implied odds are 3.9 percent So i'm okay adding him at 25 to 1 as well the same caveats with mcdowell apply to suarez where If i'm way off in the market i'm more likely to be wrong the market is so keep that in mind But i do like suarez 25 to 1 to win this race The final bet is on a top 10 and that is going to be austin dillon at plus 470 There are a bunch of drivers at plus 470 at vandal sportsbook for this race And i think of those guys at plus 470 i've got value on a couple My favorite one is dillon though because he is the one i am furthest off from the market dillon It does have two top 10s in those eight next-gen road course races. So that's a 25 percent rate His implied odds zero 17.5 percent Dillon finished 19th in sonoma, but he qualified well But had a spender in the race. It was his fault. Um, so you know mistakes matter and he made a pretty big mistake So it was his fault not a fluke He did still rebound to finish 19. So I think that was pretty impressive He hasn't proved overall road courses and the two actual top 10s for dillon came at circuit of the americas and charlotte both those Are are spots where you've got like a big bunch up zone on the track and That can lead to more variance. So if we get more variance more chaos here It'd be guys like austin dillon the longer shots would benefit. So I think dillon's a good bet I'm not betting any short odds for top 10s right now I don't show value in any of those right now, but I do show value here I have dillon 26 for a top 10 and I think that uh I think we should be above some plot odds of plus 470 given the unknowns around this race I also don't mind ryan pleat presa plus 470. I appreciate 21.6 percent But the edge is bigger on dillon than i'm priest. So i'll go with dillon for right now So in the cup series favorite bets are mcdowell 25 to 1 suarez 25 to 1 both those to win austin dillon plus 470 for a top 10 The xfinity series race is also super interesting because cup drivers are not allowed To run this race because they don't want to have an edge over the others when they run on sunday and This is just like a personal thing. I don't think any of the xfinity drivers the regulars are that good on row courses Like they lost a j almond dinger. They lost ty gibbs They lost the best row course racers to the cup series this past year They ran the portland race similar earlier this year where there were no cup drivers cold custer won that race I bet custer for that one. I think that he is a pretty good row course racer, but he's not elite He's plus 450. I can't get there. I think this race is decently wide open The one guy i'm showing value on right now is austin hill He is 11 to 1 to win a fandal and I think you can get a bit longer by shopping around And I do like hill enough to bet him at that number his implied odds are 8.3 percent hill has run nine xfinity series races on row courses in his career and he has four top buys in that span and a lot of those came against stiffer competition than what he'll have in this race because Even if this is port portland, no, uh cup series regulars there But it was eighth and snowman where the bunch of cup regulars in that race 11 to 1 is is a bit short for a high chaos race But again, I don't think anybody in this field is great at row courses and hill has shown He can run up front even in tougher fields on row courses So i'm pretty good locking him in at 11 to 1 Honestly, that's the only value I see as of right now It's a pretty thin week for xfinity even looking at top five markets other sports books. I don't see a whole lot I want to take so for me I'm gonna hold pad here with just austin hill to win 11 to 1 in the xfinity series for this week So pretty thin card there, but uh, hopefully a bit more on sunday near the cup series That is all that we have here for today on covering the spread one and once again to give a big Thank you to austin swain for swinging by breaking down his thoughts and nba free agency find him on twitter at a swing three If you got any questions for me, I am on twitter at jim sonnis j i m s a n n e s Do you want to thank you all for tuning in as always make sure you're subscribed to covering the spread wherever you get your podcast If you like what you hear leave us a five star rating also check us out over on the fangirl youtube page and Over on fangirl tv plus. We'll talk to you all once again tomorrow for some more major league baseball This has been covering the spread right here on the fan dual podcast network