 Welcome to Toffy TV, it's a match preview, Nottingham Forest versus Evan, two o'clock on Sunday at the City Grand, I'm joined by a journalist, Patrick Ridge for this one. Pat, it's a, this has now become, it seems, a must win for Evan, this game. Yeah, I think we've just obviously done an hour about the Arsenal game and saying how disappointing it is, but, you know, I totally take the point that this was always the bigger game, and it was, regardless of really the result against Arsenal, which was our game in hand, was that this was always a huge game. It was also the one that I think, this is again, it's why the Villa, Villa 1 is even more straight, and if we could have just got something from that game to keep a knock point, not another point off, that you could maybe go into this game and think, God, if we can just get, and look at draw, would probably still be a semi decent result, but if we can just get something out of it, and now it feels like we've lost the last two, we've shipped six goals without responding. So our goal difference is taking a big hit in those, and we've, you know, we're only scoring one goal a game if we, in the games we've won. It's huge, it really is huge, and especially considering how Forrest have got a good home, a good home record they've got, and I always thought they would do, I always thought that the city ground, you know, pretty atmosphere, old ground, the fans first season back in the Premier League, you know, after 25 years or whatever it's been, Forrest are a big club. It was always going to be tough, so it's going to have to really be, if, you know, grind something out, and it's just more and more feels like it needs to be three points really. And what the irony of that is, we've got no right to think that this is a must win, not only for us, the good at home, or a stronger home, stronger at home. First season back, it's great to see them back, I hope we stay up and they down just for the purpose of us. If there was three other teams that go, I'd actually quite like them to stay up. Big club like you said, and European Cup twice, you know, for me, growing up, Forrest, playing club teams and what have you, tremendous, tremendous club. It is doggie dogg now, and it's rather us than them, you know, to stay up. But we, I'd talk about it as a must win, and if any Forrest fans watching, this isn't from a position of arrogance, by the way. This is just, and they'll be, and they need a win as well. They won the last home game, I think, the last home game against Leeds, didn't they, 1-0? Or the Beats, uh, Drew City? Drew City, sorry, but Beat Leeds before that, hadn't they? For us, we have to go there and get a win. You know, we've seen it at Gooderson with Southampton, came to Gooderson and there was a must win for them. And even though they would be lowest, they were able to beat us in Wolves. Wolves nicked three points in a game they should never ever have done. And we have to now go and be able to do that here, because if we were to lose this game on Sunday, you know, that would be, a win put Evan a point behind Forrest. It means them writing it with us, where a home no week later, the opportunity to put them in a bit of trouble. And that's what Sean Deitch and the players have got to look at. Forrest, they're all right, they're doing all right. They're signed a million players, but they're doing all right. But they're not Man City and they're not Arsenal. And Evan have got to go and exit some kind of, I don't know, some kind of fighting spirit and nick a win somewhere, haven't they? Because right now, we're looking at Evan have scored four goals this year, so far, which is embarrassing. Yeah, they have, haven't they? Four, is it four? Four and eight games. Oh yeah, in 2023, yeah. We've scored 17 and 25. Exactly. Well, for Fluke, whether he meant it or not, I don't mean the Fluke in that sense, but it's 99 times over 100, it's not going to go in, is it? The annoyance is in the last, even in the Arsenal game, we looked like we had a plan of getting to goal, so we can get to goal, it's then what we do with it. Can't we take it? I've not. Yeah, it's like I said, it's not a position of arrogance, it's a position of need and we need to get something from this game. A point really probably doesn't do us anything, but obviously we're going to take it over. What it would do, the only thing a point would do would keep them within such an distance and not let them get away. A win would make it, so it would be what, are we five, four points behind them as it stands, so a win is a seven point swing, if they win. That's why we've got to look at it, and we've just got to avoid defeat, but really we have to be looking at three points, because even for that thing of, yeah, we can't rely on to win all our home games as we've proved against Villa, and if we need four or five wins, one of them is going to have to come away from home, and we've got to get it. We've played in fairness to Deitch since he came in, his two away games have been Amfield and the Emirates, but again we've shipped six goals in them and lost both. So now it's the city ground, and yeah, okay, it's an atmospheric ground and stuff as I said, but Forrest aren't a great team, they're down there with us for a reason. They're a bit like us, the fans, at the moment the fans are the best thing about day club, aren't they? Exactly, and it's about, so this is in theory, whether it's going to be the same in practice, but in theory, a Sean Deitch team should be perfect for this, his setup of coming to for straight and be organised and just make it niggly, so no momentum can build. I didn't watch all of the game when they beat Leeds, but apparently they were pretty dreadful, they got the early goal from Johnson, which was a really great finish, and then Leeds were on top for large parts of the first half, the second half they didn't really have anything, but it was, I think I did see the second half and what sort of that game reminded me almost of how Leeds played against us in terms of they just had nothing up front, nothing really going for them wherever, so it was pretty easy for Forrest. We just need to make it, we do need to make it bitty, we need to make it scrappy, but we need to have that thing of being organised and resilient and then taking our chance when it comes, and I think we only got one corner last night, so we need to start doing the thing of we need to get corners again, because they are our best route to go. Look, I don't actually think that it should bring Cody back in for this game, but I'd be playing Mina, I'd rather Cody over Keane. I think he's got to get his team selection right, he can't just go with the same system, he can't just go with the same personnel because it's not working. And for me, I would play Ellasims in this, and I'll continue to bang it on for him because I think he shoots a little bit more what we're trying to do, and also I feel as though the one thing he's got, he's not great off the ball, he's not a great runner with the ball, he doesn't do loads of work off the ball, but the one thing he's done all the way through is fledgling career, his score goals. And that's the championship, Scottish Premier League, League One, the under 21s, 18s, whatever, whatever, whatever, the lack can finish. And against the team that isn't fully established as a Premier League team, the top, top players, yes they've got a fabulous goalie by the way, the daily half, but Sims against this kind of defence, I think gives them an opportunity. Let him be, see if he can get on the end of Summer McNeill's crosses or whatever. Maybe take advantage, he's made the wrong word, but look, he turfed Garner off yesterday and whether that's because he's, maybe it was a combination of well he's made the mistake and also I've gone at the games, gone and I'm going to arrest him. Maybe make the opportunity to say actually we're going to change shape now and we're going to use that as an opportunity to get Sims in and we're going to play someone else off him, whether it's Gray, whether it's Mopai. I think if in that situation I'd rather it be Gray and I know that he's got his issues and he's a frustrating player and he's not a brilliant player but I just think we need some different dimension to our attack now and I don't want Sims to just come in but it's just going to be him on his own again on top and no support. And Garner with that mistake really, the mistake against Villar, maybe he's made his mind up for him and you know Dyche can say that he did it to freshen things up yesterday but he clearly took Cody out purposefully because Dyche has always gone with a pretty settled bat four. I just worry he's going to do it again and play a keen. Well I hope he doesn't carry it. But you know I do think we've got to look at maybe changing the shape now because we've got to get something out of this game so we've got to have something going forward. Well let's have a look at everything starting line up at Arsenal. Obviously Coleman, Keane, Trakowski, Michal Encolman, the five across the middle of Obie, the Corry, Garner, O'nana, McNeill with Mopai up top. So Sunday, personally I'd have Keane out, more than have Michael Keane in particularly because that's an atmospheric ground and he's easily put off. The midfield, you see taking Garner out does worry me. I know he's made mistakes, I just don't know who can do the job in the same manner. Now you could go with, can we trust the Corry, Obie in there and O'nana? Who sits? Is it O'nana? And then Damari Gray in the wide area? I don't know, I don't know whether we can, I don't know whether he might just... But I would have Sims up top, I'm like you I think. It's Cody or Mina for me but I think it'd be Mina this Sunday like Cody have another week on that. For me it would be Mina but I think if Dijs just changed it it would be Corry, I just added that out. Is she Mina? Mina is again, he's a threat in both boxes, he's great defensively and he only looks like, you know, him and Tarkov, he's attacking corners. It's our only threat so why not build it. And the thing with Mina is he could go up after an hour and I see that point. But then we've got Cody. If you can swap Cody straight back in, he's got a partnership with Tarkovs again. I don't think bringing Cody back in is a sub is that disruptive whereas other defenders it will be because they're coming in cold as we saw last night. So yeah for me Mina has, because again it's just another way for us to score goals as much as he's also our best defender. We scored two goals from open place in October and it's March. So that kind of painted to picture it. Everton are the lowest scorers in the five leagues in England. I think there's three other teams in Europe and then it's Everton like Fiorentina. There's another couple of Schalker and there's one more and then it's Everton for the lowest scorers in the top five leagues in Europe. It's defensively Everton and terrible. It's offensively. And yet our exchange some games has been decent. It's improved under Dites. We've missed opportunity. We had a 62% shooting accuracy last night compared to Arsenal's 30%. We've had opportunities in the last three games. We've had 17 attempts on target in the last three games and we've scored one goal and that was Sheamus Coleman's unlikely volley. We're creating chances now which we weren't really doing. We're hitting the target. We're just not doing it properly. We're not doing it with any real conviction. It's an obvious improvement and that's what I mean with Dites. There's been clear improvements already and that's good to see. My worries I mentioned on the final word is we're seeing the same like for me all the goals that we conceded so far in the Dites we would concede under. They look like the ones we conceded in the Lampard and I'm not blaming the manager for that. That's a personal thing isn't it? It's just the players making the same mistakes and it's what can Dites do with that. I do think there's changes that you can make. You've got to take that gamble. You can sit on the bench for an hour this week. He played 11 league games last season and that was playing in all competitions and I think he started every single one for us since his first start which would have been late August. Maybe it's time for him but then you lose that aerial presence but if you bring in a meaner you've got someone who's better at heading a ball anyway than a Nanna is. You've still got the coring and then you've actually got a game changer to bring on potentially midfield when it's getting stretched and you could have a Nanna running or the coring running. With fresh legs and is that how you do it? I just think there's changes now that have to be made because before we started Greatside especially defensively they just got what 4x West Ham. So it's not like the impenetrable even at home. We've just got to have something different up top I feel because it's creating those chances. He's then finishing him off isn't he? We haven't got a dom so we've got to find a different way to do it. Ever and I've won one in the last eight games against Promoted Trades which is shocking isn't it really? Three wins and five draws the longest ever run. We've lost 13 of our last 17 Premier League games on a Sunday including 10 of the last 13. For us they're unbeaten in the last eight Premier League home games. That's what we need at home isn't it? That's what we need. That's where you've got to give them loads of credit. They have settled down and Brennan Johnson scored three goals in his last three Premier League home games. He also scored a goal. Let's have a look at Brennan Johnson because we have signalled him out as one of the forest danger man. He's had 24 games a player we're very interested in actually in the summer. We can get five goals in 24 games to assist after just one shot per game. He's had a decent season in the Premier League. I think some people thought he was going to have a better one but he's done okay. You know one game he got both goals and didn't he but scored against everything. So you know he's done alright and he'll be a danger man Money. You haven't left a look out for it. I know you think the biggest player is Cailan Avers. Don't you think so? Well yeah I mean whether we actually get to test him enough. But again he's hit four last week. But yeah he's a world class keeper that's kind of ended up at four. He shows the pull of the Premier League and the money as well. Clubs can spend it. But yeah from attacking perspective I think you've got Gibbs White and then you've got Johnson and Johnson's got pace. And that scares teams and if he plays on the right he's going to be probably up against Michelenko. I trust Coleman to pocket him or have a better do a better job of it. I think Cooper because he did start. He was playing a three at the back and then I don't know if he's gone back to more of a four at the minute. Well let's have a look at Forrest. This is what he played last week at West Ham. So he had William, Warel, Filipe, Lodi at left back. Then Freya, Shelby, Jack Olbach and then the front three of Brennan, Johnson, Morgan Gibbs White and Chris Wood. Yeah and he plays. Johnson has that ability. He kind of plays like a very old fashioned inside forward. He's not a winger. He cuts in. But he doesn't cut in in the sense of he'll get the ball on the touchline of cutting him out. He cuts in off the ball. He's got pace. He's got that knack of, well the goal he scored against us really was latching on to a bit of a rebound, wasn't he? But he has got that knack of getting him behind and he can finish. So yeah it's going to be, if it's Michelenko playing. Look I really think he may be taking Michelenko out and putting Godfrey there. And just because Godfrey, I know what you say about defence in the field, but he's probably his best game for us has been at left back. Oh definitely. And I think left back is such a massive concern for us at the minute. I think Godfrey plays left back better than right back. I don't know why that is since he's right footed, but maybe when he feels like when he's at right back he almost gets the tendency to feel he needs to be a bit wider where at left back he feels like well I'll just stick narrow here. And be concentrate more I think because it's the wrong side. So this is the change and especially for away games and I know it sounds counterintuitive because you expected to be the home games when we're pushing higher. But I almost feel like we do have a set way of playing at home and I know it didn't work against Villa but it nearly was there. Whereas at away games you're more likely to kind of get dragged out if you're playing on the counter attack. You're going to want to take advantage of those opportunities. But then if you've got no pace at the back you're just going to struggle like we saw it and feel like we saw it at times last night. So if you've got Godfrey there to really deal with someone like Johnson I think he's going to have a better chance than Mikolenko. I just think he needs to take it out now. And like I want to see two to three changes in personnel and I really do want to see a change of shape. I think it's got to happen really. There you go. It's going to be a tough game for us that a good try at home. We just said that they are eighth on beating which is a real to big ass for Everton. But it's a do all dice situation now and for us from their perspective we'll be looking thinking we beat these to seven points then. That's a big this amount of games left that's a big margin to make up. So Everton are running out of games. If they don't start winning games with football they're going to find themselves down without any hope. So roll on Sunday and let's see if the Blues can get the result you need. Big thanks to Patrick. Make sure you subscribe. The video will thumbs up. If you want to become a trophy TV Premier member the link is in the description and the QR code is on the screen now. See you later.