 Welcome to the weather forecast for the week beginning Wednesday June 22nd and also June 29th Yep, I'm gonna take another vacation the last one I think I did was the last week of October 2021. So, yeah time for a break Chief me. I'll just join in sort of for long about public media All right, so our first in your phase this upcoming week is Tuesday the 28th with a new moon and then Wednesday July 6th, we have a first quarter minute, which means if it's clear you'll get a nice moon hanging in the southwestern sky for the night of the fireworks on the 4th of July Independence Day The Sun this week has some very active sunspots here So for the next week if you happen to travel closer to the Arctic Circle to Canada or something for vacation You could see some aurora at night. Nothing is expected to be as far south as Colorado Look at drought conditions. We have a little lessening of drought South of Denver Colorado Springs area, but a worsening of the drought further south and southwest Forecorner's area definitely needs some moisture. We are drought-free here in the northern part of the state And that's where I hope to go camping Nationally not much changes a little lessening of the drought up here in the Pacific Northwest and on the margin of the Great plains a little worse down in New Mexico, but a bunch of rain has hit there And that was a spam call sorry Not gonna start over keep on going So looking at rainfall We got some relief down there in the southwest so the place it needed at the most got some good water some two inch Greater amounts see the thunderstorms up in I-25 and foothills of the front range, but not much out of the plains Do you look at the severe weather climatology from March to the beginning of July you can see the area expanding and Probabilities getting pretty high through with the June 4th week of June And then first week of July starts to less than the plains as the jet stream heads north and cold air Usually doesn't invade far into the nation. So but we are still at our peak. So if you get thunderstorms They're very likely to Be on the edge of severe if not have some days to get some marginal or slight risks of hail primarily. It's usually not tornadoes in Colorado, but You still I-25 it can happen But there we are at our peak Looking at the actual sphere where the forecast for the first three weeks of this 14-day stretch. Sorry about that We have chance of thunderstorms basically south of Lawnmont on Wednesday So you might see some build-ups all of the state Has a chance of thunderstorms on Thursday with a little marginal right over here at the Nebraska Kansas border and on Friday all the state could get some thunderstorms Looking at the surface analysis We do have this week front that is down here and ahead of it you have your severe weather chances there got fire I say here you got heavy rains and flash flooding at fire opposite of fire So that's really good. That's part of the drought Some of the worst drought conditions right now Mexico had it has had a long-term fires burning and things like that For Friday the Southwest is getting I meant to look this up, but it seems that this really is a very early Kicking on of the monsoon that normally hits Arizona and four-corner states including Colorado I living in Arizona, I Think it was like the second week of July is when you usually saw Monsonville flow kick in and it's it's underway Then for Saturday we have Front range and the Western part of the state getting some thunderstorms have you rain up here on the Canadian border And the front kind of lingering over the northern Rockies So let's take a look the normals the normal high temperatures continue to Creep up through July So even though the first day of summer the longest day of the year just occurred on the 21st Tuesday the temperatures do Keep going up for a few weeks after that because we're still getting a net increase of Energy over what can be lost at night. So I kind of need that way So we're going from 85 to 88 for a normal high 54 to a whopping 57 by the end and that's largely because normally there is some moisture Slipping in in the beginning of July as humidity to go up The atmosphere can't cool as much at night Take a look at Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday Monday this weekend really looks Wet this is gonna be a lot of moisture coming in We'll take a look at that in the next maps in a moment and then beyond that we have the daily afternoon pulse of thunderstorms So a little break there, but not much beyond that So yes, we have a high here pumping tropical moisture up into the heart of the nation We have some coming over the high to our west kind of giving us a flow here You can see that moisture pretty significant since green is above normal precipitatable water and We get the storms on Saturday night. You can see pretty good coverage of rain thunderstorms around Lonson and on the state Jumping way out to the 4th of July. We do have a ridge Sitting over the west big high pressure system. So you'd expect some pretty high temperatures, but with moisture high there should be not as extreme highs or lows and Thunderstorms around pretty good chance actually for the night 4th of July. So bring an umbrella bring some Rain coverings, so let's take a look at that for the next 14 days now Here we are on Thursday with the ridge to our south a little passing trough on Friday Take a little cooler area and briefly then you just have this flow coming up from the south is not really a Trough pass and over the weekend. It's just a lot of moisture and heat Going the next week. We get the ridge building out west and then that drifts over for Wednesday So expect some really good high temperatures midweek a little weakness in the flow coming through at the end of next week We're going two weeks out here. So the ridge reestablishes itself for the 4th of July Independence day and we have sort of Northwest flow and moisture Circulating around the back side of the high just coming from the south Going out into the end of next week week after next is a little trough in the west I'm not going to spend much time on temperatures here because it's summer and so yeah, you get the afternoon Blossoms of thunderstorms and rain cool air. There's that little front coming in the weekend Yep, cool air. It's kind of unusual So our temperatures will drop with precipitation lots of convection going on Sunday Monday There's the cold air and that is weird to have that much cool air sink all the way down to Texas He comes back Wednesday He the cool is still down here in Texas in the south And after that things become a lot murkier. There's the second of July And we have pretty normal heat or cool bubble coming down on the third He kind of comes back for the fourth of July. Yeah So this is much more telling at this time of year This is the precipitable water and you can see the moisture flow Lots of moisture just kind of rotating around in the west There's on the Mexico kind of covered. There's Sunday into Monday. There's a tropical system down here That's certainly adding to the moisture in the westerlies There's Tuesday Wednesday the 29th and even though the dryer comes down briefly the moisture comes back pretty fast So we're never far from at least having clouds and a chance of afternoon Storms and showers or the weekend before the 4th of July A little dry air comes in. There's a big surge coming up over Arizona, Utah and that spreads Eastward, so we have a lot of moisture in the atmosphere Independence Day and then I mean the week beyond that look at all that going by another tropical system So we're gonna look at the daily afternoon storm chances. It was Friday June 24th going to Saturday The 25th and there's the weekend storms Just popping up around noon or before noon and then spreading across the state It was Monday into Tuesday more storms Maybe a little further south, but still northeast Colorado gets some rain We get a little break on Wednesday and stuff comes back after that Storms again on Thursday and then Friday Storms in the afternoon moving off as a line Here's the weekend before 4th of July We'll get a little break there with that dry air that comes in and then we get more showers for the 4th of July Beyond that Start with a surge of moisture afternoon storms are plentiful So expect a lot more moisture. This is just great news. That's five days Long-run area seems to get about a half inch of precipitation And going out 10 days we're up to inch to inch and a quarter of moisture And then snow how does have to put this in 10 days snow right there a little bit north of Durango And then to go out 14 days. Have you switched? Websites your tropical tidbits and you can see we're almost at the two inch mark over the next two weeks So an inch and a half to two inches of precipitation the mountains even do better with two to three Even three and a half inches in some spots in here with the moisture And let's go to getting a lot of relief. So great So taking up two weeks We start in the 90s who cool way down to the 70s this weekend with a cool front and high chances of precipitation through Monday Tuesday it backs off a little bit but afternoon storms are still not impossible The more moisture we get the more the the land of the vegetation Becomes healthy and wet the easier it is for even on days when there otherwise isn't a lot of moisture Local moisture sources can can kick off a few storms For the following week we return to the 90s when it drives out a little bit We cool by the end of the week. We have pretty good chances of afternoon storms. I'm giving a long ways out. So take this with a grain of salt, but Monday Fourth of July independence day a pretty good storm chances 60 percent and then drives Briefly after that and then I'll make another video for you guys Take a look at a new month the weather surface has put out its preliminary month forecast giving us above normal chances of above normal Heat and below normal precipitation, which right now doesn't look like that's coming about I don't have a graphic for this But weather bell, which is a great site to go to maybe I'll just wipe the bullet someday and spend $25 a month for subscription there It's going for the opposite. They're saying the Western and Central US is going to be below normal temperatures and above normal Precipitation at least the next 14 days that forecast looks better than what No has been putting out But we already look to that that the past no forecasts have not been the greatest So I'm at leader calm broomfield leader calm for local news and frequent weather updates I will continue to post weather updates there. It's easy for me to do that So this has been the weather forecast for The last week of June and the first week of July chief needle disturbance worth wishing you to keep looking up