 what's up guys happy Wednesdays let's see what's going on with the market today the market bubble oh snap this family popped off so I was looking at this tray a while back kind of mixed missed it a little bit they have some really good news and it was the day they popped off so this is the company that make the Alzheimer's disease drug and they had just dropped their price by 50% recently and then and they had dropped a lot too from since they announced that drug so the stock price was around $269 when they first announced the drug got approval and everything came all the way up to $400 and then you know there was a lot of like there was a lot of bad press about them and it came all the way back down here so it's a pretty good buying opportunity at the bottom here I guess we had support all the way from 2024 here so now we're making a recovery again testing testing testing testing what's up deluxe how you doing jayme oh my happy holidays man but yeah that was a that's a pretty good stock market outlook for tomorrow that's a great question so a lot of things actually looking kind of weak today not much movement western digital had a good move upside MU finally made the new highs Microsoft looking weak Apple is looking weak UPS is also looking weak let's see so market outlook for tomorrow I posted the market outlook for earlier this week on Monday I said that we had a pretty good run we're looking to finish up that W pattern here which as you can see we're making that move there we see if I can find it nice so you must make some money from MU then so this is the market outlook that was posted on Monday for this whole week um you know we're looking at the bottom pattern playing out W pattern I think we're at a point to take profits they caution for this week so we did end up moving a little bit higher from this um same thing with this so kind of moving up so there's not much to say from here man I mean obviously we had a really good recovery from that drop we had a lot of run um there's not much to go from here once you ran that much there's only so much more than you can go up you know so kind of think of it like if you were running on the treadmill um and you just had like a really really quick burst you know you're doing HIIT high intensity it's an interval training you're on the treadmill and you just ran like you know you just ran a high intensity at like six point miles per hour for like a good five minutes you're about to take that break because there's no way you can keep going on you know or maybe not even six point mile per hour but maybe like uh maybe like eight because six five point five is like a normal run so let's say you were going at eight for like five minutes straight it's time to cool down y'all time for you to go back um to that one minute break before you you know you start up that HIIT again damn 200% banger that's crazy did you get it that we grew last week I don't know so we usually look at earnings too but today we don't really have any earnings to look at either oh actually we have fuel cell let's take a look at that so fuel cell had earnings today it wasn't doing some great yeah yeah we have some earnings from the we have some people from the youtube side as well so let's see fuel cell earnings share was negative seven cents as was the negative four cents sales is 13.9 mil as opposed to 21 mil whoa huge miss it says this is a 12.5 increase compared to losses of last year and 18 decrease compared to sales of last year wait that doesn't sound right wait it is hey what's up what's going on guys sure I can look at stitch fix for you guys I got you give me a second let me check out this um fuel cell report real quick service revenue service agreements and license revenue decreased a lot still burning through a lot of cash did there some offering before and they're investing more and expanding r&d too so they're just burning cash non-stop but they don't have any cash coming in so a year ago the company was trading around $10 can you imagine people that bought around $20 plus ouch probably the biggest game ever 600 at some point all right let's take a look at stitch fix want to get stitch fix for $15 calls wait stitch fix is at $19 right now I think if we recover we can make a recovery to 21 from 221 or $26 um however it's looking a little bit weak today this this would be the area I need to hold the $19 area for it to go back higher so ideally you're looking for that move back here to the purple line which is the 21 22 um and then possibly move back to that the other line at 27 so if you're going to play um if you're going to play stitch fix stitch fix make sure you go like a month out because it's been a pretty slow mover and it could take a while for that move to happen the pc what is this company wpc never seen this never seen about this company oh it's reit um I mean ideal entry would be around here before that you know if you're looking for a good pullback that's ideal entry um point of control so this is at $80.58 and maybe even $81 honestly so a little bit higher than your target there yeah we're streaming across multiple platforms right now on facebook and youtube and tesla oh that's a good question trafster so me personally I always look at the futures when I'm charting the index I think it does make a big difference when you're looking at futures versus looking at um the like non-futures of the indexes for example if you look at spy um it's already the top of the range on the it's getting to the top of the range on the one day chart no crossover yet you look at the futures sometimes is a little bit ahead of spy well especially if you look at um half day charts a little bit more hit so if you look at spy we're we're finally looking like we're getting to the top of the overbought area uh in the s&p 500 but if you look at the futures it's saying that we're already like we're already at the over so area so that could mean one of two things um it could be a it could mean that this is where it's starting to get weaker um when it's over so but it also means that a lot of exhaling that has happened overnight but you just didn't see it in um in the um in the regular ticker what's up polo panda how you doing even with a huge drop and the day it was still way above support looking pretty good talking about spy online that's cheap that's also probably because the chances are very low too so that's why but if it happens it'll be you get rich polo panda yeah it's possible it's also pretty close to that double top area range too it's supposed to come back to pre-covid levels of 88 oh it does look weak on the daily it is looking a little bit weak today on the weekly it looks like it's just beginning to curl up it's looking like it's just about to start this big move but then on the daily it's looking like it wants to pull back a little bit but keep in mind a lot of times the daily makes the move for the weekly right so if daily is starting to look weak then it can invalidate the weekly chart as well like for example if daily looks like it's about to come down then it could potentially set up something like this when it ran up and then came back down right so it could just be like up down and then up so don't don't let weekly influence you too much make sure you're watching the daily but it is hitting the resistance over here too so it could potentially be like this two resistance there so we need to hit that break down hit that breaking down in order to break above or be more bullish we need to break above this line here which is um 403-ish so let's take another $25 move it'll be holidays but hopefully it makes sense a little bit wait did s&p just close another record close today i think they said that yesterday s&p had um 69 record close it was uh 6969 let's see what's going on today in the market um in terms of the news and stuff there's no news today oh you're holding january calls for um team you could you can consider like converting it to spread if um if you're worried about data burn too so the only news i see on spy for today was the eight trading themes to watch for in 2022 here are the eight market themes traders should look for in 2022 number one diversification defense investor looks to protect their portfolio against a certain environment may try to diversify outside the tech heavy growth stocks that perform so well since the early 2020 crash US stock weakness US stocks have significantly outperformed international stocks in recent years but Morgan Stanley chief cross asset strategies Andrew Sheets recently said there's a chance the s&p 500 finished 2022 lower for the year and underperform international markets interesting europe and japan leadership she said that stocks in europe and japan are more reasonably valued than the us stocks and lower inflation levels may allow their central bank to be more patient in post COVID-19 pandemic tidings our combined earnings and valuation assumptions suggest that european stocks can deliver an eight percent return and double digit total returns says the morgan Stanley chief european equity strategies rising interest rate in the past six months the federal reserve had gone expecting no interest rate hike to expecting three the bond market is already pricing in a greater than 55 chance the first interest rate will happen in march 2022 stocks and assets that benefit from rising interest rates including banks and insurance stocks could outperform while growth stocks must borrow money to grow oil struggle value investing value stocks have narrowly outperformed growth stocks in the closing month of 2021 and have mostly kept pace with growth stocks throughout most of the year e-commerce growth online sales accounts for just 4.2 of total u.s sales in the first quarter of 2010 but that percentage had jumped to 13 percent as third quarter of 2021 pandemic has increased and leaders such as amazon and jd and other stocks that deliver derived significant value from online sales may continue to outperform don't forget about wish that con boys wish that com three dollars buy the dip gotta gotta shoot a message to these morgan Stanley boys anybody in back holding the wish that com with us stock selections the highest stock valuation gets the more difficult bond market upside may be the s&p 500 earnings multiple is currently at 30 nearly double as long term average of 1915.9 in a pricing market investor may not be able to rely on a strong return from the index fund and stock selection may become more per more important oh snap they say the last one the last the last trading theme to watch for in 2022 is fundamental matter matters oh boy meme stocks dominated headline 2021 but the more global economic environment normalizes in 2022 the fewer excuses struggling companies may have to justify their horrible business fundamentals as a result story stocks like amc holdings and game stock may continue to revert back toward their historical fundamental violations in 2022 i would say that we're moving in the direction of a more fundamentally oriented market but we aren't necessary there yet um editor and research analyst at empire financial research recently said i agree that i think that's pretty true um there's a lot of stocks that we have gone like a move toward a fundamental perspective few sell was just a company we're just looking at in terms of earnings today and they have came back down a lot um from this ridiculous run at 30 dollars even you know at $12 you know a year ago the company was trading on 250 they haven't been doing that well um they haven't been increasing any money or anything like historically this company has always been trading really really low levels it's been burning money non-stop it's been blessing just to survive so long so coming back to five dollars a reasonable level like a fundamental perspective because look at them they're like what would you expect them to be a company that hasn't making money right and then you have like other stuff like i don't know for it it's running a little bit crazy right now so things like this could potentially come back down to valuation too there's a lot of the stuff that just ran too crazy and they could potentially come back down a lot and a lot of the the meme stocks that we have like wish.com they've also been losing a lot of money so so that's also the potential to come back down a lot too oh they had a news so wow though the robin hood we leave fun yo did you guys know about this so apparently December 16th wish.com collaborates with NASDAQ to launch a popped up vending machine in Times Square with 22 must have items for 2020. The vending machine will include tech essential such an motion sensor night light portable power banks LED light up beanies 100% of the sales on the vending machine will be donated to the robin hood will be fun new york's largest poverty fighting organization that's pretty cool i wonder if this is still there let's see what wall street that is looking at today time magazine has announced their latest annual superlative insight trader of the year time magazine Nancy you know what is this oh this is an ad one of us one of us at the start of the year my goal was to make $250,000 day trading with about 10 days left i only need to make five million more sounds about right oh snap this kid is crazy yo that kid had fun he's about the bus's head but he had fun i would love to be here damn then he ran into somebody's butt too my stock over the holidays it's a process this candle drops panic calm panic samsung yeah we looked at biogen earlier it was a good setup and had a big move 42 billion dollars i don't think samsung can buy them and that's i don't know it doesn't really make sense this reminds me of that one time when they were talking about like paypal was going to buy pinterest that that deal also didn't make sense either so if samsung is going to buy them at a deal worth more than 42 billion dollars we would look at the market cap of this company right so right now market cap is at 34 enterprise value is at 39 if samsung is going to buy them at 42 stock would potentially be value at so let's see 42 billion all right that's the billions right 42 billion uh market float is at 130 or 7 million so that would put the stock at 322 and 71 cents if samsung does end up buying them at the 42 dollar 42 billion dollar valuation 322 will be the price is worth in case um in case we're speculating that it's worth a lot of actually if it does happens if they do confirm it that strike would pay out really well but i steamed of the stock market day trading strength that hasn't failed me once i take 10 000 put it on any stock on the five dollars that i believe arise one percent i put a limit sell for five dollar calls one percent above the current price make the easiest one hundred dollar effort i do this multiple times a day and i'm thinking of quitting my day job because i'm making more money in stock clearly i know somewhat risky put in tanking online but when that's spread when the spread is that small to myself is worth it that's not my only trading strategy just the most effective one making my week worth of pay in one day yeah you could do 320 calls let me see what what are the calls worth right now 320 is the max calls 320 call is worth 322 probably actually you probably don't even want to do 320 calls because if the stock is value at 320 rate um it shouldn't be worth more than more than much probably want to go if you're going to do it probably want to do 310 calls um so that's how much you potentially make if it moves to that range you potentially make another 10 dollars minimum if it takes a long time for that move to happen um alternatively you can also you don't have to fund for a 310 call you can always do uh 300 to 310 it should be pretty cheap so you buy in the 310 i mean you sell in the 310 and you buy in the 300 and if it goes to 320 this is how much you potentially make yeah debit spreads because if the valuation is at 320 then it's it's bound to go above 310 right so that's two weeks to play it but with debit spreads you can also go as far as you want you can go as far as april you can go as far as end of the you can go as far as january 2023 you can go as far as july because honestly if the deal were to happen it would take a long time for the deal to happen too so the deal would probably take anywhere from half a year to one year i've seen a lot of these merger deals go through and when they do go through it takes quite a long time so so that's the good thing about debit spreads where it gives you enough time so you can pick julys um it would cost 240 and you know you can potentially make 100 something percent it goes in your direction it's not a bad deal it's worth worth a shot i think but you only buy this far if you think that um you know it's gonna make that move if you're just looking at an upside move you can also just do 260 and 270 for a little bit more money but you won't make as much profit as this lot of play over here the problem i got you have you ever heard a crackhead say i have no money i'm not going to smoke today no they always find a way are you gonna let a crackhead out hustle you today facts i mean the for the longer time frame you buy out the um the more it's gonna cost right so let's say if you buy the 300 and 310 um you go out the longer time frame it's gonna cost more you're buying the 300 dollar cost um but you're selling 310 dollar cost so you're you're essentially setting up a lot of where you make the money between the difference of 300 and 310 so if it goes to 310 um you'll make your you're guaranteed to make 10 so you're paying the difference between that but after 310 you won't really make much more money um not necessarily it depends on what the investor thinks and how much how much value they think that the company asked the samsung because if investors think that this is a bad deal for samsung that they might sell off the samsung stock and it you know it might be a bad reaction damn i love it these guys keep bringing hope to the the short squeeze so they're saying that there there's a massive catalyst coming for the short squeeze in amc and game stuff and here's why the catalyst massive drops in different stocks happened when media started hyping and spreading fear about the new covid variant omicron big and small players started to short certain already have already heavily shorted stocks even more their thinking is that this variant most likely caused for the lockdowns and possibly be the nail in the coffin for some of the companies that are most affected by the pandemic they're dead wrong omicron is the end of the pandemic it's natural vaccine for covid and will be the catalyst for the multiple massive short squeeze let me present the data and explain the omicron variant extremely contagious even for very fascinating boosted people spreading like wildfire that right not good and the pandemic good it replaces the deadly variant by 1920 the virus that caught the pandemic became much less deadly and caused only ordinary season of fools and guess what even the timing is similar roughly two years huh so it's talking about the spanish flu isn't the stock market crashed in the 1920s damn i don't know any ticker that goes that far so apparently the market crashed in 18 um crash again in 22 19 22 um and then it started to boom the raw in 20s yeah so i'm sure what this guy is talking about so does that mean that we're we're not going to have a huge run until like we get another crash at the end of 2022 um if history was to repeat yourself will we get another crash at the end of 2022 and then after that crash we would have the roaring the roaring 20s or the roaring late 20s and then from 1922 to like i mean from 2022 to like 2030s we'll have this huge omega run before another crash if history to where to repeat itself um from a century ago that was this is this is actually interesting theory to look at honestly um because the spanish flu was a huge thing back in the day i gotta look more into that this is quite interesting i mean obviously this guy is just talking about um he's just trying to fit it in his narrative right but it's interesting uh perspective though what the hell this is the craziest thing i ever read i didn't even know half of these so they said that there's possible speculation that um the the spanish flu um at that time could have also come from northern china um because apparently they said there was evidence that respiratory illness has struck northern china where laborers came from in november 1917 um and was identified later by chinese health officials um as identical to the spanish flu however no tissue samples had have survived from modern comparison nonetheless there were some reports you know of the respiratory illness on parts of the path the laborers took to get to europe which also passed through north america but at the same time they say that china was also one of the few regions of the world seemingly less affected by the spanish flu pandemic as well and then there was another report that says in 2016 they found that there was no evidence um but instead that they found that the virus was circulation in europe before the pandemic honestly if you think about it this is kind of like the same this is pretty similar um because the spanish flu was also you know it was also pretty similar to covid um you know it was both like respiratory disease it lasted for about two years a lot of people got infected across the world they started wearing masks they said it was super deadly and dangerous back in the day but i mean if you think about it i'm sure later on people will say the same thing about covid they'd be like oh my god this for this forsaken disease it wipes so many people people would talk about stories of how their relatives pass away from it but honestly it's not even that bad if you think about it compared to now it says in the us about 28th population of 105 million became infected um 500 to 850 000 die you know so only less than one percent of the population i don't know what we always learn that is such a bad thing but it's actually not that bad this guy some sometimes man these guys from wall street beds they bring up good points i feel i'm gonna try to find a documentary about this and try to understand a little bit more it's very interesting actually maybe we'll get off give us a good um understanding of the market and what's going to happen as well here's a link in case you guys want to check it out yourself um but i'm gonna end the stream here today we'll be back here tomorrow around four o'clock to go over market outlook and see what else is going on take care and have a good night guys thanks for stopping by and hanging out