 Folks, let's get over to our man, Mr. Tim Ord, as we do every Tuesday and Thursday. And don't forget, you can reach him every trading day at odd.oracle-oracle.com. It's odd-oracle.com. Now check it out, folks. OK, our man, Mr. Tim Ord, he is going to be doing a webinar for you. And what it is, it's the six secret ratios every trader should know. Tim's been on a long time now. He's on twice a week with me. He's been going through these ratios. So if you want to understand these ratios upside down to take a look at these ratios, specifically, are going to be for the S&P 500, as the directions of these markets. If you come over to our website at TF&N, you're going to see it right on the front page. This webinar is going to be on Tuesday, November 7th, from 4 to 5 30. It's only $149. And bottom line is that you're going to have six different ratios that I encourage you to understand them upside down, and then you sleep, and then sleep walking, and everything. Because the bottom line is they're really useful in a monster way. So check it out on the front page of our website at TF&N. Again, that's going to be on November 7th. And we're going to be talking about, he's going to be going through the TLT vix, the SPI vix, the SPI with the vix. These are all different ratios that no one does, folks. The American Association of Individual Investors, Bull Bear Stats, and then, of course, the Panic Levels. Tim Oed, what's going on? Well, we're going to take a look at the S&Ps here. We've got something interesting going on. OK. Let's take a look at the bigger picture. We'll start with chart one. OK, good. Here we go. One second. I'm going to get it right now. OK, I'm ready. All right, the top window is the NYSE McCall and Summation Index. And when that gets brown below minus 700, yesterday's reading was minus 739. And today's probably going to be lower than that. But anything below 700, you're going into capitulation, or you're going into a panic situation. So it can go lower. If you look back in the left chart, 2008 went a lot lower. But what's important, we're reaching below minus 700 right now. So I wanted to point that out. I pointed that out in my newsletter yesterday. Today is even going to be lower. So it doesn't really mean anything. It means that the market is kind of giving up, is reaching, I guess, a capitulation level. And that's one indicator kind of defines when that started to happen. Does it say we're at a bottom right now? No. But it does say that we're probably close to one. So let's now flip to chart two. OK, chart two is just really an easy indicator. This is just the weekly SPYs. And I took this back, I don't know, 20, 30 years ago. I don't know, whenever SPY started, I kind of looked at that. But anyhow, what's important on this chart, this is a weekly SPY with the Bollinger bands on it. And every time you get below the lower Bollinger band, you're kind of into a very rare territory. And most of the time, you're knocking at a low. I see. And I made this chart earlier today. And so ideally, you want to close down this week and actually close below the lower Bollinger band. The lower Bollinger band is two deviations from the norm. So the upper Bollinger band is two deviations above, and we get below two deviations. So it's out of the norm this happens. And if you hang around the mid-Bollinger band, then it doesn't really say a lot. But I marked the times over the last chart, which looks like about two years. And every time we close below the lower Bollinger band, Elise got a short-term balance. So the market's still down. Today we're down about three quarters of a point, give or take. And so ideally, you don't want the market to rally here. So that's another indicator saying, we're probably close to something. So let's go on to chart number three. And what I just did, Tim, is that I actually put up what you were just talking about, meaning the Bollinger band's in the spy. And I just brought it up back even three years on a daily. And there's no doubt, man, every time it gets down there. Look at that. That's crazy, huh? Wow. Yeah, so it's a real simple indicator to follow. And so what it is, it's kind of out of the norm. It's a market. The market goes one way too fast. It's going to go back to the norm, which in this case be the mid-Bollinger band. That includes going up, but up through the upper Bollinger band, a lot of times it'll create sideways and go back to the mid-Bollinger band. So all this is kind of a rubber band being stretched too far. And that's all it says. So that's what you're kind of looking for. So you're kind of looking for a lot of people are afraid of panic. Panic is the best thing you can find in the market. Because if you can find and identify it, you're looking at a low. And maybe not the exact low of the exact hour, but you're in the vicinity of the low. You're in good shape. You're in pretty good shape. Yeah, you're in good shape. So whenever I'm jumping out of the windows and stuff, you're probably getting the best buy of the year. And the hotter the panic is, the more stronger that rally happens. So if you get minor panic, you get kind of a minor rally. If you get major panic, which we had from 2022 of April of 2023, April, there was a lot of panic in that sideways move. And so I'm thinking you're looking at a bigger time frame, kind of a bully situation. So, but anyhow, I know we've got to hear music here in about 10 seconds. You sure will. And listen, folks, as we come into this break, bottom line is to get over to our website at TFNN. You're going to see it right under featured content. I'm at Mr. Tim Hoid. Six secret ratios every trader should know. You've been listening to Tim long enough, folks, OK? That, you know, you're a trader out there, man. You want this in your toolbox in a monster way, not in a small way. We have the Dow Industries right now down 120, and as they've got 160, it's a piece of 34. That workshop's going to be November 7th, folks, from 4 to 530. It's only $149. Check it out at the front page of TFNN. Tim and I are coming right back. Welcome back, folks. Tom and Ryan, Tim Hoid. We do appreciate you growling and prowling with us out here. And folks, Tim has a new webinar coming up. It's going to be on November 7th, OK? The six secrets of six secret ratios that every trader should know. You know, we've been talking with Tim for quite some time right now. You know, he does these ratios. Bottom line, folks, if you want to understand the ratios upside down, come over to our website. It's only $149. And then, of course, it's archived because you're going to want to go over these over and over again. That's the reality. And then, bottom line, once you get them nailed, it's in your toolbox. You're in great shape. OK, Tim, so I'm going to be, I'm on number, let's see, what number shot am I on right now? The chart three? Yes, that's right, OK. All right, chart three. This is kind of a unique indicator. The middle window is the bond, which is a TLT. OK. And what, 20-year bond, slash BVIX. And the BVIX is the VIX of the VIX. So it's kind of an obscure ratio. But anyhow, it works pretty well. And so it kind of, I measure the velocity of the up and down of this ratio. And so when it goes down too fast, the top window is the rate of change, the 10 period, which is a two-week rate of change. When it goes below 20, it's a bully sign. And then the next window down is RSI 10, not to 14, but RSI 10. And when it gets down below minus 30, so when those two indicators reach below the signed oversold numbers, you're usually at a short term low here. And this chart goes back about five, six years, whatever. And the red lines show the times when this ratio reached RSI and ROC bullish levels, I guess you might say. Yes. And currently, we're in that bullish level right now. The last time we got it was at that previous low. And it pretty much picked out all the, even the minor lows. Didn't pick out every low, but it picked out most of those. And it's currently giving a bully sign right now. That's pretty cool. I kind of want to look at the bigger picture, say where we are. So we're not starting, part of the market is concerned, we're not starting a major decline here. We're ending one or not ending a major decline. Let me ask you, how the heck did you come up with this ratio? I'm going to know this, man. I mean, I mean, I know you do so much work. I'm just curious. So what I like, you know, anything to do with the VIX and the VBIX, I try to incorporate. And I try different things with it. And I came around the bond stuff. And I couldn't really figure out how to make it work. So I just started screwing around with the RSI and I don't see if they ever made sense. And I go back and back-tested. And it's pretty easy to back-test a lot of these in here, but pretty cool, man. It seems to work out pretty well. And why it works, I really don't care. Oh, that doesn't matter. No, listen, folks, this is what Tim's going to be doing the workshop on. You see, this is the stuff, folks. If you can figure out where the bond is going to go, particularly in a high interest rate environment, folks. And if, in fact, that rates maybe have topped, the bottom line is going to make a huge difference, man. I mean, if right now we've been messing around with this bottom and the bonds for the good two or three weeks, but the reality is if you get it right, well, guess what? You're going to have a lot of breathing room inside the markets, including the commodity markets. Because the further that the bond goes higher, the lower the dollar's going to go. And if the dollar goes lower, that's going to put huge oxygen inside the commodity market as well as the S&P. So pretty cool ratio, Tim. Nice. Yeah, it is. And so we're not going to door here, too. And if you look at the previous chart number two, which is basically that weekly SPS, we're below the Bollinger Band. So we're two deviations away from the norm. And now you've got something totally different. It has nothing to do with Bollinger Band. And you've got this ratio saying, yeah, you've got something going on here. So it's starting to put together. So let's flip to chart number four. OK, I have it. All right, so we show this chart a lot. And it's the, I'm the big fan of panic. And the more panic it is, you know, the beauty you don't want to say about it, because everybody hates you, because everybody's on the right. And so if everybody's short, I'm thinking, you know, I think I'm going long here. You know, you get a lot of curse words thrown at you. But anyhow, the 10-day trend is a good way to measure panic. It gets up around 1.2 or higher. And all the shaded kind of a pink area is there at times when that happened. Well, this indicator right now is not even near panic levels, according to the trend readings. There's other indicators, which already showed you, that is unusually in an area where a bottom music forms. But so far, the trend really hasn't panicked yet. Right. And you know, we're setting up support. Maybe we'll get a little bit below support. I've got a dotted line going across the SP's there, which is right on that 420 on the FBI's. And so you can push down that little trend line. You can hit more tops around like, looks like about 400 level. If you can eyeball it there, I should put that in. And we may go down there, I don't know. And but we got, you know, we're looking at a low, you know, all the panic usually happens right at the lows. So it doesn't take weeks and weeks of panic, but it does take two, three, four days of panic to get that low in. So, you know, maybe we won't see a low this week, but I bet, you know, if this decline keeps going, which I think we're awful close to a low, we're probably going to get panicked and ticks and trend. Right now we've got a trend reading 1.05, you know, in the beginning of the day, we had 1.4. So we'll have to wait and see how, if that will generate a signal or not. But right now it's not. But I have a couple, you know, the other three indicators are in bullish territory, but the ticks and trend, you're starting to know it's down to actually the day of the panic. So you're really getting close to it. You're not going to be a week off. You're going to be maybe a day or two off. Right. But nothing. So it gets you a lot closer to the low. So you're buying the time when it's actually showing at the greatest panic. So we're all close to it. And you know what's going to be interesting, Tim, is that what happens, folks, at the 10 day, we're going to be dropping off a 0.40 and a 0.54. 0.40 is dropped off today, a 0.54 tomorrow. So that makes a difference. And with those 2.40 and five of four folks, was that that was fair of missing out, people coming in and buying the market, even though it was going down. But you know, that's how it goes, yeah. Yeah. Yeah, when you're on the 20th, which is what about not quite a week ago, the 20th is, say 30 be last Wednesday, we had a 1.47 last Thursday, 1. So we're getting there. And yesterday is 0.78, that's a little bit disappointing. And you know, maybe today the market sell is off, and we pop up to maybe 1.2, maybe 1.4, I don't know. And... Well, it is interesting because when I... My best trades come on Fridays. Okay, cool. And then it gets quite all over the weekend. I like it. I like it. And you know, Tim, I was talking about when we were just getting on, intraday the, you know, the S&P had an ABC structure on the way up, coming off that bottom. And it did the whole thing. It missed the price projection by only three-tenths of one. And so it's interesting because, you know, we have sold off every day coming into the close. And you know, it finished that ABC and now, you know, we were only down 22 points. Now we're down 45 in the S&P, so pretty wild. Stay right there, folks. Tim and I are coming right back. Welcome back, folks. Tim and we're talking about, we do appreciate you grow out on a prowl with us. So we have the Dow. Dow is down to 230 in Aztec stuff. 219, S&P's are off 50. If you want to see something wild, folks, okay? You know, I started the program. We always talk about the dollar. The dollar was only down 77 ticks, okay? And bottom line had been up 223. Gave it up as we gave it up. That's when the S&P went up. Well, guess what? The dollar just went up 100 ticks and the S&P just went down 30 ticks. So the correlation is still there in space. We're talking with Tim O'od and right now, I believe I got, what am I, I'm gonna look at the trend, Tim. Yeah, the trend. And so that's the only indicator, right? On a short term basis, really hasn't triggered a bullish sign yet. So it's, you know, maybe we'll have to wait and see, but ideally I like, that's one of my main indicators. I always like it to confirm all of this other stuff. I know, cause it's high. Right now it's not so. Right, cause it's- Let's move on to chart five if you want to. Yeah, let me just ask you a question cause it's hard to get to that 1.20, right? On a 10 day, Tim? That's the point I guess, yeah. Yeah, you got, well, it's a 10 day, so that's two weeks of ugliness. Right. And so you get, you know, and sometimes you don't get the 10 day there, but you may get the five day there. And that may happen here, so I'll have to wait and see. Okay. The two day, the three day, the five day, the 10 day, the 21 day. Sure. And I even got a 63 day. Okay. But the 10 days of all of it seems to work the best. Nice. But maybe we'll get just a couple of days of panic and that's it. We start taking office. It's not like cemented in concrete. No, it's not because- The 10 day has to be 1.2. And get, that's correct. So what Tim's also saying to folks is that we've seen it, you know, and Tim taught me a trend years ago, oh my God, 1994, which is insane. That's right, yeah. I've done a lot of stuff with the ticks and trends. Seriously, man. And I kind of got away from it. And you know what I'm saying? I was on the right track. I should have stayed there. Oh, I'm telling you, man. It saved me, it made me a lot of money, you know, because what does happen folks is that when, and that's why we wanted to bring this up is that you have the 10 day, but if you get two or three days like, and it starts 2.45, and we've had those 2.45, 3.40. At 2007, I was like, okay, I gotta do this, man. Do you know what I mean? It's like, you know. Yeah, you really do. Matter of fact, there's, over the years, it kind of vary from year to year, but even in the most ugliest markets, like 2008 or something like that, when you get a two day trend that adds up to five, you automatically buy on the close. Right. And that's kind of rare. But right now, the way that the current market is, you get two days up four, in other words, one day at three and another day at one, you buy the market. Okay, cool. You buy it on the close, because they're not gonna let you in the next day, because it's gonna gap up. So you know what we gotta ask Tim, folks? He's gonna do the bottom line, the six secret ratios. We're gonna know how many more ratios you've got, man. Yeah, yeah, there's a lot there, and nobody does this stuff. I know, I know, man. Between all these different type equities really tell a story in the market. Right. And so nobody else really use them. They're using trend lines, which is kind of like old technology, I guess, you know. No, there's no doubt, man. The correlations and ratios, particularly because you're showing that they're working. I mean, well, you're showing how they're supposed to work. Let's put it that way. And the gold market, I don't wanna talk about the gold market right now, but the bottom line is that that went like beyond belief, there's no doubt. So I think we're already off the races in the gold market. So, okay, so what chat should I go to now? Yeah, go to the chart five, because this is another ratio, but it's gonna be on the gold market. Okay, good. Yep. All right, so the middle window, the top window is the 10-day RSI four, the next window down, which is the weekly bullish percent index for the gold buyers index slash GDX, in other words, another ratio. But it's on the weekly timeframe. And this chart goes all the way back to 2006. Yes. Now this is the indicator. We showed it on your show before. And sometimes it picks out the exact bottom. And a lot of times, when it reaches the RSI of this ratio, reaches below, I think it's 25, less than 25. You're at a low, but a lot of times the market will flip sideways for several weeks, if not even a couple of months before the rally goes. And the stuff that I circled there in red points that point out, in other words, it picked out the 2016 low, but it went sideways for several months or a couple of three months. I don't remember what it was before the rally goes. So it does measure invigilations what this chart does. But each time you have that circle, the market went, man. Yeah, there's no doubt. I see it, all right. Right. Yeah, so the current signal, I got posted there August 28th of this year, and the market still went a little bit lower. But, you know, the previous signal of 2022, it gave a signal that the market went a little bit lower. It kind of circled in red there. And even in 2021, it went pretty much sideways before the rally happened. So the signal is still accurate. And it did go down a little bit more like previous signals have. But the rally did come. Right. And so I think we're, you know, so when it sideways, when this rally start on GDX, probably October 1st, so it went sideways for about a month, month and over a month before the rally actually started. I mean, when it sideways to down. And it was kind of ugly for that month. But my opinion, this probably is gonna be accurate again because you're looking at a bigger timeframe. And I think there's only one failure back in 2013 that this signal was triggered and the market didn't rally, kept going down. But other than that, all those blue lines there are where the signals happen. And they're fairly rare signals. The only happened, you know, once a year, you know, once every couple of years over the last three years that we got through that road here and the three of them worked out pretty good. Yeah. And it's amazing folks. Okay, with the high interest rate structure, you know, physical metal, I mean, we just went from, you know, 1832, you know, and up to this, well, we hit 2009, you know, five days ago, right now we're 1994. So that's a pretty amazing run. You get the straight line run. It looks like we're building cars now. We get five days, the sideways move. And you know what the actual goal contract is doing, Tim, which is kind of cool. It's pushing on its swing now and it's averaging a couple hundred thousand contracts, which is really good contract volume, you know, inside the gold market, particularly pushing on highs. If it was pushing on lows, it'd break the lows. But right now you're pushing on that swing high with some good volume. So pretty cool, man. Yeah, it's gonna break. As a matter of fact, I don't have this chart shown, but there's also a eight year cycle and a 10 years, or a eight year cycle and a 16 year cycle. Okay. On gold. And we're hitting the eight year cycle right now because the eight year cycle, if you take it back, is basically a 2016 low. Wow. And so we're hitting that cycle per month right now on the gold. So, and those previous cycles, usually are pretty accurate, especially the eight year and the 16 year. So cycle wise, we're at a very good point here. Time's gonna run out, let's flip to chart. That's all right, you know what we'll do. I'm just gonna bring you right to the last segment too, and then we'll do the last one, okay? Just stay right there, all right? All right, okay. Because this is really important, folks, okay? DOW's down 218, ASIC's up 215, S&P's at 48. And folks, if you come over to our website at TF&N, you're gonna see right at the featured content, I'm at Mr. Tim O, it's gonna be doing a live workshop. It's gonna be from four to 5.30 on the November 7th. And you know, it's what every trader should know, these secret ratios. And Tim's the only one that has them, folks, okay? So if you wanna understand them upside down, come on over, it's archived. Stay right there, folks, don't worry about it. Welcome back, folks. Talk to you later, Mr. Tim O. And okay, Tim, I get chart number one up. Chart number five. Five, okay, five. Right, okay, we hit that. So we only got a couple of minutes here, we hit that, gave a bicycle. And so now it's just waiting for it to go up. So now we need a trend following indicator. So I'll flip to chart six. Okay. And this is a weekly chart. The bottom window is a cumulative, advanced decline percent for GDX. Next window up is a cumulative, up-down volume percent for GDX as a cumulative. So it measures, you know, it's a good trending indicator. It kind of gets you near the top and it gets you near the bottom. And if you notice this indicator, you have a cell signal, which is that red, the red lines are cell signals and the blue lines are the bi-signals. Okay. You have a cell signal back in April. And a cell signal occurs when one, or both those indicators only need one, either or on the, of those indicators closed below the mid-Bullinger band. Right. When that happens, it's a cell signal. So that happened on April of 2022. It stayed on a cell signal. And now, last week, actually both of them closed up, but right now we've still got one of them above the mid-Bullinger band. And so it's still on a bi-signal. So it's a small minute indicator. So it's not going to be like a week or two of rally. It could be possibly months, you know, you know, some of them last the six months, some last a couple of months. So let's flip to chart seven. Okay. So now, so we got a weekly chart where you've posted, this is a short-term chart. This is a daily chart. And the bottom window is the up-down volume percent on an 18-day average. Next window up is the advanced-to-client 18-day average. As long as both those indicators remain above minus 10, the uptrend's intact. Even though we pulled back here on GDX, both those indicators are pretty much staying close to their highs, showing that the up-down volume, advanced-to-client indicators are remaining strong. What a way to finish. You got to love it. Folks, come over to our website at TFN and you want to start understanding these ratios. Tim's going to go through six of those ratios on November 7th. Check it out. It's only $149. Tim, you have a great weekend, safe weekend. I look forward to speaking to Tuesday. Sounds good. Have a great one, folks.