 The following is a presentation of TFNN Trade what you see With Larry Pezzavento Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at 727-873-7618 Now Larry Pezzavento Okay, looking good Billy Ray feeling good Lewis So we're going to take a look at a few of these markets like we usually do starting out today with the footsie as you can see this has been a vertical move here for the first few days of The year including the last few days of last year, but there is a the market has reversed Several hours ago. Of course, we had that three drive To a top pattern that was there of course we want to look at that was the footsie We want to look at the German DAX now. We were looking at something very interesting there also as you take a look at this You'll see that the German DAX You know also reversed after we got up to that ABCD pattern that lined up pretty good folks from my perspective the thing that I was watching the most this week was How the Euro was going to act and the reason why is that is such a large contract folks You're talking a trillion dollars a day. They do in the Euro versus the US dollar and as we look at that I'll bring this up here. I put this in the newsletter and focused on it quite a bit here If you'll give me one second I will get it up here and all I got to do now is find the dog on thing here it is Just give me one second here. Okay, you'll see here as we're looking at this Euro over the past Six months in the last since November We have actually been in a trading range from 114 all the way down to Basically 119 and change now what that meant to me is that that was a very weak one month rally That's what I was looking at as you can see we took out the highs of November 29th by about 10 pips That was on Friday and then of course Sunday night, you know We started to go lower. We're about a hundred points lower on the downside. So that's why I think that's very important I'll focus on that more this week Because we need to look at it on the weekly basis to see what this could be but that means that the US dollar Should start to strengthen because the Euro is 53% of the dollar index So if it goes down, it means that the dollar index must go up So the next thing we need to do is we need to go look at the dollar index and that is right here All right now as we look at the dollar index you're going to be seeing a market that has been exactly The opposite of the Euro you'll notice here that we're having a 382 retracement Okay, that was this that was a similar to the 382 to the upside on the Euro That was the dollar index focusing right there to 382. That's one month's action folks We take out the lows of November 29th by two pips in the dollar index Sunday night And you can see what happened after that a big move up Well, the theory goes if the US dollar is going to be strong That means people are going to be moving into paper and they don't want hard assets Which would be something like gold So the next thing we wanted to do was to look at the gold market that we were watching and we'll just get this up here I sent this out over there in the newsletter, of course And then we sent a video early in the early early afternoon on Sunday as the gold was opening and we opened exactly at 18 3 2 6 $1832 and 60 cents the high was 1833 we're now down to 1800 that has a $3,000 profit in it what we're doing is we were low located our stop at 1812 Dropping it down from the breakeven point and that takes us to the area where we don't want to lose anything at least we start out the The year on a new trade Probably to look pretty good the other trade we already have on is just the S&P short from 18 Let's try that again 40 47 94 and our stop on that one is also Breaking even now an interesting half thing happened in the gold because we watched this on a 15 minute To give us an idea. You'll notice that we have a very nice hidden shoulders pattern That developed here you see the left shoulder and the right shoulder was lower than the left shoulder And that was coming in right at a 61 percent retracement there at 828 And then it broke down the key there folks is once once it broke below 822 1822 you can see it how it started to accelerate These these programs are programmed into these algorithmic programs folks that you're trading against all the time So try to pay attention to them because they do give you a lot of information They these have to be the way these things work because when you see these patterns unfold A whole bunch of orders come in and boom if you're if you're on the wrong side of those You know, you got to be careful and believe me, you know, you do get on the wrong side of them But that's what your your stop protection is supposed to be So let's let's remind ourselves of that. By the way, our guest tomorrow will be jeff huge of alfa insights on wednesday We're going to have tim bossed financial cycles weekly out of florida and on thursday We're going thursday or friday We're going to have stan harley as our guest from the harley stock market letter And then with god willing and usually she is we're going to have joe denapoli in either thursday or friday Depending on how I can work it around But he's not an easy duck to get in get into the pond in other words I have a hard time communicating with him. He doesn't answer emails His phone goes to a messaging system So i'm not sure whether he's going to be connecting and all that stuff But we'll be able to uh look at that as we go through and I wanted to share a few charts here From a cycles research out of vienna austria This is one of my favorites This is right out because mr. Elan must just made hold on. Let me blow this up so we can see it just a tiny bit better here I think we can I think we can here we go. Where is it? Oh dear not so much. Nope can't do it But you'll be able to see it easy enough. This is a picture of in 1999 The man of the year was none other than who mr. Jeff bezos You can see when the article came out and then you can see what happened to the price of amazon That if you had a scale down buying program then it worked very very well After the end of 20 years But when you get your picture into time magazines person of the year folks that carries a great deal of stuff We have uh, well, I don't mean stuff. It's just pressure and stuff that's involved with they have a tremendous Uh ability to pick people right at the tops or the bottoms On time magazine if you like sports, I can remember pete rose I believe it was in 79 or 80 He was the man of the person of the year tiger woods was the person of the year And some of these people it's just real truly amazing how well it's timed It's all due to the psychology of it But when you see that you need to pay very very close and of course elan musk is the one that is on top of the market there Or top of the pup tabloids On the person of the year for a time magazine now another one that The cycles research focused to us was the real estate market because in the uh, I believe it was either architectural digest or one of the others it was the headlines was Through the roof in other words prices going absolute crazy in real estate and as you can see here We're starting to see real estate prices roll over a little bit. You know just since you know the 15th of January of last year when they were really really high and you can see how we've rolled down here today So we'll see how it's going to end up but This is what we're watching on some of these things I bring this year attention because These are things that make markets move and we like to see how they move and and why they do it I don't know I've got a section here in a little bit That we're going to go through and I will give you my two cents worth at looking at some of these things because I'm not actually a hundred percent sure how some of these things work But you know what folks nobody else is either We're going to be right back eight seven seven You might think that if you want to be successful at trading in the stock market You're going to need a crystal ball after all it's impossible to predict the future, right? Like any endeavor in life before you decide it's impossible get some advice from the experts You might find that it's not so impossible after all for daily market overviews that give you direction on the key indices Selective stocks and commodities Subscribe to the opening call newsletter at tfnn.com The opening call newsletter is written by basil Chapman creator of the trading methodology known as the Chapman wave The Chapman wave up down sequence gives you an edge in identifying price turns Finding the peaks and valleys and stock prices get the opening call newsletter by basil Chapman and your inbox every day First time subscribers also get a 30 day money back guarantee If you're not satisfied, let us know and you'll get a full refund within 30 days of signing up tfnn.com educating investors What's separating you from the most successful men and women on wall street? That's right Information having all the information gives us the perspective We need to place the right trades at the right time The TAS profile scanner is the premier market profile based scanner powered by its acclaimed task proprietary algorithms This feature rich scanner instantly filters over 2,500 plus global financial markets such as stocks ETFs commodities futures and forex This powerful suite of tools leverages instant trade filtering and strategy formulation To show you emerging trades before they happen For a limited time, you can save $100 off your first month by using the promo code Upgrade and you still get a 30 day money back guarantee. So you have nothing to risk Level the playing field with the TAS profile scanner, which you can find under the services tab at tfnn.com Sign up today Sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument You have to practice sure, but you also need excellent instruction from experts at tfnn You'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis And it's not just dry tedious text either tfnn airs live financial content streamed live on tfnn.com and tfnn's youtube channel with tiger tv Live every market day from 8 30 a.m. To 4 p.m. Eastern for free Each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world From the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds tiger tv has eight different shows with expert hosts To help you make the right moves with your money watch online at tfnn.com or on tfnn's youtube channel And become the investor you were born to be tfnn educating investors 6 6 4 8 internationally at 7 2 7 8 7 3 7 6 1 8 Okay, folks We need to talk a little bit about the treasury bonds now because the yields have started to spike again today If we look at the treasury bond market here one of we've been very very bearish on it for quite some time We broke through the 78 percent retracement support here this morning up there 1506 We've dropped a full handle down from that level. We did break that very very important support However, however, the largest of these interest rates functions or contracts that we look at Is the treasury notes and the treasury notes have not done that as of yet, but they are a heartbeat away They're only two pips away from breaking that so what i'm watching is to see how it handles this member folks This is the largest of all the futures contracts that we have well over I think it's 8 million or something like that the open interest and the low that we made back and on the Right before christmas on the 24th Excuse me. That was Thanksgiving 24th of Thanksgiving of a month or so six weeks ago that low was at 12 129 129 16 and the low today has been 129 17 So we haven't taken that out yet now there should be some stops there folks It's going to be very important remember this how big this market is this is one big I mean back in the old days in the 80s when I was there at the merc I used to go over to the border trade especially on fridays when they had the the fish fish sandwiches that they had at the the eye of the trader and uh, but every I would go down into the t-bill pit Excuse me the t-note pit and t-bond pits visiting friends And my god that t-note pit was huge the t-bond pit was much wilder because you know, they have greater volatility there But the t-note pit and euro dollar The euro dollar things looked like a football field, but that's trading us dollars abroad But those notes were really really big so taking that low out and not breaking Into new low ground it would really be very important because if it's really bearish That means they're going to go into that low and close lower today on those treasury notes Now i'm watching that very closely now I wanted to bring a couple of things that were sent to us by rich anderson One of them comes from kkr colbert kravitz and roberts They do a great deal of research and stuff and I wanted to show you This is what's been happening over the past 30 years You'll see that the the net wealth generated by stocks between 1990 Only 1.5 of all the firms you see this is all It's just been a few firms that have been doing this. You're talking about 1,000 firms at the 1.5 level 316 firms at the 80% level and look at the others the the last part of the market You know some of these things have not really done very much So we're looking at a one-fold market now. There's another way of looking at it This comes from jp morgan And i'm just going to because I thought it was interesting because it shows you that by golly It's a bifurcated market as basal always says you'll see here in the in the bull market in the top 10 shares Look what happened in those top 10 shares folks. Those were the big leaders And that that's continued to be happening. So I'm just bringing to your attention that you know you there's something that we look at that's why folks I am just a technician, you know, I get a lot of flak sometimes say why don't I look at the fundamentals Folks all they do is confuse the heck out of me if I can see a chart I have an idea of where i'm going to risk and that's all I really look for Nothing more nothing less. I'm going to share with you at the break when we come up here this next break What i'm looking at in something that I looked at many many years ago And we'll walk through it again and we'll see whether it means anything or not That's related to the stock market and we're going to start off with the nikah dow back in 2019 89 New year's eve and we'll start from there and then we'll move forward on what we're looking at on some of these other things That we're looking at I hear today But those are the main ones that I'd like to you know talk about but I need more time at the break To get those things working and that's what I'm waiting to do is when we get that I'll spend the whole rest of the time You know looking at that level and make sure I covered all the charts. I wanted to do today Foot see bonds. Yep. Yep. Yep. Yep. Yep. September 3rd. Okay, there's what we're going right now Another question that someone asked me by email over the holidays Was do I think this is the top of the stock market folks? I don't know whether it is or not You don't get any extra points for picking at top or picking at bottom But you do get points is if you put a trade on based on a pattern and it either works or it doesn't That's it. You know, there's no other ifs ands or buts about the whole darn thing That's uh, that's all I can tell you, you know, you don't really don't need to know more than that You know to be successful you have to you have to focus on on what your risk is And not, you know, what the what's your profit objective is going to be that's the key thing You know to look at I'll go also folks. We have had a situation I want to bring this up in the corn because uh, this was one of the ones that I was really Upset about one of I took a little break here We sold that corn up there at the 610 level and I risked only uh, six cents if I'd risked my usual 10 cents That would have been a a great trade But unfortunately I didn't do that and that's what happened those last three days I got stopped out of three things You know, we were making pretty good money and all the other stuff But the three that I got stopped out of you know, would have been big winners because I moved my stop a little bit too Close so what I was trying to do at that point was to see Uh, you know that I could get my risk down to a too small amount And that's one of the biggest things you can do folks when mark douglas was and I helped mark look at these Accounts from marillage. There were 10 000 of them the people that lost them the most and most often were the a the people That put their stops too close and b those that didn't use stops at all So the key to part of this trading is you've got to define what your risk is And that's that's the thing if you can define the risk of what you're looking at Then you've got something better what I did during those times I didn't define my risk properly And I was I was overtired for a whole lot of different reasons and I've got that all out of control now But uh, that's neither here nor there, but that's all part of trading folks, you know You got to live with it, you know, it's the greatest business in the world But by golly, you know when you make mistakes you've got to realize it's time to take a little break So we're going to have some really great markets here for 2022. You can see how we're we're acting today We've had these wild swings the dow The dow was up 150 went down to be down 50 The nasdaq was up almost 160 went down to negative and then bounce back to be positive I mean, these are these are huge swings that we're having here I I think I see why it's happening But again, you know, it's just my opinion of what I think is going on in the markets and I'm not even You know like I Somebody gets uh, john jameson gets on my case because I say I don't know And he said people don't pay you for not knowing and I said well They have to be realistic because by golly, you know, you've got to be able to uh, tell the folks that you know You know what you do know and what you don't know and I don't know where the markets are going most of the time I really don't Okay, we had a question about natural gas. We're looking for a buy here in natural gas with this week folks Uh, hold on. All right Yes, sir. Mr. Z follow mr. Z and you'll be in some money Mr. Z is the king pal. He is very very good. We appreciate him everything he does here at tf&n Here's the natural gas folks over the last uh Several weeks. You'll see here that we had some really nice a bcds We just made a new contract low. We rallied up to almost 50 percent We're now coming down to test that low the key level that i'm looking for here is at 350 That's what i'm looking for. I'm going to take a break eight seven seven nine two seven six six four eight. We'll be right back Are you having fun trading the markets? 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I want to go back to uh december 1989 the dk was trading uh right at 39 000 and change It was uh from foregone conclusion that it was going to hit 40 000 Well, the high was on chris new year's eve that year and it dropped from a 39 000 all the way down to 7100 I've posted the charting now These are not easy to see because the data, you know a I wasn't ever trading that But b I was watching the patterns and if you look at that very closely, you'll see the high was 0.3 And then 0.2 was in 1983 the next one was 87 and the next one was in 1989 that was a three drive to a top pattern If you want to you know, go and search it online. I'm sure you'll be able to find it You'll be able to see that very very closely. I remembered this Very very closely because I was watching some things in happening in hong kong that excuse me in Japan that were really crazy in fact is one of the things they had on 60 minutes Was they had a picture of the real estate how it was going crazy in uh, Japan at the time and the broadcaster for uh, cnn He had a thousand dollar bill which is a picture of robert cleveland alexander Grover cleveland and uh, hold on a second. I've got to check to see what's going on here Where I was I was in pismo beach california trading in the trading room up there It's where I was anyway, but uh, what we what we were looking at at that time Uh, he had a thousand dollar bill and he put it on the you put it on the sidewalk in front of the imperial palace That thousand dollar bill which is you know, it's about three inches by Two and a half inches Excuse me five inches by three inches roughly a picture of robert cleveland on a thousand dollar bill And he says this is how much real estate You can buy in japan For a thousand dollars. I mean it was uh, we can imagine how small it was and my daughters were there We were watching the show together that evening and he said dad he said we have those bills I said yeah, I gave you guys got you those when you were really little and you know They're in the safety deposit box that save them because they don't make him anymore Now those bills have a premium of uh, 35 you have to buy a thousand dollar bills Going to cost you 3,500 because they're just not in circulation anymore There's still legal tender and you could use it But if you did you'd be taking a big hit because you could sell it to a coin dealer for probably 3,000 he resells it for 3500 But anyway that market went all the way down to 7,000 when it got down to 7,000 This was in 2001. I believe 2002 um, one of the famous guys on In wall street was talking about there was no absolute any chance that the DK was ever going to rally again. It was probably going to drop down You know somewhere around 2000 which were it was back in 1955. Well, that was the low And the way it went. Hey, I'm not I'm not saying anything about I'm not I'm not even going to say who the man's name Always was quite famous, but ain't everybody makes mistakes. Heck. I make them all the time The reason why I'm bringing the attention is that three drive to a pattern to me Is the one that really makes a great deal of sense Now all i'm going to do now is i'm going to look at a couple of things that I want you to see here And let me get this up here. And this is the one that we're watching. There's the three drive pattern We'll get this up here In the old room here. We've been able to there it is in the s&p. We have the same thing in the dial jones We have the same thing in the nasdaq. We have the same thing in the Uh Not the russell because that was too weak But that those are the ones that we were that we were watching, you know, extremely closely And that's why it's so so very important to pay attention to that now. I want to Before I get move along here. I've got it. Well, I'll do this a little bit later I want to show you What I did here. Hold on second here. I got to get that 2009 when where is here it is right here Okay, I in 2009 Okay, I wrote I was I had been with tfnn for a year And I came out in march of that year and I brought this pattern to your attention. It was a three drive pattern In the uh dial jones industrial average. It was trading right around 66 right around 7 000. The low was 66 60 I believe on march the fifth and from there the bradley model It was predicting for a low around that time of the year So we had a really nice three drive to a pattern at that point So I said that looks uh looks like it makes uh, you know, pretty good sense But there was something else in there that really brought to my attention. I didn't quite I didn't quite understand the meaning of it until much later and even then I'm still hold on to a second Even then I'm not sure so what I'm going to put up here now This gets into the astrology stuff and shane smolion helped me with this quite a bit Especially with this chart with the bradley, but you know here This is where we were on march the fifth of 2009. You notice how all the planets Are in the upper area here. They're very few only they're really slow moving ones like niptoon and saturn Uh, all of them are in that same quadrant That means that these planets are moving around and they're getting ready to be at zero degree right at conjunction So that's why I think it was very important. Hey, I'll just I'm just bringing you a case whether it means anything or not You know, I don't really know all I know is that we were at those levels And we had to pay very close attention to them since we look at 1.618 so much I wanted to bring this to your attention too about the nasdaq because on the weekly nasdaq We hit that exact number. I mean it was just absolutely the exact number And I think it's very very important So we have a pattern. There's a three drive to a top pattern Okay, now take a look at where the where the where the planets are here on december 29th when we Had some type of a top I don't know but look how they're all on the left side this time instead of on the top They're on the left side that means they're at a different time. They're just coming together You know making some type of a of a bigger move and I think that's why this could be a very very important You have to have a three drive to a top pattern a And b you have to have the bradley model lining up and we in fact Do have the bradley and we had thank mr. Shane spoolie the wolf trader.com You'll bring this up here and you'll see look where it topped 12 29 now It may be a quid incidence. It may be not and all I did Hey, I did this stuff after the pattern folks. I saw the pattern. I said look I got to do that The other stuff someone brought it to my attention. So I went in and looked at it. Yeah, well, maybe it is maybe it isn't But that that's all I'm doing is I'm just lining the ducks up along the wall And if they line up really good, then that's good. If not, then that's it There's one other thing that's really super important folks All this is is really facing a master. I mean just a terrible Oh, I've got to get the other one up just one second I got so much information here today that I have a tendency to get it Effect but we have look at this folks This is the january effect that you're going to hear about all the time. In other words the first five days of january Could be The indication for the rest of the year. Well, here's a 70 year from 1950 To 2021 that's 70 years folks it only worked 22 out of 70 times They're showing you the 22 times that it worked The other parts of the time that it didn't so it's a great indicator And if it does do that, then that's uh, really what you want to look at you'll see that 1973 which was in red That was leading into the crash the october crash of 1974 and if anybody learned something from that crash Please raise your hand and as those of you watching here. I'm raising my hand because that's what I learned The value of money management. Let's take a break eight seven seven nine two seven six six four eight Are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the bay area? Including the surrounding st. Petersburg tampa and clear water markets tiger real estate LLC is a firm that has extensive experience in the tampa bay area Whether you're looking to sell your current property for maximum value Or you're in the market for a second home or investment property Tiger realty has the experience across all areas of real estate in the tampa bay area to help buyers and sellers Make the most informed decisions across all price levels from the price You should be paying per square foot in certain up and coming areas to the type of cash flow investment properties are capable of creating Tiger real estate can help you make the best decision when it comes to all areas of the market before you make one of the Biggest decisions of your financial future call tiger real estate LLC today at seven two seven three two nine eighty three twenty two or email us at tiger at tfnn.com that seven two seven three two nine eighty three twenty two call us today The technology around us is changing every day with so much happening It can seem impossible to keep up with all the information David white's investment newsletter the technology insider is designed to give you all the information you need to understand The technology that shapes today's markets and tomorrow's future David white has made his living staying on the cutting edge of technology His weekly newsletter will give you specific recommendations for value tech stocks As well as entry prices target prices and stops to set for each trade Dave delivers his weekly newsletters every friday with updates throughout the week You can get the technology insider at tfnn.com for only 37 in 50 cents Sign up for david's newsletter the technology insider and get an inside look at everything the technology sector has to offer Try it risk-free today with our 30-day money back guarantee tfnn educating investors Are china a shares hot or not? 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That's tfnn.com then hit watch tiger tv Hey folks, I put the uh chart from the elliott wave theorist up there. It's really got something This should be Complimented for this long-term study here in the naztac, but if you'll notice here I put that arrow in there because their predicted target was Excuse me. This was for the dow Jones. Not the naztac was 36,488 Point five three and the projection was for 36,488 point five one So they missed that by uh 12 points So I sent them a questionnaire why they were off by so much. That was a joke folks Anyway, the reason why I'm bringing this to your attention is I would like for you to go to the middle of the chart and look at the roman numeral four Okay, folks. That was august the ninth 1982 That's when the bond market bottomed At around 56 and of course we're at 160 now Interest rates were about 13 percent and from that level away We went to the upside that was the beginning of my uh Belief that we probably were going to see something spectacular with that was long before I was just trading at the s&p On the floor of the exchange then they couldn't even get people into the s&p pit There are only five or six locals in there trying to make a deck You know trying to get banks and get business But nobody could get any business because nobody understood what the s&p was and no one really cared because the action was in t bills for currencies and gold But as the market progressed you can see it became very very popular once we cleared $1,100 in the dow Jones industrial average, which was in 1983 That really triggered yes the bull market had started And had a way it went to the upside and it's continued to go This chart is so interesting because that number was exactly Like what we were looking at in the nasdaq that I posted about four charts ago That was the weekly nasdaq number that came in just absolutely spot on At the 1.618 and also three drives. So I'm just looking at the numbers. That's just what I'm watching I can't say anymore or or less on that But let's go back and take a look at a couple things That might help us if we go back and look at other markets. Let me get some of these up here Let's here's here's one right here. This was the top the the recovery high in the nasdaq in 20 20,000 okay, this is march The 24th of 20,000 okay, you can see again You see how all the planets are lined up on one side Of the natal chart. This is a 360 degrees folks these planets are always jumping around But when they line up like this that means they're lined up like pin Bowling pins and that means something what it means it means there's cycles that are there That's my interpretation of it, you know, I and you can see these come from shane's mullion He gave us all these charts. I any time I asked him for a natal chart He could come up and show me now that they don't work all the time Let me show you the one from 2007 which was in fact a monster high And you'll be able to see here is the same thing The difference is you must have the bradley model lined up with it The bradley model is just a compilation now look This was the top in 07 october the 7th if you remember october the 8th Mr. Brankey was out in the news saying, you know, the lights are green This things looks really good and there's nothing that we see on the horizon that could give us trouble And the naztac dropped 85 so this is different You see the planets are lined up all around the natal chart They're not big spaces between that means there's you know fluctuations in here that we don't know Now I'm sure and I really strongly believe that if there is a holy grail It will be related to some of these astral cycles But frankly I quit looking for it a long time ago folks I'm happy with ab equals cd and when you use that with three drives and all the others That's the edge that you want and that's it. We're going to try to have norm on one of these days I've asked him to come on but He's not been able to get back to me, but when he asked to come back on I will be happy I've invited him and hopefully he will come back We've got some other great guests also. So we want to be watching now. I want to cover a couple others here This is the one. Here's the big one folks. This is the really big market This was the top in the stock market in september the third 1929 Again, you don't see anything like this. I mean, there's a You can see most of these are lined up in one side again You see it's only these little slow moving planets like Uranus and Saturn that are not in the in the in the mix In march the fifth of 2009 all of them were there I mean every single one were in the top of that list. That's why that was such an important cycle Now all I'm doing is matching the eight, you know the three drive to a top pattern and trying to find if the Bradley model Is going to line up for a potential cycle high or low and that's what I'm Waiting to see so far. It's it's worked But you know that doesn't mean that it's we're seeing volatility today folks I mean look at the Dow Jones The Dow Jones has swung 400 points already and we're only halfway through the day So it's going to be very very exciting to watch some of these things Now the key to all of this relies in the u.s. Dollar You know, we hit that 382 retracement and we explode it out of there That's reverse the euro that caused gold to back off because if the dollar's strong There's a tendency for gold to back off and that's all that's been now. It's down The down over 30 dollars an ounce here in the first few hours of uh January 3rd where it's going to go Is anybody's guess my guess is maybe a little lower maybe a little higher All we did was we lower our buy stop down to 1812 and that locks in a $2,000 profit And as as we go lower, we'll we'll keep dropping that stop to lock in more profits But the next the next support on this thing doesn't come in till till 1780 and we're just breaking below 1800 right now. So we want to see, you know, how that one unfolds Tomorrow's early in the morning We will do a some things on the grains because we've got some big things happening in the grain markets The crude oil I posted the chart of the the gasoline Which is very similar to the crude oil chart and it basically shows you that, you know We made a 61 percent retracement there on friday and we've had a pretty good sell-off today They bounced off the 61 percent retracement From the low of december 2nd so far this morning at 74 50 per barrel in the crude oil So that's another one the key ones to watch folks is they're they're tearing the Treasury bonds and the treasury notes up today So watch that closely because if we close sharply below those level in the tree notes that I posted earlier That has really strong implications that we're looking at much higher interest rates Which we've been saying, you know for a long time Now I have to tell you an interesting story during christmas holidays. There's three-year-old grandson zane He had he had a box of candy that he had for christmas And I said give me the box of candy. See here's why I said I want to I want to keep it for you She said okay. He said why are you keeping my box and he said well I said I'll give you the candy when I think it's ready. Well, I want some candy now I said no, you can't have any candy now. He said what can I have it? I can't tell you will I ever get it back? I'm not sure he said that's not fair And I said not only that for for me holding this candy You're going to have to give me two pieces from another box of candy. So I'll hold this candy for you That is not fair. He said I want my box of candy He grabs it away from me and he walked away boys and girls That three-year-old just described what negative interest rates were all about. I mean give me a break How could somebody be naive enough to think that you're going to hold their money? And they're going to have to pay you for holding their money and give you no guarantee to give it back Are you kidding me? 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You can call 877-518-9190 That's 877-518-9190 Okay, folks, we're back and I posted The three most important charts that we're looking at today starting the year treasury notes treasury bonds as you can see here the notes are Getting ready to take out those lows now those lows get taken out today and this market does not This literally moved to the downside sharply. I will look to be a buyer Because I think it's just very very oversold we're due for a little bit of a rally But there's a case where I want to be watching the risk control I want to see when these bonds take out the 129 16 if they have Then I want to see what happens after that point because I know that that is where there's going to You're making new lows for the year And especially, you know starting out the year the the bonds you see are a little bit higher So all I'm doing is I'm just focusing on how much you have to risk to see if this is going to turn Whether it's going to turn or not. I don't know and We'll we'll watch it now also the dollar index. I posted that that's very very important because you remember the movie Uh, what was it called? I can't remember Oh, what was the movie about? Watergate, what was all the kingsman or something like that? I don't remember exactly But remember it said follow the money and that's what we're doing when we're watching that us dollar Because if the dollar is strong gold's going to be weak most of the time and that's what's happened so far But what we're doing is we're relying on the pattern to get us into the trade the news is secondary So remind ourselves to watch these interest rates and believe me the stocks can rally In the face of rising interest rates. We can see we've seen this over the years and that's pretty much what's been happening Look what's been happening to stocks over the past 10 years Eight years anyway, we topped about five years ago and four years ago in treasury notes and treasury bonds And the darn things have been going straight up in stocks and the interest rates have been dropping So you look at each chart separately and you're going to be far better off than if you try to figure out Why is this happening? Why is that? I mean, I don't know All I do is I keep saying I don't know and you know why it's because I don't know One thing I do know is when I'm wrong and I want to get out and that's what I'm trying to do here Someone's asking the question. Uh, oh, we've got some new girl We got td ameritrade coming up next and steve rose and then tom o bryant. May god bless folks. We'll see you tomorrow