 Hey guys, it's Nate, AKA The Foot Accountant. Welcome back to the channel. We're all aware and we all know that the FIFA 23 market has been crashing because of the panic selling leading up to all of this World Cup content coming to FIFA 23 Ultimate Team. Now, what I wanna do today is acknowledge that price drop and again, talk through the current state of the market but also look ahead towards the end of the week where we maybe could see a market rise with all of the scenarios and factors that are starting to seem to come to life and especially thinking about what this kind of market crash reminds me of and what it kind of looks like in being a miniature version and a shortened version of the Black Friday market crash that happens every year and what do we know about the Black Friday market crash? We see panic selling all the way down, prices drop like crazy. Then once Black Friday hits, we see prices rebound a lot on certain areas of the market because people open all those packs, they get a lot of coins and the demand hits once again and I think there's gonna be a lot of demand hitting this weekend as well. So I wanna talk through this and take a look at the market. Now also, speaking of prices on the market, you're like, Nate, are you making this video today because prices are going up and you wanna make sure that we can buy cards before they go up too much? No, that's not what's going on here. What we're really looking at on the market right now is prices are going up because there's nothing to do and that the panic selling has kind of stopped and there is some demand, right? There's a little more demand than what there was earlier and there was less panic selling because right now people are finishing their division rivals games to get rewards before the season resets on Thursday in two days and to get their milestone games in. So we're gonna talk about some tips and tricks with the finishing of this season number one, stuff to watch out for and of course cover what maybe could be our content today on a Tuesday in foot 23. We're gonna talk about all that and more but let's start off by talking about this market and really the concept at hand here that what we are really experiencing is like a mini Black Friday scenario, right? We're gonna take a look at some graphs from last year. So let's keep it similar with the same player, Furlan Mendy is the guy we're gonna kind of dissect his graphs here for a second. Furlan Mendy at the end of October, 91,000 coins. The last two weeks, prices have dropped off. People knowing the World Cup is near but especially this last weekend with all the World Cup deep dive, the pitch notes, the information and a lackluster content time, no real promo, just objectives and SBCs and multiple ways for eating drain coins off the market through packs and through SBCs themselves, we saw prices drop. Everybody remembers this, right? Huge market crashes past weekend, we're mudded, right? But it's really reminds me of a kind of like a shortened version in a mini scenario of Black Friday from what happens every single year, right? Furlan Mendy last year started the end of October at 100,000 coins, dropped off for the entire month of November until we hit the Black Friday, goes from 37K up to 50,000 coins in the next week after that. I could take a look at some other more rare cards and show you some more fluctuations of a guy like Cordoba going from 530,000 coins down to 420 back up to 511. Same thing with Root-Hullet dropping all the way down from a million to 800K and then rising back up to 920,000 coins the week after. Why does this bounce back happen after we have all of the crazy amounts of panic selling? Well, it happens because A, people are selling, selling, selling, they're undercutting each other and they're all worried about this big event that's gonna happen in the game. They're all worried about whatever it is. Right now it's the World Cup mode. It's right with the World Cup content and all the crazy stuff that could be released with this promo coming up starting this weekend and it could probably gonna last for a while. But with all of that panic selling and undercutting, right now there's so many people, I'm sure, a lot of you guys in general as well that are just waiting to buy some cards for your team and you're like, hey man, when can I buy some of these cards back? The switch kind of flips. Once the content that everybody was panic selling for or the fear that everybody had of that was gonna make the market drop, once that actual content or once that promo actually drops, again, like I said, the switch flips and you usually end up seeing people going back out and buying cards for their teams because a lot of times what people are doing as well and it's happening right now is they're saving packs. Nobody is opening packs at the moment or at least not very many people are. They're saving packs because there's no special cards in packs. This weekend when we have those new Foot World Cup heroes in packs, the Marvel items, we've got the new limited time red foot, whatever they're called, World Cup cards and maybe a promo as well. All of that kind of happens and people are excited about the game. Again, they get back on and they wanna buy teams but they open those packs and that gets more coins onto the market because people are opening tradable packs and getting coins through quick selling and through selling cards in the market. That overall brings the value of the market up and brings the buying power of the market up and you couple in with that increased demand as people are no longer scared to be selling their cards and expecting the market to go down, you usually get a market rise. So yes, I do expect a market rise this weekend. It just depends on where, right? Where you wanna focus your buying because I do think there are some cards this weekend that with a lot of the saved up packs, maybe just maybe we can see the first lightning rounds of the year. I know that lightning rounds don't ever start until Black Friday but this is the World Cup mode. EA is gonna go all out for the World Cup. Could we actually get the first lightning rounds of the year this weekend? That would mean a lot of supply. I'm expecting a lot of supply. Anyway, that does worry me about some parts of the market like your lower rated gold cards that are not as meta that are going to get kind of hurt by the supply, right? I'd watch out for Kunde. I'd watch out for Tamori. Anthony still being 6,000 coins. Probably gonna drop in price. Veran probably gonna drop in price. Valverde probably gonna drop in price a little bit, right? Those lower tier gold cards or anything that is lower rated that has impacts I would worry about. Now your stuff like Ferlan Mendi, like this guy is almost invincible, right? He still was going for 50K, he's an 83 at a card last year after the Black Friday market crash. He's still 60K right now. You know, some of these guys that have dropped off the biggest percentage points, right? Like this guy's gone from 80,000 coins to 50K. That's a huge percentage point drop off in just a weekend, right? I like the bounce back opportunity for some of these really meta cards still. I just think you have to be the most careful with the gold cards. Now a part of the market that I really like for upcoming in this weekend is we're talking about just general card types here are heroes because here is the thing and it's gonna be probably a spur of the moment, last minute decision, or maybe as we get leaks about this later on this week. The leaks are gonna impact the market a lot later on this week by the way as we talk about timing. Not all of these heroes are getting the World Cup Marvel versions, right? It's only the brand new heroes from those heroes that were released this year and introduced this year in a foot 23. And the fine print here, as you will notice, says that these heroes will be available in foot across two. Team release is starting November 11th. So this Friday, not every single one of the foot hero cards that we're expecting to see packable will actually have a card that is in the game and in packs. Now, if a card does get, let's say they put in Dirt Kite's new Marvel hero World Cup card instead of his base hero card, the new hero one will of course, or the new World Cup one will replace his base card in packs and the other one will no longer be in packs which can have some market movement potential there as well. And then it says some of them will only be available via SBCs and objective rewards too. So there's always a little bit of caveat with this but since heroes have been panic sold off so much, let's use it for example here, let's say Yaya Ture, brought the most popular and most wanted card for people to pack out of their pre-order pack this weekend as well. Let's say Yaya's card is not one of those that's in packs this Friday. He would probably rebound all the way back up to like 1.1 high, maybe even 1.2 million coins and that'd be a card that you could see a tremendous market rise on depending on how things go. He was 1.02 yesterday before he continued to rise up a decent amount of price. So that's the side of the market that I really like. I like heroes a lot because heroes are just very, very popular this year's game and a lot of people wanna try out all these brand new cards. Now icons, I like a lot as well because they're just rare and in general I always love the out of packs cards, right? Rule breakers, I love the out of position cards. These are gonna be a certain type of card that I will closely have my eyes on even though they've already started to rise, right? Fred's up 20K from his lowest point. Taylor Hernandez is up some. Salah, Cancelo, Parasich, Rhys James, a lot of these cards have risen up a decent amount from their lowest points of panic selling what we saw on the weekend. I still think there's an opportunity to buy these cards later on this week and that's what I wanna talk about next, the timing, right? Timing is gonna be very, very key for the rest of this week in this game. If you're starting to switch your mindset from, okay, now I'm going from being a little bit uncertain about how I think price is gonna move on this market to, I'm gonna start looking at specific cards that either I want for my team or I want to invest in for a potential rise, I'm gonna start watching these card prices and look for some panic. That's what I would be doing if I were you. But as we look for some panic throughout the rest of the week this week, what's gonna cause people to sell off some of these cards that we have maybe seen rise up a little bit in the past day or two because content's not been that good? Well, I think number one leaks and there's gonna be a lot of them later on this week. If we're gonna have a pretty exciting promo Friday which I do believe EA's gonna wanna start off this Friday with a W set of content, we're getting the World Cup mode tomorrow, right? On Wednesday the ninth is the actual World Cup mode which again, I also feel like that might be a part of the situation that people don't understand right now is that the World Cup mode is completely separate from World Cup foot content. Maybe people won't really recognize that until tomorrow but EA's been talking about that. It's not necessarily a secret. I even played the World Cup mode at the FIFA 23 World Cup launch capture event. There's gonna be a special double upload today coming out on the channel as well. So make sure you watch out for that. It's gonna be a lot of fun but there are two standalone modes and I think once people recognize that this weekend and see that there's no correlation there that could make some of the market move up. That could help our market moving up type thing but I really think that the leaks and I really think that like a loading screen and just hype for everything that's coming on Friday and maybe even a last minute SBC that EA could drop. I still think there's, especially today. I think today on Tuesday would be one of our last opportunities. Maybe for EA to drop like a hero pack, an icon pack that we didn't see yesterday. You know, I still think there's going to be opportunities to buy these cards. If you're wanting to buy a hero card, if you're wanting to buy a gold card that is meta or especially an out-of-packs card, I think there's gonna be opportunities for a little bit more panic selling. But like, do I expect to see Yaga Turei back at a million coins flat? No, I don't. If I saw Yaga Turei and let's say we knew that Yaga was not gonna get his brand new Marvel card impact this weekend, if I saw him back down at like 1.01 or 1.02 which I believe was his legit lowest point in the panic selling this past weekend, I would buy that card. I really would because this guy has so much demand and so much hype. I think that his new card, if it's in packs would be super expensive because it's a really big upgrade. And if his new card does not come out in the first set of the World Cup foot heroes, I think that would make his card rebound back up as well. So I like the foot hero cards, some of them, not all of them, I like some of them for a potential rebound. And the thing with golds, and this is where it gets tricky, right? We always love out-of-packs, right? The safest cards are always the most rare and the most meta. Out-of-packs special cards, hero cards, icons. We like those later on this weekend for some nice rises. Gold cards are interesting because again, like I mentioned, we're still figuring out this whole FIFA World Cup player item, these limited time cards that are gonna have the same or basically the same stats as the gold version, but they're going to be packable as well for players that are making the final squad of their nation's World Cup roster. So a guy like Ronaldo, a guy like De Bruyne, Vinny, and Boppe, Ruderger, these guys are gonna make the World Cup rosters, right? They're all gonna be playing at the World Cup and they're gonna have red items that will be attainable from packs. Now we do believe as we read this more and talk about it more, we still have a lot of questions about this, right? We don't know if they're gonna be tradable only or if they'll be untradable only or a mix of both. It seems like they might only be untradable and I don't know if you're even gonna be able to turn them into SBCs because this little thingy right down here, I don't know if it's for show to make a point that they're limited or if it's actually gonna be on the card. You know, it almost looks like a loan, right? So we may not be even able to turn these in. We have a lot to learn about these World Cup limited cards, but realistically somebody were able to pack a red version of a gold card, right? If you packed a red version of like Ronaldo, you'd rather use the red one than the gold one, right? Just because it looks a little bit cooler. So that's my worry with gold cards this weekend is a guy like Holland, he's not gonna get a red card because he's obviously not in the World Cup. Norway is not qualified, so you don't have to worry about it as much there, but those World Cup limited items do scare me a little bit because it's basically the same version as the gold, even if it's untradable, that could cause some people that they pack that item to go then use that special red version instead of the gold. That's what worries me a little bit with the golds, but I still think that your meta golds after whatever supply and panic that we have later on this week, I still think guys like Mendy and Walker, Millie Tau and Bappe, and Bappe's down so much, man, and Bappe's 1.26, he was 1.22 yesterday at his low point, right? 1-2-3 went back up to 1-2-7-9. That's really, really low. I think that Bappe's gonna end up going back up to like 1-3-5, maybe even close to 1.4 in a max bounce back situation. Just because, again, like I said, the way this market is really feeling for me is we've had so much panic selling and such a big drop-off in the past couple of days, I just feel like we are gonna have a bounce back this weekend on certain areas of the market. Now, again, not everywhere, but certain areas of the market. And again, the best advice I can give you is whether you're looking to buy a team and buy cards for your team, or whether you're just looking to purely profit off of this sort of market movement and market swing, I would really look for the most rare, the most popular cards that people are gonna wanna go and buy out and put in their teams. Think about what people are getting this weekend too, they're getting that free World Cup hero pack. That's gonna impact the market at decent amount and that's gonna impact price in this game. I just sold Kool for 230,000 coins, literally an hour ago, he's 220, show me 210 and I'm in. You know, trading right now in this market is actually pretty crazy as well. There's so many fluctuations that you can trade with. We'll talk about that in a second, but start to plan out what cards you maybe wanna buy and start to watch their prices as we get leaks. Again guys, leaks I think are gonna really continue to cause some panic later on this week with all the information that we maybe learn from those as we get closer to still not knowing everything about what this Friday promo is going to bring us with World Cup content on FIFA 23. So I know I'm talking a lot about everything with the market but I wanted to really spell that out there and kind of hopefully you guys can follow along and understand that train of thought and where I'm thinking this market can go later on this week just because of how much panic selling that we have had. Now let's talk about fodder too because fodder is at a very interesting point after yesterday's content and we'll kind of transition to talking about yesterday and today a little bit. Yesterday we didn't have one of those big SBCs that we thought we were gonna see. Fodder rose up very nicely yesterday as people thought there was gonna be an SBC. Take a look at Kingsley Kuman, right? From low 12Ks, maybe 13K, all the way up to about 14, a slight bit of a drop off but they're still really not that low. 86s are all 13, 13 and a half thousand coins. That's not that low. I think today and tomorrow we maybe have the last chance at EA releasing some sort of SBC that can make this stuff go up enough in price. So I'm kind of holding on to my 86s still. I'm still holding on in lazy listing some of my fodder. You know, I'll get a sale once every couple hours on a lazy list or whatever. You know, I got my 86s up for 17K. I got Kimmich up for 33,000 coins. I'm not trying to sell my 86s for like 25,000 coins or anything crazy like that. You know, I still think that fodder, if we get an SBC today, could go up a little bit but realistically I think this weekend, I don't know what SBC content we're gonna have that will require higher rated fodder cards. We'll have to see of course but I do think that with a lot of the supply that I'm expecting to see hit the market this weekend, a lot of saved up packs, a lot of reward opportunities that people have been able to save up over the past couple of weeks before this weekend's promo, I think there's gonna be a lot of fodder supply. So I would say my best advice to you would be sell the fodder if it does go up at all throughout the rest of the next couple of days and then get it out before the weekend because it might get a bit ugly on the weekend depending on how high fodder goes this week, especially on some of your higher tier cards. Like I mean, I'm a little bit worried about a guy like Benzemore, Elevendoski who is up a bit, we like Benzemore I bought at 44, 43,000 coins. I just sold them at 50K, Elevendoski is like 51K as well. I think it's pretty safe to take the cash on those earlier and then look for a maybe potential reinvestment on the weekend after a lot of that supply has hit. Now, let's talk about today's content on Tuesday a little bit and just kind of the content in general because yesterday we finally had the 83 plus packs by specific nation, France, England, Germany upgrade. This one's way expensive, man. I don't know what in the world's going on here. An 82 rated squad with an 83 overall player, you have to turn in a full squad of 82s and one player has to be an 83 to get a one player 83 plus pack that is not a good value at all. The other one's great value, 83 plus Brazil, Argentina, Spain but you know why it's good value, right? Because Spanish walkouts or Spanish boards, every time you pack a board it's Spanish. So that's a bit unfortunate to have that there. Yesterday, we literally had like nothing else. I think there was the EA sports, the swap token that you could get in here but then other than that we didn't even have a new dynamic duo and we had another leak for a dynamic duo. We had the Korean dynamic duo of Kang and Lee and Dong Joon Lee and it wasn't dropped. So I'm a bit confused because EA broke their own pattern yesterday by not releasing a dynamic duo. So I'm really not too certain of what's going on there. We also had a flashback SBC for Kagawa leaked yesterday. Of course this card does not look that fantastic but if EA gives him a very, very nice upgrade that would be great. This would be a FIFA legend card that so many people would like to have for some pass and present teams. That would be a freaking W if EA juiced this Kagawa card up, gave him a nice work grade upgrade writing needs that high low I think and then some insane stat boosts. That'd be just a fun card. Hopefully it's cheap. Kind of like Iguayin vibes. I mean, not an end of an era of course but the same sort of vibe as Iguayin to be completely honest in terms of an SBC like that. So that's, I mean, Tuesday content today maybe one of those two, maybe nothing of those at all. Really I would say guys start watching Twitter for the leaks because I really feel like today on Tuesday could be the day where they start to heat up and then maybe Wednesday or Thursday we continue on with those content wise, I'm not expecting a ton but hey, we expected something yesterday and EA dropped nothing. So maybe we'll expect nothing today and EA will drop something. Maybe that's how we can set our expectations and we'll see how it goes. Last thing I wanna talk about is like I said the demand for right now gameplay with the season ending with rivals rewards important and with foot champions qualification as you guys are maybe like, man, there's not a ton to do. Maybe you're playing managerial masterpiece or rivals or whatever it is to get some rewards, get packs to get qualified for week in league. I think I saw this tweet yesterday from Bates and I think it's a very, very good point and I wanna share with you guys and give him the credit as well because it's a very good tweet. Make sure you qualify for week in league before Thursday this week because if you don't all the rivals points are reset with a new season and you'd have to play rivals to get enough points to qualify for foot champs before you could then qualify for foot champs. To save yourself some stress and some time try to get those rivals games in sooner rather than later so then you can get enough champs points to go qualify for champs and then get your week in league. Basically your token, right? Like right now you can see I have a champs token ready to go for champs finals. I should be able to carry this champs token over with me into the actual week in league. So if you qualify before Thursday at rivals rewards you should be good to go. I mean technically if you wanna really sweat it out you could get three wins in champs qualities and not qualify but still get some rewards and then after the rewards reset you could grind it all out again and then go for getting enough points or getting another set of rewards by playing champs qualifiers but that's pretty sweaty. I mean if you got the time for it you can go for it. That's a little bit of a workaround but it's not worth it too much in my opinion. Also we don't have a ton of information on how the whole rivals reset's gonna be. We assume it'd be like last year you'd go down two divisions and then you'd be working your way back up. Really not sure how it's gonna go and then of course we have the season one rewards in here which for me I'll be getting a 100K pack of tradable. So it's only untradable rewards. Last year there was a bunch of panic selling for this. We'll take a look at the market a bit more on Wednesday maybe even tomorrow but as well and what to expect with that but those are honestly just gonna be more packs that people will save for the upcoming promos and everything that's coming out. This Friday for the World Cup content on FIFA. So that's kind of the biggest info and stuff that I can give you right now on the market. Again, yesterday was really a great day to make coins but we kind of had to realize that in real time. I tried Jerd Bolio yesterday. This card was pretty fun to use. He was actually pretty fast. I was semi, I was pretty happy with how fast he was. He was pretty fun to use. Honestly, I only made like 20K on that card. I really don't care though. We made a lot of coins yesterday. And I actually think I made it somewhere around like 125,000 coins. So I will take that. We're starting to dig back up out of the depths. I have about 1.7 mil now. Still have a lot of fodder left and I think I have one other card. No, I basically just have a lot of fodder and some duplicates at the moment. So we're probably sitting on somewhere around like 1.9 million coins somewhere in there by being completely honest. We're gonna try to get that back up to 2 million coins before the weekend so that we have a decent amount of coins to play with. But if you're trading on the market, I love the rare cards, the heroes, the icons, the stuff that fluctuates a lot. Those are gonna be the cards. Like we just looked at that Harry Kuhl card was kind of low. These are gonna be the types of cards that can make you coins when the market is kind of dead and quiet like this. These are the cards that move the most and give you the best potential to make some quick flip opportunities on this game. So Tuesday today, yeah guys, really don't exactly know what's gonna happen. EA, if you wanna drop us a surprise, we wouldn't complain by any means. Drop us something crazy. Drop us a hero pack, drop us an icon pack, let us cash out on some fodder, let us enjoy our profits, then we'll hop into the weekend feeling a bit better. But maybe that's not gonna be the case. We'll just have to see. We're gonna take it day by day, but seriously start to watch out for the leaks. There's gonna be a lot to talk about later on this week, I think, about World Cup content and watch out for a double upload today with some insider look into the World Cup edition of the World Cup mode and FIVA 23 Ultimate Team. So if you enjoyed today's video, smash that thumbs up on it. If you have any questions, drop them down below, I'll be in the comments. And of course, subscribe if you do. It's been Nathan Foot account and I'll catch you guys later. Peace out.