 The following is a presentation of TFNN, The Power Trading Hour with your host David White. Call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 or internationally at 727-873-7618. Now David White. Welcome all to another excellent edition of the Power Trading Hour along with it doesn't matter whether you're at where you're at as long as you're here at this time. The following takes place between 2pm and 3pm. And we've got the Fed out here blabber mouthing starting to say that they'll start some pulling back some cash and actually raising rates and some other stuff here in December. So yeah we'll see what the market actually does but I don't think we're going to expect a great deal unless the Poulster or Jerome Poulster gets all excited and says something stupid but he hadn't done it so far and I think they go to school to be able to talk for a very long time and say nothing. So we have probably from what 230 to normally around 315 for them to say a whole lot of nothing and then people will be a giant throwback to the Cold War where they would watch the generals all standing next to Stalin or whatever despot ran the country at the time and they'd all try to figure out what it meant by the way everybody stood around each other and which person was cold which one looked like he was headed to the gulags and of course they knew really nothing from all that. So man hurry up and wait is the order of the day. But what do we got the NASDAQ's up 55 here. What else man not a whole lot and of course Fed really just catching up to where the market's already done. Probably the most interesting thing to watch today is the TLT. We're actually down a little. I think maybe they were expecting a little bit more 146.35 I'll turn that up so I can hear myself just a little bit better 146.25.27 something like that. So we'll keep an eye on it but yeah maybe they were thinking for a little bit maybe a little bit more but didn't get it 146.11 at the lows of the day anyway on the TLT which is probably the easiest way if you're not a bond trader to watch what's going on. 877-927-6648 and again like I said probably not much happened until 315. We've got a lot of things going elections last night may change the spending bills as we go here forward in a couple of days earnings out after the bell and night. Etsy was one which kind of was one of the darlings of the shutdown. We'll see how they're doing now that we're not shutting down quite as much. We've got Roku which everybody was firmly planted in their recliner watching TV during the shutdown. We'll see how they did. They kind of made a big mess of it last time. We'll see if that continues. I still don't really understand how they make the money. They say they make the money. They do but who knows I'm not shorting it. I just one of those companies I look at and go there's got to be more to this. I'm missing something. I don't understand and since there's more than 6,000 companies to trade. It's not going to be one that I sit there and ruminate over too much. Fund buying is really kind of over pretty much by the close today. So when we get in tomorrow it's probably a lot more about the normal cycles of options expiration. Of course it's the third Friday of every month. So that puts us out to the 19th. Even Friday gives us two long weeks before we get there but we'll start getting into that seasonally strong point. We still have a couple of things out there that are problematic like trying to get those containers off the docks at Long Beach. Although we've had some people not authorized people helping us a great deal apparently they're throwing these containers anywhere they can because they've run out of space and people are just thinking well you know if it's out there it must be free. So they're stealing them. So maybe the stuff that you needed comes through the five finger discount but they're certainly not getting on the stick too much getting that stuff out there that continues to linger as a problem for any kind of retail company that is waiting for products to come off the ship. But it's doing a little bit better. Got some questions already but what I'm going to do is do a little history and then we'll get to the questions. 877-927-6648 looking forward to your call. On this day in 1903 with the support of the US government Panama issues a declaration of independence from Colombia how many people know that it used to be part of Colombia. The revolution was engineered by a Panamanian faction backed by the Panama Canal company a French US corporation that hoped to connect the Atlantic and the Pacific oceans with a waterway across the isthmus of Panama and you don't get to say isthmus all that much so I'm going to enjoy saying isthmus as much as I can. First question of the day and maybe some in the den I have not looked yet is about Qualcomm any thoughts. I don't know what they're going to say. I do suspect they're going to have similar comments to what Apple said the big thing on them is they own a lot of intellectual property. Everybody thinks that they shouldn't have to pay up for their intellectual property. Apple is probably one of the worst offenders but God if you go after any of their intellectual property oh now that's really worth something. So we'll see but it's mostly about whose ox is gored they're trying to get away from doing anything from Qualcomm. Qualcomm might talk about that today. I have to say though I we've had a lot of talk we've had about a year of the slowdown in semi conductors. I suspect we're probably getting to the point where it's mostly baked in. There are some semis out there that I think that you might want to be in. I actually bought one earlier this week. Now the question is is going to be a positive or negative experience. I don't know. I'll probably know in the next day or so and whether I want to add some more in that vein. I did have an update for the Tech Insider today where I kind of outlined what I was looking at stocks that I'm in is kind of bouncing around today so no clear movement yet. We'll have some the next day 8 7 9 7 6 6 4 8 is enough to call. Are you grinding in the market but seeing little to no return or are you a successful trader simply looking to make your job a little easier learn to take the path of least resistance with David White's powerful trading newsletter. David White is an accomplished trader whose deep understanding of technology and the markets allows him to consistently find and share winning trades support and resistance define the ranges in which stocks trade by understanding these trading ranges. 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financial content streamed live on tfnn.com and tfnn's YouTube channel with Tiger TV live every market day from 8 30 a.m. to 4 p.m. Eastern for free each host is an experienced trader and gives their take on the market while taking calls and questions live from around the world from the moment the market opens until the closing bell sounds Tiger TV has eight different shows with expert hosts to help you make the right moves with your money watch online at tfnn.com or on tfnn's YouTube channel and become the investor you were born to be tfnn educating investors call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-873-7618 and as we return the oviating epic almost biblical proportion on tv uh and it means nothing uh mr pal will be on the catwalk on the catwalk he'll do his little dance on the catwalk starting at about uh what is it uh generally starts about uh 232 so about 14 minutes runs generally around 45 minutes about 315 eastern time if you live in uh lutes florida i have to kind of spell it out for you the rest of the state pretty good uh and uh that's kind of it so uh we'll take a look uh talked about qualcomm already uh roku as i said kind of really messed up last earnings uh been on a bender south uh you've got almost a a low against this five million share low which is october 4th that was uh 29390 and it was five million shares compared to the low on november 4th of the 3.3 million shares didn't quite get down there still about 10 bucks above that particular low so you really don't have a good sign the energy is about the same on the way up as the way down uh some people have asked what i've said about a automatic rally uh that's a wycoff term if you don't know who wycoff was he's kind of the original paint patron saint of price and volume trading but he had at least the ideas of how to describe a market and he said after it goes down a great deal you're going to get a bounce and that bounces what he called an automatic rally not one that has a lot of preparation you bounce you pull back you retest the previous low um he and tim order both kind of uh about the kind of guys that would say a low is not a low until it's been retested um and then you know if you get down to the low with about half the volume generally it's okay not to uh actually prove what he called prove the point which is go below it and come back into the trading range that is the preferred way of knowing that you are right get down there find out there's no buyers pop back into the trading range and things uh continue to go on but uh didn't quite get that but we did get a little bit lighter volume uh we're still under the three by three so that's a little bit uh the question is how bad is uh all the television sitting in those container ships uh off the coast and on the uh pavement but not making their way to a walmart or target near you uh gonna matter uh to the rocu guys i don't know isn't everybody kind of already have one everybody bought one over last year and a half with all that free money that everybody was sending out from washington i don't know there may be something to that there may be another element of uh they've already bought it and the question is how much better will any tv's actually get uh between now and christmas there are some new technology there's quantum dots there are other stuff but again these guys don't make money on that they make money on selling data and selling uh streaming services to me the the more interesting part is um kind of like uh fascist book oh i haven't looked at that yet uh just in metamucil is going to uh sue uh facebook who wants to have it be called meta i'm just kidding about metamucil but uh i saw that the other day and it reminded me that i'm going to call the fascist book metamucil from now on uh anyway a little bit of a bounce out here i don't think things get any better in fact they're probably are going to get worse as soon as everybody gets through the elections the last few days uh what we're really going to see is uh everybody start ready to start beating on the zuckerberg probably coming back in january in february uh and congress and uh you know what not a better human pinata uh but uh they have announced i think in the last day or so uh or two that they're going to delete all the facial recognition data because everybody just knows that it's creepy and they're creepy so the metamucil well i don't know when does it actually switch has it switched everything i see still says me uh the the fascist book but i do not know okay okay just making sure reading some emails making sure there's anything new uh to to us get to some of the other things i wanted to get to give me a call today great time to give me a question because of course i'm not going to do anything until they're done yakking and then we have earnings later tonight but uh i do digress and uh christmas party for the award season this year i don't think anybody has a chance do they against me for digression i don't think so uh 10 years running the digression award uh so anyway we have roku also after the bell tonight is etsy if you're in lutes also uh this actually came up and kind of already top but not that badly again and generally pandemics of any kind have a tendency to just kind of out of the blue vaporize i don't know if that happens tomorrow six months or two years from now but they do they just kind of disappear and everybody kind of wonders why and that was long before vaccines they do run their course um but you know our people really set up their stores doing their stuff this is a company that at the very beginning almost went bankrupt no one knew how to actually get all those hippie types with the tie-dye shirts actually make stuff and go after the business they ran off all the people that were just kind of playing at it and really pushed the people that were working hard to get stuff out it's been pretty good uh but they also got a huge helping of uh why do i want to think about helping oh that's the uh Beverly hillbilly big helpful helping of their hospitality uh anyway big helping helpful uh pop when a lot of people were staying at home and started really working making stuff from home and etsy the big benefit for that as we go back to work slowly uh question is whether or not we've hit some kind of long term high for etsy i think you could probably say that just about everything is priced in but we can't we come back we'll look at the tlt uh and see if 146 means anything uh i've been kind of saying 146 50 is kind of the uh fine in the sand out here and being below that uh is problematic for the rest of the market we'll be back like a bad rash are you having fun trading the markets but having trouble finding like-minded individuals to discuss your trading and investment ideas with become an apex predator in the trading markets and join the tiger's den trading room only at tfnn.com the tiger's den is an exclusive trading room where successful 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big move on that gold was down about 24 last time i looked at it down 22 now um 10 year um three percent so fairly decent move out here uh 146 06 got down to 145 76 during the commercial so we're kind of in that danger zone danger zone oh i love archer we get one more season of archer so i'll be happy anyway uh take two okay um actually hanging around these highs fairly well uh of course this company is a big gaming company um to see what we have here it's rockstar games and of course they're big and claim to fame over the last couple years was red dead resumption a lot of these game companies are having problems also uh if you can't get the latest fascist uh fastest video cards which these games are always designed for because by the time they're out for six months or a year um those cards generally are fairly mainstream but of course everything is in short supply for a variety reasons uh but uh you know what i think they probably do okay uh but i don't think that there anybody's really talking about huge Christmases for game companies because uh you're going to have to have huge availability of computer uh high end computer gaming parts uh and also memory and also video cards and it's just not there uh in fact many of the companies like new egg and others have taken to uh putting together bundles where they vastly overcharge uh crappy computers uh and put that like an Nvidia card in there one of the bigger cards from AMD and charge out the wazoo for it uh so that they avoid all the other uh painful uh laws that go from uh charging over retail in many states but it hadn't changed anything uh you can either uh pay up for a horrible computer pull the video card out and put it in something good or you got a whole lot of nothing and i don't know if that changes much of anything for you out here but i i'm going to say limited upside uh for some of these folks uh i think it's getting better and i need a video card so the next time that best buy has one of their things where i have to stand out there all night long uh and uh get a ticket and then come back a couple hours and actually maybe be able to buy one at retail uh i'll probably do that on the next one because i need an uh a newer faster horse uh for my video card needs uh question coming in on AMD um you're back through previous highs uh after doing rather poorly on earnings i'm pulling back uh from about in close to 130 i think that day on earnings and then pulled back down to about 120 you're back up you really had a lot of volume one day but that volume wasn't near enough uh above the 122 49 august fourth high that was 225 million shares and uh it's just resistance above i suspect we're going to get into some rotation not within the sector of uh semiconductors as things kind of turn around for some and not for others question in the den or in the den a question in the emails about sava um yeah you had some nice spikes the last couple of days kind of just an inside day today ideally you've got some fairly nice lows setting up i would have liked to see the september 15th low at $39 challenge that had 6.6 million shares but as i said if you get into it with about half the volume a lot of times it's not going to go down there improve the point uh it got down to 42 18 on half the volume actually less than half the volume you got the huge run on the other side ideally for the long term if this could get back down below the three by three displaced moving average or a nine day for a couple of days the next tick above that would be the one to get uh that would suggest that maybe you've got an ability to get back up to $70 uh that and 28 cents that september 28th high uh bowing or not uh i'm not going is it ready to buy uh to be a is the symbol for that again if you're at loops um this thing is bouncing along a fairly decent low i always love it when you test previous lows on half the volume um again when you come off these lows you bounce a little bit you pull back underneath the three by three and then generally the next move above it is the one you want to buy uh these guys have problems uh but uh my guess is that everybody and their dog and their emotional support beaver uh their emotional support great white shark uh their emotional support uh wolverine will be getting on planes uh left and right as soon as this thing turns around big problem is not so much planes for bowing as pilots it's going to take a while to get everybody back in the air before as we've seen everybody talks about 1500 or 1800 flights canceled this weekend uh my guess is that's a big shot across the bow for these companies trying to force mandates uh they don't want uh those guys uh getting on them uh they also if forced to take a vaccine if they get any kind of problems that means that they can't be a pilot uh they do want the airlines to pay for it if they're going to mandate it and right now kind of a sticky problem for them but uh if you read the subtext and i'm all about the subtext and the base it is uh underlying issues uh from years uh the pilots were under the thumb of the big airlines the things especially what they did last year by laying off all the older time pilots is put themselves in a pickle today so i don't know know if there's anything else okay anything else in the den don't see anything but hopefully that's it start looks great for bowing if we had some kind of a big um rock in covid cases for like one week i'd be all i haven't seen anybody talking about it but i haven't looked at maybe it's time for me to start spying on the cdc uh website we'll be back in a minute are you in the market for buying or selling real estate in the bay area including the surrounding st petersburg tampa and clearwater markets tiger real estate llc is a firm that has extensive experience in the tampa bay area whether you're looking to sell your current property for maximum value or you're in the market for a second home or investment property tiger 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obtain a prospectus or summary prospectus please contact direction shares at 8664767523 the prospectus or summary prospectus should be read carefully before investing an investment in the funds is subject to risk including the possible loss of principal the funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors distributor for side fund services llc don't forget you can listen to tfnn live on your mobile device 24 hours per day go to tfnn.com then hit watch tiger tv that's tfnn.com then hit watch tiger tv we're back uh email dan wants to look at the ipb uh i think there's probably 80 85 chance that you see uh probably the 167 gap at least half filled uh that goes back to september 28th uh get down with uh 3.2 million shares kind of a light day to day but my guess is the next couple of days you're going to stumble up there uh if you get a lot of volume in the next couple of days then it may be it could go higher but you're probably just going to meander it's kind of a fancy uh two-bit word for go to uh but meander it doesn't mean you go straight there you kind of fear left a little light a little right kind of a odys kind of walk from mayberry rfd if you get the deep preference uh anyway uh back with tlt back into the trading range uh keep an eye on that like i said about 146 50 is the uh is the uh rubicon the famous rubicon uh where you cross it and uh that is a big deal kind of the line in the sand the alternate version of uh of a mixed metaphor from me uh other things going on do i see anything with gld let's talk about the tlt you've got a fairly good signal here that so far if this holds uh that this is going to look ugly today but you know what these things by the last 30 minutes uh the old saying is the uh rubes uh control the open and the pros control the close uh that's p-r-o-s c-o-l no c-l-o-s-e the close um and so i wouldn't get too excited today the the market tends to be like a fish on the dock it'll flip on one side flip on the other before my sister goes to uh clean it uh to to to other things going on out here do i see anything else exciting uh in that whole idea of sector rotation within the same sector um do think uh you're gonna find that that continues on uh the smh's will take a quick look at you had a nice move they run back up to the previous eyes a lot of them haven't been uh contributing uh and the big ones have been i think like amd some of these other ones certainly look like they've hit some kind of highs my guess is some of the other ones that haven't been doing so well will come back in but the smh's got about four days of declining volume in that uh in video no stopping it now uh continues to just go higher and higher of course uh in the background uh you could hear the fifth dimension singing up up and away in my beautiful balloon except again as i've said with this company they can sell four times what they manufacture today that's a horrible problem they have uh question comes in about adobe up 15 bucks today 88 um you know if you're into creating uh video content for youtube or the rest of the uh internet um great company to be at i just don't see much going on with it right now just kind of going sideways out here uh back into the highs when is earnings on that one take a look adbe december 21st so you got a little while you know it's hard to figure this out the only thing i dislike about this whole setup is the energy was off about 25 percent off this october 4th low and you've gone up here uh there's really kind of a tale of two cities uh or we can do another one and mixed metaphor land of a tale of two cities with rich man poor man in each one so that's a great one so the rich man poor man one is the company that needs lots of cash to do something adobe almost all software they don't need lots of cash they do need to pay programmers which is expensive but it's not like uh semiconductors that have to put a lot of cash in and not going to see anything really start to come out of the plant for a year or two uh down the road but uh you know you can buy programmers today or you could rent them uh and have them show up and probably in four to six weeks they can be productive of getting into it um but you know what just uh up on lighter volume today so i don't see much i would say that like most of these you're going into a fairly bullish end of year season uh this is a company that's in the right uh sector which means it don't need no money it doesn't need somebody else's money it's got its own money uh generally i think that's going to be the ones that are probably just going to shrug off and ignore whatever the fed does i mean there's a little bit to the economy on it but it's not the equivalent of a big grocery store that's trying to uh expand and needs locations all over the place or an industrial company that needs to uh work uh the next five uh years opening a mine uh these guys uh if they have something that can make money can turn it around fairly quick okay eight seven seven nine two seven six six four eight uh what else do we have going on here okay other things going on cheesecake factory talked about that one the other day take two energy transfer marathon oil sunpower sandstorm gold after the bell um i love it you're having lots of fun today what effect does the the uh and uh new jersey election is going to have on the market um oh yeah uh elections do have consequences i do suspect uh that everybody's been saying that the big uh spending bill is supposed to be voted on tomorrow or friday i haven't heard or even paid attention uh to any of that but my guess is it either comes to the vote or doesn't come to the vote in the next couple of days and uh that means that it's probably i mean it's awful late in the season here mansions uh uh given it a big raspberry i don't think you hear a lot of talk about that until next year now it's very hard for me to believe they're going to organize the troops after the uh uh raid on fort apache last night man am i on fire for mixed metaphors uh anyway uh you got that i think it's all about tightening now they'll want to see what happens i think the market but i think when we get into next week everybody's gonna it's going to be known there aren't going to be a lot of unknowns we've had enough earnings uh so everybody can place their bets and not have to worry too much about pal coming out and saying boo halloween is over so i don't i think for the most part that puts an end to this if they don't get it done in the next two days which is good long term at least two christmas we'll be back in a minute sharpening your skills as an investor is like getting better at playing a musical instrument you have to practice sure but you also need excellent instruction from experts at tfnn you'll get advice and guidance from the authority and technical market analysis and it's not just dry tedious text either tfnn airs live financial content 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last bar um as we said uh looking forward to earnings tonight um qualcomm kind of really kind of tell us what's going on uh and probably more than anything with apple uh or at least that sector uh everybody's got generally fairly new phones so it's not something they're going to come out of uh apple of course uh down a little bit now just kind of sideways uh i wasn't looking for a lot options continue to say that this thing's going to hover around the 150 to 152 50 ish range for a while i don't see a lot of reasons to go chasing uh shorts on it um we do have an absolute tremendous load of stocks that have been going higher for a while uh and kind of a bubble issues uh as it would be uh tesla probably a fairly good example of that no sign yet but i am watching it closely almost no shorts in this so i kind of like that uh generally these things kind of come out of the woodwork when no one's expecting them um didn't see any reason to pull the trigger before but i do suspect that saying has a long and storied history as it pulls back in and down over a number of years as they've got uh 30 years of earnings already priced in that's if everything turns out so when you can not when you have to we shall return like the farther tomorrow same bat channel same bat time