 The following is a presentation of TFNN trading hour with your host David White call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-445-1044 now David White and welcome all to another exciting edition of the power trading hour with me your humble lovable and squeezibly soft as always we like to come to you at this time the following takes place between 2pm and 3pm and of course I didn't come to you here at this time yesterday because right before the show started that miserable spectrum company for some reason cut off internet and it took me five minutes to actually place a phone call so it must have been a bigger outage than I thought didn't actually come back till about 430 or something but I was long gone if there's no internet there is no trading if there's no trading what kind of what good am I anyway live to trade trade to live on this day anyway I shook my fist at them thusly so we had a little bit of volatility today earlier we were down about 15 points or one yeah about 15 points maybe 16 points we're flat right now in the SAP cash question is whether or not it drummed up any volume whatsoever yesterday we didn't even make 6 billion shares on the CBOE consolidated tape right now over 3.9 billion and again you don't like to see volume fall out at highs that's almost a if it stays there almost a good sign of distribution we continue to see stocks have spurious and dubious dubious and spurious or spurious and dubious attorneys at law if if we could see those upgrades or you know that are good for about a day or two they're good for running shorts out of the market is basically what they do with them but and then downgrades to if they're short and they want to get out and they call up their buddies get a few downgrades going anyway for what we have there just isn't a lot of juice either to move up or down and of course FOMC meeting tomorrow and after the bell tonight we've got the the fruit computer company otherwise known as the apple one what else do we have coming in tomorrow night after that advanced micro devices twillio group on tandem diabetes fire I to pay com Akamai Burntex pharmaceuticals Devin energy frontier communications Zendesk Denny's got a lot of new IPOs filing in the last few days bunch of our small companies probably never heard of the one that I like out of the bunch I like the company I have no idea of whether or not would like the stock is slack it's a wonderful and brilliant messenger service for people in groups not person to person although it does do that I've been using it for the last two years it's been flawless for me they do not make money yet though and the question is if they get all this cash will they be able to go after they go public will they be able to turn it into dollars I'm not big on betting on it I do like the product though I don't see why they could not the reason I think they're going to IPO is that Microsoft has been working on a competing platform to put together with LinkedIn and it's hard to tell whether or not enough people would use it certainly for Microsoft it's a it's a wonderful honor way to make a little bit more money for charging for these groups especially if they can link it back into github and some of the other ones there is a little bit of synergy out there do github users use slack I don't know if it's github itself but it's the same kind of people it's slack is extremely good when you have a lot of people together that are working on a single project like if you're building a brand new plane at Boeing that would be excellent use for slack you have side channels where you can have smaller discussions you have kind of a universal channel channel for big announcements so maybe you're the absolute top dog at Boeing and you're designing a new plane you know someone might be a part of the wing department some people might be in the engine and jet engine department some people might be in the interior god knows how many people it takes to actually put together one of those planes from the ground up but that's an excellent and whether or not it's a some kind of a concrete product like a plane or software development but certainly I know a lot of people I've been in it for two years because that's when I started with machine learning and almost all of the machine learning segments have a segment for it I actually sponsored one for a while until Microsoft came out with their version of slack which is called I want to say it's called Gitter but it's a kind of like close to Glitter and Gitter together G-L-I-T-T-E-R and it's a very nice product for what it does it doesn't do anything close to what slack does though the ability to actually put in links and have thumbnails of the links and side channels and always be tracking everything that's said and done in the in the room anyway an excellent product does everybody need all of that the answer is no it tends to be used by people that are have half a brain so it may be a little on the technical side compared to people that are trying to just replace yahoo messenger it's not that it is much much more but it's mostly built for people trying to accomplish a single mission whether it's training people to use their product or actually developing a product but it tends to kind of be around that all kinds of slack rooms for people that are programmers and engineers and that kind of stuff anyway I put one together for the original nascent version of Microsoft's foray into machine learning and again as soon as they opened up their own thing they probably they pretty much destroyed my slack room at about 250 active users in there every day as it was getting started in fact that 1.0 version of the machine learning language ml.net is almost ready to ship I think we're on with the next couple of days so I've had some products or projects that I've been working on for a while waiting for them to finalize it so I knew that at least everything wouldn't be changing on the other daily basis so I may be showing a little bit more we've been of course working with the sector oscillators for a long time and man have they been killer at buying clothes we'll be back in a minute the Taz profile scanner is the most revolutionary piece of trading software that you will ever try wouldn't you like to approach the markets with confidence as you begin your trading day it's likely that you'll be faced with lots of decisions in order to make the best decision the first thing you'll need is a strategy that will help you minimize your risks whether we're in a bull or bear market a good strategy is to have the tools needed to help you scan and analyze the markets before you trade the Taz profile scanner instantly scans and filters over 2,500 global financial markets such as stocks ETFs commodity futures and forex headed by Steve doll president of Taz market profile the Taz profile scanner understands that in today's technological world the use of top flight software 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yearly options check out the new tfnn.com now and experience all the upgrades tfnn.com educating investors call now toll free at 1-877-927-6648 internationally at 727-873-7618 and i am back in the black uh we'll take a quick uh views yeah we just crack four billion shares so not a lot going on down half a point again uh probably get a little bit of volatility with apple after the bell and some of the other ones but mostly it'll be apple um not exactly sure but it seems to me from what i've seen not a lot going on at apple lately so i'm wondering whether or not this last big giant run up is worth it and again uh it's not that they're that i think that the market looks at the phone sales i think they see the phone the uh add-on sales of the ear buds and some of the other stuff where they're making an enormous margin making it's hard to make 65 percent margins year in year out intel does it uh in hardware and so does uh apple around 60 percent but when you get an add-on product it costs you 50 bucks and you get kind of even at the wholesale level 150 bucks if you're making 100 on it you can make up a lot of make up for a lot of sins in your corporate world uh what did what did peter shift predict not following it uh anyway kind of interesting so we're kind of waiting for earnings after the bell kind of snuck a lot of people in this mark this is kind of a market which i suspect will fail but it's going to give you about a hundred different smaller signals to make you do something wrong so that you um double um double uh check yourself when the signal actually does come so i wouldn't get too excited about it now we've got fun buying uh coming for uh the last three days of this week that also would make up for a few of the sins these ipos also mean that they're going to try to push on this market but i continue to think that actually going after individual stocks that are not going to get any love that are going to start moving down way before the market and we've seen those like google today and uh test the last week there are a lot of very weak stocks out here in the marketplace and you know we'll just have to see how that actually pans out but uh i i think there are a handful of these stocks that people just keep pushing on but i it's almost like pushing on a string we'll look at some of those also today give me a call at 877-927-6648 email me at path at tfnn.com and of course you can always put a message in the den uh and uh of course before we do that we're going to do a little history then we'll get on on with some charts it doesn't always repeat exactly but it does kind of rhyme on this day in 1803 representatives of the united states in napoleonic france conclude negotiations for the louis and a purchase a massive land sale that doubles the size of the young american republic what was known as the louis and a territory comprised of most of the modern day united states between mississippi and the rocky mountains with the exceptions of texas parts of new mexico and other pockets of land already controlled by the united states a formal treaty for the louis and a purchase and a dated to april 30th was signed two days later and of course uh france was facing a blockade from england at the time uh and several wars going on and needed the cash i think it was about 11 million dollars at the time which is uh i don't know about a billion now probably uh but even a billion dollars seems like a drop in the bucket for all that land today as they say they're not making any new land and other than some uh little uh volcanoes making some uh little tiny islands around hawaii that's mostly true that's it uh yes well the people there don't know what they're doing and that's why it doesn't work anyway uh again um that's about it for the history was get into some charts um yes i could make it work like i always said i can but i'm not going to go down there and do it for free you can spend your time doing it okay um like i said a lot of stocks uh continue to break out uh some have volume some do not but it seems like i'm going to still say 90 percent of them that are breaking out are continuing to pull back into the trading range once again erin's rents which is a good how can i say this a good uh barometer of the uh working class man who uh feels like he has to buy a television that's now 300 bucks on payments or a washer and dryer now that are about 500 bucks uh but at some point you know everything gets wiped out you need furniture need a tv you go to erin's rents now this did break out which is a sign that the economy is under stress or at least the people in the lower economic rains are under economic stress he had all the volume of the world stood up there for one day almost took back half of the profits of that big bump on earnings now the next two days we've pulled back down here to the support level now just because these things are failing at the top doesn't mean that they're pulling back it just means that no one's willing to buy these products uh stocks at higher prices they're buying every pullback and uh but i'm really watching this as it goes forward because i think it's one of those canary in the coal mines like packaging companies and others that really tell you what's going on after the bell tomorrow night we also have amd uh this one uh had a nice little gap up on the third uh with uh almost 200 million shares it's pulled back on light volume doesn't look bad i just don't understand how these guys are making the kind of money they say they do always feel like i'm going to wake up one day and find out that their books are cooked um they're doing okay it just seems like man uh for second best and processors and second best and video cards they continue to make a lot more money than i would ever think so we'll look at that uh to do a crombie and phitch uh some of these retailers the last store in the mall apparently back up and testing the august 14th i of last year 29 49 cents that had seven excuse me 4.75 million shares we're into it with 1.2 million shares again we really have anything to run about except the last earnings that came in on march 6 i think this one's also setting up for a surprise to the downside angie's list um never liked this company when it went public uh it had been in business for like 10 or 15 years up to that point it had never made a dime it had done nothing but lose money went public and did nothing but lose money and then they turned around and made money for a little a little while and it got up to 24 bucks but that never has really been that much i'm always a little gun shy about companies that never make money before they go public this one was forever never made and we shall see be back the path of least resistance is david white's daily trading newsletter and if you're looking for active trading ideas then now's a perfect time for a 30 day free trial to this powerful daily trading advisory service david uses his years of trading 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visiting tfnn.com this segment is brought to you by think or swim for more information just click the think or swim banner on the front page of tfnn.com and of course keep those cards and letters coming i've got a couple of questions already in the in the in the mix the first one is why do i like slack so much a little more in depth mostly because it runs on my android phone or if you've got ios it runs on that runs on mac runs on windows runs on linux fact basically runs anything anywhere in the world it's got if you put a link in it it'll automatically drag it up if you put a link in it from youtube it'll automatically pull that up and show kind of a little preview for it but it just works amazingly good with groups which is one of the reasons why i like it so much but yeah everywhere not just on windows or just not on this or that or the other and it all seems to work it worked as well on my phone as it did on linux as it did on windows so i don't have any apple products so i can't tell you on that but i never hear anybody complain online about having issues with it it may be a little bit more complex than just the basic yahoo messenger app but seems to work extremely well anyway like that got another question is there anything really exciting going on right now in technology and i have to say that it's been very quiet probably since the first of the year much quieter about new products and new new things going on that actually are kind of earth shattering there's been a lot of evolutionary things but not revolutionary things i think the one kind of revolutionary thing i put in the tech insider on friday which is on some of the stocks that i've played in the past anyway we're looking at that stuff but uh you know the the thing that i've been excited most about was that this keyboard i have and show it here which is i don't know probably two or three years old i i tend to go through keyboards because kind of hit on them pretty hard and i'm kind of a hard typist um but uh that's you know about a 45 dollar keyboard and saw us add it best buy today and they were 15 bucks so ordered a few of them for all my pcs and they're all going to get their own brand new keyboard but i'm sure microsoft probably had come out with something to replace it but at the meantime for 15 bucks for the battleship uh keyboard with all the features it has on it i love it um but who knows what they're going they got a wireless one out that's about a hundred bucks but i'm not a big fan of wireless um stuff just because if you play any games there's a little bit of lag in it so i kind of like wired stuff the i do have a wired trackball but mostly i use a wire a wireless trackball when i'm not playing games or doing anything that needs interaction so we're off one point on the s and p cash we're going to go back and look at some more charts here uh avon products i didn't even know they're still in business but they've had a nice pop off about a buck 30 up to three dollars and 41 cents now they've had a triple top up here at 341 can't really short it but man if you're probably along at probably time to ring the bell on that one beckinson dickinson isn't it or no this is beacon roofing and supply we've had a few earnings out from the housing business not a lot of them have been encouraging but at the same time not seeing a lot of people running for the hills either i think that will either break out or change tomorrow beacon roofing supply bec and assemble on this one is still hanging out at highs from this february 8th high that had a 2.8 million shares you got into it with 800 000 shares about five days ago it's done nothing but goes sideways i think a lot of these stocks are just waiting for uh mr gado the head of the the fed and of course someone said earlier uh that the president was tweeting about the fed and of course we've got the tweeter in chief probably you know saying don't don't take the punch away from the party the party will turn south and uh of course that's why we kind of almost always have excesses um i think green span kind of got into that trap which is he got in front of the market early uh and then was gun shy to make the right decision later of course economists almost always make the wrong decision so i don't know if that's anything different but um you know there's always this pressure on to keep the party going whether or not you need to pull it back i don't think we had anybody uh since the 80s uh that was willing to go through the pain and i think you have to have a president as popular enough like reagan was that it just doesn't matter uh i don't know if we're going to have that kind of president again with maybe 25 of the people identifying with either socialists or communists now you're not going to get those guys to like anybody uh but uh you never know uh cake we'll go out there okay cheesecake factory um i could use a little cheesecake but man apparently the charts are not liking this february 21st 50 and seven cents three million shares going into that yesterday with 854 000 shares big reversal today volume is picking up um going to exceed yesterday is going to close below yesterday's open so you've got a little bit of that energy off this march 20th low not as good as one would hope another uh kind of company like erin's rents i've never been in this but all the descriptions i've read kind of uh across between best buy and erin's rents is cons i guess they're north maybe on the east coast or something i haven't read about them in a while uh but they came off a 17 low back on december 27th they got up 25 78 750 000 shares tested again with 370 000 shares a few days ago and it just gone sideways i like these things to kind of get into the gap which would be about 27 27 50 maybe up to 28 bucks uh and then try to pull the ripcord on it question is if best buy looks like it's going to have some problems uh and my guess is it's going to have problems for a couple of reasons one there's not going to be a lot of 5g phones people are going to want to wait and buy 5g phones and uh so best buy probably going to have some issues into next year because that's a huge part of their business i don't see anything else really for next christmas that is really going to push a lot of people televisions have become incredibly cheap um you only spend big money on it if you really need to spend big money on a tv by what a 50 or 60 inch television for 400 bucks now uh high death uh with all the bells and whistles now so i don't know if that's a big thing um i think they did well last year because a lot of people were wanting to buy them but man the price since christmas has absolutely been devastated on tv's um i'm watching this because i think you could have a fairly decent pullback at least to the 60 dollar level in the retail space we'll be back in a minute make sure and give me a uh email or a phone call at 877-976648 if you are in the cd market and looking for a secure investment the tiger first mortgage program may work for you the security for these first mortgages are building lots in the tax opportunity zone in st petersburg florida the tax act of 2018 set up tax-free zones across the country where you can build and hold for 10 years and pay no tax on the profits which makes these lots valuable the investment is anywhere from 30 000 to 75 000 the interest paid is 7% yearly paid on a monthly basis according to bankrate.com the best rate for a four-year cd in the country as of february 20th is 3.1 a 50 000 investment at a normal four-year cd rate of 3.1 would give you income of 1550 per year or 6200 over the four-year period that same 50 000 investment in the tiger first mortgage program would give you 3500 per year or 14 000 over the four years what should you prefer 6200 or 14 000 of interest on your investment if you'd like more information about the tiger first mortgage program you can call me at 877-518-9190 that's 877-518-9190 if you haven't checked out the 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carefully consider a fund's investment objective risks charges and expenses before investing a fund's prospectus and summary prospectus contain this and other information about direction shares to obtain a fund's prospectus and summary prospectus call 866-476-7523 or visit direction investments dot com a fund's prospectus and summary prospectus should be read carefully before investing an investment in the funds is subject to risk including the possible loss of principal the funds are designed to be utilized only by sophisticated investors such as traders and active investors distributor for side fund services LLC don't forget you can listen to tfnn live on your mobile device 24 hours per day go to tfnn.com then hit watch tiger tv that's tfnn.com then hit watch tiger tv for the latest market information and people are comparing mr pal to a tower of jello in the dent you never know um maybe he gets a backbone maybe he doesn't who knows i tell you what it's very tough to have the entire world lined up against you saying don't stop the party don't stop the party because that's the chant and it's not he's not the first one to hit it but i think since they've had a fed voker is the only one that's ever stood up i have a feeling that that is because he had a president that would allow him to do it but i don't there hadn't been one since i do not think um the tower of jello uh to salesforce.com little test on lighter volume back on march 1st it had 16615 uh to uh three uh let's call it 6.9 million shares got into it yesterday with 4.5 million shares so not as bad as some other ones uh the problem with this stock was it had poor earnings and said it was going to have future poor earnings uh the one and only mr uh um mr feelgood uh mr kramer uh did everything in the world to to pimp that stock on his tv show and pretty much recovered after a few days of absolutely beating the table on coming back on it but again some of these stocks out here really seem long in the tooth this one doesn't have as bad as volume as other ones uh but i continue to see microsoft and some of the other ones uh kind of eat away at the forward growth in sales force they're still doing well but i don't hear a lot of people talking about uh sales force this and that i hear a lot of people talking about uh aws and microsoft is your depending on which flavor they have i don't even see hear that much about google's uh web systems either it's kind of those two that everybody seems to be splitting on in the future uh the real reason for going with sales force is not that they offer uh fairly well discounted uh cloud systems it's the software that they're offering is very specialized for what you need and i'm going to say that like the top 100 s and p companies they have their own software divisions and do everything internally but the uh next 400 s and p companies down tend to really spend a lot of time um having other companies uh like the amazon web services or google web services or azure from microsoft um do stuff for them a sales force still works good but let me put it this way it's kind of tough to see what's going on in sales force because the people in sales force well they're like that movie the first rule of sales force is not to talk about sales force apparently you just don't hear a lot about it about what they're doing internally everybody's fairly closed lipped about what's going on there el dorado resorts i had a nice high in february 28th $50.97 with 2.75 million shares tested it yesterday with 700 000 shares a nice little reversal out here today again the uh energy office march 7th low um about half of what it was in the last leg up even though it took just a little short movement uh to do we have any more emails here what do i think about apple like i said i think you're going to see iphone sales dip a little bit and i think you're going to see the numbers kind of come in as expected i think they've already told everybody that sales on the iphone aren't ever going to be what they were before but they're going to make it up like a curbie vacuum cleaner by adding attachments and other things they consult to you of course they've been talking about becoming a media company uh and services company i don't see any evidence that that's gone anywhere um and again everybody that tells me they want to become a media company seems to fail uh gopro the biggest example they weren't a company that made very durable video cameras for sports guys they were a company that was a media platform and of course that went a whole lot of nowhere apple has its own problems of its own making and that is it destroyed an entire industry for the music industry and everybody's got a 11 foot pole because a 10 foot pole isn't good enough for apple uh so creators especially in the video industry movie industry have a kind of a love hate relationship they know that it worked very good uh in the short term but i even had a friend uh the in real estate tell me he works in the midwest i was talking to him a couple weeks ago he said that you know what we should have never given zillow and all these companies all the data from the mls system because they're now absolutely beating us to death with it and they're offering sales on lower mark lower uh um uh commission rates and other things like that and it's absolutely killing us and i thought you know of apple when he told me that and the music business was going to make a lot of money uh but the album sales are gone and that's what most of the money was made now as an artist if you can make some money it's going to be not on what you sell for vinyl or a cd or even streaming the money you're going to make is out on tour and they used to make money both on the album sales and on tour and you could pick one or both in the music industry before now you only have one choice and that's can you fill seats at a fairly decent uh place that will hold a 1500 to 3000 people if you can do that you can make a good living in the music business if you can fill 500 seats at a high dollar rate you can still do that and older acts actually making about 80 percent of all the money in music now for touring if you look at from the rolling stones you look up the rest um that's because there just isn't anybody that has a lot of traction or staying power so um we continue to see if uh see ads and variety uh warning that there'd be dragons ahead if you get involved too deeply with apple and their ecosystem um but uh you know you've pulled back you got to 200 bucks you bounced a little off of that today um i don't know how investors are going to react if they see the phone sales are down but the money is coming back in from earbuds and other things that they're selling um they also don't really make that much money for the people that write apps you can you have almost a zero chance of making any money if you write an app for apple now um and again there are a lot of apps there but if you're making money you got a legacy product that's made money on the iphone before you know maybe you've got enough uh stuff but i mean they got millions and millions of people that have written apps uh for the iphone and the problem is that you know just getting what you want is a problematic and tough uh there's too much and of course uh apple doesn't do a lot of good to nurture and build new companies they just like the big companies that are big like them they don't like dealing with other people which means they don't get a lot of innovation which is another problem i just like about apple we're gonna be back me the ranking as their number one market timer in the nation for the s and p 500 for the last 12 six and three months timer digest also ranks me as the number one market timer for gold as well the fact is markets can be timed and i'll teach you the exact set of tools that i use that is transform me into one of the best at what i do sign up for mastering probability today by clicking on the newsletter tab on the homepage of tfn.com and get immediate access to workshops where i take you step by step how to use an extraordinary set of tools as well as provide great market calls too sign up today david whites newsletter the technology insider is like a laser on finding the next big things in technology if you would invest in only ten thousand dollars in microsoft in 1986 you'd have been a millionaire by 2000 disruptive technology like microsoft's is the key to these massive long-term profits and the tech insider is the vehicle from tfn to capitalize on these opportunities this is the go-to newsletter that identifies monitors and profits on mostly little known cutting-edge companies with great long-term prospects david's experience is as an inventor of emmy winning animation products for tv and hollywood that propelled a company public match that with 14 years as a full-time trader and he's uniquely qualified to guide you through the light speed world of ever-evolving high tech if you're ready to ride the next big technology bull market for less than 40 dollars per month log on to tfn and dot com and get your two-week free trial to the technology insider get in on the ground floor of the next big thing today since 1984 basil Chapman has been using the Chapman wave methodology to advise traders of his expert market opinion while originally hand drawing charts from the late 1970s into the 1980s basil noticed that prices under most circumstances virtually always had a certain number of legs to the upside before declining sharply later basil found that computer software which included the standard market technical indicators enhanced the degree of accuracy and calling price turns as well as market trend calls thus was born the Chapman wave sequence using the Chapman wave methodology along with other indicators basil Chapman advises his subscribers of his expert market opinion each market day with his opening call newsletter right now you can get a two-week free trial to the opening call basil's daily trading newsletter by visiting the front page of tfnn.com cancel it anytime during that trial and pay absolutely nothing get your two-week free trial to basil's newsletter the opening call today by visiting tfnn.com catch Tom O'Brien professional trader and educator founder of tfnn also a special guest on CNBC Tom will bisect and dissect the markets the Tom O'Brien show next on tfnn as we said hang on in the next hour for Tom O'Brien and then of course the hour after that is the hour of earnings we'll take a look at apple apple comes out at 4 30 so you're gonna have to hang on for a little bit you've got advanced micro devices coming out right after the futures close at 4 15 Twilio at 4 15 Groupon at 5 10 I don't know if that even matters anymore fire I in the security department 405 Akamai technologies at 4 so right at the bell I don't think that's going to be enough to move the futures around that much now tomorrow morning when you wake up you're going to be looking at CVS healthcare Ameren Corporation Clorox Estate Lauder Yum Brands Garmin Humana Royal B Royal Caribbean Cruises Hilton Worldwide Travago Molson Coors Bitney Bose CME Group Johnson Controls Harris Corporation Kamiko their chart actually had something that I was looking at CCJ to pop that up before we go remember seeing that more this morning as I went through a lot of these it's come back on lighter volume and back into its 2.7 million share December 24th low it's $10.61 cents still 60 30 cents above it you had kind of a big range and doji today with just one and a half million shares so it may come back in there for about $10 nice trading range from you know 10 and a half to 13 bucks is actually quite the range don't see where uranium's going the way of the dodo anytime soon so I like that if there's anything else going on do I have any other questions that's it uh as I said in the den during one of the breaks uh in uh one of the Raiders movies Raiders the Lost Ark um says only the penant man will pass make sure and wait for the whites of their eyes here in the next couple of days for the big signal in the meantime sell when you can not when you have to and we will see you here tomorrow same bat channel same bat