 Hey guys, it's Nate, aka The Foot Accountant. Welcome back to the channel. It is Monday in FIFA Ultimate Team. You know what that means here on the channel? It's market outlook time. Team of the group stage happening this week. Champions League games happening this week as well. There's a lot of stuff to go through this week, but the games also feeling like it's kind of dead. So we'll talk about that for a minute. We'll talk about the state of the market, what has happened tonight with squad battle rewards and just the pre-order packs. A lot of the actual cards are in packs right now. Team of the group stage cards are dropping. We have a lot of supply coming in from rewards. Again, this pack weight is very, very high. I was not really somebody who wanted to invest in these tonight in my opinion. I just don't like where the market is as a whole. Instead, I chose to go some of the route of these cards that are gonna be talked about a lot this week and we're gonna be watching a lot of and that is Road to the Finals. I'm gonna talk a lot about Road to the Finals today and this week in total, we're gonna talk a lot about Road to the Finals. Now, I bought myself an Eden Hazard tonight to try out for Weekend League and to also see as an investment because Real Madrid are playing on Wednesday. I think a lot of these cards, they've already started to rise from where they kind of, you know when the market crashed this weekend on Saturday and a little bit into Sunday, a lot of these cards went back down as well. A lot of people bought back in and it's kind of pushing these cards up because we are heading into the first ever upgrade for some of these Road to the Final cards. So we're gonna talk a lot about that again in this video too, is RTTF upgrades, what does it mean, when you should be selling these cards if you have them invested and what other things we could happen to see related to Champions League this week. Because this week it's all about Champions League, right? Team of the Group Stage, Champions League, Europa League-related promo, the Road to the Final items, SBCs it will be coming out as well. The Alexander, or not Alexander, I keep mixing up Alexander Arnold and Oxlade Chamberlain. It's the hyphenated last names, man, it's what it is. But we have the Oxlade Chamberlain SBC, which was a moments card for his goal versus Gank in the UCL 2019-2020 season. So I would not be surprised if we had another, you know, Europa League or Champions League-related SBC for a player at some point this week. Now we already had another Road to the Final Herrera and this was something they did during the, I think they did it during the groups or during the knockout stages in the spring last year in FIFA 20, was they released more Road to the Final players later on during the knockout stage period. I think they did do that. I would not be surprised if we had another Road to the Final player come out this week. Of course, right now, Athletic and Madrid links are very valuable because of this man right here at Joel Felix and we'll talk about this SBC today as well. But first things first, where is this market right now? As we head out of the Weekend League, stuff is very low still. Neymar 800K, Veran 218. Golds have absolutely died this weekend and it's brought a lot of the market with it. A lot of icons got destroyed today. We're talking about player the month possibly coming this week as well. But first, I wanna look at the index icon. 91.6 points dropping off from 95 on Saturday down to the 90 range. A lot of these cards have just absolutely got obliterated in price. Middle Root Hole, it is 6.4 million coins. I'm pretty sure he was selling, yeah, 7.2. Somebody bought Middle Hole, I think I saw a screenshot on Twitter last week for 7.5, 7.4 million coins and like a promo Friday or something. The guy is down to 6.4 million. Now we have qualifiers that are coming up in the future. So there will be cards like this that will have some sort of a rebound. But for the market as a whole, I really just kind of feel like we've seen a small bit and I'll preface this. We've seen a small bit of people investing since Squad Battle Rewards. Joe Gomez was 49K, 50K, he's up to 53. Sun is up at one to two K. Marshall is up one to two K. So some people have tried to invest in some of this stuff. Mendy is 79, he was 75. But I really feel like there's just a really big feeling of people on this game right now in FIFA that are just not happy with the game. Whether it's the gameplay, the next gen stuff has honestly flopped big time with no player faces on the new Beckham cards in game, with the issues people were having with gameplay, with finding matches, the connectivity issues with the PS5 and next gen gameplay and Xbox Series X. So I feel like it's really, right now in FIFA is just kind of like a time where a lot of people are not happy. And part of that also stems around the new cards that are in packs, right? We talked about the high pack weight for these team of the group stage items. And whenever this happens, right? Whenever we have a huge market crash, you see a lot of things talked about on Twitter, right? 50K packs, 3.6% from 125K packs, 10% chance of packing a Europa League or Champions League team of the tournament, team of the group stage card. But what happens is so many people lost coins this weekend, that just makes people not wanna play FIFA. When you go on FIFA and you buy Neymar on Friday morning for your foot champions adventure, your weekend foot champions adventure, you buy Neymar for basically 970,000 coins. On the PlayStation, you finish your games on Sunday evening and Neymar is down 170K. You're not gonna be too happy about it. You're gonna be like, yo, if I'm really getting on and losing coins every single week in this game, this game isn't very fun for me, is it really, really worth it? I think a lot of people right now are just not feeling very hyped and very happy about being on FIFA and that just drives people away from FIFA is what it does. And I think that has also contributed to the stuff that is happening on the market right now as well. But that's just kind of why I feel like I'm not really interested in these gold cards right now as investments. Do I think they could rebound a bit? Yes, but I just wanna wait and see what comes out for the rest of the week this week. There's just so many unknowns still. And in all honesty, if we look at the bigger picture, a lot of these gold cards are probably still gonna drop off in the next two to three weeks with team of the year on the horizon, more coin sink, foot mist, SBCs, possibly team of the year nominees coming out. So yes, these guys are low, they've dropped off a lot. Maybe this weekend or on Thursday after awards. And throughout the week this week, if we don't get content, they bounce back a little. But overall, in the big scheme of things, these guys are probably gonna continue to trickle down a price as we head throughout the year in FIFA. That's just how golds work because people move on from gold Neymar to get some sort of informed player or they go do an SBC and that replaces Neymar or whatever. So I think you're seeing more and more of that stuff coming out in the game as well. And especially with one SBC that is out right now in FIFA Ultimate Team and that is Jawao Elix, player of the month. This card right here is coming in on foot bin at 380K. After squad battle rewards tonight, we have seen some of the SBC fodder. It's not low, right? I would not describe SBC fodder and cheap SBC players right now as low, but they are down, right? If you take a look at some of these graphs, I looked at Keelini tonight on stream, wherever he went, I don't know where he went, but let's look at Hummels, right? This is a perfect example of an SBC fodder player. 18.5K on the PlayStation, 20K on the Xbox. He went to 28K on the Xbox over the weekend when Felix came out. We had a couple base icons out, Lucas Mora, right? And now he was 22K on the PlayStation as well. And now these guys are back down a decent amount, right? These guys are back down a decent amount in the past couple of days. That is making some of these SBCs like Felix look a bit cheaper and more and more people are gonna be interested in doing this. This Felix card for 380K is a crazy, crazy value card. I'll say it, it really is very, very, very crazy. And I think a lot of people are gonna end up doing this this week. If you wanna do Felix, I know it's out for 30 days. I know this SBC is out for 26 more days from now. Do it ASAP because with all the stuff that is coming up, more player of the month, possibly player of the month Bruno coming on Friday and Footmist on the horizon as well, that's gonna bring a lot more hype to SBC fodder. So I think you wanna get this Bruno done ASAP Rocky if you can, and if you do wanna do Oxley Chamberlain, I would do that pretty quick too. The only thing that would be nice to have is if there was some sort of repeatable upgrade pack that was good value. These rare player picks are pretty good value but they don't give you a guaranteed rating, right? 81 plus UCL upgrades. This was an interesting one today. I saw some people talking about this 81 plus UCL upgrade as possibly a way for EA to give us, like they're sending us some messages like, hey, do a few of these, get some 81 plus UCLs in your club because later this week we might release a, or this is the way some people were thinking, a guaranteed team of the group stage, Europa League or Champions League player SBC. So a guaranteed team of the group stage player SBC requiring a certain amount of UCLs and a rating in that squad. So I think that's why people were just sending my ideas, right? Obviously we'll know what that SBC gets added into the code because we'll have the code tweeted out. There'll probably be some panic and people buying SBC fodder because of it. So that'll be something to watch out for as well. And also this base icon pack is expiring today at 6 p.m. UKM Monday. This has also got people talking about, today on Monday some people think icon swaps might start today. I don't know how much I agree with that or how much I vibe with that but I guess it's possible that they could just randomly start up icon swaps on a Monday and that would be, that'd be big news for the market as well because a lot of people are waiting for those icon swaps in FIFA because that is like a big grind for a lot of people and that motivates people to play the game because especially this year people, I don't know how it is for you guys but I've played a lot more objectives and friendly game modes doing the objectives, right? Doing some of these cards for objectives like I did Mukielle, I did the Correa objective. I was working on, I'm working on Bellarin at the moment technically like I've got Bellarin decent amount done kind of slowly working on him. I don't know where that card is. Yeah, Premier League player I've got, I gotta get what is that, eight more wins and two more goals. So I'm on my way to getting this Bellarin card because he fits my team pretty nicely. Of course, like guys like Molle, guys have done De La Feu, right? You do the Silver Stars almost every week. Koman is a great value objective that is out right now. This week as well, the Van Bergen and the Gravenberch and the Bumgardle. These two guys is specifically Gravenberch and Van Bergen. So many people are going after these this week. You got Dumfries, rule breaker card and Informer both almost extinct. Trying to, you put together a team to link these guys too and just to just do the objective as well. So there's just such a huge, huge, objectives are huge in this game and I think that pulls people away from the weekend league a little bit. Just kind of to add that to my point. But again, the state of the game is kind of sus but I feel like I've talked a lot about that already. Let's go on to good old UCL, right? Champions League is this week. Now we've got a lot of games that are coming, right? And a lot of you guys have said, yo, do I sell my cards? Do I hold onto them? What's the deal with these cards, right? Think about what has happened with the market already, right? Think about what has happened. We have these matches that are coming up on Tuesday and Wednesday and Thursday for Europa League. This is gonna decide which players get upgraded. This is the most fun week in my opinion for road to the final players, road to the final upgrades and stuff that's gonna happen to RTTF because a lot of these cards are gonna stay very high, right? Look at how inflated they are right now, right? Bebu 130, Draxler 70,000 coins. Cooler Bali 431, Promise 278. So soco is over a mil. If we go look at team one for road to the finals. I was looking at Griezmann tonight, 550, I think it's still a buy for him. Now, you know, Salahs 15, Muriels 87. There's gonna be a lot of market movements and a lot of hype around these players this week in FIFA. Even like when the games are live and running, right? Let's think about a team that's very close to getting in or not, right? I think Manu and the Manu, PSG and Lifesig Group, which is why, is that Group H? Yeah, Group H. Group B is also very close, but Group H is the one that there's a lot of people, a lot of people's eyes are on Group H this week. I think Group B is the other one. Oh no, Group C with, oh no, it is Group D with Atalanta, Liverpool and Ajax, with Ajax and Atalanta playing this week. A lot of eyes on Promise. And then of course, Real Madrid, right? Real Madrid this week. Playing against Mohsen Gladbach, they need to win basically to get in, it seems. I think they do, at least. But look through all the scenarios for these games this week. And that's also why I bought Hazard, right? Because all it takes, you remember where Hazard's card was earlier this year before Real Madrid lost, like in Shakhtar last week. Look how high this guy was, man. He was over 800k, it says 798. He was like 820, 830 that morning and he's down basically 100,000 coins. So I got one tonight at 720. If Real Madrid are lucky enough to score the first goal, I'm probably gonna be selling this Hazard card closer above 800,000 coins and there's gonna be a lot of hype for this stuff this week. Now if you've mass invested in these cards, the safest thing to do is to sell them in the hype before the game or right at the start of the game because what is gonna happen is, after the game, even for the teams, that their cards are going to get upgraded, right? Like let's say we have Road to the final, let's say Hazard, right? Let's use our Hazard example. He is kind of lower right now because of Real Madrid and the position that they're in. Let's say Real Madrid are looking like they're gonna win this game. This card is gonna start flying up in price during that game. He's gonna start going up, up, up and once he reaches a high point, people are gonna start taking the coins, people that invested in this card are gonna start selling, undercutting. The upgrades for these cards are not gonna happen most likely until Thursday night at the very earliest or Friday. These are probably not gonna happen until Friday, maybe even Friday night after whatever content we get Friday 6 p.m. UK because it takes a little bit of time for EA to do this stuff. That's the way they've done it in the past. We'll see if they do it this year and talk about that again later this week. But all these cards are gonna be highest ahead of time because also think about how much the market has dropped off. Why is Hazard or why is Cisoco and guys like Renato Sanchez still valued as low-rated cards this high on the market when the rest of the market has been sold off so much. It's really just because of investors and people holding on to these cards and there is gonna be a flood of them on the market because people think their prices are gonna rise when they get upgraded but what's gonna actually happen is the market's been devalued as a whole so much. A lot of these cards are gonna get upgraded and Team of the Year is gonna come out in two, three weeks and there's no more Champions League games until February that these cards are gonna be forgotten about very, very fast. It's gonna be the same scenario as last year in FIFA 20. It's gonna be the exact same scenario as in FIFA 20. I'm gonna show you some of these cards right now. Let's take a look at Gareth Bale from last year in FIFA 20. His wrote to the final item, right? What you see is they come out, boom. He goes up to 1.2 mil over the Team of the Year time period. He drops back down to 840, 869,000 coins like right during Team of the Year, 820 even and then boom, as the game starts to come back up he spikes, he's going back to a million coins, right? So we are right here right now. We are basically at the peak. Some of these cards are never gonna be higher than they are right now. There's gonna be a big drop off as we head into Team of the Year. That's why my advice to you is, take it safe, play it safe, sell these cards on Tuesday, Wednesday, before their games and if you wanna try to be risky and trade with them during the games or invest in a guy like Hazard because like I mentioned a guy like Hazard could very easily go back over to 800,000 coins. A guy like Griezmann who was guaranteed the upgrade who was 620K earlier this weekend is still down in the 550,560,000 coin range which is kind of interesting to me. This card is gonna go to 199 and I feel like people might buy this up because they're just wanting to invest in cards but I'm still a bit scared. Again, as I mentioned with the whole market being sold off as a whole, these cards haven't really dropped and I think their time is coming later this week with the upgrades on the horizon, more content coming out. That's why if you've invested I want you to take the coins pretty early unless you're gonna try to ride out a guy like Hazard who's low because their chance of getting in is slim then a big time rebound and then you sell and then of course he drops back down when they do get those upgrades. Very rarely have we seen in the past couple of years where these wrote to the final cards actually rise after they get the upgrade. It's very, very rare specifically this upgrade right here during the group stages to the knockout stages. So that's kind of the wrote to the final stuff that I'm thinking about this week. Obviously a lot going on with that. Now let's talk a little bit about icon swaps. Again, that could possibly come today. Do I think it will? I don't think so, but I guess it's a possibility and that's why also I think you find a lot of people not wanting to buy cards right now in the market because when that comes out that's gonna take over everybody's minds and that's what everybody's gonna be doing on FIFA. So they might not even have to drop any of that really insane SPC content. They just have to drop icon swaps and that would bring a lot of people and that would motivate a lot of people to do stuff on the game to get icons. So that would impact the icon market a little bit. That's why, again, I think you've seen a lot of panic selling on icons this weekend, specifically today or yesterday on Sunday, into today on Monday. I think that's why you're seeing a lot of that panic. Now I did mention that I was gonna talk about Player of the Month, Bruno Fernandez. Bruno Fernandez should be coming out this Friday because the vote started last week. The vote should be closing early this week and you will see a Player of the Month Bruno come out. I think it's gonna be 90 rated. Now a lot of you guys might be thinking it could be 91. I think it's gonna be 90 rated, of course, because last year in FIFA 20, Lionel Messi got his first Player of the Month card. His first ever Player of the Month SPC last year was in December, right around this time and the Player of the Month Messi was the, it was a plus one from his inform, right? Messi's inform was 95 rated. He had a 96 rated team in the group stage and then they gave him a 96 rated Player of the Month as well. It's the exact same situation with Bruno. Now of course EA could do whatever they want. They could give him a 91, but I realistically think it's gonna be a 90 rated Bruno Fernandez and I think you're gonna see panic selling on this card later in the week this week and it could inhibit this card's rise because of that being in people's minds. I think Bruno is a clear cut winner so if you wanna start buying SPC fodder and sort of prepare for that, I guess you could if you wanted to. Since that stuff is kinda lower right now, I would expect possibly somewhere around a million coins for that Bruno SPC because they have not made any Player of the Months cheap this year if they would make Bruno around like 750K or 800K. Even with this card valued at 900 with similar stats, I think people would go nuts for a 90 Bruno just with how good this card is becoming with the 80 pace. I've heard a lot of people say very, very good things about this Bruno Fernandez card, but let's talk about just trading in general for a second if you're gonna trade with cards this week. One guy that I've got in my eye on and this card type is gonna be perfect for trading this week is our favorites, the rule breakers. Rule breakers and record breakers are both pretty rare items on this market. Alex Tashira right now in the market is right around 230,000 coins but he's very rare. He fluctuates all the time between like 220, 220 lows and like 230 to 240. I don't see that changing this week. I really don't. There's special cards that are very rare out of packs are going to fluctuate. So keep an eye on them, right? Keep an eye on them this week. Royce is another great one, La Porte. Just trying to name some players that you guys might be able to use to add in your repertoire to be fluctuation trading with this week. I bought a Vardy to kind of finish out my week in the games tonight for 500K flat and I think he's now in the 520 to 530 range. So basically right now I'm breaking even with this card being 560 just yesterday, two days ago, I think he goes back a little bit more into this week as well. So one thing I did not talk about yet was team the group stage cards. I said they were dropping off with the supply. Could these cards? Wow, Marcus Rashford is 1.08 million coins. That's crazy. Now with these prices getting this low, as you guys are seeing the footpin screen right now and maybe seeing like, yo, these are mad low. This Marcus Rashford card, all right, that was an undercut. That was a footpin undercut because Marcus Rashford's 113, he was 13 on all day of Saturday until the market started going down, right? Messi's card is 1.6 million. He was over 2.1 at multiple times this weekend. Wow, that's crazy for Messi that he's right around 1.7. That's wild. He's dropped off so much. The Bruins 45, Taylor Hernandez is low. Holland is low. Kimmich is low. Just like we had a lot of panic on Saturday morning and then there was a bounce back. I expect that some of these cards are just gonna get low tonight and they are gonna start to get bought back. There is gonna be a point where they get too low. This Kimmich card bounces around like crazy. If I saw this at 200K flat, I would be a buyer. 206, is that getting insta-bought? It's not, wow, that's crazy. I wish I had coins because I would probably snag that. Some of these cards are on the lower tier of price. I would watch around because I do think these guys are gonna bounce up a little bit into Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday. If we don't get big-time, tradable content or icon swaps, I think these guys are gonna fluctuate a bit. Even though they're very packable, we have to be careful with the pack supply SBCs when they come. People are trying out these new cards and they're trying them out because they're so cheap, right? The people that are playing FIFA are using these new cards because they're so cheap, man. 200K for this, right? 200K for a new 90 rated Kimmich. A new Sterling 192, Holland 279. A lot of these cards are very, very cheap and that's, again, another reason why the market is so low right now at this point in the game. So, hopefully that covered a lot of you guys' questions. For the market outlook this week, it's all gonna depend on the content with what happens, but Road to the Finals are gonna be the number one main attraction this week in terms of people watching Champions League, trying to make coins and trying to trade with this kind of stuff. So definitely keep an eye on the Road to the Final cards. There's gonna be money made if you're risky with it enough. During the games, if you wanna watch the games or have notifications turned on when a team scores a goal, there's gonna be some panic selling. Like, let's say if a lesser team is playing a favorite that is kind of still on the edge, right? Like, let's play like Man U's game this week. Manchester United is playing Leipzig. Let's say Man U score first. That means Klosterman's gonna drop. That means Rashford's gonna go up. But then if Leipzig are really attacking in the second half and it looks like they might come back, then maybe you try to take a risk and you buy Klosterman and if they score and end up going ahead or something, then boom, it's gonna be flip flop. So that's the crazy fluctuations that you might see with these guys in game this week if you wanna get really risky with it. So that's a very long market outlook video for you Monday, but there's a ton to talk about and just kind of talking about the state of the game as well. If you enjoyed this video, smash a thumbs up on it. Comment down below if you have any questions and subscribe to the channel if you're new. It's been Nathan Foot Accountant. I'll catch you guys later. Peace out.