At FEWS NET, we use a methodology known as scenario development to assist in projecting food insecurity and future food assistance needs. FEWS NET has adapted common scenario building concepts to help analysts make sense of the complex food security landscape. Our process provides a logical structure to think through the interactions among the many variables that affect food security.
At FEWS NET, scenario development is the methodology we use to make projections about acute food insecurity outcomes. This approach is the basis of the analysis presented in our food security outlooks and updates. Scenario development allows FEWS NET to meet its core mandate of giving decision makers early warning about potential food security crises.