Chuck Todd: If McCain Wins All Toss-Ups He Still Loses

Tom Brokaw with Chuck Todd on Meet the Press, 11/2/08.

Brokaw: And Chuck, what about voter turnout and especially the organization of the two campaigns getting their people to the polls?

Todd: Well, we're seeing a lot of the early voting, a lot of long lines that's made folks question whether Georgia, South Carolina could end up being much closer than people thought because of this surge among voters, particularly African-Americans. And of course we've watched everything that's been happening in Florida and North Carolina this weekend, Tom.

Brokaw: And why would John McCain be spending so much time in Pennsylvania and New Hampshire in the final weekend, Chuck?

Todd: Well, it's a simple math problem that he's got. Heres our columns here. Im going to put all of the current tossup states in McCain's column and watch his number as it grows right up here. If you move all of these states over, Indiana, North Dakota, Missouri, Montana, North Carolina, Ohio, Florida, and Nevada -- you see the problem he's got. He's still at 252. 18 short. So what does that mean? If he pulls a Pennsylvania over, we see Obama goes done to 265, McCain gets his 273. Then you ask why New Hampshire? Thats the insurance policy. Nevada, a state that Obama right now has that narrow lead in, if that went to him, then McCain would need New Hampshire to get back over his 270. So it is the only path he's got left. They know this and that's why they had to figure out how to put Pennsylvania back in play. We don't know if it really is. We know he's spending a lot of time there and they had to figure out if New Hampshire, a state that's been incredibly kind to McCain's political career in the past, to see if it can resurrect him one more time.

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[kefkaROX]

Tossups that went for Obama : North Carolina Indiana Florida Ohio Pennsylvania New Hampshire Tossups that went for McCain : Missouri Montana North Dakota 3 for McCain, 5 for Obama. OWNED!!

[rakrobn]

No they're just uneducated, inbred troglodytes who fall for Republican bullshit every year. Why do you think conservative states are one of the poorest in United States and have such high illiteracy rates?

[specom]

@soxdownsouth Yeah, I'm REALLY "scared" of Tim Pawlenty....

[kamak894]

2 things I can't believe you're still concerned over: 1) My comment 9 months ago on here, & 2) The 2012 election which I have finally stopped worrying about myself because it's so far away and the previous election is over, in which the winner of that is so obscenely not prepared still, blatantly hypocritical of his broader election promise of meager hope and change, and not interested in governing but instead going to townhall meetings and setting up TIPS-programs for critics, it's frightening.

[TxTechRox123]

lolz....you're going to lose in 2012 as well, maybe by more than the Reps lost in 2008. 3 of the last 5 incumbents have won re-election, and that miraculously includes the dumbass known as George W Bush. Obama would have to really fuck up to lose in 2012. Back to you Connie.

[seafury]

That's a nice cup of tolerance and equality.

[scotths]

"3 for McCain, 5 for Obama"

How about in terms of Electoral vote...

That's 17 for McCain and 98 for Obama!

and that doesn't even include the 32 evs from CO, NM, NV and VA which were tossups until Obama took such a big lead in the polls they were moved from that column.

[ACeast4321]

hehehe, u lost

[bsartist]

"I am tired of him and his nonsense, already"

Which is exactly how the whole world felt about Bush the last 8 years, and how most Americans felt about him for at least the last 3.

[bfjfaye]

We won, Thanks God. Stupit Palin