SHAKESPEARE:
Now the global economic crisis seems to have more dire consequences. According to the OECD, global economic indicators for 2009 will be worse than previously predicted. Heres more.
STORY:
A report released on Tuesday by The Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD) offered a dismal view of the current state of the world economy.
[Klaus Schmidt-Hibbel, OECD Chief Economist]:
"The world economy is in the midst of its deepest and most synchronized recession in our lifetimes, certainly since the 1930s, caused by a global financial crisis and deepened by a collapse of world tradeWorld real GDP growth is expected to fall by 2.75 percent this year, and to recover by 1.25 percent next year (2010)."
A sharp fall in international trade will also drag down export-reliant economies like Germany and Japan.
[Klaus Schmidt-Hibbel, OECD Chief Economist]:
"We have the historical data of world trade, with a massive decline in the last quarter of 2008 and a similar decline in the first quarter of 2009, estimated until March 31. And we estimate for the entire year, a decline by 13 percent of world trade for this year."
The economic crisis will affect the unemployment rate even more next year, according to the report.
[Klaus Schmidt-Hibbel, OECD Chief Economist]:
"Joblessness in all OECD countries will rise very sharply, with the rate of unemployment peaking in 2010 or early 2011, so peaking maybe 1 ½ to 2 years down the road, and in a majority of countries reaching double-digit levels for the first time since the early 1990sWe forecast that the OECD average unemployment rate will reach and slightly surpass 10 percent in late-2010, for the U.S. a bit larger, for the Euro area touching 12 percent, and in Japan increasing toward but not reaching 6 percent."
The OECD forecasts for growth and trade are much more pessimistic than those of the World Bank, which announced that it expected a 1.7 percent contraction of the world economy and 6 percent decline in trade this year.
1 month ago the IMF predicted a 0.5% increase in Global GDP. A month before that it was near ly 2% increase. Now its -2.75% from the World Bank.
Economics is a social science. So behind these statistics are real people. Real people up to their eyes on debt, on anti depressants, on the edge. This whole crisis is a self energising vicious circle that is worsening exponentially. Global economic collapse is imminent. The G20 know this.
Lynchian74 2 years ago 3