The Banda Aceh-based Tsunami & Disaster Mitigation Research Center (TDMRC), under the Syiah Kuala University, has developed a series of computer-driven simulations to monitor evacuation effectiveness in the event of another tsunami. Drawing upon scenarios that vary the number and passenger-capacity of evacuation routes, access to evacuation shelters, and pre-landfall alert timing, the simulations forecast the number of Banda Aceh residents in this target area that would successfully find shelter, as well as how many would become tsunami casualties. As anticipated, they find that providing earlier warnings in the simulation raises the percentage of tsunami survivors, but that a significant number of fatalities will still be caused because of a shortage of tsunami-resilient, tall buildings and standing infrastructure not yet conducive to large-scale movement of people. The simulations can be used by planners and disaster risk reduction professionals to better prepare Banda Aceh, a disaster-prone area, against future natural disasters.
If want to find out more about TDMRC visit http://www.tdmrc.org . For more exciting updates from Asian Trends Monitoring visit http://www.asiantrendsmonitoring.com and subscribe to our Bulletin.
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