Bruce Bueno de Mesquita predicts Iran's future

http://www.ted.com Bruce Bueno de Mesquita uses mathematical analysis to predict (very often correctly) such messy human events as war, political power shifts, Intifada ... After a crisp explanation of how he does it, he offers three predictions on the future of Iran.

TEDTalks is a daily video podcast of the best talks and performances from the TED Conference, where the world's leading thinkers and doers give the talk of their lives in 18 minutes. Featured speakers have included Al Gore on climate change, Philippe Starck on design, Jill Bolte Taylor on observing her own stroke, Nicholas Negroponte on One Laptop per Child, Jane Goodall on chimpanzees, and "Lost" producer JJ Abrams on the allure of mystery. TED stands for Technology, Entertainment, Design, and TEDTalks cover these topics as well as science, business, development and the arts. Watch the Top 10 TEDTalks on TED.com, at http://www.ted.com/index.php/talks/top10

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[The3nlightened0ne]

can you speculate as to why he isnt releasing it?

what do you think is the reason?

[moe1n]

A somehow biased prediction.. His original datas r not covering all the game.. for example hes not considering the growing number of religious pple who support Iran by showing up in the 22 bahmans demonstration..

[garlicestan]

What Bruce Bueno predicted in 2009, actually happened and is happening. Amazing.

[samala51]

Good content, mediocre presentation

[vah1100]

crazy and ignorant

[bbabak2]

Nash equilibrium

[PyrrhosOfEpeiros]

Wasn't this game theory developed by the guy from "Beautiful Mind"?

[PhoenixFlammeus]

Smart man, but a terrible public speaker.

[Syavash Azarmi]

as an Iranian now in 2013 i can see as a speech in 2009...

more than 90% have become true...

awesome job

[55301365]

right speech. thanks