Bruce Bueno de Mesquita predicts Iran's future

http://www.ted.com Bruce Bueno de Mesquita uses mathematical analysis to predict (very often correctly) such messy human events as war, political power shifts, Intifada ... After a crisp explanation of how he does it, he offers three predictions on the future of Iran.

TEDTalks is a daily video podcast of the best talks and performances from the TED Conference, where the world's leading thinkers and doers give the talk of their lives in 18 minutes. Featured speakers have included Al Gore on climate change, Philippe Starck on design, Jill Bolte Taylor on observing her own stroke, Nicholas Negroponte on One Laptop per Child, Jane Goodall on chimpanzees, and "Lost" producer JJ Abrams on the allure of mystery. TED stands for Technology, Entertainment, Design, and TEDTalks cover these topics as well as science, business, development and the arts. Watch the Top 10 TEDTalks on TED.com, at http://www.ted.com/index.php/talks/top10

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[LotusHacker]

@imRyRy

maybe, maybe not. and israel probably has that capability but if something like that happened I doubt Israel would be in any great condition if ya know what i mean. and we were arguing whether or not Iran WANTED nuclear weapons. considering what Ahmadinejad has said about Israel and Jews and that Hamas was acquiring Iranian Grad rockets (as well as from other places), he totally wants those weapons.

[imRyRy]

@LotusHacker Do you really think they would attack Israel? Israeli nukes could turn the Middle-East into a parking lot.

[LotusHacker]

@Arianiuss

lol @ the ghetto called gaza. like the ghettos called jordan and the palestinian territories? the funny thing about arabs is that they think they can call people pigs after they spread out hate against any group of people and call it justifiable. you better search for a better vocabulary, friend.

[LotusHacker]

@imRyRy

just as Ahmadinejad totally doesn't think the holocaust was staged. I guess he never said “Anybody who recognizes Israel will burn in the fire of the Islamic nation's fury" eh? Israel isn't a communist country and the country itself isn't simply a form of government. That's like saying Russia itself is going to crumble. Back to the point, Iran has moved its fuel production to underground military facilities. That totally does not sound like they're trying to build weapons either.

[imRyRy]

@LotusHacker Your insults only hinder your credibility. You hide behind them instead of using arguments. I can even provide an example of media lies over Ahmadinejad. Once he said that "the zionist regime will end", just as "soviet russia did". The media turned this into "Israel will be wiped off the map!!". Now, are you going to provide a counter-argument, or more insults? :)

[LotusHacker]

@imRyRy

lol you haven't even proved anything yourself! go to school and keep your head out of bullshit kid.

[imRyRy]

@LotusHacker Funny. You argue my claims and then provide no counter argument/proof? Hilarious.

[LotusHacker]

@imRyRy

that's even funnier. Really I had no idea America is "Zionist." Look up the word before you use it in your anti-Israel anti-America or anti-West mantra.

[imRyRy]

@LotusHacker What's funny is how America media needs to misquote Ahmadinejad and exaggerate facts about Iran to gain support for their Zionist views.

[LotusHacker]

@imRyRy

that's funny