presumably, with exponential growth in computing power and use of computers, we might one day have completely automated safe systems.
at present, we rely for safety on a lot of informal information...
presumably, with exponential growth in computing power and use of computers, we might one day have completely automated safe systems. at present, we rely for safety on a lot of informal information. if a bureaucracy imposes new safety standards, with rather meaningless activities to be done each day, won't this lead to decline of the informal safety data/intelligence? if so, can we not expect that often our systems become less rather than more safe, because of using some bureaucratised safety standard?
If this is a serious problem, we need to show (by running a model) how safety is reduced in a bureaucratised system.
The above attention to detail should result in safety systems because it may give the developer a cost incentive to make the system safer. (Because the new model will show the system up as more unsafe than under previous models which were used).
In short, the emphasis on serious accidents may be unhelpful. We may need to look at all accidents to get the data we need to build a good model of serious accidents. We may not be able to afford to build a good model unless we use data from minor accidents also.
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