Raymond Kurzweil: Changes in Information Technology
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A related criticism is based on the notion that is difficult to predict the future, and any number of bad predictions from other futurists in earlier eras can be cited to support this. Predicting which company or product will succeed is indeed very difficult, if not impossible. The same difficulty occurs in predicting which technical design or standard will prevail. Moreover, we CAN reliably predict the capabilities of these technologies at future points in time. Kurzweil ISBN 0-14-303788-9
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The question should be: *How* can you possibly "disagree" with factual information of existing data?
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The rest of it would be nice.
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I boldly disagree with "human evolution". However, I think Kurzweil is accurate regarding technological evolution. One singularity - interesting concept. Considering what I refer to as "multi-exponential growth", I have NO doubt technology will be exactly what most of us thought it could never become. Very exciting/scary. I've always said, with whatever technology exists, also exists the means to counteract it. So when we talk neurological networks.... manipulating our memories, etc... scary
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Thoughtware (dot) TV
thoughtwaretv 3 years ago 11
What exactly do you disagree about with regards to human evolution?
danieleriskay 3 years ago 4