Nobel economist interviewed by AMERICAblog's John Aravosis and Chris Ryan in Paris, discusses why the Fed's policy of "quantitative easing" has had very little effect in terms of helping the US out of its current economic doldrums.
Stiglitz: "Monetary policy will not get us out of the mess, and all this discussion about monetary policy is a distraction.... The Fed is very good at creating problems, not so good at resolving them. QE3 won't help."
Stiglitz goes on to explain why quantitative easing didn't work (and I paraphrase what you'll see in the video below):
1. QE didn't lead to more lending, partly because we haven't fixed the banking system.
2. Lower interest rates typically do not have much effect on investment in an environment like the one we're in right now.
3. Slightly lower interest rates on bonds might have encouraged speculation in the stock market, driven up stock prices, which might induce people to consume more. But since it was pre-announced that the intervention would just be temporary, why would people go out and consume based on a knowingly volatile stock market? Only the foolish would have gone out and consumed based on a temporary boost in stock prices.
4. Competitive devaluation might have had some effect, namely lower interest rates leads to a lower US exchange rate, helping US competitiveness. Fed would never admit that this was the goal, but that was probably the only effect that was significant. But other countries responded in ways that limited the size of the positive impact. And benefits over medium term are probably negative.
5. All of this might pose the risk of higher prices back in the US - and what does the Fed do if growth remains low but inflation rises?
Stiglitz is as neutral as it gets.
Basically, his attitude is taking a path that works best regardless what it is, right or left.
Currently. gov. policy is heavily leaning toward in favor of corporates and bankers where the money coming from and people call it "fiscal conservative", as if giving it name makes it legitimate theory or policy.
It's not a matter of right or left, it's a plain stupidity and we'll see the result sooner or later.
allgoo19 1 month ago
Here is a helpful piece of advice. When you ask a question, shut the fuck up and let the person answer without talking over the person answering.
abortfailure7646 5 months ago