MLB Predictions for 2010 by NJIT Professor Bruce Bukiet

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Uploaded by on Mar 24, 2010

With pitchers and catchers having recently reported to spring training, once again Bruce Bukiet, an associate professor at NJIT, has applied mathematical analysis to compute the number of games that Major League Baseball teams should win in 2010. The Philadelphia Phillies, St. Louis Cardinals and Los Angeles Dodgers should all repeat as winners in their divisions, while the Atlanta Braves will take the wild card slot in the National League (NL), says Bukiet.
In the American League (AL), the New York Yankees should blow away the competition, winning in the East, while the Minnesota Twins repeat as winners of the Central Division. The AL West is too close to call with all four teams within 5 wins and the Texas Rangers, Oakland As and Los Angeles Angels expected to win 82, 81 and 80 games respectively. The Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox will have a close contest for the AL wild card slot.

Bukiet, an associate professor of mathematical sciences and associate dean of the College of Science and Liberal Arts at NJIT, bases his predictions on a mathematical model he developed in 2000. For this season, he incorporated a more realistic runner advancement model into the algorithm.


His expected wins for the AL are as follows:

AL East: Yankees 103; Rays 93; Red Sox 92; Orioles 71; Blue Jays 70.

AL Central: Twins 92; White Sox 85; Tigers 74; Royals 72; Indians 67.

AL West: Rangers 82; As 81; Angels 80; Mariners 77.

For the NL, he projects as follows.

NL East: Phillies 90; Braves 88; Mets 82; Marlins 76; Nationals 72;

NL Central: Cards 91; Cubs 86; Brewers 78; Reds 74; Astros 73; Pirates 66.

NL West: Dodgers 88; Diamondbacks 85; Rockies 84; Giants 80; Padres 77.

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  • World Series: Giants vs Rangers... Giants in game 5

    Thats my prediction!

    Waitt whaT??

  • but my math equations said Oakland A's will win

  • world series winners this year will be either the giants, phillies, or rangers, and yankees will lose tonight, trust me

  • 81 wins + Oakland = FAIL

  • LOL Dodgers, that totally happened. Giants!!!!

  • With 5 games left to go on Sept. 28, 2010, the AL standings and NL East standings as Prof. Bukiet projected in the spring are pretty much correct. Nice job!

    The rest of the NL is another story. In the NL West, his predictions are nearly completely backwards. The Dodgers are already golfing in 4th place. The Central is also much different.

    The Reds are about to win the NL Central. The Rays are above the Yankees. Atlanta is vying for the NL wild card, but the Padres are right in the mix.

  • Reds are the best

  • @bnm8390 those were baddd predictions, idk what ur talkin bout

  • Reds win 90 games and they win the central.

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