Monty Hall, yeah yeah, but with me. It's a mathematical curiosity and, in general, maths is intuitive - an important statement which we cut out of the video.
@swcomer I believe he does mean Deal or No Deal, as he's talking about a situation where you can accidentally reveal the prize, the million dollars. Unlike in this problem, when you have two cases left in DOND, the chances are genuinely 50% each, because there was no rigging by the host.
I remember reading an article from our textbook in 8th grade over this. I was the only one in my class who understood it. People can be so stubborn XD
By the way, that was 321 characters. I was thinking that a lot of words, different explanations and different ways of expressing things can get in the way. It was a lot of work for 321 characters but it is often a kind of effort that is well spent.
Considering mathematical probability and real objects:
"From the first choosing, there is a 2 in 3 probability that the 'right' object was not chosen. The 'right' object is still present at the second choosing. Where it was not chosen before, it is now chosen by switching. So for the whole exercise there is a 2 in 3 probability of obtaining the 'right' object by switching."
Can anyone make a satisfactory, shorter explanation from this or otherwise?
@swcomer I believe he does mean Deal or No Deal, as he's talking about a situation where you can accidentally reveal the prize, the million dollars. Unlike in this problem, when you have two cases left in DOND, the chances are genuinely 50% each, because there was no rigging by the host.
ThisIsMyAltAccount 14 hours ago
I remember reading an article from our textbook in 8th grade over this. I was the only one in my class who understood it. People can be so stubborn XD
jrw97 15 hours ago
Mythbusters did this one too.
genstian 5 days ago
Amazing! I subbed so hard.
SteDeRaver 5 days ago
At 4;25, The name of the gameshow was Let's Make a Deal, not Deal Or No Deal. Deal Or No Deal is a different show.
swcomer 6 days ago
Best explanation on the interwebs !
BUFFALOEOX 1 week ago
Mythbuster did it!!! it works! ALWAYS SWITCH
robbie4128 1 week ago
By the way, that was 321 characters. I was thinking that a lot of words, different explanations and different ways of expressing things can get in the way. It was a lot of work for 321 characters but it is often a kind of effort that is well spent.
andrewburbidge 1 week ago
This explanation might help some to see it.
Considering mathematical probability and real objects:
"From the first choosing, there is a 2 in 3 probability that the 'right' object was not chosen. The 'right' object is still present at the second choosing. Where it was not chosen before, it is now chosen by switching. So for the whole exercise there is a 2 in 3 probability of obtaining the 'right' object by switching."
Can anyone make a satisfactory, shorter explanation from this or otherwise?
andrewburbidge 1 week ago
This is by far the best explanation I've seen, thank you for this. I'm convinced.
zebase 1 month ago