The Gates Hillman Prediction Market: Prices over Time

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Uploaded by on Mar 23, 2010

The Gates Hillman Prediction Market was used to predict the opening date for the new computer science buildings at Carnegie Mellon University. Traders selected spans of potential opening days and bet for or against the building opening in that span. In this video, you can watch the prices formed by traders' bets converge towards the correct opening day, represented by the blue line.

Made in 2010 by Abe Othman: http://www.cs.cmu.edu/~aothman/

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Science & Technology

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Standard YouTube License

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  • nice - thanks for uploading this

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