The Monty Hall Problem is a famous (or rather infamous) probability puzzle. Ron Clarke takes you through the puzzle and explains the counter-intuitive answer.
You can read more about this problem...
The Monty Hall Problem is a famous (or rather infamous) probability puzzle. Ron Clarke takes you through the puzzle and explains the counter-intuitive answer.
You can read more about this problem, and the controversy, on Marilyn Vos Savant's website www.marilynvossavant.com
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here is why this is untrue: nce the first dor is open, the entire equation changes. S you cannt start uses elements from the first equation as sustitutes for the second. It's not 33 vs 66, after he opens the first door, it becomes 50/50.
Actually, your logic is not quit reasonable. You see, when you first picked a door chances were 66% vs 33%. But after that the game host reveals the door and you DONT swap you stick wit the same stakes since when you actually picked a door chances were 66% vs 33%. Now, if you DO swap the chance of getting a goat becomes: 66%* 50% or in equation form: 0.66*05= 0.33 or 33%. Hence, now you have got only one car and one goat, so the car gets 66% chance of being picked by you. :)
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