Demographic Winter

http://www.demographicwinter.com/index.html

Synopsis
Demographic Winter: Decline of the Human Family

One of the most ominous events of modern history is quietly unfolding.  Social scientists and economists agree - we are headed toward a demographic winter which threatens to have catastrophic social and economic consequences.  The effects will be severe and long lasting and are already becoming manifest in much of Europe.

A groundbreaking film, Demographic Winter: Decline of the Human Family, reveals in chilling soberness how societies with diminished family influence are now grimly seen as being in social and economic jeopardy.

Demographic Winter draws upon experts from all around the world - demographers, economists, sociologists, psychologists, civic and religious leaders, parliamentarians and diplomats.  Together, they reveal the dangers facing society and the world's economies, dangers far more imminent than global warming and at least as severe.  These experts will discuss how:

The "population bomb" not only did not have the predicted consequences, but almost all of the developed countries of the world are now experiencing fertility rates far below replacement levels.  Birthrates have fallen so low that even immigration cannot replace declining populations, and this migration is sapping strength from developing countries, the fertility rates for many of which are now falling at a faster pace than did those of the developed countries.

The economies of the world will continue to contract as the "human capital" spoken of by Nobel Prize winning economist Gary Becker, diminishes.   The engines of commerce will be strained as the workers of today fail to replace themselves and are burdened by the responsibility to support an aging population.

Government programs will slow-bleed by the decrease in tax dollars received from an ever shrinking work force.  The skyrocketing ratio of the old retirees to the young workers will render current-day social security systems completely unable to support the aging population.

Our attempts to modernize through social engineering policies and programs have left children growing up in broken homes, with absentee parents and little exposure to extended family, disconnected from the generations, and these children are experiencing severe psychological, sociological and economic consequences.  The intact family's immeasurable role in the development and prosperity of human societies is crumbling.  

The influence of social and economic problems on ever shrinking, increasingly disconnected generations will compound and accelerate the deterioration.  Our children and our children's children will bear the economic and social burden of regenerating the "human capital" that accounts for 80% of wealth in the economy, and they will be ill-equipped to do so.  

Is there a "tipping point", after which the accelerating consequences will make recovery impossible without complete social and economic collapse?  Even the experts can't tell us how far we can go down this road, oblivious to the outcomes, until we reach a point where sliding into the void becomes unpreventable.

Only if the political incorrectness of talking about the natural family within policy circles is overcome will solutions begin to be found.  These solutions will necessarily result in policy changes, changes that will support and promote the natural, intact family.  

Just as it took the cumulative involvement of activist organizations, policy makers, the business world and the media to create the unintended consequences we are beginning to experience, so it will take the holistic contribution of all of these entities, together with civic and religious organizations, to change the hearts and minds of all of society to bring about a reversal.  

It may be too late to avoid some very severe consequences, but with effort we may be able to preclude calamity.  Demographic Winter lays out a forthright province of discussion.  The warning voices in this film need to be heard before a silent, portentous fall turns into a long, hard winter.

Category:

Education

Tags:

• demographic
• winter
• decline
• human
• family
• demography

[LutefiskSavage]

is it truly logical to watch a decline in population as complete doom and gloom. We currently are over populated by about 2 billion people on this planet for ecological stability. This is critically over populated in certain regions while other regions are not so overpopulated. Yet the developed world seems to be universally reacting by choosing not to breed. I think we get too much news which is stressing us out in the bedroom.

[UCAGIBTV]

@LutefiskSavage We are not overpopulated at all. Every one in the world could fit in Jacksonville. Twice. Just because cities are congested does not prove overpopulation, it just proves that morons exist and apparently are more comfortable close together...

[abolishtheirs]

Marriage is no longer a moral obligation or commitment. Marriage has literally become a 3 party polygomous contract with the nameless faceless entity that is called the State! In begging for permission to be joined in a civil contract with the State, YOU and your spouse generously give your lives and childrens lives over to the State! That is how they control you and punish you so severely when you decide to 'divorce' and fight for custody. Marriage is a GODLY institution, not MAN'S.

[spaceman1958]

@agents1986 Depends on how you define "western countries" I suppose. Mexico has a fertility rate just about equal to the USA. Most of the major countries of South America have fertility rates about equal or less than the USA. China's fertility rate is way less than the USA. Guess those guys must have figured out the contraception thing. Most of Africa is higher though, yes. Hopefully they will bring 'er down, because yes, a gentle decline in population is preferable to a traumatic decline.

[DecentralizedByGuilt]

There are always way more people able to work than not. The largest part of the population is the working class. Even with the aging population, you still have way more in the working age. the working age is on the rise as well. We have a mismanagement in taxes problem, some of the wealthiest and corporations pay little to no taxes. Around 6 million children die from starvation each year, that's just children. Outlawing abortion causes the crime rate to go up. This video is full of errors.

[walter0bz]

this is the biggest load of bollocks i've ever watched

[TheMedievalMan]

Its good to see secular liberal progressives to be on their own way to extinction.

[agents1986]

@spaceman1958 except that it's the western countries experiencing the decline, so we'll have a world with very few europeans left, or none. and a europe/north america full of mexicans, arabs and africans (those who dont use contraception)

[agents1986]

@LutefiskSavage contraception, abortions, the collapse of the family unit, irreligion are all factors

[marcporter77]

Toby (They keep posting me as marcporter77)

Your hypothesis about lackanooky could be partially right.

However, my concern, is your lack of understanding about population. The popularity of myths does not make them true. The Population Research Institute uses CIA and UN data to explain the true population status of the world. Norway commissioned an audit on five UN agencies, which shows the overpopulation myth is a money maker for the UN, and corporations that it contracts with.

[LutefiskSavage]

@marcporter77 oh I did notice and areas of the world such as Canada, Russia, etc. that are having the local pop declines are a stark contrast with places such as India, Pakistan, China and so on where their populations are bountiful enough to emigrate. I blame a lot of our declining population on being too damn busy elsewhere other than the bedroom. late night dramas on TV rather than nookie. Compare this with the 14th C's black death and pop rebound from that.

[spaceman1958]

@marcporter77 Most of the decline in fertility rates, by far, can be accounted for by greater access to contraception, empowerment of women, rising affluence and urbanization which makes small families an economically sound choice. Yes, that is a much gentler path than what happens when populations reach environmental limits to growth.

[marcporter77]

@spaceman1958 You call 400 million forced Chinese abortions, and sex selection abortion in other Asian countries, a"gentle population decline". Do you call the increase in breast cancer, from abortion and artificial estrogen birth control, a gentle way to decrease the population?

Is the increase in HIV among women who take progesterone birth control a gentle method? Is the economic decline worth it?

These are experts speaking. We are tired of scientific suppression of data.