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North Korean leader Kim Jong-il died on 17th December.
His son, Jim Jong-un, born in the 1980s could be the top leader.
Kim Jong-un was educated in Switzerland, but would there be a
chance of reform behind Kim Jong-un?
It was reported that prior to Kim Jong-il's death, he tried to
arrange Kim Jong-un to meet with the Chinese Communist Party
(CCP) leaders, however, the meeting hasn't been approved.
Being an executive ally of North Korea,
how will the CCP deal with Kim Jong-un's regime?
Following the news of Kim Jong-il's death, North Korean
officials announced that
the nation should be "loyal to Kim Jong-un's leadership."
This seems to confirm Kim Jong-un's top position.
The CCP immediately sent a condolence message saying,
"We believe the North Korean people can turn their grief into
strength, under the leadership of comrade Kim Jong-un".
Thus Kim Jong-un's leadership was recognised by the CCP.
The CCP's message shows the communist countries' mutual
recognition of its legitimacy.
The former People magazine's chief editor, Huang Liangtian
believes that the CCP's condolences shows their support to Kim Jong-un's regime.
The CCP clearly knows that in such a system,
continuing the dictatorship is the only way to survive.
Without the CCP's next generation ruling the country,
the CCP's power will not last long; China will face the same issue.
The 20 something year old youngster, Kim Jong-un
will be the top leader.
The analysts believe that Kim Jong-un educated in Switzerland,
his mind could be more open than his father's,
he should be very clear that North Korea will not be isolated
forever in the world, he could be more open and encourage foreign investment.
Huang Tianliang believes that North Korea will not experience
major changes soon, as North Korea is a closed country,
people are brainwashed, they have no motivation to move
towards a democratic society.
Huang: "I have been to North Korea, where people are
brainwashed, we can tell from the pictures of people's reactions on Kim Jong-un's death.
To change one country, change one government is easier,
but changing people's minds is not easy.
Kim Jong-un lives in such an environment,
naturally to inherit his father's way or his grandfather's way.
No matter where Kim Jong-un was educated, living in such a
country, rebellion is impossible."
Southeast University law professor, Zhang Zanning, believes
that a dictator's death will often speed up the political reform.
Zhang: "I think Kim Jong-il's death may move forward their
political reform, they may remove the obstacles;
it will help North Korea's political reform.
Democracy is the trend of the world.
Peaceful transformation is irresistible.
Russia and East Europe is an example.
Thus a dictator's death is the removal of the
obstacles towards democracy."
Economist Mao Yushi said that Kim Jong-il's death is the
chance for North Korea's development.
The deadlock of international relations will ease up.
Mao: "This could be North Korea's new era, it can also
be chaotic for a while, generally speaking, their original system will no longer remain."
The New York Times reported on 19th Dec. that Kim Jong-un
lacks the experience to be a leader,
whether he can maintain the country's stability,
is hard to say at present.
The CCP may request Kim Jong-un to have conditional
economic reform,
although some experts believe Kim Jong-il's death
will change the country.
However, the CCP will strongly resist changes.
Even with the support of the U.S and South Korea,
China manipulates North Korea, the U.S. and South Korea
will have less power to intervene in North Korea.
NTD reporters Qin Xue and Li Anan.
《神韵》2011世界巡演新亮点
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North Korean soldiers crying Kim Jong-il's death (KCTV)by felino32102,282 views
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