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Understand the Past - Chart the Future

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Uploaded on Jan 24, 2011

The policy choices and decisions countries face as they emerge from the worst economic crisis in 80 years have a lot to do with their past habits. And to make good decisions, they need good data.

The IMF staff has built a comprehensive and dynamic new database on public debt. The data covers 174 countries over a period of 120 years, and will help policymakers understand the past and chart a future course to sustainable economic growth.

The data shows how government debt has risen and fallen over the years as important events, such as wars and stock market crashes, affect a country's decisions about when to save and when to spend.

It turns out the relationship between debt and economic growth has changed over time; historically, fast growing countries had low debt ratios, while slow growers struggled under higher debt. In the past 30 years that relationship has altered as advanced economies' debt levels have risen and their economies have grown.

The data also debunks some old clichés, for example that African countries have the highest debt levels. In fact, low income countries in Africa today have lower debt ratios than do advanced economies in Europe and North America.

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All Comments (3)

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  • Joshua Western

    THANK YOU! It's so clear to me now!

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  • Richard Heathen

    If we didn't spend more in interest on debt than the original principal we could pay for pensions and other programs, why do we need to debt based money when a country can issue it's own currency interest free. Canada did this until the mid 70's. Up until that time our debt was fairly stable but once we started borrowing money from private institutions our debt has increasingly risen with out looking back.

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  • Eric Encina

    What else to do?

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