Tim Tyler: How long before superintelligence?

I estimate the time of arrival of superintelligent machines. Transcript: http://alife.co.uk/essays/how_long_before_superintelligence/

Category:

Science & Technology

Tags:

• superintelligence
• computer

[midu914]

How are you defining "Human Level Intelligence" in this video? Are you simply referring to a range of tasks and tests (ie. math, chess, go...)? Or do you have some other definition to describe "Human Level Intelligence"? And would you consider a machine to be "Super Intelligent" only if it self aware?

[tmtyler]

@midu914 "Human Level" is only used loosely. Machines already have super-human capabilities in many domains. Self awareness is a red herring.

[KoanPhilosopher]

Very good video for a home planned one. How did you manage to upload a 10:08 long video?

[tmtyler]

The usual limit is actually 10:59, I think.

[rbarooah]

Very nice. I would suggest talking a little slower next time, but otherwise it's a very nice argument. Also, whilst I personally agree with your use of the anthropic principle here, it requires a significant jump to understand how you're applying it.

[tmtyler]

Hi, RB! I will work on the stylistic issues. Regarding the the anthropic principle, I think the main thing was to raise the issue, and then point out that Hofstadter may have a point - but only if you think anthropically.

[kenorb2]

Now I know where all super-brains went to. To the basement! ;)

[tmtyler]

It's all my own effort.

[midu914]

@tmtyler I agree. Intelligent systems will continue outperform individual capabilities without the requirement of self awareness. I think that is a common misconception with machine intelligence. Debates concerning the "requirement" of understanding the human brain do not hold water when considering super intelligent machines. Indeed, neuroscience & machine self awareness are entirely different debates.

[sladesyd]

Scary

[Chiller121]

well. this ladies and gentlemen....

IS A NERD!!!!

[jmAkaMcBam]

HOLY SHIT! JESUS!

[eydos]

OK, lets end this discussion. I believe in nothing supernatural. Obviously you do. Reality means totally different things to us. There is absolutely no reason to continue this discussion, it goes parallel, and I know better than to expect any change in your opinion. Let's just leave it at that. Have a good life, peace.

[livenowdoing]

@eydos The consciousness you speak of is the spirit that gives life to each of us. You can call it intuition or order or knowing or god or awareness or universe or life or any other name. When it leaves the body we die. This consciousness is different from the thinking. The thinking prevents the true experience of consciousness. There are spiritual practices (like Zen, Yoga meditation, Tibetan Buddhism and others) that encourage the experience of consciousness.