The History of Economic Cycles

Outlining briefly the people and discoveries relating to economic cycles. Beginning with Sir William Herschel who around 1800 found a connection between the Sunspot cycle and wheat prices, mention is made of Clement Juglar 1860s, William Stanley Jevons 1870s, The Rothschild family 1890s and Rockerfeller family, W D Gann 1900s, Joseph Kitchin 1920, Kondratief (who I accidentally left out of this video) and his 54 year cycle in the 1920s, Alexander Chizhevsky and Raymond Wheeler around the 1930s being interisciplinary cycles researchers, R N Elliott, Joseph Schumpeter and Simon Kuznets (later to receive a Nobel Prize) and the formation of the Foundation for the Study of Cycles by Edward R Dewey and others in 1942. The age of computers arrived in cycles research with J M Hurst about 1970.

For more information about cycles research:
http://www.cyclesresearchinstitute.org/
http://foundationforthestudyofcycles.org/
http://ray.tomes.biz/

There is an interdisciplinary cycles discussion forum open to all people to search and read, and people can join to participate, at http://tech.groups.yahoo.com/group/cyclesi/

For more on the history of economic cycles:
http://www.datacomm.ch/dbesomi/Links/links-16.html
http://www.timesizing.com/1kondrat.htm

Category:

Science & Technology

Tags:

• history
• economic
• cycles
• research
• interdisciplinary
• herschel
• juglar
• jevons
• gann
• kitchin
• chizhevsky
• kuznets
• dewey
• hurst

[visla84]

could you list the books published by each author??

I am very interested in Alexander Chizhevsky

[artynz]

@visla84 Suggest that you do a search for each. There is a problem with Chizhevsky in that his work is published in Russian and French so that English only readers (like me) do not get the full picture.

[DuctapePenguin]

Can you make a video on Welles Wilder Delta and Steve Copan who improved Delta into the Market Matrix?

Market Matrix is by far the best cycle methodology out there nailing cycle turns to the exact day.

[artynz]

@DuctapePenguin Sorry, I don't know anything about these things that you mention.

[Weatherlawyer]

Hi RTy

My research concerns the moon and weather and how it relates to earthquakes.

One easy correlation is the stuff leaving the USA at Cape Hatteras, High or Low pressure areas seem to impact somewhere on the Aleutians about 80 degrees distance on a great circle.

Tornado cells increase the magnitude of quakes to something in the region of 4 to 5 M. This checks out with National Storm Warning archives and NEIC quake list On the MetO Atlantic SSP charts too.

All archived online.

[artynz]

@Weatherlawyer The motion of the moon is so complex, that it makes many different cycles. The cycles in tides alone are very numerous. Earthquakes are certainly affected by tides in the body of the Earth, so the moon is the main factor.

I hadn't considered wind as a factor in earthquakes, but it makes sense.  Winds even affect the rate of rotation of the earth to a a measurable extent.

Earth tides are complex because they interact with fault lines depending on the direction of stress.

[llaoll]

thank you very much for making this video. i'm thrilled by all this knowledge you refer to, before this video, i only knew of Gann. my appreciations

[PeterSodhi]

Missed out Kondratieff as we enter a massive Kondrateiff winter - that is a shame.

[MakeMoneyBetting]

@visla84 an interesting book on these ideas is "The search for Gann's Master Time Factor". You can get it on Amazon

[canshin665]

Hello Thank you so much for the video. I'm studying economics by myself and the video helped a lot :-)

[jormoria]

dude,that is freaky,i got kodatrieff book on the long wave cycle,and also the profit magic of stock transaction timing by hurst....that is freeeeeaky

[bisbeejim1]

This was really good, thanks Ray.