M7.0 Earthquake Simulation for Hayward Fault, California

89 Loma Prieta quake's depth of fault was over 10 miles deep I believe that lessen the strength of motion shaking. Hayward fault's simulation may look pretty severe because the fault would rapture right on surface rather than over 10 miles deep like Loma Prieta's quake.

Note the exaggeration is 1000x. As to buildings, there are tens of thousands of building with either soft first stories, or are unreinvorced brick. Then the loss of power, communications, transportation due to road/bridge failures, landslides, traffic lights outages, plus the unknowns. Maybe a dam failure, airport runway damage. Will retrofits survive? It will be the worst American disaster in history.

i live on the hayward fault

FUCK i live like right on da fucking fault

7.0, though powerful, probably wouldn't do much to buidlings these days. Your grandma might yell at you for breaking her favourite tea set for years afterwards, but with modern earthquake area building regulations, the worse damage, in my opinion, would be cracked windows, tiles shaken off roofing and minor damage to roads...

Actually, the conservative estimates put a 7.0 quake on the Hayward fault as having major damage to the East Bay since the fault hasn't let go for a very long time. Most of the buildings here are not entirely retrofitted, since they were here before a lot of current regulations were in place. Trust me, I live less than a mile from the center of Downtown Oakland and we feel it when there's two or a three.

at least im not in the red area but fuck that shits guna suck ass wen it happens

tommorrw

simulations are known to change after 20 years of tech advancements